GoBirds
Footballguy
As long as it’s not by anyone supportive of POTUS?I guess the take away is that an appropriate amount of trolling is allowed.
As long as it’s not by anyone supportive of POTUS?I guess the take away is that an appropriate amount of trolling is allowed.
If we all ignore the poster in question perhaps he’ll just go away.Very . No surprise, happens all the time. Some guys report sunshine , others report seemingly everything. Then they want to engage in discussion and are appalled when they are dismissed as fluff.
Like Steve Austin. Wonder if Trump has a bionic eye yet? That would be cool.They showed Trump at the Daytona 500 on the news. More Trump flags in the infield then American flags. The crowd went crazy when they played his 2016 campaign song you don’t always get what you want. No protesters or boos, he’s getting stronger.
Definitely wouldn’t engage or indulge him in any conversation. Problem is he’s like a tattletale in grammar school , imo. It’s like a hobby for him to report people he politically disagrees with , imo of courseIf we all ignore the poster in question perhaps he’ll just go away.
It would be for example, now this is strictly an example mind you, how pigeons treat a wounded pigeon with a broken leg. They leave it alone and eventually it just limps away and dies presumably.Definitely wouldn’t engage or indulge him in any conversation. Problem is he’s like a tattletale in grammar school , imo. It’s like a hobby for him to report people he politically disagrees with , imo of course
JB got popped? ####. Sucks.How so?
Mod shows up 10 minutes after Squiz, gives Bluto a suspension and you get just a warning for all your trolling. Seems like a normal day around here.
We get thinned out here quick. Loose one and we’re down 25% of the total supporters OnThis board.JB got popped? ####. Sucks.
They showed Trump at the Daytona 500 on the news. More Trump flags in the infield then American flags. The crowd went crazy when they played his 2016 campaign song you don’t always get what you want. No protesters or boos, he’s getting stronger.
Sounds like he is legally allowed to use these songs and it’s not the artists call.The Rolling Stones have repeatedly Asked Trump to quit using their song.
Just something to think about. Or don’t think. Your choice.
The song is about Maryanne Faithfull’s heroine addiction and her ability to manipulate people in order to score. He’s totally entitled to use it, the question is why people just blithely ignore the message.Sounds like he is legally allowed to use these songs and it’s not the artists call.
I doubt a lot of people know the original message of 50-year old songs. They apply certain lines of the song to today and enjoy the music.The song is about Maryanne Faithful’s heroine addiction and her ability to manipulate people in order to score. He’s totally entitled to use it, the question is why people just blithely ignore the message.
Is it now?The song is about Maryanne Faithfull’s heroine addiction and her ability to manipulate people in order to score. He’s totally entitled to use it, the question is why people just blithely ignore the message.
Well this sounds interesting...Harvard Law School professor emeritus Alan Dershowitz told Breitbart News Sunday this weekend that billionaire left-wing financier George Soros told then-President Barack Obama to investigate someone.
Dershowitz would not identify who, precisely, the target of the investigation was, but said that the name would soon emerge in in a lawsuit that had yet to be filed.
The revelation was so startling that this host had to double-check:
Q: But let me just ask you — you said that George Soros asked Barack Obama to have his Justice Department investigate somebody?
Dershowitz: We’re — that’s going to come out in a lawsuit in the near future. Yeah
Q: Wow, well, we look forward to hearing more about that new.
Dershowitz: That’s not unusual. That is not unusual. People whisper to presidents all the time. Presidents whisper to [the] Justice Department all the time. It’s very common. It’s wrong, whoever does it, but it’s common, and we shouldn’t think that it’s unique to any particular president. I have in my possession the actual 302 form [an FBI record of an interview], which documents this issue, and it will, at the right time, come out. But I’m not free to disclose it now because it’s a case that’s not yet been filed.
Also this...In addition, Dershowitz reflected on his experience in the impeachment trial of President Donald Trump, noting that his argument had been grotesquely distorted by CNN — so much so that he could, if he wanted to, sue the network.
CNN — and House impeachment managers — claimed Dershowitz said that the president can do whatever he wants to do, as long as he claims to have believed he was acting in the public interest. Dershowitz had specifically said that criminal-like behavior was indeed impeachable.
Oooof, that's the biggest But Trump! hot take I've heard in awhile. Frustration must be setting in.I doubt a lot of people know the original message of 50-year old songs. They apply certain lines of the song to today and enjoy the music.
Yep which stinks. And Noonan is on a long vacation. He could be on the Corona zombie cruise ship being turned away at every port.We get thinned out here quick. Loose one and we’re down 25% of the total supporters OnThis board.
Like I said. Nascar is 100% Trumpland.They showed Trump at the Daytona 500 on the news. More Trump flags in the infield then American flags. The crowd went crazy when they played his 2016 campaign song you don’t always get what you want. No protesters or boos, he’s getting stronger.
