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2017 Playoff Contest (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter jeaton6
- Start date
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
Haven't even checked if I survived but I had NYG in the Super Bowl so it's moot anyway. GL to everyone who survived.
cheese
Footballguy
Nice team. Looks like the "conservative stack" was the way to go. 10 SB players might give you a shot after 91. Good luck
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Ben Roethlisberger $36 20.85
LeVeon Bell $40 30.40
Antonio Brown $31 29.40
Eli Rogers $13 2.90
Jesse James $4 2.10
Aaron Rodgers $33 42.10
Jordy Nelson $25 2.30
Ty Montgomery $18 9.80
Davante Adams $18 26.50
Jared Cook $10 12.30
Julian Edelman $21 0.00
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL 128.40
CUTOFF 91.90
So far so good (although no Cobb was a definite mistake). Will be tough to advance this week, but doable if Edelman has a big game.
Ben Roethlisberger $36 20.85
LeVeon Bell $40 30.40
Antonio Brown $31 29.40
Eli Rogers $13 2.90
Jesse James $4 2.10
Aaron Rodgers $33 42.10
Jordy Nelson $25 2.30
Ty Montgomery $18 9.80
Davante Adams $18 26.50
Jared Cook $10 12.30
Julian Edelman $21 0.00
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TOTAL 128.40
CUTOFF 91.90
So far so good (although no Cobb was a definite mistake). Will be tough to advance this week, but doable if Edelman has a big game.
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rockaction
Footballguy
Rock Action
18
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Ben Roethlisberger $36
LeVeon Bell $40
Jesse James $4 2.10
Pittsburgh Steelers $15 11.00
Doug Baldwin $20
Jimmy Graham $15
Aaron Rodgers $33
Jordy Nelson $25 2.30
Ty Montgomery $18 9.80
Davante Adams $18
Jared Cook $10 12.30
Richard Rodgers $3 0.00
Mason Crosby $13 9.00
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TOTAL 156.05
CUTOFF 91.90
Looks like the above post has me just about covered if he makes it. Gonna need Crosby and Pittsburgh D to have a big day if I hope to win this. No Cobb was a huge mistake, and almost subbed him out for Rawls.
Dang.
eta* BTW, went with the post about the history of winners in the contest. Figured eleven might get me there.
18
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Ben Roethlisberger $36
LeVeon Bell $40
Jesse James $4 2.10
Pittsburgh Steelers $15 11.00
Doug Baldwin $20
Jimmy Graham $15
Aaron Rodgers $33
Jordy Nelson $25 2.30
Ty Montgomery $18 9.80
Davante Adams $18
Jared Cook $10 12.30
Richard Rodgers $3 0.00
Mason Crosby $13 9.00
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TOTAL 156.05
CUTOFF 91.90
Looks like the above post has me just about covered if he makes it. Gonna need Crosby and Pittsburgh D to have a big day if I hope to win this. No Cobb was a huge mistake, and almost subbed him out for Rawls.
Dang.
eta* BTW, went with the post about the history of winners in the contest. Figured eleven might get me there.
Last edited by a moderator:
Synthesizer
Footballguy
rustycolts
Footballguy
Dark Matter
Footballguy
Entry 106288
18
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sebastian Janikowski $6
Nick Novak $8
Andrew Franks $5
Chris Boswell $17
Matt Prater $5
Steve Hauschka $13
Robbie Gould $8
Aaron Rodgers $33
Christine Michael $5 4.70
Aaron Ripkowski $5 8.20
Jordy Nelson $25 2.30
Ty Montgomery $18 9.80
Davante Adams $18 26.50
Randall Cobb $5
Geronimo Allison $4 1.80
Jared Cook $10 12.30
Richard Rodgers $3 0.00
Mason Crosby $13 9.00
Cairo Santos $10
Stephen Gostkowski $15
Matt Bryant $12
Dan Bailey $11
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TOTAL 138.70
CUTOFF 91.90
Every Kicker and the Packers. 62pts from Kickers
Week 3 will be the toughest to get around just need to get lucky enough to keep #runningthetable
Go Pack!
