ffweasel
Weasel Power
Thanks. I have heard of the term, but never knew what it was.your power is cut off in 15-30 minute increments every 4/5 hours.
And it has begun.. Our power is now out.
Last edited by a moderator:
Thanks. I have heard of the term, but never knew what it was.your power is cut off in 15-30 minute increments every 4/5 hours.
Our power just went down again. Took a dozen pulls to fire up the generator this time, it was covered in 4-5 inches of snow.no outages yet. I’m actually out in Cedar Park. Hearing there could be some rolling blackouts tonight or tomorrow though.
I’m in Austin as well. I’m freezing. Wearing layers and multiple blankets.Been without electricity since 2am. It’s 9 degrees here in Austin. Let’s hope they turn it back on before too long.
I don’t understand what is going on. They said there were going to be rotations that lasted about 40 minutes. That was 5 hours ago.I’m in Austin as well. I’m freezing. Wearing layers and multiple blankets.
Ah-ha, was not aware. Thanks Life is different up here where we always get all 4 seasons.And 90% or more of homes have electric heat.
Scary. Take care.I’m in Austin as well. I’m freezing. Wearing layers and multiple blankets.
No. The electric heat we refer to is generally heat pump and/or electric strips as part of the HVAC system. Designed really to take the chill off and heat the house in an extreme emergency but not really for comfort.Do you guys in the southern states have electric baseboard heat? Space heaters? The concept of electric heat is pretty foreign to me. Presumably everybody has electric heat over gas because it's cheaper to install and not needed often?
That’s the part I didn’t realizeAnd 90% or more of homes have electric heat.
This boggles my mind. Parts of Texas are only 10 degrees warmer than Minneapolis. The whole dang country is freezing.@JohnHonore: Temperatures across Texas as of 8 am CST. This map is amazing. -13°F in Dumas. -10°F at Amarillo. Widespread single-digit readings. No part of the state is above 25°F - much less freezing! #TXwx https://twitter.com/JohnHonore/status/1361320947622510598/photo/1
Hang in there guys. It is always kind of a joke up here when one of the southern states gets a cold spell. People are like "meh! It snows here all the time. Sissies!" What they don't realize is the things we take for granted like a two stage high efficiency gas furnace is not used there. A fleet of snow plow drivers who are used to running for blizzards? Not there. Without the infrastructure in place to handle the extreme weather... it is a serious issue.No. The electric heat we refer to is generally heat pump and/or electric strips as part of the HVAC system. Designed really to take the chill off and heat the house in an extreme emergency but not really for comfort.
Space heaters are a whole 'nother issue. Usually during these cold snaps those become a leading cause of death either from accidental house fires or carbon monoxide poisoning. So I cringe when I hear those get suggested.
Most central gas heat systems still require electric blowers to distribute the heat through the house.Ugh, hope you guys are doing ok. One thing I definitely didn't appreciate until you all explained it was that you have electric heat. With the grid not being able to keep up and the rolling black outs, that can cause real problems. If our gas ever stopped flowing we'd be hosed. Pipes freezing is my biggest fear when it gets cold, hopefully you guys don't have to deal with that. 24 hours and we should be past the worst of it, hopefully you can make it that long.
Just like how when Texans mock Yankees struggling in heat waves when most of them don't have air conditioning?Hang in there guys. It is always kind of a joke up here when one of the southern states gets a cold spell. People are like "meh! It snows here all the time. Sissies!" What they don't realize is the things we take for granted like a two stage high efficiency gas furnace is not used there. A fleet of snow plow drivers who are used to running for blizzards? Not there. Without the infrastructure in place to handle the extreme weather... it is a serious issue.
True. We have radiant heat and the boiler still requires electricity. But either way, the cold isn't likely to cause issues with the electric grid here since we're not using the electric to directly heat things.Most central gas heat systems still require electric blowers to distribute the heat through the house.
According to ERCOT, they’re down 30,000 MW of capacity. That’s incredible.The lack of information from the Governor, Mayor, City Council, Austin Energy, State energy, etc is pretty stunning.
They seem to be keeping with the “rolling blackouts” lie.
Right. I understand the need for rolling blackouts. But I highly doubt the plan was to keep some areas down for 7.5 hours (and counting) at a time.According to ERCOT, they’re down 30,000 MW of capacity. That’s incredible.
Are you a consultant currently texting with a team member about this exact topic? LOL. Buddy of mine is worried about the same thing.So, I use a wholesale electric provider in Houston. Loved them. For the past 18 months or so my all in electricity price has been about $0.08 /kWh. Their ap let’s me see how much juice I’m using and the wholesale price I’m paying. I don’t normally check it and they are great at emailing with potential price surges predominately in the summer. So yeah it occasionally will spike to 25, 30, 35 cents per kWh so you watch your electric use during peak periods. Pretty simple stuff to help lower costs and level off demand.
