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*2014-15 Hot Stove Thread: The Padres won it I guess (1 Viewer)

Billy Butler to Oakland 3/30
What the ####?
There's been some speculation that the signing was about lineup diversity. But $10m/yr seems like a lot to spend just because the rest of the lineup hits fly balls.
You can never have too few ground balls, especially with a big slow dude.
To be fair, Butler has only led in the league in Double Plays Grounded Into twice.

How nice are the Cracker Barrels in Oakland?

 
Butler is only 28, and up until last year he has always gotten on base at a very good clip.

but, ffs 24 home runs in his last 1,271 plate appearances for a ####### DH???? A $10mil a year DH?

 
I respect the A's front office, maybe too much, so I always give them the benefit of the doubt on moves that look strange on the surface. The team has to live with payroll restrictions and probably is in a position where they need to be competitive now.

I wonder if the Butler contract is some kind of rejection of the valuation of defense and baserunning. The Beanes might be looking past what Butler can't do and focusing on what he can. They could also view the three year term as some kind of contractual sweet spot between overpaying for a shorter deal and getting stuck with risk and declining performance on the far end of a long deal.

Or maybe it's that they have a $30M gift card that they needed to spend before Black Friday :shrug:

 
There's always the possibility that they believe they can make a correction or two that will bring back the 2012 Billy Butler, which would be worth every penny of that contract and then some.

 
One does arch an eyebrow when Beane (or, say, somebody like Friedman) does this as opposed to someone like Sabean or Amaro. That doesn't mean it's necessarily good, but it's probably worth trying to delve into to see what Beane's trying to do.

What Sarris' article (whom I really like) ignores is that for a payroll-constrained team like Oakland, you need more bang from your FA dollar to be competitive. Just having a guy be "worth 30 million" by league-wide standards probably isn't going to be good enough.

 
What Sarris' article (whom I really like) ignores is that for a payroll-constrained team like Oakland, you need more bang from your FA dollar to be competitive. Just having a guy be "worth 30 million" by league-wide standards probably isn't going to be good enough.
My second favorite Eno

 
One does arch an eyebrow when Beane (or, say, somebody like Friedman) does this as opposed to someone like Sabean or Amaro. That doesn't mean it's necessarily good, but it's probably worth trying to delve into to see what Beane's trying to do.
Which is pretty dumb. How many WS wins do these geniuses have? How about a "lousy" GM like RAJ? Maybe it's time these 'moneyball' types get their noses out of the stat sheets and watch real baseball. Butler can have all these fancy stats behind him, but he's never lead his team to the postseason. They made it this year in spite of Butler. Dude is a fat slob who lacks the grit and intensity needed to carry his teams to victory.

 
How did Venditte never get a shot with the Yankees? He's 29, but he's been a pretty solid contributor to the Yanks' minor league system throughout the years.

 
How did Venditte never get a shot with the Yankees? He's 29, but he's been a pretty solid contributor to the Yanks' minor league system throughout the years.
I think baseball guys have a natural prejudice against oddballs like Venditte. Sidearmers and knuckleballers have faced similar challenges in getting promoted. There seems to be a tendency for people to say "I know he succeeded at N level but wait until the hitters in (N+1) get a shot at him".

Venditte is an extreme soft tosser. Barry Zito might beat him in a game of dodgeball. I don't think you have to throw 100mph to succeed in baseball but it sure helps.

 
Hilts said:
"Good said:
One does arch an eyebrow when Beane (or, say, somebody like Friedman) does this as opposed to someone like Sabean or Amaro. That doesn't mean it's necessarily good, but it's probably worth trying to delve into to see what Beane's trying to do.
Which is pretty dumb. How many WS wins do these geniuses have? How about a "lousy" GM like RAJ? Maybe it's time these 'moneyball' types get their noses out of the stat sheets and watch real baseball. Butler can have all these fancy stats behind him, but he's never lead his team to the postseason. They made it this year in spite of Butler. Dude is a fat slob who lacks the grit and intensity needed to carry his teams to victory.
Ruben Amaro has zero WS wins as a GM and the team has gotten worse every single year since he became GM.

This post is schtick, right?

 
Remember when we thought the Cuddyer signing was a bad one?
has there been a good contract yet? Those who haven't signed anyone so far are ahead of the others.
Maybe we're just grossly underestimating the market here. With more focus on promoting younger cost-controlled talent, especially in bullpens, and very early extensions, teams have more money to spend in the free agent market. The $5 million per win model is long gone.