18
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Sebastian Janikowski $6
Nick Novak $8
Andrew Franks $5
Chris Boswell $17
Matt Prater $5
Steve Hauschka $13
Robbie Gould $8
Aaron Rodgers $33
Christine Michael $5 4.70
Aaron Ripkowski $5 8.20
Jordy Nelson $25 2.30
Ty Montgomery $18 9.80
Davante Adams $18 26.50
Randall Cobb $5
Geronimo Allison $4 1.80
Jared Cook $10 12.30
Richard Rodgers $3 0.00
Mason Crosby $13 9.00
Cairo Santos $10
Stephen Gostkowski $15
Matt Bryant $12
Dan Bailey $11
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL 138.70
CUTOFF 91.90
Every Kicker and the Packers. 62pts from Kickers
Week 3 will be the toughest to get around just need to get lucky enough to keep #runningthetableGo Pack!
Entry 106288
18
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sebastian Janikowski $6
Nick Novak $8
Andrew Franks $5
Chris Boswell $17
Matt Prater $5
Steve Hauschka $13
Robbie Gould $8
Aaron Rodgers $33
Christine Michael $5 4.70
Aaron Ripkowski $5 8.20
Jordy Nelson $25 2.30
Ty Montgomery $18 9.80
Davante Adams $18 26.50
Randall Cobb $5
Geronimo Allison $4 1.80
Jared Cook $10 12.30
Richard Rodgers $3 0.00
Mason Crosby $13 9.00
Cairo Santos $10
Stephen Gostkowski $15
Matt Bryant $12
Dan Bailey $11
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TOTAL 138.70
CUTOFF 91.90
Every Kicker and the Packers. 62pts from Kickers
Go Pack!
Very interesting strategy. Will be curious to see how this works out.
Latavius Murray $10
Amari Cooper $9 3.00
Andre Holmes $2
Alfred Blue $4
Ryan Griffin $3
Kenyan Drake $2
Kenny Stills $7
Ben Roethlisberger $36
LeVeon Bell $40
Andre Roberts $2
Tanner McEvoy $3
Luke Willson $4
Paul Perkins $9
Roger Lewis $2
Jerell Adams $2 0.00
Aaron Rodgers $33
Aaron Ripkowski $5 8.20
Jordy Nelson $25 2.30
Ty Montgomery $18 9.80
Randall Cobb $5
Geronimo Allison $4 1.80
Albert Wilson $2
Justin Hardy $3
Levine Toilolo $2
Terrance Williams $7
Jason Witten $11
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TOTAL 184.65
CUTOFF 91.90
"Top 100" the first week for that unless trophy award. My strategy was to basically take 2 players from each team who were pretty cheap and could score random TD's that the stud's wouldn't get. Betting on Oakland to win week one might hurt me not to mention it appears I missed taking any pats...(whoops).
Oh well, I'm counting heavily on the Packers and Steelers (stars) so you can guess my SB. Pretty sure I lose this week though.
Amari Cooper $9 3.00
Andre Holmes $2
Alfred Blue $4
Ryan Griffin $3
Kenyan Drake $2
Kenny Stills $7
Ben Roethlisberger $36
LeVeon Bell $40
Andre Roberts $2
Tanner McEvoy $3
Luke Willson $4
Paul Perkins $9
Roger Lewis $2
Jerell Adams $2 0.00
Aaron Rodgers $33
Aaron Ripkowski $5 8.20
Jordy Nelson $25 2.30
Ty Montgomery $18 9.80
Randall Cobb $5
Geronimo Allison $4 1.80
Albert Wilson $2
Justin Hardy $3
Levine Toilolo $2
Terrance Williams $7
Jason Witten $11
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TOTAL 184.65
CUTOFF 91.90
"Top 100" the first week for that unless trophy award. My strategy was to basically take 2 players from each team who were pretty cheap and could score random TD's that the stud's wouldn't get. Betting on Oakland to win week one might hurt me not to mention it appears I missed taking any pats...(whoops).