Last Thursday I got an alert that with cold temperatures expect price surges. Ok no big deal. I’m at the office all day and we don’t use that much power during the day on a weekday so I don’t think much of it. Friday I get another email with price surges so I take a look at the ap and pricing is about $2.50/kWh. Wtf. From February 1st - 10th I average 30kwh per day and my daily price is about $0.75 per day. On Thursday my electric cost 22 bucks for the day. On Friday it was another 20 bucks for the day. I wake up Saturday morning and me price per kWh was $8.00 I had a few errands to run and told the family do not use any electricity that day. But ffs at that price and normal weekend usage I’d be paying over 200 bucks for the day. I got home and my provider sent an urgent email strongly suggesting to change energy provider immediately. I did. They also called and texted me to tell me the same.
Thankfully my provider was able to switch out on Saturday. Wholesale electric cost is currently showing at $9 kWh and not expected to go below $7 for at least the next 12 hours.
From my limited understanding the plan was obviously to have about 40 minute rollovers, but they ended up not having enough power to turn us back on and roll it elsewhere.Right. I understand the need for rolling blackouts. But I highly doubt the plan was to keep some areas down for 7.5 hours (and counting) at a time.
I think that’s right. rolling blackouts work if you’re 10-20% short of needed capacity. if they’re missing 30GW of 70GW, I don’t think it works.From my limited understanding the plan was obviously to have about 40 minute rollovers, but they ended up not having enough power to turn us back on and roll it elsewhere.
I’m making some hot cocoa.
Really? I've never bothered to look at any data, but I'd have thought most of us have AC. We have the infrastructure, but we ##### about the heat because we choose to live here to avoid it.Just like how when Texans mock Yankees struggling in heat waves when most of them don't have air conditioning?
You'd be surprised then. I lived in SF for 5 years and the lack of AC was brutal for the one month a year in the Bay (south bay especially) where it was basically as hot as TX summer.Really? I've never bothered to look at any data, but I'd have thought most of us have AC. We have the infrastructure, but we ##### about the heat because we choose to live here to avoid it.
Are you saying the entire state of Texas is missing 40%+ of its power supply?I think that’s right. rolling blackouts work if you’re 10-20% short of needed capacity. if they’re missing 30GW of 70GW, I don’t think it works.
We're using the stovetop for pancakes this morning. Had to use a grill lighter to light them though. But yes it’s pretty miserable. Wife works at a hotel so depending on how long this goes on we may go that route as well.Been without power since 2:20 other than a few intermittent 3 min power sessions (yes, 3 min of power, then right back off). No way to cook. Freezing. I hedged my bet and made a hotel reservation since they have power. We can check in at 3. No coffee, peanut butter on bread for breakfast. No idea what lunch will be. Just about as miserable as we could possibly be. And having to listen to this rolling blackout load of garbage is just a slap in the face.
here’s an interesting thread - https://twitter.com/cohan_ds/status/1361346284230234112?s=21Are you saying the entire state of Texas is missing 40%+ of its power supply?
Thanks for that thread. The first thing I found when I started reading about this was the fossil fuel peeps blaming solar and wind. Sounded semi-plausible and made me want to learn more, but I guess the limitations of wind in this kind of weather were planned for, and solar is exceeding expected supply ATM. It's mostly an infrastructure thing I guess.here’s an interesting thread - https://twitter.com/cohan_ds/status/1361346284230234112?s=21
not sure if it’s 40%, but it’s more than 30%.
My BIL/SIL are in Austin. Been wo power since 2am. And their pipes are frozen, no running water. They do have a gas stove/cooktop. They are boiling snow for water.Been without electricity since 2am. It’s 9 degrees here in Austin. Let’s hope they turn it back on before too long.
sounds like they have a minimal amount of baseload contracts and have been living off of buying power at market prices in the spot/day market. Great when there is excess. Nasty introduction to real life market demand pricing. Sorry man - that sucks hard.So, I use a wholesale electric provider in Houston. Loved them. For the past 18 months or so my all in electricity price has been about $0.08 /kWh. Their ap let’s me see how much juice I’m using and the wholesale price I’m paying. I don’t normally check it and they are great at emailing with potential price surges predominately in the summer. So yeah it occasionally will spike to 25, 30, 35 cents per kWh so you watch your electric use during peak periods. Pretty simple stuff to help lower costs and level off demand.
Last Thursday I got an alert that with cold temperatures expect price surges. Ok no big deal. I’m at the office all day and we don’t use that much power during the day on a weekday so I don’t think much of it. Friday I get another email with price surges so I take a look at the ap and pricing is about $2.50/kWh. Wtf. From February 1st - 10th I average 30kwh per day and my daily price is about $0.75 per day. On Thursday my electric cost 22 bucks for the day. On Friday it was another 20 bucks for the day. I wake up Saturday morning and me price per kWh was $8.00 I had a few errands to run and told the family do not use any electricity that day. But ffs at that price and normal weekend usage I’d be paying over 200 bucks for the day. I got home and my provider sent an urgent email strongly suggesting to change energy provider immediately. I did. They also called and texted me to tell me the same.
Thankfully my provider was able to switch out on Saturday. Wholesale electric cost is currently showing at $9 kWh and not expected to go below $7 for at least the next 12 hours.
Yes. In this case probably roughly 3 times the demand than a heat wave.- Is the demand for electricity the biggest issue when it gets absurdly cold in southern states?