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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (40 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
Went to bet this and then it disappeared. Along with all NCAA props.
JerseyToughGuys
Tough Guy
TheGooRoo
Footballguy
Frostillicus
Footballguy
JerseyToughGuys
Tough Guy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
So it was mentioned already but does it normally take the look to get payout from RB?
regularguy
Footballguy
Based on my experience, today is when I would expect to receive, but maybe closing on a Monday instead of Sunday has delayed things a bit.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
yeah not really sure, but starting to read more and more that they think NE will come out trying to run at least
In December, I got a tracking # 12 days after month closed.
January month closed on the 13th, so it would appear that it's pretty normal. I did get an email on Wednesday saying that package would go out Thursday, but havent' seen anything since then (no tracking # either)
John Bender
Footballguy
Iowa's best player out for XRays.
We move on?
FML
We move on?
FML
John Bender
Footballguy
Tennis plays!
Kevin Anderson +250
Bernard Tomic +250
Andreas Seppi +115
I don't so much love the matchups, but I love the lines we're getting for these matchups.
Good luck!
Kevin Anderson +250
Bernard Tomic +250
Andreas Seppi +115
I don't so much love the matchups, but I love the lines we're getting for these matchups.
Good luck!
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Ref: my cash came in the mail unannounced yesterday. Not complaining obviously, but it's probably too late.
John Bender
Footballguy
Sorry about Iowa for those who tailed
Woodbury sucked and White got hurt
Kentucky tho! amiright?!?!
Woodbury sucked and White got hurt
Kentucky tho! amiright?!?!
The Ref
Footballguy
NCAA props show up now.
Just didn't want me to bet the 2u play?
Just didn't want me to bet the 2u play?
John Bender
Footballguy
BYU went to 5.5 to 3.5
John Bender
Footballguy
Adding GTown -1.5
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Both SEA and NE had 3 roughing the passer penalties in 18 games each this year. No RTP penalty is -150.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
All Melo unders.
Peyton Marino
Footballguy
Can we talk hoodies for a second? What are the chances BB wears a Red hoodie? Grey hoodie is -145 at SB.ag, while Blue is +180 at sportsbetting (+175 at bovada). Red hoodie isn't even listed at SB.ag, and it's +700 at the others.
Not surprisingly, there is a google docs spreadsheet that tracks BB's historical hoodie wear. The first thing that jumped out at me is that he rocked the Red hoodie in a Super Bowl before (2007), but they lost that game (though BB doesn't exactly strike me as superstitious).
Now if we look at the recent trend, he went Blue 8, Grey 5 (no hoodie in the remaining 3) for the 2014 regular season. It's worth noting here, though, that Grey outnumbered Blue 5-1 after their week 10 bye. BUT, he's rocked the BLUE for the last three weeks, including the playoffs, where Blue is currently 2-0. So, going back through previous playoffs runs, the 2011 season is particularly compelling, when he rocked the Grey for the entirety of the playoffs (3-0). Going back to 2004 and 2006, he did the same (Grey 3-0). To me, the interesting thing is not that he went all Grey, but rather that he chose a color and stuck with it. So, being that he's gone all Blue so far in the playoffs, I'm inclined to think he sticks with that for the Super Bowl. The wrench in that analysis, of course, is the 2007 season when he went Grey hoodie, blue WINTER JACKET, Red hoodie. Just when you think you've got this guy figured out...
Anyways, I'm leaning Blue at +180, considering playing Grey -145 and Blue +180 to potentially lock in some profits (though Red is still a possibility). Any thoughts/things I've missed?
No hoodie is specified as no action on Bovada, but no distinction is made on SB, so that's worth noting as well.
Not surprisingly, there is a google docs spreadsheet that tracks BB's historical hoodie wear. The first thing that jumped out at me is that he rocked the Red hoodie in a Super Bowl before (2007), but they lost that game (though BB doesn't exactly strike me as superstitious).
Now if we look at the recent trend, he went Blue 8, Grey 5 (no hoodie in the remaining 3) for the 2014 regular season. It's worth noting here, though, that Grey outnumbered Blue 5-1 after their week 10 bye. BUT, he's rocked the BLUE for the last three weeks, including the playoffs, where Blue is currently 2-0. So, going back through previous playoffs runs, the 2011 season is particularly compelling, when he rocked the Grey for the entirety of the playoffs (3-0). Going back to 2004 and 2006, he did the same (Grey 3-0). To me, the interesting thing is not that he went all Grey, but rather that he chose a color and stuck with it. So, being that he's gone all Blue so far in the playoffs, I'm inclined to think he sticks with that for the Super Bowl. The wrench in that analysis, of course, is the 2007 season when he went Grey hoodie, blue WINTER JACKET, Red hoodie. Just when you think you've got this guy figured out...