Oh well, I'm counting heavily on the Packers and Steelers (stars) so you can guess my SB. Pretty sure I lose this week though.
godgers12
Footballguy
My first time doing this contest, first week had 185
LeVeon Bell $40
Russell Wilson $29
Doug Baldwin $20
Eli Manning $17
Odell Beckham Jr $19
Aaron Rodgers $33
Davante Adams $18 26.50
Randall Cobb $5
Tom Brady $34
Julian Edelman $21
Martellus Bennett $13 0.00
I didnt read any strat or anything when I picked but wantewd to go with a NE/GB superbowl, outside chance of SEA so backed that up as well. Honestly not sure if the team is good or bad haha.
LeVeon Bell $40
Russell Wilson $29
Doug Baldwin $20
Eli Manning $17
Odell Beckham Jr $19
Aaron Rodgers $33
Davante Adams $18 26.50
Randall Cobb $5
Tom Brady $34
Julian Edelman $21
Martellus Bennett $13 0.00
I didnt read any strat or anything when I picked but wantewd to go with a NE/GB superbowl, outside chance of SEA so backed that up as well. Honestly not sure if the team is good or bad haha.
Hawkeye21
Footballguy
Synthesizer
Footballguy
How so? No matter what combination of teams make it to the SB, there will be plenty of other contest entries that will have all of the same SB players plus about 4-6 additional players.
Hawkeye21
Footballguy
You're saying that if the Packers and Patriots are in the Super Bowl that there will be multiple teams that will have the same exact players or more players overall, no matter what? It's possible but I still think statistically he has a certain percent chance.
mphtrilogy
Footballguy
Here's my NE-GB loaded with a dash of L Bell
Code:
LeVeon Bell $40
Aaron Rodgers $33
Christine Michael $5 4.70
Jordy Nelson $25 2.30
Ty Montgomery $18 9.80
Davante Adams $18 26.50
Randall Cobb $5
Tom Brady $34
LeGarrette Blount $22
Dion Lewis $17 0.00
Chris Hogan $9 0.00
Malcolm Mitchell $8 0.00
Stephen Gostkowski $15 0.00
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TOTAL 107.10
CUTOFF 91.90
Captain Quinoa
Footballguy
Anyone go PIT-ATL?
Code:
NE-GB. Tough week will be this week with only 6 players. Need big weeks from Rodgers, Brady, and Wilson.
Seth Roberts $4
Clive Walford $4
Golden Tate $9
Marvin Jones $6
Russell Wilson $29
Doug Baldwin $20
Aaron Rodgers $33
Aaron Ripkowski $5 8.20
Ty Montgomery $18 9.80
Davante Adams $18 26.50
Randall Cobb $5
Geronimo Allison $4 1.80
Richard Rodgers $3 0.00
Tom Brady $34
Julian Edelman $21
Malcolm Mitchell $8 0.00
Martellus Bennett $13 0.00
Stephen Gostkowski $15 0.00
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TOTAL 150.90
CUTOFF 91.90
Tommy Collins
Footballguy
I would post my team, but I think it would be embarrassing as I probably have the fewest players.
Synthesizer
Footballguy
Hawkeye21
Footballguy
And there is zero chance, no matter what that it couldn't happen. No matter what, couldn't ever happen. I've seen a lot of odd things happen in my life, I've never seen anything so guaranteed in my life. Just saying, there's usually a slight chance for anything to happen, even a .001% chance.
apalmer
Footballguy
Hawkeye21
Footballguy
I'm sure there are more. It's not like I said there wouldn't be, I was just trying to say there's usually a very small percentage of a chance for anything to happen.
Isn't it slightly possible that the players he owns are the only ones that score points and lead to a tie? Once again, very unlikely but there's still that .001% chance. I know I'm nit picking but I just laugh when people say something has zero percent chance. I just watched Nevada Saturday night come back to win their basketball game after being down 14 points with just over a minute left in the game. I imagine their odds of winning were pretty close to zero but they pulled it off.
djjosee
Footballguy
Being Devil's Advocate ,,, but maybe the team above doesn't advance and the team in question does with Bell.
