What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

2018 MLB Regular Season Thread! Current thread batting average: .420 (2 Viewers)

While it appears that he’s not doing himself any favors, it’s not like he chose to have his elbow implode and Thoratic Outlet Syndrome.
I agree with that but it doesn't look like he has any interest in helping himself  or working hard either. That's completely on him. 

 
Obviously the Bill James Game Score skews heavily toward strikeouts, but I can't imagine having back-to-back games much better than what Paxton just did.

vs. OAK: 7 IP, 16 K, 5 H, 0 ER, 1 BB

vs. TOR: 9 IP, 7 K, 0 H, 0 ER, 3 BB

Meanwhile, I forgot to set my lineup and missed getting him in by five minutes. I should be gored by a bald eagle.

 
Never in the history of baseball has a pitcher allowed 7 runs and 4 homers without recording an out. 

On the flip side, James Paxton had 34 swinging strikes, Pedro like. 
I always liked Paxton and was in on him 3-4 years ago, but he could never stay helfy.

Watched him throwing 100mph last night in the 9th.

 
Judge is the biggest regression candidate in MLB. No Bird. Hicks hitting 5th. Good luck Yankees. 
Judge is actually much better than last year. Thanks for this!

He has become a more complete hitter. Every at-bat is a battle for the pitcher. It seems he goes 3-2 on every at-bat. Plus he's an excellent defender and has a cannon. A true 5 tool player. Only two guys I'd take over him (ignoring salaries) are Trout & Harper.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Judge is actually much better than last year. Thanks for this!

He has become a more complete hitter. Every at-bat is a battle for the pitcher. It seems he goes 3-2 on every at-bat. Plus he's an excellent defender and has a cannon. A true 5 tool player. Only two guys I'd take over him (ignoring salaries) are Trout & Harper.
A little early for this.  He's doing better against stronger pitching, but his dominance is still reserved for the mediocrity.  He's 256/341 in 44 PA with 2 HR, 13 K, and 5 BB vs. Aaron Sanchez, Lance McCullers, Jose Berrios, Dallas Keuchel, Justin Verlander, Chris Sale, Trevor Bauer, Drew Pomeranz, Chris Archer, Mike Clevinger, Cody Allen, Roberto Osuna, Brad Peacock, Ken Giles, Craig Kimbrel, Mychal Givens, Brad Brach, David Price, and Blake Snell.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
A little early for this.  He's still not doing well against stronger pitching.  He's just 222/250 with 1 HR, 9 K, and 1 BB vs. Aaron Sanchez, Lance McCullers, Jose Berrios, Dallas Keuchel, Justin Verlander, Chris Sale, Trevor Bauer, and Drew Pomeranz.
This is easily the stupidest example of cherry picking I've ever seen in any fantasy discussion, regardless of the sport.

And we're classifying the 2018 version Sanchez and Drew Pomeranz as 'stronger pitching'

Why remove Porcello from the equation? 2016 Cy Young award winner who looks to have regained that Cy Young winning form in 2018.

Let's see..... maybe its because his slash is  .600/.667/.800 vs him. 

That Kimbrel guy... He's pretty strong too, right?

Get out of here with this crap. 

 
Of course 35.6 HR/FB and a 357 BABIP on a 43% FB hitter will regress, but I think those figures being unusually high has some validity. 

I think his problem begins and ends against quality pitching.  0-12 w/10 K's vs. Chris Sale, 0-3 w/2 K's vs. Kimbrel, 0-7 w/5 K's vs. Osuna, 1-9 w/5 K's vs Chris Archer, 1-6 w/5 K's vs. Brach, 0-5 w/4 K's vs. Snell, 1-8 w/4 K's vs. Bundy, 1-6 w/ 3 K's vs. Price, 1-7 w/4 K's vs. Givens, 0-7 w/4 K's vs. Verlander, etc.  And given what he did in the Indians series the October angle is an eyebrow raising story from Judge.  I mean, it was record setting, but in a 1-20 w/16 K's sorta way.

I mean, some of that is cherry picking and it's obviously very small sample size driven, but watching him bat...I wasn't surprised to see any of the above.  He was consistently over matched against quality pitching and he frequently made loud contact against mediocre or worse.  Young players develop, but is there any reason to believe any of that will change? and for magic baseball purposes is that really a bad thing?

I just didn't like how my teams looked if I had a 250 or worse bat that I picked inside the top 20 and I'll want to bench in quality pitching matchups.  He can mash quad A arms, develop, or hit a sophomore slump on someone else's team.
@Epic Problem some context to why I wrote the above.  Of course it's cherry picking.  But it has some merit.  And it may not matter for magic baseball purposes.  But could come October.

