I'd change a few - I have Morris in the top 5 if Zeke gets hurt - that OL is crazy huge and Morris is an underrated back who's looked good this preseason.
I look to be lower on Morris than most. He did look better during this preseason but I'm also factoring in the eventual return of DMC. It's being reported that teams reached out to DAL for DMC but they didn't want to deal him. His current injury (elbow) isn't a lower body injury either, I'm not exactly sure when he's supposed to be back however.
Nice list SSND.
I think I would rather have Tyler Ervin than Alfred Blue for a RB from the Texans. Looking at the game logs Blue did enter the game before Ervin did. Ervin played in the last 2 minutes of the first half which is also when they put Savage in. So it does look like he is 3rd in the rotation right now.
Even so Ervin offers more as a receiving option than Blue and I think just a better overall player who I would take over blue as a handcuff to Miller.
Good call on Ervin. I just watched his preseason touches and he looks explosive. He doesn't look like the kind of back who can handle large workloads but as massraider pointed out he may not need many touches to be effective, especially in PPR.
Curious what you like so much, as he is averaging less than 3 ypc on a team dedicated to running the ball down people's throats.
Anderson is performing way better, which is expected. What isn't expected is that Hillman has gained about 30% more yards than Booker on about half the carries. So while other RBs in DEN are having very good to great PSs Booker is floundering, though he has flashed a bit catching the ball.
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I actually didn't even look at the box score, I just liked what I saw in the limited sample size. He looks as advertised.. able/willing to grind out yards in between the tackles and the ability catch the ball out of the backfield. My only real concern, in the event Anderson were to get injured, is that his pass pro wouldn't be up to snuff yet.
I think Malcolm Brown may be the guy to take over in event of a Gurley injury... Cunningham's role stays the same.
Good call although if Brown takes over early down duty and Cunningham retains his role as the passing down back it may render both useless.
It looks like you ranked the lotto tickets based on your perception of their talent and the team situation. That is fine, but I think the other factor that you might not be accounting for is the probability that the ticket gets their number called. Injuries are difficult to predict, however someone like Foster, Stewart or Mathews seem likely to miss time at some point to injury.
I did take this into account (mentioned it with Ajayi and Yeldon) and it is of course important since injury is the most likely way for most of the guys mentioned in this thread to become valuable fantasy commodities. However, I feel like you need to also take into account the value of the opportunity, the skill set of the back-up and etc.
For instance, if Martin were to go down Simms would slot in as a full time back but if Stewart were to go down CAP would likely only see mostly early down work and would get a lot his GL opportunites robbed from him by Cam per usual. Stewart may be more injury prone than Martin but that doesn't mean his handcuff is more valuable. It's hard to weigh the different variables (effectiveness of starter, durability of starter, effectiveness of back-up, OL, schedule etc. etc.) though, I agree.
I would say:
Jonathan Williams, BUF
McCoy seems like as fine a choice to break down as any other starting RB. I think about Karlos last year in BUF, and I like Williams a lot more than Karlos coming out.
I see he got 1st and 2nd quarter touches in their third preseason game with McCoy inactive. Definitely looks like he's worth the flyer in deeper leagues as I don't buy into Bush or Gillislsee.
Man, this thread is really paying dividends.