I think nobody will have a majority of the delegates heading into the convention. It’s pretty likely, IMO, that the two candidates with the most delegates will be Sanders and Bloomberg, who aren’t really Democrats.Biden dead.
There are many that will sit out rather than vote for Bloomberg.
Lots of people are convinced Socialism won't win.
Is the hope now Pete or Amy somehow get the nomination AND are capable of beating Trump?
I think this line at Obama is interesting because IIRC Obama was the first modern president to lose electoral votes and win. Trump has much less room (304-227, 77 / ~39 EV difference) than Obama did vs his first run (365-173, 192 / ~97 EV difference). Obama won 2012 by 126, so he lost 66 EVs after having been +2.1 at this point.Per 538: Since polling, 8 presidents ran for reelection after full first term. Net approval ratings on day 1121 for winners:
Losers:
- ...
- GWB +4.5
- BHO +2.1
Trump is -8.9. [which is his best standing in nearly three years]
- JEC +21.9 (hostages)
- GHWB -1.5
Agree with this. I do think both Pete or Amy could win but I agree with the betting markets that have Trump a slight favorite right now.Biden dead.
There are many that will sit out rather than vote for Bloomberg.
Lots of people are convinced Socialism won't win.
Is the hope now Pete or Amy somehow get the nomination AND are capable of beating Trump?
Republican's to win the presidency is -180 and Trump specifically at -170. The best (or worst) it's ever been. That's my point.Agree with this. I do think both Pete or Amy could win but I agree with the betting markets that have Trump a slight favorite right now.
I disagree about Bloomberg but that he isn’t out there talking is a huge red flag. He’s the media expert so he’s probably got it all plotted out but seems bad at the moment.
Bloomberg is the only guy favored head to head.With each passing day ahead of the 2020 United States presidential election, Donald Trump's odds to spend another four years in the White House continues to improve.
Don’t you think those odds come down when the Dems have one candidate? I think these odds reflect them crapping the bed and being all over the place.Republican's to win the presidency is -180 and Trump specifically at -170. The best (or worst) it's ever been. That's my point.
Oddsshark:
Bloomberg is the only guy favored head to head.
If Trump were to lose do we like Bloomberg better than the other old career politicians on the Left from a small business owner perspective?Republican's to win the presidency is -180 and Trump specifically at -170. The best (or worst) it's ever been. That's my point.
Oddsshark:
Bloomberg is the only guy favored head to head.
I do, simply because I believe Bloomberg is just saying what it takes to get elected. Take his stop and frisk reversal, it came only when he decided to run for President years later. Less than a year ago he is on tape saying he would never go on an apology tour like Joe Biden, yet here he is. I think if he got in office he's not going to be as anti-business as many of the others.If Trump were to lose do we like Bloomberg better than the other old career politicians on the Left from a small business owner perspective?
Currently, that's what the head to head odds represent. Bloomberg is the only one favored -105/+125. Pete or Bernie are +125/-105Don’t you think those odds come down when the Dems have one candidate? I think these odds reflect them crapping the bed and being all over the place.
Obama was at -220 in February 2012.Republican's to win the presidency is -180 and Trump specifically at -170.
I have no idea, haven't had the opportunity to hear him talk yet. I don't think he's on the stage Wednesday.If Trump were to lose do we like Bloomberg better than the other old career politicians on the Left from a small business owner perspective?
So you're saying bet on the favorite based on the favorite winning the Superbowl two years ago? Because last year Trump was about +450 at this point.Obama was at -220 in February 2012.
No, I’m not really good at that stuff.So you're saying bet on the favorite based on the favorite winning the Superbowl two years ago?
We’ll see. Unless there’s some disaster at the Dem Convention I’d expect these betting lines to tighten up. To close to 50/50 as the margin of victory is razor thin.Currently, that's what the head to head odds represent. Bloomberg is the only one favored -105/+125. Pete or Bernie are +125/-105
MT talks about a contested election in hopes of getting Pete or Amy the nomination. If Pete has to get it that way I suspect his odds go down.
Completely different set of horses in 2012. It would be hard to draw any conclusions there.No, I’m not really good at that stuff.
Some light reading for you.We’ll see. Unless there’s some disaster at the Dem Convention I’d expect these betting lines to tighten up. To close to 50/50 as the margin of victory is razor thin.
Trump has had his best month or so maybe over his whole 3 years but still has those unfavorable numbers that are locked in no matter what he does at this point.
Yeah like the article title says that could happen.
Of course it could. Right now it’s about 33% of a chance, and that’s baked into the odds. The difference being if it happens it goes to 100% baked in and I don’t think it’s a good thing by nature. And if Pete or someone else is picked by the superdelegates that isn’t the favorite you can’t convince me that’s a good thing for the Democrats or the odds.Yeah like the article title says that could happen.
Sanders versus everyone else. Sanders has the most rabid supporters.
