Also depends what he plans to do. He could be playing for the future, and keep trading those picks down for 2014 1sts. Picks 35 and 38 should get him about 5-6 more 2014 1sts if he wants, in which case be woulda dealt that top pick for like 6-7 2014 1sts and own the draft next year.
Or he can try to deal his two 2014 1sts for a pick in the 4th if he can get it, in which case he traded a top three pick and his probable late 2014 1st for a 3rd and two 4ths.
Sure, but the initial deal was still off, value wise.
This is an interesting one. From a theoretical perspective, probably about equal value in my mind. The way the actual players shake out this year though, you are really taking a leap of faith. If you are building for the future in that trade down, who are you taking at #35 and #38? Gio and Josh Gordon? Certainly possible that package along with a future 1st pans out, but seems a little light in my mind. If you could move 35 + 38 for 5-6 future 1sts, that would be excellent value in my mind this year. Thinking 4 is closer to market value. So the question is, do you give up Calvin/Martin for 5 basically random future 1sts?
I think there is an argument for 5 random firsts.
If that is the plan - the initial deal still should have been for 2/3. Then trade back from 2, then 3, then 4, then 5, etc.
In my opinion, and my perception of market value, this one is off, regardless of what ends up happening with the acquired assets. I think 1.12/3rd is closer to fair value than 3/4+1st. That's pretty bad, and the worst deal for a top 2 pick I have seen.
Prior to that, it was 1.03 (maybe it was 1.04) for 2x 3rds+.