QB:
6.12 - Tony Romo, QB DAL (QB14) - 7
7.05 - Eli Manning, QB NYG (QB16) - 8
RB:
4.12 - LeSean McCoy, RB BUF (RB17) - 10
5.05 - Jeremy Hill, RB CIN (RB21) - 9
9.05 - Shane Vereen, RB NYG (RB40) - 8
14.12 - Darren Sproles, RB PHI (RB55) - 4
20.12 - LeGarrette Blount, RB NE (RB80) - 9
WR:
1.05 - DeAndre Hopkins, WR HOU (WR4) - 9
3.05 - T.Y. Hilton, WR IND (WR23) - 10
8.12 - Travis Benjamin, WR SD (WR48) - 11
11.05 - Torrey Smith, WR SF (WR61) - 8
13.05 - Rishard Matthews, WR TEN (WR70) - 13
16.12 - Anquan Boldin, WR FA (WR81) - ?
18.12 - Kenny Stills, WR MIA (WR95) - 8
TE:
2.12 - Greg Olsen, TE CAR (TE2) - 7
10.12 - Charles Clay, TE BUF (TE25) - 10
ST:
12.12 - Justin Tucker, PK BAL (PK5) - 8
15.05 - Dan Carpenter, PK BUF (PK24) - 10
17.05 - Cowboys, DST DAL (DST23) - 7
19.05 - Falcons, DST ATL (DST28) - 11
*****
1st - With the top 3 WRs and Gronk off the board, the choice came down to Nuk or Bell. Both are solid options, but I had a feeling based on the WSL's that WRs would be flying off the board much faster than in years past, so wanted to get out in front of that wave. Hopkins probably won't get 200 targets again, but with Osweiler replacing last year's QB garbage fire the targets he does get should be more productive.
2nd - Sure enough, 17 WRs were already gone by 2.12, and Ingram was the only RB left that was even borderline 2nd-round value. So I went a different direction and snagged Olsen, the most reliable TE not born on the planet Krypton. In years past I might have (OK, probably would have) grabbed Reed instead, but I made the call to focus on floor as well as ceiling in this draft and I'm sticking to it.
3rd - Lacy was an appealing option here, but I already own a share of him in WSL, and Hilton was the last of a tier here before a substantial dropoff to the likes of Sanders / Maclin / Fitz. Don't think I've ever owned him before, but it's time to stop doubting his talent. With Luck back for a full season, he could make a run at 1,500 yards.
4th - Still needed both QB and RB, and Shady again being the last of a tier made the call easier. Rex Ryan isn't suddenly going to have Tyrod chuck the ball 700 times, so regardless of the exact workload split between McCoy and Williams it will keep both backs fantasy-relevant. FWIW, Shady went two full rounds earlier in PDSL2.
5th - Only four teams picked behind me in the 4th with 3 QBs still on the board I'd have been happy with. Alas, Ben, Russ, and Brady were all snatched up, so I decided to double up at RB with Hill. He's finished RB10 and RB13 in his two seasons, yet fell to RB21 despite no big changes in his situation. He should again get 200+ touches plus most of the goal-line work, and with the two-headed monster in Cinci it's very unlikely he'll face additional draft competition.
6th / 7th - Had my fingers crossed all the way back up the 6th round that Romo would fall to me, as he's a no-doubt top-10 option when healthy and I had enough of a foundation at my other positions to back him up right away. I weighed both Eli and Cousins coming back down, but again opted for floor over ceiling ... if Romo goes down again, I don't want to hitch this entire ship to a guy with a half-season track record. About the least sexy really productive QB combo you could draw up; neither one is a serious top-3 option but they're both virtual locks for top-12 to 15.