 
Was listening to the MLB Network and they seem to think that the 6-144 for the Tigers offered last year Max Sherzer might not be matched in this off season unless the Yankees are involved. Seems a little odd that Lester had had a number of teams interested yet Max has only been mentioned by the Yankees. I know it is still early but am wondering if Boros thinking Max is a 200 million player is scaring off some teams.

 
Remember when we thought the Cuddyer signing was a bad one?
has there been a good contract yet? Those who haven't signed anyone so far are ahead of the others.
Maybe we're just grossly underestimating the market here. With more focus on promoting younger cost-controlled talent, especially in bullpens, and very early extensions, teams have more money to spend in the free agent market. The $5 million per win model is long gone.
Tell that to the Giants and Cardinals.

 
Was listening to the MLB Network and they seem to think that the 6-144 for the Tigers offered last year Max Sherzer might not be matched in this off season unless the Yankees are involved. Seems a little odd that Lester had had a number of teams interested yet Max has only been mentioned by the Yankees. I know it is still early but am wondering if Boros thinking Max is a 200 million player is scaring off some teams.
I'd be shocked if its not matched. Boras knows what he's doing. In January, someone will sign Scherzer to an 7 year/$175mm contract.

 
Was listening to the MLB Network and they seem to think that the 6-144 for the Tigers offered last year Max Sherzer might not be matched in this off season unless the Yankees are involved. Seems a little odd that Lester had had a number of teams interested yet Max has only been mentioned by the Yankees. I know it is still early but am wondering if Boros thinking Max is a 200 million player is scaring off some teams.
nah its just early. Hell get more than that
 
Remember when we thought the Cuddyer signing was a bad one?
has there been a good contract yet? Those who haven't signed anyone so far are ahead of the others.
Maybe we're just grossly underestimating the market here. With more focus on promoting younger cost-controlled talent, especially in bullpens, and very early extensions, teams have more money to spend in the free agent market. The $5 million per win model is long gone.
Tell that to the Giants and Cardinals.
Not sure what you mean.

 
I don't think Martin's going to turn out to be all that terrible. That last year may be a little rough, but I don't think there are many 5+ year contracts where that isn't the case.

On balance, I think the Cuddyer signing was worse than Butler. The Mets have to play Cuddyer in the field, and again, first round pick.

 
Remember when we thought the Cuddyer signing was a bad one?
has there been a good contract yet? Those who haven't signed anyone so far are ahead of the others.
im just saying, draft pick aside, id much rather have cuddyer at 2/20 than butler or martin at their contracts.
I get that, but I'd rather not have any of them.
At some point we all have to realize the money in baseball is ridiculous, and none of it's ours.

 
Remember when we thought the Cuddyer signing was a bad one?
has there been a good contract yet? Those who haven't signed anyone so far are ahead of the others.
im just saying, draft pick aside, id much rather have cuddyer at 2/20 than butler or martin at their contracts.
I get that, but I'd rather not have any of them.
At some point we all have to realize the money in baseball is ridiculous, and none of it's ours.
Of course it is. But every team has a limit of how much they're going to spend, and thus one doesn't want their team to spend poorly.

 
Remember when we thought the Cuddyer signing was a bad one?
has there been a good contract yet? Those who haven't signed anyone so far are ahead of the others.
im just saying, draft pick aside, id much rather have cuddyer at 2/20 than butler or martin at their contracts.
I get that, but I'd rather not have any of them.
At some point we all have to realize the money in baseball is ridiculous, and none of it's ours.
it is, but that doesn't mean those funds should be spent badly.
 
IMO, the only thing unsettling about the Cuddyer contract is the loss of the draft pick. I don't have any qualms with the length or the annual value. In fact, one could argue the Mets did well in that regard considering he had 15 mil for one year in Colorado already on the table thanks to a qualifying offer.

 
Remember when we thought the Cuddyer signing was a bad one?
has there been a good contract yet? Those who haven't signed anyone so far are ahead of the others.
im just saying, draft pick aside, id much rather have cuddyer at 2/20 than butler or martin at their contracts.
I get that, but I'd rather not have any of them.
At some point we all have to realize the money in baseball is ridiculous, and none of it's ours.
it is, but that doesn't mean those funds should be spent badly.
None of the deals so far this off-season will cripple a team's finances (except for maybe the Stanton deal if it runs to its full duration). Cuddyer and Butler could easily earn their keep and the lengths are pretty short. Even if Martin or Panda tank in the final years of their deals, the teams can take the writedown. The biggest risk falls on small payroll teams who invest in long-term deals because they can't absorb it when things go south.

 

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