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Threshold is 7% of all deaths. Covid deaths as a % of all deaths peaked on WW17.
There was a story that came out months ago about Bolsonaro testing positive, but that was said to be rumor at the time.
Can't find current info, but a month ago, Americans were indeed allowed into Canada for the purpose of going to Alaska. And of course there were Americans that said they were going to Alaska but only did so to get into Canada
117 is huge for Arizona, but yeah they reported a total of 5 deaths for the two previous days.
Is it? Where is this supported?
I could not find the data in red on Worldometers. I also searched for the "WW17", "WW25", etc. terms and found nothing.
Unfortunately testing and reporting of hospitalizations and deaths are delayed and backlogged by weeks. They stated that about half these new deaths were due to death certificate matching. This has happened a couple times before. Some of the speculation is that it’s accounting for people who are dying at home rather than in the hospital.
33% means they're not testing enough, not a surprise considering how they've handled this.
7% of all deaths is an "epidemic". A pandemic is multiple countries meeting that figure.
The death trend is only positive in states where you'd expect it to be positive, aka, states where they've gotten this under control.
I follow you about your Excel sheet and your own offline tracking.
Sure. I plan to track it until it's glaringly obvious to everyone what's happening, then I'll stop.
I'll dig that out. It was from early on in this crisis. That was from here sourced as the level at which who would declare an epidemic. The US has been above that level more or less for the prior 13 weeks dating back to early April.
Yeah they only had 10k tests reported after the holiday delay. Typically it’s 15-17k, twice the tests were expected. I believe they are triaging the test results with people showing symptoms getting results first.
The closest city to us and then where I live both passed ordinances requiring face coverings inside and out with exceptions for health reasons and eating at a restaurant. The "you can't take my freedom" crowd is going crazy with unconstitutionality & light up the phone lines & emails. Luckily most places I've been to, mask usage is already pretty strong but not 100%.
Why would you expect anything different? Virus wasn't here until Feb.Got my antibodies test back today after giving blood on June 20. NEGATIVE. Whatever I had that damn near killed me in late December / January was not COVID.
Um, unless I am missing something, they are not exactly going up like you predicted either.
Whereabouts (roughly) are you on The Island. NW Suffolk here. A whole #### ton of "Open 'er up!" in the roughly 50-60 age group in these parts
In Florida, the 7-day moving average for daily deaths has fluctuated between 35 and 50 for the last 3 months. There has been a trend the last month from about 35 to 50, not dramatic like the rise in positive cases, but not dying out like some claim. Younger cases, better and earlier treatment, nursing home precautions, and IMO, more cautious behavior by those with the highest risk, have reduced the mortality rate.
I know those people well. They're in my family. Well my wife's family actually. My wife's stylist (she makes her living at the salon so I get it). And on it goes, so I hear you. I am in Setauket, Three Village School District.
I'm not predicting deaths to rise. I am not an important person.
Home town of Hauppauge and now up in Centerport. People have been great up here. Far more deniers down along the 25 corridor.
Younger cases was true, but that median age is slowly going up from 33 2 weeks ago, to 40 today.
Those charts show that Florida is around 1-2 weeks away from seeing the deaths rise at the same rate the new cases starting rising on approximately June 15th. It takes that long for the lag.
Yeah, but a bunch of people in this thread swore up and down that they were among the very first people in North America to contract covid.
Corrected. It's like they were first in line for the marked down bat cutlets in China.
Yeah, we literally have an entire world's worth of data. What is coming should surprise no one
Understood. This comes up a lot. States were largely left to develop their own metrics. NY has a detailed set of metrics. But anyone can feel free to start here:
I don't think anybody does. In my county in IL, since this began in March, .1% of our population has tested positive for COVID and .047% have died (77% of those associated with LTC facilities) and people here are still unsure what to do about schools in the fall.
Well, Florida is charging on ahead with school in the fall, come hell or high water(and since it's hurricane season, both are a possibility). This seems like a bad idea to me, but what do I know? I've only got 3 kids of elementary school age.
I'm sorry, I really am. I feel like Florida is literally making every conceivable mistake possible right now and I feel for all the residents. FL makes up 40% of my territory for work, I probably spend 3-5 weeks there a year, I adore the state, I'd love to move there one day, and so this makes me sick from afar.
My kids go to a private school which is fairly small, so they'll have a better chance at avoiding it, but I hear you. Florida's an absolutely gorgeous state, and by and large, the people are friendly, too. It's just the crazy ones that spend too long in the Sun and get their brains fried.
Exactly. But what's interesting, and at least to me what's encouraging, is that there is literally a blueprint now for what definitely works to beat down the transmission rate to "acceptable" levels. Not a blueprint for what "might work" which is what we were dealing with at first, but a blueprint for what actually works. It's now proven, not speculative. We learned. It's up to us to take those learnings and beat this thing down.
At least Hillsborough County (Tampa) is requiring masks on all students, teachers, staff, and parents.
Good spot for me to jump in...
I got it December 25th, I'm sure of it!