But I agree, very little change of success ...
I think you're too high. Add 4 or 5+ more zeros before the 1. I have all of his NE/GB players covered. I'm sure there are many more. His only chance would be that his players account for not only every point in the Super Bowl, but also every yard. There is probably a better chance that I'll be the Super Bowl MVP.
Hawkeye21
Footballguy
You're probably right but at least you admitted there was some kind of chance, be it minuscule. After looking at what some people have for their teams I don't think I'd have a shot at coming close to winning.
rustycolts
Footballguy
Last years winner only had 6 SB players as did most of the top 10.So there is a chance.Synthesizer said:
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/playoffcontest/2015/102130.php
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Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
I was surprised to see that when it was posted earlier, I'm pretty sure last year was an outlier in that regard (though the number of entries this year might make that the case again this year). However, there are always fewer SB players on the winning teams if the Super Bowl is a matchup between top seeds, because those entries needed to allocate additional money to players on other teams to get through wild card week. If a Wild Card team (like Green Bay) makes it, the winning entries will have 1-2 more SB players on them than they would otherwise. I think you'd need 8+ players in a NE-GB Super Bowl to have any kind of chance.
rustycolts
Footballguy
Yea Iggy I was surprised by that as well always thought you had to have at least 12 from the SB teams.I had 10 last season and finished 29th.I have 12 this year if it works out for me.I was just saying there is a chance with 6 because its happened before.In 2014 winners SB team had 12 but only 9 scored.
The Man With No Name
Footballguy
Last year the top 86 week 18 scorers didn't make it to the Super Bowl round
ourmanflint
Footballguy
ZWK said:
IMO you picked the SB teams right and if you make it there, you are a favorite. However, I'm guessing you don't make the cut next week.
Streetduck
Footballguy
I went Pitt / ATL but OBJ screwed me and I missed the cut by less than 4 points. Knew I should have went with Rogers over Eli/OBJ combo.
ourmanflint
Footballguy
Would like to see NE/DAL loaded teams posted. Just randomly viewing different teams in the 100-120 range, I see none that bet on the Cowboys. Lots of GB/NE teams. If you picked GB/NE you better have at least 8 and no Jordy Nelson.
rustycolts
Footballguy
This is mine.Not sure I can make it through next week.Really don't have a lot of fire power in my non SB team players.
https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/753348-2017-playoff-contest/?do=findComment&comment=19763745
ourmanflint
Footballguy
If you make it you will be tough. 12 SB players. To get there you'll need some budget players to come through.
Evilgrin 72
Distributor of Pain
One of those is me. I went all in on a Pittsburgh/Atlanta Super Bowl because I figured 2 Steelers could carry me through this week (which they did - barely and only because I removed Boswell and added Baldwin at the zero hour) and because I figured a lot of people might be heavy on Pats (especially) and Cowboys.Jayrok said:
A PIT/ATL Super Bowl is still kind of a long shot but if it happens, I'll have a real chance at a prize with Ben, Bell, Antonio, J. James, Hooper, Coates, Ryan, Julio, Gabriel, Devonta, and Tevin all playing in the SB.
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Evilgrin 72
Distributor of Pain
YepCaptain Quinoa said:
bizkliz
Footballguy
An ATL win will obviously sink me, as will another leveon-AB-Ben explosion, but as a Pittsburgher, that's a bitter pill I'm more than happy to swallow if it means advancing to play NE.
In hindsight, I honestly should have gone Steelers-Seahawks, but I assumed they'd be a highly rostered AFC finalist pick (behind only NE of course), so I went KC instead.
Good luck to all y'all
godgers12
Footballguy
lol no biggie I knew I didnt have enough players , was the first time doing this contest, live and learn, just like the other contest I have slowly gotten better over the past three years as well. I had the right idea picking two teams for the superbwl, just did not load up enough.
