Jump to content
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!!


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 56.3k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

  • ChainsawU

    7350

  • swirvenirvin

    5043

  • lumpy19

    4551

  • facook

    4214

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

Well dudes, interesting update!  My wife and daughter surprised me today, told me they were a comin home 10 days early and would be here within the hour.  The tumor is now so small that he wants to ho

Home.  Some 40 hours later and the kid is basically back to normal.  Amazing.  She'll move up to Orlando for a few months for the radiation treatment with the Mrssus but for her the scary part is over

Well dudes, we're not sure what is next....but tonight Izzy takes her last chemotherapy treatment.  We'll go up in a few weeks to take a peek in her skull to see 'sup...but for tonight - we celebrate.

14 hours ago, regularguy said:

Any experience?

Not first hand.  If used as intended I've never even heard of any cons.

Doesn't stress the body like a test cycle would.

 

Have a number of clients prescribed androgel and they all rave about it.

Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, parasaurolophus said:

Well koepka probably made the afternoon first round leader bets worthless. 

Yeah, that was an all-time great round.  

Link to post
Share on other sites
4 hours ago, kevzilla said:

Related to the previous discussion: I think I'm sleeping a little better on Androgel.

Do you wear gloves when you apply it?  And do you it apply it anywhere besides shoulders and upper back?

 

I'm a wierdo, but I feel like I would lose sleep worrying about it soaking into my hands.  Was planning on having the discussion with my doc next visit.

Link to post
Share on other sites
37 minutes ago, hooter311 said:

Do you wear gloves when you apply it?  And do you it apply it anywhere besides shoulders and upper back?

 

I'm a wierdo, but I feel like I would lose sleep worrying about it soaking into my hands.  Was planning on having the discussion with my doc next visit.

I wash my hands after applying. Not concerned about it soaking into my hands, that's kind of the point, but I wouldn't want to get it on anyone else. The pamphlet that comes with it also indicates applying some lotion over it about an hour later may aid absorption.

I apply it to my shoulders, which are not getting touched by a lot of women these days. :oldunsure:

Link to post
Share on other sites
On 5/15/2019 at 3:30 PM, hooter311 said:

Gun to my head, I'm picking Fowler.

Will hope to add him live or between rounds and probably start with about 10 guys lined in the triple digits and hopefully get some leverage on the field live.

 

Every major I end up piling on to Fowler in matchups, he's been a cash cow the last few years, love him.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
9 hours ago, The Ref said:

Either I’m missing something or Twinkies -133 tomorrow is too good to be true.

If you like at at -133 you will love it at -127

Link to post
Share on other sites

Horse matchups

Improbable -140 over War of Will

Alwaysmining -135 over Anothertwistafate 

warriors charge +170 over Owendale

 I actually kinda like owendale but he’s currently 25-1  vs 18-1 for Warrior with an hour to go.  ML had Owen 10-1 and a Warrior 12-1, so matchup odds should have been much closer IMO.  I’ll take +170 on what’s basically a coin flip IMO

Apparently I was looking at some dumb profit line metric, owendale is indeed favored but I still think it’s good value

Edited by Dan Lambskin
Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, Dan Lambskin said:

Horse matchups

Improbable -140 over War of Will

Alwaysmining -135 over Anothertwistafate 

warriors charge +170 over Owendale

 I actually kinda like owendale but he’s currently 25-1  vs 18-1 for Warrior with an hour to go.  ML had Owen 10-1 and a Warrior 12-1, so matchup odds should have been much closer IMO.  I’ll take +170 on what’s basically a coin flip IMO

Apparently I was looking at some dumb profit line metric, owendale is indeed favored but I still think it’s good value

Nailed it 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Berrios struggled for the first time in 2019 on Monday against the Angels, when he was tagged for a career-high 12 hits

Opposing teams 4-0 SU 8±3 runs per game hosting Berríos after he allowed more than 7 hits his last outing.

Mariners +122
Mariners o4½ +120
Mariners F5 o1½ -150
Twins/Mariners o10 +120
Twins/Mariners F5 o5 -110
Twins/Mariners F5 o6 +160

Link to post
Share on other sites
21 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

 

Opposing teams 4-0 SU 8±3 runs per game hosting Berríos after he allowed more than 7 hits his last outing.

Mariners +122
Mariners o4½ +120
Mariners F5 o1½ -150
Twins/Mariners o10 +120
Twins/Mariners F5 o5 -110
Twins/Mariners F5 o6 +160

People pay for worse leans that you give away in here.  What a 5th inning for your ####.

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

So the twins opened -120 and are now +120.

 

at the same time thevteam total is priced for the twins to score >4.5 and the angles <4.5

 

market is going all next level on us

Link to post
Share on other sites

Booty Woman caught the feelings for the Saw... who can blame her?  :shrug:

Way too many baseball games tonight - :bored: 

TOTAL u½-135 (OAKLAND ATHLETICS 1ST INNING vrs CLEVELAND INDIANS 1ST INNING)
TOTAL o½-115 (BOSTON RED SOX 1ST INNING vrs TORONTO BLUE JAYS 1ST INNING)
TAMPA BAY RAYS +125
TOTAL u7-120 (ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS vrs SAN DIEGO PADRES)
SAN DIEGO PADRES -110
TOTAL o8EV (ATLANTA BRAVES vrs SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS)
MIAMI MARLINS -110
COLORADO ROCKIES 1ST HALF PK-130
TOTAL o5-115 (MINNESOTA TWINS 1ST HALF vrs LAA ANGELS 1ST HALF)
 

Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, Angry Beavers said:

Booty Woman caught the feelings for the Saw... who can blame her?  :shrug:

Way too many baseball games tonight - :bored: 

TOTAL u½-135 (OAKLAND ATHLETICS 1ST INNING vrs CLEVELAND INDIANS 1ST INNING)
TOTAL o½-115 (BOSTON RED SOX 1ST INNING vrs TORONTO BLUE JAYS 1ST INNING)
TAMPA BAY RAYS +125
TOTAL u7-120 (ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS vrs SAN DIEGO PADRES)
SAN DIEGO PADRES -110
TOTAL o8EV (ATLANTA BRAVES vrs SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS)
MIAMI MARLINS -110
COLORADO ROCKIES 1ST HALF PK-130
TOTAL o5-115 (MINNESOTA TWINS 1ST HALF vrs LAA ANGELS 1ST HALF)
 

Played this one too, based on a tout I follow who's pretty good at these things.  

Also took Bucks -2 yesterday, based on them being 21-4 ats after a loss or whatever stupid record they have.

Link to post
Share on other sites
5 hours ago, comfortably numb said:

Golden State to win the finals at -220 seems like free money...lets find out. What could go wrong

My unscientific homer GS opinion is that Milwaukee is worrisome. More worrisome than the last two Cleveland teams GS faced, for sure.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Rox worst MLB team in G2 (tied with Miami) while Bucs are the best. Bucs have that bullpen game going. Gray threw a ton of pitches yet only lasted less than five innings last outing and I think that will translate to an over in this start. Also, a note on Rockies' starters:

Before Marquez's outing Tuesday, Colorado starters ranked at the bottom of the National League in ERA (5.64), opposing batting average (.276) and WHIP (1.45), and were tied for the most homers allowed (47).

One might blame yesterday's shutout as a hangover from the west coast road trip plus the subsequent day of rest/travel for the Bucs. This looks like the most popular total on the board, plus there's a little weather snag to be aware of:

A bit of a raggedy looking storm line moving in to PIT in the later innings or (more likely) after the game. There's a chance for a later-inning delay or even a game that doesn't go 9, but I think the more likely outcome is that they finish this up before the storms arrive.

Gray strikeouts o5½ -114
Rockies/Pirates F5 o4½ +100

Link to post
Share on other sites

@psaundersdp Me thinks Rockies Jon Gray is not happy with the home plate ump. 5:39 PM - 17 May 2019

@fromtherockpile Angel Hernandez is the worst! Jon Gray just threw 3 strike 3s that all got called balls. 5:39 PM - 17 May 2019

Since last season teams have gone 48-26 SU (avg line -112) when their starter had to deal with Angel Hernandez as the home plate umpire in his last start. That's the third-most profitable umpire in that situation behind Culbreth and Bill Miller. Upcoming starters who just faced one of those three dudes:

Today: Cole Irvin, Jon Gray (Hernandez last time)
Friday: Miles Mikolas (Bill Miller last time)
Saturday: Cal Quantrill, Joe Musgrove (Fieldin Culbreth last time)

...just thought it was interesting to go check out and see. might try to find more reasons to back Irvin later on

Link to post
Share on other sites

Jesse Chavez was added to Oakland's starting rotation in April 2014.
Since May 2014, opposing teams have gone 39-24 SU in Chavez's starts:
non-division: 19-19 SU (avg line -101)
AL West: 20-5 SU (avg line -119)

About to live bet the Mariners...

Link to post
Share on other sites

Watched "the best of it", late last night on Amazon prime.

 

Thought it did a great job portraying the "luxurious life of a professional gambler".  :rolleyes:

 

Has it been discussed here?

Edited by hooter311
Link to post
Share on other sites
14 minutes ago, hooter311 said:

Watched "the best of it", late last night on Amazon prime.

 

Thought it did a great job portraying the "luxurious life of a professional gambler".  :rolleyes:

 

Has it been discussed here?

I watched about 3/4 of it, and then lost interest and turned it off. Don't really remember much of it. :shrug:

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, hooter311 said:

Watched "the best of it", late last night on Amazon prime.

 

Thought it did a great job portraying the "luxurious life of a professional gambler".  :rolleyes:

 

Has it been discussed here?

Is Alan Boston on that?  Just listening to him interviewed on VSiN a couple of times he sounds legitimately mentally ill.

Link to post
Share on other sites
5 hours ago, facook said:

Is Alan Boston on that?  Just listening to him interviewed on VSiN a couple of times he sounds legitimately mentally ill.

Yes and yes.  You could crack him like an egg, and it's rather obvious that he doesn't interact with any humans.

One of the subjects goes completely off the rails at the end.

Dink was the only legitimate "wiseguy" imo, although, I have less of a problem with V Runner than most.  Guy just has aspirations for glamour.

Glad I grew up at the racetrack where I was taught what it takes to be a winner, and 95% of the time it isn't a "glamorous" experience.

Admitted lifetime degenerate online, real life I mostly just mirror whoever I'm dealing with.

Edited by hooter311
Link to post
Share on other sites
6 hours ago, Good Posting Judge said:

I watched about 3/4 of it, and then lost interest and turned it off. Don't really remember much of it. :shrug:

I was enthralled.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.


×
×
  • Create New...