Nugget
Footballguy
Mixed bag. Tough to control your own draft joining late and coming in at the 16th spot. If your WR's have any success, you could go far. Solid QB's, TE, K's, Def mean that 3 of 8 WR need to have decent games. If Ronnie is healthy and McFadden gets a good situation-look out.5.16 abrecher David Garrard--QB13--JAX
6.01 abrecher Eli Manning--QB14--NYG
I like this combo a lot and at the turns I'm a huge fan of the "daily double". Manning and Gerrard are not spectacular, but you should get 200 yds and 2 td's out of one pretty much every week. Good survivor combo, not good for H2H.
1.16 abrecher Ronnie Brown--RB14--MIA
2.01 abrecher Laurence Maroney--RB15--NEP
3.16 abrecher Darren McFadden--RB20--rookie
18.01 abrecher Brian Leonard--RB71--STL
Three RB's to start in a 16 team survivor is not the norm. With Ronnie Brown a ?? on health, this was an OK strategy, but I'm not sold on the other RB's you chose. Maroney is dependent on the Pats scheme-he looked good at times down the stretch-but some games he had no presence. McFadden is dependent on when he signs and reports. Then you have the learning curve and the rookie wall to compete with. A lot of questions.
4.01 abrecher Santonio Holmes--WR18--PIT
9.16 abrecher Bryant Johnson--WR54--ufa
10.01 abrecher Isaac Bruce--WR55--STL
11.16 abrecher Drew Carter--WR70--ufa
12.01 abrecher Michael Jenkins--WR71--ATL
13.16 abrecher Ernest Wilford--WR73--ufa
19.16 abrecher David Givens--WR94--TEN
20.01 abrecher Terry Glenn--WR95--DAL
I'm high on Holmes, but question the 2nd WR decision. 2 TE's before WR #2 in a start 3WR, start 1TE, no flex league? I like Jenkins where you got him, Givens as well. 8 WR's may save you, but I'm worried 2-3 may never see the field. You have a lot riding on FA.
7.16 abrecher Zach Miller--TE13--OAK
8.01 abrecher Ben Watson--TE14--NE
Very strong, great combo for survivor style. I don't recall how much Jamarcus targeted TE's at the end, but they may have been hanging out for a while as rookies such as Cutler/Scheffler.
14.01 abrecher Shayne Graham--PK2--CIN
17.16 abrecher Matt Stover--PK19--BAL
Very Solid
15.16 abrecher Denver--DEF24
16.01 abrecher Detroit--DEF25
Servicable
This was a tricky draft for me for a variety of reasons. Not least of them is that I was a late sub, and I didn't want to hold up everyone else while I took time to strategize. The 16 slot is always difficult, of course, but it was more so because all the top WRs had major question marks, and Gates is no longer head-and-shoulders above the other TEs. So I felt that I needed to roll the dice with two mid-level RBs.
But more than any of this, being in a WSL forced me to turn normal draft evaluation on its head. In a summer or even spring league, I tend to weight a player's situation more heavily than his talent. But in February, the situation is almost impossible to predict. Therefore, for most of the draft, my picks were based almost entirely on a player's talent and production, on the theory that if the talent is there, the situation will settle out in his favor one way or the other.
You may notice that of my first nine picks, all of them except Garrard had one thing in common: they were all young, top-35 NFL draft picks whose career had not yet peaked. This was completely intentional -- teammates and coaching philosophy may change between now and September, but talent will not. Situations may be become better or worse, but young talent should always improve on their numbers as they mature.
In a sentence, my draft strategy was this: Pick players who are likely to have higher ADPs in the summer than they do today. As I said earlier, when drafting from the 16 slot, you have to take whatever value is there for you whether or not it is a need. When I saw McFadden slide to me at 3.16, when he is very likely to be a second-round pick in SSLs and MBSLs, I had to go with him even though it set me back in other areas.
Fortunately, as a 20-round draft, I could go for quantity over quality in one position, and that position was WR. Looking at the other WSLs, I saw a lot of decent gambles lasting to the end of the draft, and I saw that late-round WRs have been huge in past years, as well. (The last two WRs drafted in last year's WSL3 were Shaun McDonald and Anthony Gonzalez; Brandon Stokely and Bobby Engram were 16th round picks.) So I decided at that point to leave RB alone after my top three and go nine-deep at the WR position, taking as many gambles as I could knowing that I just needed a couple of them to pan out.
Unfortunately, having Ronnie Brown as my RB1 meant that I couldn't afford the risk of being without a backup in case he did not immediately return from injury, so I went with four RBs and eight WRs instead. In retrospect, I should have taken McGahee instead of Brown and taken a ninth WR. But seeing Givens/Glenn go undrafted in the other WSLs, I knew very quickly that they would be my last two picks. And between these two plus the three UFAs, I think I have enough gambles at the position to keep my team afloat for a while.