Fantastic. I've only ever known one other fencer and am happy to learn more about it! Whom should we be watching in the fencing events?
In terms of Americans, the US qualified for all 6 team events (foil, sabre, and epee, both men + women), but unlikely to medal in most of them.
Best US chances for a team medal are in men's foil and women's sabre, maybe an outside shot at women's foil. Best chances for individual medals in men's foil (maybe multiple), men's sabre, minor chances at women's foil and sabre.
In terms of the men, they enter the Olympics as essentially the odds-on favorites in men's foil. Gerek Meinhardt and Alex Massialas are top 5 in the world. Nick Itkin top 10-ish. Meinhardt and Massialas both have a very strong chance to individual medal. Massialas took silver in 2016, and Meinhardt got bronze, so they're a very experienced team. They also took team bronze in 2016. They enter 2021 as essentially the team favorites. The Massialas family is basically US fencing royalty, like the Manning family of fencing.
US women are traditionally very strong at sabre. Eliza Stone is a first-time Olympic qualifier who has a fair chance at an individual medal. The face of US fencing, though, is Mariel Zagunis. Basically the sweetheart of American fencing, two-time gold medalist, and was the US flagbearer for the opening ceremony in 2012, which was a big deal for a random sport like fencing. She's on the back end of her career but still qualified and has an outside shot at a medal. US women should contend for a team medal but I wouldn't expect them to win...maybe a bronze.
US women's foil is fair. Lee Kiefer is one to watch, she has a shot at a medal. Wouldn't expect a gold but maybe a bronze. They could sneak into a team medal.
US men's sabre is okay overall, but with 1 superstar. Eli Dershwitz is one of the best in the world and has a strong chance for individual medal, maybe even an outside at gold. Daryl Homer is an Olympic vet who has been around but unlikely to make waves at this point.
US men's and women's epee both unlikely to make any noise.