 
This is easily the stupidest example of cherry picking I've ever seen in any fantasy discussion, regardless of the sport.

And we're classifying the 2018 version Sanchez and Drew Pomeranz as 'stronger pitching'

Why remove Porcello from the equation? 2016 Cy Young award winner who looks to have regained that Cy Young winning form in 2018.

Let's see..... maybe its because his slash is  .600/.667/.800 vs him. 

That Kimbrel guy... He's pretty strong too, right?

Get out of here with this crap. 
Kimbrel's omission was an oversight.  I didn't go beyond page 1 because I didn't scroll down far enough.   :wall:

Porcello was intentional though.  Bias?  Sure, but I just don't think he's that good.  He got the sinker to sink right for a year, but otherwise?  Meh.

 
A little early for this.  He's doing better against stronger pitching, but his dominance is still reserved for the mediocrity.  He's 256/341 in 44 PA with 2 HR, 13 K, and 3 BB vs. Aaron Sanchez, Lance McCullers, Jose Berrios, Dallas Keuchel, Justin Verlander, Chris Sale, Trevor Bauer, Drew Pomeranz, Chris Archer, Mike Clevinger, Cody Allen, Roberto Osuna, Brad Peacock, Ken Giles, Craig Kimbrel, Mychal Givens, Brad Brach, David Price, and Blake Snell.
:lmao: this is the dumbest argument Ive seen here in a long time.

 
Porcello, you're meh, but Drew Pomeranz and Aaron Sanchez..... COME ON DOWN!!!!

YOU'RE THE NEXT CONTESTANTS ON 'FIT MY NEED' 
I think those two have been pretty friggin good.  Staying healthy?  Different topic.  But, again, as I said in March - there's some cherry picking and small sample sizes here, confirmation bias too.  I just thought what I found when I went digging into Judge back in March was interesting.  I thought he looked over matched vs. quality pitching and found lots of data points to support that.  I've noticed similar this year, but apparently I've been watching the wrong (right?) games.  I guess I finally found a down side to skipping 6 hour marathon games between the Yanks and the Sawx.

 
I think those two have been pretty friggin good.  Staying healthy?  Different topic.  But, again, as I said in March - there's some cherry picking and small sample sizes here, confirmation bias too.  I just thought what I found when I went digging into Judge back in March was interesting.  I thought he looked over matched vs. quality pitching and found lots of data points to support that.  I've noticed similar this year, but apparently I've been watching the wrong (right?) games.  I guess I finally found a down side to skipping 6 hour marathon games between the Yanks and the Sawx.
I havent seen him overmatched in a single at bat all year. Meanwhile last year he was overmatched quite a bit

 
I havent seen him overmatched in a single at bat all year. Meanwhile last year he was overmatched quite a bit
You obviously watch your guys a hell of a lot more than I do.  It just looked like same ole same ole when I tuned into McCullers, Clevinger, Bauer, Sanchez and Verlander.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Judge is actually much better than last year. Thanks for this!

He has become a more complete hitter. Every at-bat is a battle for the pitcher. It seems he goes 3-2 on every at-bat. Plus he's an excellent defender and has a cannon. A true 5 tool player. Only two guys I'd take over him (ignoring salaries) are Trout & Harper.
I seem to recall Judge rather consistently going to full counts in the playoffs last year.  I could be wrong though and he just K'd alot.

 
A little early for this.  He's doing better against stronger pitching, but his dominance is still reserved for the mediocrity.  He's 256/341 in 44 PA with 2 HR, 13 K, and 5 BB vs. Aaron Sanchez, Lance McCullers, Jose Berrios, Dallas Keuchel, Justin Verlander, Chris Sale, Trevor Bauer, Drew Pomeranz, Chris Archer, Mike Clevinger, Cody Allen, Roberto Osuna, Brad Peacock, Ken Giles, Craig Kimbrel, Mychal Givens, Brad Brach, David Price, and Blake Snell.
Hmm interesting Power vs Finesse splits

https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.fcgi?id=judgeaa01&year=2018&t=b#power::none

 
Not going down a Brach or Givens hole. Felt obligated to include them since he he had enough plate appearances against them in 17. If you want to omit them then have at it. 

I'll fight to the death on Snell and Clevinger though. 

 
Not going down a Brach or Givens hole. Felt obligated to include them since he he had enough plate appearances against them in 17. If you want to omit them then have at it. 

I'll fight to the death on Snell and Clevinger though. 
He was 1 for 3 with a 3R HR vs Clevinger last year or do you only include Clevineger's 2018 stats? Trying to figure out which stats you throw out.

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top