This is my first time in ABLC after a bunch of years of regular Anarchy leagues, and it looks like a tough contest to win. 32 teams so only 1/32 win. Only 10 rounds, which is not that many chances to separate yourself. A long time between picks, which means you don't have a shot to draft a lot of players that you like or who fall farther than they should.
QB
8.22 QB Patriots NE (QB30)
I think there aren't any terrible options this year, so I was pretty content to get whoever at the end of the draft (especially considering some of the guys going in rd10 at other positions). I strongly considered Mahomes at 1.11 because of his playoff value, but once I passed on him QBs kept getting drafted before they even made it onto my radar as options. Until round 8, when QB Patriots was surprisingly still available as QB30, and I decided to snatch them up. The Patriots went well before this in the regular Anarchy leagues, and there's a lot to like here: Cam will scores points with his legs as long as he's playing, Mac Jones will hopefully only play if he looks good, their receiving corps has gotten major upgrades since last year, they got pretty good production out of Garoppolo & Cassel in past years, and they have some playoff potential. The downside of this pick is that it knocks both my kicker and defense down a tier, and the Tyrod Taylor Texans have some advantages too (like game scripts & QB rushing).
Other than Mahomes, the QB picks that seemed like the most solid values were Bucs (1.31), Ravens (2.04), Cardinals (2.12), Saints (3.27), and Texans (10.21).
RB
1.11 Saquon Barkley NYG (RB7)
6.22 JD McKissic WAS (RB52)
Barkley has a shot to be the top scoring non-QB - I think a better shot than any of the other guys who were available at 1.11. Obviously tons of injury risk, but you need some things to break your way to finish 1st out of 32 so I'm taking a shot at this one. McKissic is on the opposite end of the spectrum, going for OBP rather than SLG - in the back half of the draft, I'm mainly just trying to not have any holes in my lineup and his receiving value should contribute. I guess he has some upside too, given what he did last year. I like these two a lot more with PPR than in the regular Anarchy leagues.
I would've loved to get Najee Harris in rd2 or Travis Etienne in rd3, but they didn't quite make it to me (they went 2.16 & 3.10). Other good RB values include Joe Mixon (2.08), Antonio Gibson (2.09), D'Andre Swift (2.14), Chase Edmonds (3.22), Ronald Jones (4.27), Kenyan Drake (5.12), AJ Dillon (5.21), Nyheim Hines (5.30), and Darrynton Evans (10.08).
WR+flex
2.22 Cooper Kupp LAR (WR20)
3.11 Courtland Sutton DEN (WR28)
4.22 Curtis Samuel WAS (WR45)
5.11 Michael Pittman IND (WR54)
We go significantly deeper at WR in this league than in the regular Anarchy leagues, so I wanted to be pretty aggressive about getting WRs before we get too deep. Taking 4 in the first 5 rounds was more aggressive than I needed to be - there were reasonable options available into rd8 - but I'm pretty happy with the ones I got. And I was mainly considering these guys vs other WRs (like Julio & Lockett in rd2, Golladay & Anderson in rd3, Fuller in rd4, Marquise Brown in rd5). Kupp has a QB upgrade & potential playoff value, Sutton could be a star, Samuel has gotten a lot of love in some quarters (including
Reception Perception), Pittman could have a year 2 breakout & should at least have a pretty big role. Downsides include injury issues for Sutton & Samuel.
I was crossing my fingers that Tyreek Hill would fall to me at 1.11, but he went 1 pick earlier. Some other WR picks I liked, besides the guys I've mentioned: DeAndre Hopkins (1.24), Antonio Brown (4.10), Will Fuller (5.05), Jakobi Meyers (7.04), Rondale Moore (7.12), Sterling Shepard (7.15), Terrace Marshall (7.24).
TE
7.11 OJ Howard TB (TE30)
Without premium scoring, TE wasn't a priority for me. Kelce is a great option in early round 1, but other than that TEs went off the board rather early for my taste (and the few exceptions didn't align with my picks). I grabbed Howard in round 7 because he was the last one left who offered both an adequate most-likely scenario and some upside. Though he also has that injury risk, and he may need some help to reach his upside (in the form of missed games or decline from at least 1 of Gronk, Antonio Brown, Godwin, and Evans).
Besides Kelce at 1.07, I also liked the picks: Hunter Henry (6.06), Gerald Everett (6.16), and CJ Uzomah (8.28).
PK
9.11 Graham Gano NYG (PK21)
I would've loved to get Butker in rd6 but just missed on him. After that, I mainly just wanted to get a clear starting kicker. Strongly considered Crosby in rd7 and McManus in rd8 before ending up with Gano in rd9, doubling up on Giants (along with Football Teamers).
In addition to the guys I've mentioned, Justin Tucker (6.15), Jason Meyers (8.04), and Josh Lambo (9.22) were also all good values.
DEF
10.22 Cincinnati Bengals CIN (DEF30)
I know that defense isn't irrelevant in this format - I can see that scores last year ranged from over 200 down to negative numbers - but there's enough uncertainty about which ones will be good so that I was willing to roll the dice on one of the last defenses. I would've rather gotten a rd9 defense - that was the sweet spot in this draft IMO - but QB Patriots swayed me from that plan so I ended QB Patriots - PK Gano - DEF Bengals instead of PK McManus - DEF Giants - QB Texans. We'll see which trio does better.
All of ATL (9.19), NYJ (9.28), and NYG (9.29) seem like good values.
So that's my draft. RB-WR-WR-WR-WR-RB-TE-QB-PK-DEF.