Anyways, I'm leaning Blue at +180, considering playing Grey -145 and Blue +180 to potentially lock in some profits (though Red is still a possibility). Any thoughts/things I've missed?
No hoodie is specified as no action on Bovada, but no distinction is made on SB, so that's worth noting as well.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Wall 18/1 highest scorer. Love this bet. (Bovada)
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Frostillicus
Footballguy
Bovada: Dawson (msu) o 9r
Frostillicus
Footballguy
sportsbetting: Young (ore) o 26.5p+r+a
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Frostillicus
Footballguy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
26-1 at 5dimes... all over those oddsI'm seeing 12-1 MVP, 9-1 first TD.
will do. i'm finishing up going through all the pages right now. will be up shortlycould you post your google link in your sig so easy to find
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Nice elbow to the head
I can't remember last years game well, but I do remember Manning making a big deal about taking it seriously. Haven't heard anything about it this year, so could have been a flavor of the day thing.
18:1 at sportsbook26-1 at 5dimes... all over those oddsI'm seeing 12-1 MVP, 9-1 first TD.
all of them?
(NY @ CHR) - Total Points - Carmelo Anthony (NY)
Must play for action.
7:05p
Over24½
(-130)o
(EVEN)u
Under
(NY @ CHR) - Total Rebounds and Assists - Carmelo Anthony (NY)
Must play for action.
7:05p
Over10
(-115)o
(-115)u
Under
(NY @ CHR) - Total Made 3 Point Shots - Carmelo Anthony (NY)
Must play for action.
7:05p
Over2
(-110)o
(-120)u
Under
(NY @ CHR) - Total Made Free Throw Shots - Carmelo Anthony (NY)
Must play for action.
7:05p
Over5½
(-115)o
(-115)u
Under
(NY @ CHR) - Total Points Rebounds and Assists - Carmelo Anthony (NY)
Must play for action.
7:05p
Over34½
(-115)o
(-115)u
Undersome decent odds at SB if you think he's gonna have a huge day:I'm seeing 12-1 MVP, 9-1 first TD.
L Blount Over 100 Receiving + Rushing Yards +200
L Blount Over 100 Rushing Yards +300
L Blount Over 125 Receiving + Rushing Yards +550
L Blount Over 125 Rushing Yards +900
L Blount Over 150 Receiving + Rushing Yards +1100
L Blount Over 150 Rushing Yards +2000
L Blount Over 175 Receiving + Rushing Yards +3000
L Blount Over 175 Rushing Yards +7500
L Blount Over 20 Receiving Yards +350
L Blount Over 30 Receiving Yards +900
L Blount Over 40 Receiving Yards +3000
L Blount Over 75 Rushing Yards +130
L Blount to Have 18 or More Rushing Attempts +175
L Blount to Have 20 or More Rushing Attempts +300
L Blount to Have 23 or More Rushing Attempts +600
L Blount to Have 25 or More Rushing Attempts +1400
L Blount to Record 3 or More Receptions +300
L Blount to Record 4 or More Receptions +900
L Blount to Record 5 or More Receptions +1800
L Blount to Score 2 or More TD's +600
L Blount to Score 3 or More TD's +5000
L Blount to Score 4 or More TD's +15000
L Blount to Score a TD and New England Patriots Wins Game +240
L Willson to Score a TD and Seattle Seahawks Wins Game +450
John Bender
Footballguy
Lot of UFC fights going on this afternoon/tonight.
Where's mo?
Where's mo?
Frostillicus
Footballguy
Bovada: Irvin (mich) u 2.5 made 3s
John Bender
Footballguy
When is GTown gonna play better?
OK guys - link is in my sig now. I went through all of the pages since last Sunday post entered what I could find. A few notes:
- Some things seemed more like it was posted for discussion vs. an actual lean, so I didn't post that
- There were times when people quoted others when the lean was being discussed, so if I entered the wrong username; forgive me...not my intention to give credit to the wrong person at all
- If you think i missed anything, or entered something I shouldn't have, let me know
John Bender
Footballguy
John Bender
Footballguy
Un####ingbelievable
How are you guys budgeting what your spending on props for the SB? During the regular season, I'd budget 1 prop unit to = .25 of a regular betting unit. Bumped it up to .5 for the playoffs b/c there were less to play.
I have no idea what to do for the SB. I've played two already for .5u, but I don't think I can keep that up. Any thoguhts?
I have no idea what to do for the SB. I've played two already for .5u, but I don't think I can keep that up. Any thoguhts?
