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I view the difference between Ajayi and the new lottery ticket player Knile Davis to be more of a coin toss even though more people seem to be leaning towards Ajayi. Ajayi hasn't done much until the last game and Davis has a pretty soft schedule for the next few weeks, Chicago, Atlanta, and Indy which gives him an easy path to become fantasy relevant.
Steelers had been allowing 73 yards rushing per game. The Titans have allowed the 6th fewest points to fantasy RBs per game. Those weren't great match-ups, but he posted 42/1 and 202/2. He leads the league in yards after contact. To me, if he gets the bulk of the rushes, he can be a regular fantasy starter rest of season. I am less concerned about him playing good defenses than I am with him playing great offenses that force Miami into pass happy comeback mode early. Teams like the Bills, Jets, Ravens and Rams do not scare me at all.beerbuff said:
What is the overall feeling about the value of Howard at this point? Holding him for now but a tough schedule turn and a lackluster Bears PPG has me concerned. Thoughts?daylight said:
For whatever reason they mixed Kadeem Carey in a good bit now that he was back healthy in Wk 6.
This guy was the second coming before last week. A bad week against a decent defense and a backup RB getting 9 touches to his 17 and people are worried. I know the next two weeks are tough but he gets Lions and Redskins during the playoffs (along with tough Packers). If an owner is worried, I'm buying everywhere I can.
Well carey did better with his limited touches. Howard did score the td. Langford might be back for those sweet playoff matchups too... Things change fast in the nfl. I like the points i have in the bank from the guy
I'm not worried about Carey. He's been there for 3 years and lost out to Langford last year...and Howard has looked far better than Langford in his limited career. Yes, Langford will be back, so I'd suggest to any Howard owner to handcuff, but I'm not worried about either. No back in this league outside of a few get all the carries. Taking a few off Howard isn't a bad thing. Not to mention, in a game where Carey looked better, Howard got 5 to 1 redzone looks. I don't own Howard nor Langford, but I will be pouncing in my leagues if the owner is worried.
I also think about dumping Powell to get Rawls (I own Michael), but have held off because Forte looks terrible, the schedule the rest of the year looks tasty, and the secondary is so bad that they will find themselves having to throw a lot.GoBirds said:
If both Ajayi and K-Davis are available, I lean Ajayi.beerbuff said:
You won't get much argument from me however just a couple of points. Ajayi's bigger roadblock is the Miami offense, if they are forced to play from behind (which is likely most of the time) then Foster is the better pass catcher and holds more value ONCE healthy. Also, much has been said of Davis not knowing GB's system, however both GB and KC's systems are pretty similar so it shouldn't take him long. I'm just saying it's more of a 50-50 proposition between the two than an advantage to Ajayi. Given that Lacy hasn't shown much so far there is an opportunity for Davis to become the bellcow, it's certainly not a sure thing but it is a possibility. If he can't outperform an overweight RB then his time in the NFL will be rather short going forward.If both Ajayi and K-Davis are available, I lean Ajayi.
Quick reasons why:
Players: Both qualify as "decent" but neither seem to be world-beaters who have just been waiting for their shot. - DRAW
Opportunity: K-Davis is a stopgap until Lacy is healthy enough to play (whether that's three weeks or seven weeks is up in the air so not arguing K-Davis could certainly have value during this timeframe). Ajayi has the opportunity to be "the guy" in the offense the rest of the season. Only roadblock is Foster (who is a question mark on a number of levels). - Advantage AJAYI
Offense: Green Bay is an established offense which has not been great running the ball. K-Davis will need to learn the system on-the-fly. Perhaps he can outperform Lacy/Starks and do more within the framework but that's a long bet. Miami is an offense still evolving. New coach. Revolving door at line the first few weeks. Everyone is still in learning mode. This may lend itself to the offense improving as the players adjust to the system over the course of the season (this is a bet on Gase and his coaching/system more than anything else). My personal preference is the player whose offense may be getting better, but that's the direction I tend to gamble in FF (and am frequently wrong). - Advantage AJAYI
Just my thoughts for those in the situation where both these guys are available. I think K-Davis may certainly have value, but I think Ajayi has more potential season-long upside.
I have to disagree pretty much across the board. Ajayi will be getting carries, certainly in the first half and likely through the third quarter regardless of whether Miami is up or down on the scoreboard. And the Green Bay offense has been just as out of sync as any offense in the league to this point.
Per Cecil on the waiver wire podcast, Kubiak explicitly stated that getting Booker more work would *not* be coming at CJ's expense. Kubiak, per Lammey, said that the team needed to run the ball more. Essentially, they're happy with CJ, and rather than Booker's increased work coming from the same pie (thus shrinking CJ's share), the talk is that they'll grow the pie.
What about Antone Smith getting some playing time against this god awful SF run D? Giving Quiz a breather. Antone has been known to have some long catch and runs in his not to distant past and could take one to the house this Sunday if given some playing time. Anyone looking to pick him up? A dart throw for sure but could pay off.
This would be ranking not just for this coming week, but over the medium term as well.
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That is exactly what I meant. Last year, probably a day before Ingram went on IR, 11 of 12 owners assumed Hightower had long been out of the NFL. Hightower was 4 week must start monster. In 4 weeks as the starter, he put up 456 total yards, 4 TDs and 12 receptions. It wasn't because Hightower was particularly good. He was just the only show in town on a high scoring team.
I assume we will get more info over the next few days. It is impossible to know right now, but mild to moderate sounds like he will miss at least this week.
Roto..
The GTD tag is going to suck for those counting on Gillisee as I could easily see McCoy getting the start, causing Gill owners to bench him, then McCoy bowing out early.
Maybe but I think the Bills want the Pats and Seahawks spending time game planning for McCoy not Gillisee (however you spell it).