Ignoratio Elenchi
Footballguy
I wasn't going to download all the rosters but then I did. 
Player counts for still-alive, non-staff entries for each possible SB combo:
Edit: The column on the left shows the number of players, and the values in the table are the number of entries. So e.g. there are 10 live entries that have a 14 players from NE and GB combined.
Player counts for still-alive, non-staff entries for each possible SB combo:
Code:
Players NE_DAL NE_ATL NE_SEA NE_GB KC_DAL KC_ATL KC_SEA KC_GB PIT_DAL PIT_ATL PIT_SEA PIT_GB HOU_DAL HOU_ATL HOU_SEA HOU_GB
19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0
16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0
15 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 2 5 0 0 0 0
14 0 0 2 10 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 8 0 0 0 1
13 0 0 1 11 0 0 1 2 1 1 9 17 0 0 0 0
12 4 1 3 28 0 3 5 15 1 1 7 24 0 0 1 3
11 5 7 7 39 0 4 3 7 5 4 6 38 3 0 1 6
10 9 9 25 78 5 8 8 21 11 12 6 28 3 5 3 9
9 22 23 59 116 9 14 14 34 17 32 24 67 6 7 5 25
8 65 76 101 191 24 33 34 70 42 65 53 129 14 22 18 60
7 164 188 205 323 53 60 52 147 80 99 92 207 16 40 39 122
6 342 386 394 521 82 124 108 220 190 232 241 387 51 101 75 196
5 537 612 608 659 181 208 190 368 344 399 440 595 138 156 165 335
4 764 867 767 796 346 398 400 596 658 742 829 960 310 374 449 647
3 820 761 731 585 545 572 641 744 988 949 988 781 520 611 688 812
2 590 519 565 378 790 790 1020 921 986 867 835 547 913 851 984 973
1 275 190 296 156 769 715 820 480 472 411 342 169 952 827 799 495
0 406 364 239 112 1199 1074 705 369 208 189 125 36 1077 1009 776 319
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Captain Quinoa
Footballguy
you probably have me covered. I have Sanu and D Will where you have James, Hooper, Gabriel, Tevin
Kwai Chang Caine
Footballguy
Mine
This entry is still alive. 18 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LeVeon Bell $40 30.40 Aaron Rodgers $33 42.10 Aaron Ripkowski $5 8.20 Jordy Nelson $25 2.30 Davante Adams $18 26.50 Geronimo Allison $4 1.80 Mason Crosby $13 9.00 Green Bay Packers $12 6.00 Tom Brady $34 0.00 James White $11 0.00 Julian Edelman $21 0.00 Chris Hogan $9 0.00 Malcolm Mitchell $8 0.00 Stephen Gostkowski $15 0.00 Lance Dunbar $2 0.00 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL 99.00 CUTOFF 91.90
dotn th know why it formatted like that. Anyway, 13 packers and patriots plus bell and Dunbar LOL...
This entry is still alive. 18 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LeVeon Bell $40 30.40 Aaron Rodgers $33 42.10 Aaron Ripkowski $5 8.20 Jordy Nelson $25 2.30 Davante Adams $18 26.50 Geronimo Allison $4 1.80 Mason Crosby $13 9.00 Green Bay Packers $12 6.00 Tom Brady $34 0.00 James White $11 0.00 Julian Edelman $21 0.00 Chris Hogan $9 0.00 Malcolm Mitchell $8 0.00 Stephen Gostkowski $15 0.00 Lance Dunbar $2 0.00 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL 99.00 CUTOFF 91.90
dotn th know why it formatted like that. Anyway, 13 packers and patriots plus bell and Dunbar LOL...
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BassNBrew
Footballguy
Here are your rankings in terms Super Bowl picks...
