I have a question for the pro Stacy posters. If the Rams didn't/don't see Richardson and/or Pead as the answer at RB, why did they wait until 5.27 to draft an RB? Why did they pass on Stacy at 5.16 when 10 rbs were already off the board. Why did NFL teams draft 12 rbs before Stacy? One of the main arguments I see from the pro Stacy posters is situation. The Rams actions in the draft suggest they don't agree with you (waiting until late 5th/passing on rb mid 5th). How do you explain that? I'm not saying Stacy doesn't have a chance, but if we are honest, the odds are low, but reading some of these posts would lead you to believe Stacy has a better than 50/50 chance. If I am wrong, please post what you think the odds are.
I'll try to explain where I'm at with Stacy and maybe this jives with some of his supporters and maybe not.
I don't view Stacy as a top shelf talent. I don't think he's going to be some kind of long term starter in the NFL. But, then again, very few are and, especially at RB, there's tons of turnover with moments that can be taken advantage of.
I think Stacy is a decent enough athlete based on his combine numbers and looked solid enough from what I've seen that I think he could be a very capable starter if given the chance. Which brings me to the St. Louis situation. I've said this in other threads but I don't view either Pead or Richardson as full-time starters. They are both simply too small (both under 200 lbs). So, unless they bulk up, I don't think either of those guys will be primary ball carriers. Not without elite speed, you just don't see RBs that small as feature backs. Now, it could be that StL goes with a full-on RBBC that doesn't lend itself to any relevant fantasy players on a consistent basis at RB. Or, it's possible that a guy like Stacy can do well enough to get a decent number of carries. He's not going to be a 300 carry RB, but it doesn't take that much to excite some owners.
When you look at St. Louis and Fisher, Pead went in the 2nd round last year and Richardson went in the 7th. But it was Richardson that saw most of the work behind SJax while Pead barely played. Fisher is going to play the guys that perform. And given what they have in Pead and Richardson (again, of the belief neither is big carry material at their size), the opportunity for Stacy to jump into the rotation and carve out a large role is there.
Look at guys in similar situations and what's happened to their values at times. Guys like Torain, Helu, Andre Brown, Ballard, Bryce Brown, Dwyer, Tate, Starks.....all marginal RBs (not top shelf talents) that had relative spikes in value when given a chance. I see Stacy cut from the same cloth and could provide some short production and possible value down the road. The problem becomes when you get married to a guy like that and hold longer than you should if his value far exceeds his true worth.
So yes, I actually believe he has decent odds (not 50/50, but not barely above zero either) to get the majority of the carries at some point in the near future. And if that happens, his value gets a nice spike above mid 2nd and someone is likely to pay for it.
