I looked at a lot of rookie drafts, rookie rankings, rookie scouting reprots, and ADPs and I don't think I ever saw Ridley in the top 9. Old rookie in the shadow of Julio playing with a QB who only threw 21 TDs last year... I know recency bias might make Ridley look like a justified pick ahead of Chubb, but ignoring what's happened in September, he's the most egregious player listed.
Just about every top 9 had the big 8 RBs and Moore. Freeman and KJ were always the last two RBs. Freeman was the last one drafted by the NFL, but had a better perceived situation and KJ for some reason had a lot of detractors plus a crowded backfield. It would be truly unexpected to see one of them go ahead of Chubb.
To me the latest possible slot for Chubb was 1.06, but I like Moore and even on teams that needed a WR, I was taking Chubb ahead of him. Most people seemed to agree, but a lot of that was people not liking the Carolina landing spot. Had he landed somewhere else, I think his ADP would've moved up a few spots (his ADP seemed to settle in at 1.07 ahead of Freeman and KJ).
Predraft, almost everyone had Chubb stickied at 1.03 behind Barkley and Guice. After Guice slipped in the draft and Penny went higher than expected, I saw Penny move to 1.02 and Guice fall to 3rd or 4th. Never did I see Chubb slip past 1.04, but I did see him fall to 5th or 6th in some individual drafts. Personally, I kept him at 1.02 in my rankings although I never had to make that decision (didn't have that pick). Michel scared me due to his very high college fumble rate and landing on the most fumble punitive team in the league, but I can get why people invested in him over Chubb. Likewise, I think Guice is a great talent and Washington was a nice spot, so I can understand taking him over Chubb. But any other guys drafted ahead of him seem(ed) crazy to me and definitely bucked the trends.
This of course assumes 1QB leagues.
Would be interesting to see an October rookie draft. Probably some massive overreactions to 4 weeks of play.