8th - Benjamin (and Torrey, and Stills) are all archetypes of my favorite SL sleeper - disparaged, somewhat accurately, for being 'one-trick ponies', but in this case it's 'one-trick' as in
WIN YOUR BEST-BALL LEAGUE USING THIS 1 WEIRD OLD TRICK! Not having to pick and choose when to start these guys makes them much more attractive options than they would be otherwise. It's unlikely T-Ben (is "T-Ben" a thing? If not, it should be) will get the volume of targets he managed in Cleveland, but he doesn't need to in order to deliver value at WR48.
Take it to the house, little man!
9th - SL owners are a lot smarter than the average bear and don't let me highway-rob PPR monsters at RB the way I do in other leagues, but their floor still makes owning them worthwhile even if I have to pay fair value. Vereen is basically irreplaceable in the Giants' offense, unless you think they're gonna start splitting Rashad Jennings out wide on 3rd-and-4. He won't win me weeks himself but should finish somewhere in the RB25-35 range at a RB40 price tag.
10th - Loved having Clay fall to me here as I'd have given serious thought to punting TE2 until very late otherwise. He's got enough talent to put up the occasional big week which will help my ceiling, and with Olsen up top I don't need to worry about the weeks where he disappears.
11th - Has everyone forgotten that Chip Kelly likes to run a ton of offensive plays? Why is their top WR (for now, at least) going off the board at WR61? Also,
that Torrey's combine 40 time of 4.41 wound up being only
4th-best among my WR corps.
12th - Old habits die hard, in this case my usual strategy of taking a stud PK (which are very predictable) early and waiting forever on DSTs (which are not). Tucker is a top PK in all formats, and he's young, which further reduces the chances of in-season injury.
13th - I like the Titans as a sleeper offense in '16 - they have top-half NFL receiving talent and I think their lack of performance was somewhat down to scheme. Also, Mariota got teed off on as a rookie, and hey, who could have predicted that when your top rushing threat was a 23yo UDFA with zero previous career carries? Murray changes that equation and should open up the field for Matthews, who I think can be an above-average #2 in this offense.
14th - As someone who watched every snap of the glorious trainwreck that was the Eagles' 2015, it's sadly undeniable that Sproles lost a step last year. Having said that, given his big-play ability and his unique role in that offense, I think it's nuts that he fell to the 14th, which is borderline dart-throw territory in these leagues. Another no-brainer pick here.
15th - If I had to draw a line between PKs who are guaranteed jobs on Week 1 and those who aren't, Carpenter would be just about straddling it. It is encouraging that the Bills took the trouble to restructure Carpenter's deal this offseason rather than cut him outright, meaning they still have some faith in him as "the guy" going forward.
16th - With 3 deep-threat WRs on my roster already, I figured 'Quan would provide a nice counterbalance. He's not finished by any stretch and already has his SB ring, so I don't see him accepting a token role on a contender if he can go somewhere that he'll get significant playing time. Honestly I think he'd be great on the Birds, as a possession guy / mentor to that really young squad..
17th / 19th - No real rhyme or reason when you get past DST20 or so, other than give me underperforming talent (Cowboys and Falcons) rather than dumpster fires of bad personnel and coaching (Niners, Browns, Saints) any day of the week, and pray for some positive regression.
18th - Mind if I ask everyone here a question? What exactly do y'all have against the nine route? Stills is another burner whom Gase says he plans to get more involved in the offense, and yeah, yada yada coachspeak, but it's not as though the Fins are exactly overflowing with WR options.
20th - Nothing big here. Just, you know, a guy who's got a fair probability to be the rushing TD leader on a team that's got a fair probability of being the highest-scoring in the league.
Overall: Pleasantly surprised how well this team looks top-to-bottom given that I really didn't come in with a strategy other than BPA and "stop taking so many unproven young guys". Lots of value fell to me in places I didn't expect it to (e.g. when you wait until 6.12 to take a QB you don't expect to fall into a Romo/Manning combo), but I think I also got good value on guys I won't necessarily want on my money-league teams but provide good value in the SL format. So, naturally, I anxiously await my completely inexplicable Week 1 flameout.
Thanks to all for another fun draft and best of luck.