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Gen X President(s)? - A Poll (1 Viewer)

How Many Gen-X Presidents Will the US Have?

  • 0

    Votes: 2 5.1%

  • 1

    Votes: 11 28.2%

  • 2

    Votes: 20 51.3%

  • 3+

    Votes: 6 15.4%
  • Total voters
    39
oso diablo

oso diablo

Footballguy
Will America ever have a Gen X President? Or, are we going to skip straight from Hillary/Trump to Millennials?

Defining GenX as people born from 1965-1980 inclusive.

 
The largest recorded gap in Presidential birth years is 22 years between 1924 (Eisenhower & Bush I) and 1946 (Clinton I and Bush II).  The second largest is 18 years between 1890 (Eisenhower) and 1908 (LBJ).

The average gap dating back to Washington is 5 years.  If you move the start date up to the beginning of the 20th century, the average gap only increases to 6years.

I think it's likely that there will be a President born between 1965 and 1980.

:nerd:

 
Eephus said:
The largest recorded gap in Presidential birth years is 22 years between 1924 (Eisenhower & Bush I) and 1946 (Clinton I and Bush II).  The second largest is 18 years between 1890 (Eisenhower) and 1908 (LBJ).

The average gap dating back to Washington is 5 years.  If you move the start date up to the beginning of the 20th century, the average gap only increases to 6years.

I think it's likely that there will be a President born between 1965 and 1980.

:nerd:
Click to expand...
good info. 

what might make this different are the large demographic bubbles that are Boomers and Millennials, with GenX the trough "middle child" generation. 

i voted 1, and i think 0 is more likely than 2.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Walking Boot said:
This country's only hope is to start cycling in Carter Kids (1976-80) over and over again as many times as possible.
Click to expand...
Huh.  I guess this really is a thing.  This is probably why I never could remember which generation I was supposed to be in.  Interwebs says Gen X ends in the mid 70's, but Gen & starts in 1980.  Carter kids it is!

 
Gavin Newsom ('67) has a shot.  Former mayor of SF, current Lt. Governor of CA, but will run for Governor in '18.  Excellent communicator and telegenic.  Very liberal, but youth in this country trending that way.  By 2024, if he's Governor of CA and the Republicans put forth another crapfest candidate, I can see it happening.

 
Walking Boot said:
Oh, it definitely really is a thing. The more data that becomes available, it's pretty clear that the Carter Kids are pretty unique, and have a distinct place in American culture that positions them well for the future. Honestly we should skip over Gen X and the millennials as much as possible and shoehorn in Carter Kids until there's none left.
Click to expand...
Are we talking about Amy Carter or Jay Z & Beyonce's kids?

 
Eephus said:
The largest recorded gap in Presidential birth years is 22 years between 1924 (Eisenhower & Bush I) and 1946 (Clinton I and Bush II).  The second largest is 18 years between 1890 (Eisenhower) and 1908 (LBJ).
Click to expand...
Pedantically pointing out: Jimmy Carter was born in 1924 as well as Bush père.

 
pats3in4 said:
Gavin Newsom ('67) has a shot.  Former mayor of SF, current Lt. Governor of CA, but will run for Governor in '18.  Excellent communicator and telegenic.  Very liberal, but youth in this country trending that way.  By 2024, if he's Governor of CA and the Republicans put forth another crapfest candidate, I can see it happening.
Click to expand...
Step 1 done...won CA primary for governor this week and will be huge favorite in general election.

I didn't count on Trump winning 2016 in my previous post.  I thought HRC would be president in 2016 and run unapposed on the D side in 2020.  Trump's victory messes with the timeline.  I think the D who runs for POTUS in 2020 wins huge and will run unapposed on the D side in 2024.  I doubt Newsom waits until 2028 when he's 61 to run, so he might run in 2020. Might be too soon for him, depending on how a brief stint as CA governor is viewed.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
pats3in4 said:
Step 1 done...won CA primary for governor this week and will be huge favorite in general election.

I didn't count on Trump winning 2016 in my previous post.  I thought HRC would be president in 2016 and run unapposed on the D side in 2020.  Trump's victory messes with the timeline.  I think the D who runs for POTUS in 2020 wins huge and will run unapposed on the D side in 2024.  I doubt Newsom waits until 2028 when he's 61 to run, so he might run in 2020. Might be too soon for him, depending on how a brief stint as CA governor is viewed.
Click to expand...
Gavin will take a shot in 2020, along with Harris. will be an interesting race between sitting Governor and sitting Senator. 

 
pats3in4 said:
Gavin Newsom ('67) has a shot.  Former mayor of SF, current Lt. Governor of CA, but will run for Governor in '18.  Excellent communicator and telegenic.  Very liberal, but youth in this country trending that way.  By 2024, if he's Governor of CA and the Republicans put forth another crapfest candidate, I can see it happening.
Click to expand...
Now that stuff like affairs don't matter, he'd have a good shot.  

 
Quint said:
Gavin will take a shot in 2020, along with Harris. will be an interesting race between sitting Governor and sitting Senator. 
Click to expand...
No former SF city official will ever be elected to national office.

 
Eephus said:
No former SF city official will ever be elected to national office.
Click to expand...
I dunno. Folks in SF have pretty much forgiven Gavin for his “indescretions”. He’s got the charisma the voting public wants -  that demo is debatable of course - and he’s got the D vote of most  Mellenials (sp?) locked up in traditional “blue” states. Probably can flip a couple Purple too.  

 
Quint said:
I dunno. Folks in SF have pretty much forgiven Gavin for his “indescretions”. He’s got the charisma the voting public wants -  that demo is debatable of course - and he’s got the D vote of most  Mellenials (sp?) locked up in traditional “blue” states. Probably can flip a couple Purple too.  
Click to expand...
SF still symbolizes a lot of things the far right hate about America

 
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