I’m not an expert but the first thought that came to mind was Luke 1:39-44. Mary visits Elizabeth while Elizabeth is pregnant. When Mary greets Elizabeth the babe leaps in Elizabeth’s womb. The reference is to a baby. For what it’s worth.What verses would you say explicitly state God's view on abortion? I don't know of any where abortion is a major talking point, other than some dark prophesies in the OT about ripping babies from wombs.
Then there is Genesis 2.7 - "Then the Lord God formed a man from the dust of the ground and breathed into his nostrils the breath of life, and the man became a living being."
Without the breath of life, is a baby living? I'm not advocating for or against abortion and am personally against it and would never ask a woman to have one.
I’ll admit, while trump is riling up crowds at Daytona the dems are floundering around, no one gaining momentum. MT I believe keeps saying that the odds will even out once a candidate is picked, but when might that happen? Trump shows these large crowds over and over while the dems get blasted for “socialism” and have a bunch of candidates that all have question marks. Seriously, the last time we had a dem president the world didn’t end, and the country rebounded from some tough times, and regardless of who ends up there it will be more of the same. Trump, Warren, sanders, Biden, bill weld, the country will keep moving along. Doesn’t really matter imo. But right now if you asked the general public two questions you’d get these answers:Biden dead.
There are many that will sit out rather than vote for Bloomberg.
Lots of people are convinced Socialism won't win.
Is the hope now Pete or Amy somehow get the nomination AND are capable of beating Trump?
I don't think MT has been saying that, Tim has. The head to head lines should be exactly where they are today, if today there were less or only one candidate. Obviously if Amy (+200) drops out then Trump's overall odds decrease, if Pete (+125) drops out then Trump's overall odds increase. That's how the math works.I’ll admit, while trump is riling up crowds at Daytona the dems are floundering around, no one gaining momentum. MT I believe keeps saying that the odds will even out once a candidate is picked, but when might that happen? Trump shows these large crowds over and over while the dems get blasted for “socialism” and have a bunch of candidates that all have question marks. Seriously, the last time we had a dem president the world didn’t end, and the country rebounded from some tough times, and regardless of who ends up there it will be more of the same. Trump, Warren, sanders, Biden, bill weld, the country will keep moving along. Doesn’t really matter imo. But right now if you asked the general public two questions you’d get these answers:
Whats the first word that comes to mind when I say Bernie Sanders? (Socialism likely)
Are you ready for “socialist” policies? (Likely pretty uneasy about “socialism.”)
This is the unified voice of the Republican Party right here- dem=socialist, socialist=evil. And it’s effective. And you see trump at Daytona and everyone cheers, it’s hard to imagine the odds evening out with whatever time is left after the dems choose a candidate.
Pete is the most inspirational I think of the moderate Dems. Amazing speaker, good story. Young, vet.Of course it could. Right now it’s about 33% of a chance, and that’s baked into the odds. The difference being if it happens it goes to 100% baked in and I don’t think it’s a good thing by nature. And if Pete or someone else is picked by the superdelegates that isn’t the favorite you can’t convince me that’s a good thing for the Democrats or the odds.
It’ll happen by the end of the convention, but I think you’re confusing me with timscochet.MT I believe keeps saying that the odds will even out once a candidate is picked, but when might that happen?
If you think that then you should take the field at +160 now while you can get it.If Trump were to quit Twitter for the summer do his rallies in key spots, the economy keeps strong stock market just holds steady it will be 50/50, down to a few states making all the difference.
Right. If anyone were confident of that they could buy their ticket today on the generic D at good + odds and hedge it out later.It’ll happen by the end of the convention, but I think you’re confusing me with timscochet.
+135 on BovadaRight. If anyone were confident of that they could buy their ticket today on the generic D at good + odds and hedge it out later.
Current on Bovada Trump -$170 but republican party -$180, which is interesting, and dem party +$135Now on Bovada Trump -$185 but republican party -$190, which is interesting, and dem party +$145
What problem is that? Basing your entire POTUS election strategy around the popular vote?Current on Bovada Trump -$170 but republican party -$180, which is interesting, and dem party +$135
They added a new bet though:
Which party will win the popular vote in the 2020 Presidential Election?
Democrats -$165 Republicans +$125
Most, if not all of us, know why these two bets are seemingly contradictory but aren't. IMO highlights a major problem with the POTUS election.
The numbers make sense and we know as it stands today that a divergence in the electoral college results when compared to the popular vote results more likely favors Trump. Even though Bush beat Gore in 2000 in similar fashion, leading up to that election the odds of such a split actually more favored Gore to be the beneficiary of such a split. Over time those type chances can flip flop.Current on Bovada Trump -$170 but republican party -$180, which is interesting, and dem party +$135
They added a new bet though:
Which party will win the popular vote in the 2020 Presidential Election?
Democrats -$165 Republicans +$125
Most, if not all of us, know why these two bets are seemingly contradictory but aren't. IMO highlights a major problem with the POTUS election.