Of the current starting QBs in the league...
It would not surprise me at all if any of these win a Super Bowl (obviously not all of them will since only one can win a year, but none of these would be a shock):
Lamar Jackson
Joe Burrow
Josh Allen
CJ Stroud
Trevor Lawrence
Justin Herbert
Aaron Rodgers
Patrick Mahomes
Kirk Cousins
Kyler Murray
Jared Goff
Jordan Love
Matthew Stafford
Jalen Hurts
Brock Purdy
Baker Mayfield
I'd be mildly surprised if these guys win one, but with the right team around them I could see it happening:
Geno Smith
Jayden Daniels
Derek Carr
Caleb Williams
Anthony Richardson
It doesn't look promising:
Deshaun Watson
Bo Nix
Gardner Minshew
Skylar Thompson
Jacoby Brissett
Dak Prescott
Justin Fields
Will Levis
Bryce Young
Sam Darnold
Daniel Jones
Thanks for the full answer there.
I feel like I'm the Dak Prescott apologist

but can you elaborate on how you have him in that bottom tier? I also think Sam Darnold has a shot this year of getting out of that bottom tier.
Which again, is why I'm asking about the player and not so much the team. Darnold is a great example (at least after 2 games) of how team matters.
I'm not sure if you're a Dak apologist but you did say you thought Dak was good enough to win a Super Bowl and unless I'm way wrong on this, I'd say you're in the minority with that opinion. Time will ultimately tell, but at age 31 he certainly hasn't demonstrated the ability to win important games consistently. At least in my eyes. I see a guy who cost his team dearly in 3 recent playoff exits.
But props to you for defending your belief. As a fan of Dallas, I hope you're right. As an objective viewer of football, I think I've seen enough to believe he's not good enough to win a Super Bowl (or even get there) and we saw more of that yesterday against New Orleans. 2 more picks, a fumble that set his team back and failure to convert first downs when they matter most. His failed 4th down throw to a practice squad TE says it all for me. As I've said countless times, it's a pattern, it's a problem.
And on Sam Darnold, I'm a big fan personally; think he's a great kid, people that know him, love him. I'm rooting him on this season and beyond. BUT - it was just 3 seasons ago when Darnold started 3-0 for Carolina and looked GREAT doing it. Then he lost a bunch in a row and that was basically that. Cautiously optimistic this is the break he's needed.