sihaokills
Footballguy
I like your reasons but White is worth more than Matthew no matter what situationHere is my thinking.1. White scored 201.2 fantasy points in my league's scoring system last year. I view that as a career year. I expect him to decline somewhat this year and moreso next year and beyond as Jones gets more targetsWith 3 flex positions it's not that bad.Ideally the flex will be filled with 3 solid rb's who can get 1,600 total yards/10+ td's. Mathews could easily become that type. Roddy is great but if he can afford it and wants to shoot to be dominant it's a decent risk. Also roddy is almost 30 so it isn't like he's giving up a Calvin type who could be dominant for 8+ more years.I don't get why???10 team non-PPR. Start 1 QB, 1 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 K, 1 D/ST, 3 Flex (QB/RB/WR/TE, max 2 QBs, 3 RBs, 4 WRs). Last season was inaugural season.
My team was #1 in points but did not win the title. My roster:
QB - Rodgers, Romo, Freeman
RB - McFadden, M. Bush, Deangelo, Stewart, Goodson, Grant, P. Thomas
WR - Calvin, Roddy, Nicks, Avery, James Jones, Tate
TE - Finley, Cook
K - Kaeding
D/ST - Giants
No 2011 rookie draft picks (traded for Finley after he got hurt last year).
The other team was the worst team in the league last year. His roster:
QB - Brees, Bradford, Cutler, McCoy
RB - Mathews, Best, Spiller, D. Brown, Portis, Woodhead
WR - Andre Johnson, Dez, Lance Moore, Randy Moss, Roy Williams
TE - Cooley, Gronkowski, Hernandez
K - J. Brown
D/ST - Jets
Has 1.1 and 2.1 rookie draft picks.
I just traded Roddy White for Ryan Mathews. I figured with Calvin and Nicks still to start at WR, I could shore up my RB position, plus I could sell
the soon to be 30 year old White at his highest point while buying low on the 24 year old Mathews. I figure in non-PPR Mathews may outscore White as soon as this year, and definitely will outscore him over the next three years and beyond.
Thoughts?
2. Mathews was a rookie dealing with a high ankle sprain last year that led him to miss 4 games and be less than 100% in other games. Still, projecting his production from last year to 16 games results in 904/9 rushing and 193/0 receiving... that's 164 fantasy points. However, that rushing production is only based on 211 carries; I feel pretty certain that Mathews will get at least 240 carries... which could translate to more than 1000 rushing yards. And his 22 catches last year were with Sproles (59 catches) on the roster... he should be good for 40 catches this year... even at his pedestrian 6.6 ypr rate from last year, that is more than 250 receiving yars. So... 1250 total yards and 9 TDs is conservative but is 179 fantasy points... odds are that is comparable or better than White this year.
3. White is about to turn 30, and Mathews has just turned 24.
4. I can start 2 QBs (Rodgers and Romo), 3 RBs (3 of McFadden, Stewart, Deangelo, Mathews), and 2 WRs (Calvin, Nicks) [plus Finley, Kaeding, and Giants or waiver D/ST]. So I'm thinking I'm a contender this year without White and I am better off beyond this year.
I don't post all this to say I have all the answers, but rather to explain my thinking... interested in other opinions.
	
 
That was my immediate reaction also.