NE-GB 1371
PIT-GB 915
NE-SEA 797
NE-ATL 690
NE-DAL 611
KC-GB 525
PIT-ATL 446
PIT-SEA 444
HOU-GB 424
PIT-DAL 347
KC-ATL 246
KC-SEA 227
HOU-ATL 175
KC-DAL 173
HOU-SEA 142
HOU-DAL 93
These are combos of teams that have 6 or more players from the two teams. KC-DAL was probably the value play.
NE-GB 1371
PIT-GB 915
NE-SEA 797
NE-ATL 690
NE-DAL 611
KC-GB 525
PIT-ATL 446
PIT-SEA 444
HOU-GB 424
PIT-DAL 347
KC-ATL 246
KC-SEA 227
HOU-ATL 175
KC-DAL 173
HOU-SEA 142
HOU-DAL 93
These are combos of teams that have 6 or more players from the two teams. KC-DAL was probably the value play.
BassNBrew
Footballguy
I would probably say zero chance. 1317 teams have 6 players plus players from NE-GB. 659 have exactly 6 and it's a safe bet that many haven't lost $36 in salary already. Given that Bell and Baldwin were two to the drivers in advancing last week, I'm sure many of those 659 have those two. There's a chance that his team is already covered.
BassNBrew
Footballguy
Code:
Obviously went Pit-Dal in the Super Bowl. Seems like it's the year of my least favorite team winning in pro sports so I went with that trend. Not sure I have enough to advance this week. Week 2 is always the tough one for me. Need NE not to blow up and Wilson to use his legs to have a chance. Also need a Sea win this week to have a shot. Caught a break with Allison coming into play. Will score 8 spots this week so there's a chance.
Clive Walford $4
Ben Roethlisberger $36 20.85
LeVeon Bell $40
Antonio Brown $31
Sammie Coates $4 0.00
Cobi Hamilton $4 2.00
Jesse James $4 2.10
Russell Wilson $29
Paul Richardson $7
Randall Cobb $5
Geronimo Allison $4
Richard Rodgers $3 0.00
Dak Prescott $25
Ezekiel Elliott $26
Cole Beasley $10 0.00
Terrance Williams $7 0.00
Jason Witten $11 0.00
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TOTAL 137.50
CUTOFF 91.90ourmanflint
Footballguy
I wasn't going to download all the rosters but then I did.
Player counts for still-alive, non-staff entries for each possible SB combo:
Edit: The column on the left shows the number of players, and the values in the table are the number of entries. So e.g. there are 10 live entries that have a 14 players from NE and GB combined.Code:Players NE_DAL NE_ATL NE_SEA NE_GB KC_DAL KC_ATL KC_SEA KC_GB PIT_DAL PIT_ATL PIT_SEA PIT_GB HOU_DAL HOU_ATL HOU_SEA HOU_GB 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 2 5 0 0 0 0 14 0 0 2 10 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 8 0 0 0 1 13 0 0 1 11 0 0 1 2 1 1 9 17 0 0 0 0 12 4 1 3 28 0 3 5 15 1 1 7 24 0 0 1 3 11 5 7 7 39 0 4 3 7 5 4 6 38 3 0 1 6 10 9 9 25 78 5 8 8 21 11 12 6 28 3 5 3 9 9 22 23 59 116 9 14 14 34 17 32 24 67 6 7 5 25 8 65 76 101 191 24 33 34 70 42 65 53 129 14 22 18 60 7 164 188 205 323 53 60 52 147 80 99 92 207 16 40 39 122 6 342 386 394 521 82 124 108 220 190 232 241 387 51 101 75 196 5 537 612 608 659 181 208 190 368 344 399 440 595 138 156 165 335 4 764 867 767 796 346 398 400 596 658 742 829 960 310 374 449 647 3 820 761 731 585 545 572 641 744 988 949 988 781 520 611 688 812 2 590 519 565 378 790 790 1020 921 986 867 835 547 913 851 984 973 1 275 190 296 156 769 715 820 480 472 411 342 169 952 827 799 495 0 406 364 239 112 1199 1074 705 369 208 189 125 36 1077 1009 776 319
Would love to see this after this week and the next but from looking at it this way, I can see I have little to no chance.
