Biabreakable
Footballguy
Ouch. Best wishes for your recovery.CalBear said:I'm gonna be incommunicado today (broken leg, surgery). Tried to pre-draft the next two rounds but if it sticks that's why.
Ouch. Best wishes for your recovery.CalBear said:I'm gonna be incommunicado today (broken leg, surgery). Tried to pre-draft the next two rounds but if it sticks that's why.
Best wishes to your daughter.My daughter broke her kneecap in April and it did not heal exactly right, so she had a second surgery today to remove the wiring and clean out scar tissue. Hope that you and she heals really well and rehab goes smoothly. Prayers for you and your caretakers.
Thanks all, it's good. Tibial nail inserted, overnight stay, but back home now and things feel pretty good, considering.
Maybe if you weren't so busy building your Gio Bernard shrine, you would have paid closer attention to your roster. #II have too many RB/WR now. My bad.
Can I drop Darrel Williams for for the Bears team QB please?
That would be a legal roster then.
I have too many RB/WR now. My bad.
Can I drop Darrel Williams for for the Bears team QB please?
That would be a legal roster then.
Keep Striking. Out.I have too many RB/WR now. My bad.
Can I drop Darrel Williams for for the Bears team QB please?
That would be a legal roster then.
Normally you would be right . . . the pick that made the roster illegal would be the one that would be replaced. Given that he had back-to-back picks that were pre-drafted (and the fact that everyone knows he's not coming remotely close to winning this thing this year anyway), I just swapped out the Robinson pick. Had he actually taken his sweet time to evaluate all the available options AND THEN wanted to swap out the first of his 2 picks, that would have been harder to let slide. But since they happened simultaneously, I didn't find his request to be all that egregious.Wouldn't the drop be the illegal pick? That was Callaway. ETA: Nevermind, I see that the drop was WR Robinson.
Normally you would be right . . . the pick that made the roster illegal would be the one that would be replaced. Given that he had back-to-back picks that were pre-drafted (and the fact that everyone knows he's not coming remotely close to winning this thing this year anyway), I just swapped out the Robinson pick. Had he actually taken his sweet time to evaluate all the available options AND THEN wanted to swap out the first of his 2 picks, that would have been harder to let slide. But since they happened simultaneously, I didn't find his request to be all that egregious.
Missed that part. Yeah, going back three picks to change out a player is not gonna happen (after like 30 other guys came off the board). I wonder how many TV's he's got on in the house playing a highlight reel of Gio 24/7. I'd set the over / under at 5.5 televisions.Understand, though you did not actually grant his request.![]()
So I guess the COMMUNITY SERVICE section of my resume that states I have volunteered and supported people with special needs for 20 years really isn't a lie?I have too many RB/WR now. My bad.
Can I drop Darrel Williams for for the Bears team QB please?
That would be a legal roster then.
I don't care what anyone else says, your a good egg.So I guess the COMMUNITY SERVICE section of my resume that states I have volunteered and supported people with special needs for 20 years really isn't a lie?
Yeah I wanted to drop my 5th RB but David wouldn't allow that. Too many picks had passed since then I guess.Wouldn't the drop be the illegal pick? That was Callaway. ETA: Nevermind, I see that the drop was WR Robinson.
I can check when I get home. Send me a PM at Anarchy99 with the name of the player.@David Yudkin, I want to draft a player in the 18th round who is not available in the MFL player list for some odd reason. If you confirm I can do this, I'll name the player.
I can check when I get home. Send me a PM at Anarchy99 with the name of the player.@David Yudkin, I want to draft a player in the 18th round who is not available in the MFL player list for some odd reason. If you confirm I can do this, I'll name the player.
FYI for you and everyone else . . . I don't use my actual name anymore and never log in that way anymore. I'll see it listed in the threads, but I won't see the notification / alert notice.@David Yudkin, as always, thanks for doing these leagues this season.![]()
Team JWB:
1.14 DeAndre Hopkins, WR, ARI - Drafted as WR4. Finished last season as WR5 in ppg and WR6 in total points with no playoff games. Playoff points seem likely, and I think QB Murray will likely improve and have more passing yards/TDs per game. Hopkins seemed like the safest pick available here.
2.3 AJ Brown, WR, TEN - Drafted as WR7. Finished last season as WR6 in ppg and WR13 in total points, but he only played 41 snaps before week 5 and was WR4 in total points from week 5 on. Julio is there but I think that helps Brown rather than hurting him. I also expect TEN will have more than 485 pass attempts this season, maybe a lot more. Expecting playoff points.
In this format, I always prefer to focus on TE and WR in the first four rounds. In this case, I didn't think the value was there at TE at this turn, so took the value present at WR. I tentatively planned to draft TE and WR/TE at the next turn.
3.14 Logan Thomas, TE, WAS - Drafted as TE8. Finished last season as TE3. I can't see his target share going down, and Fitzmagic should upgrade the quality of his targets. The team made the playoffs last season, and should be the favorite to win the NFC East again, so playoff points are likely.
4.3 Tyler Lockett, WR, SEA - Drafted as WR18. Finished last season as WR11. I took him at this same turn last season (at 3.14), and he proved to be a good value there. I still think Carroll might actually #LetRussCook a bit more this season, and playoff points seem likely. I considered a few TEs and WR Woods here but decided Lockett was the best value.
In this format, my objective in the first 4 rounds is to try to target safe, productive players, and I think I did that here. I also focus exclusively on TE and WR in the first 4 rounds, unless incredible value presents itself at RB or TMQB, which typically does not happen in Anarchy 2. I tentatively planned for 1 WR/TE and 1 RB/WR/TE at the next turn.
5.14 Chase Claypool, WR, PIT - Drafted as WR30. Finished last season as WR17, as a rookie with the COVID-shortened offseason. He had just 109 targets, but led the team in rushing/receiving TDs, YPR, and YPT. He earned a greater target share this season, and I expect Roethlisberger to play better this season, which could improve the quality of Claypool's targets. Playoff points seem likely.
6.3 Adam Trautman, TE, NO - Drafted as TE15. Scored just 55.5 points last season as a rookie. However, I will quote FBG's @Victoria Geary here: "Tight ends Jared Cook and Josh Hill were both waived this season and wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders was cut, leaving the #2 receiving role wide open. Trautman boasted a 38.1 College Dominator Rating playing for the University of Dayton, accounting for 38% of his team's receiving production. It's worth noting that his Dominator score was higher than that of both Darren Waller and Travis Kelce. Trautman was PFF's best-rated run-blocking tight end in his rookie year, meaning he will stay on the field and see plenty of snaps this season. He has the athleticism and skill set to highly outperform his ADP." In addition, #1 WR Michael Thomas is hurt and expected to miss games, and probable #2 WR Trequan Smith has also missed time in camp due to injury. Playoff points are possible. This was my first pick that might fairly be called a reach, but with a potential high reward.
I felt it was important to get another TE before what I saw as an impending dropoff at that position. I considered TMQB but decided I could afford to wait in order to strengthen WR and TE. I did not really strongly consider RBs... I knew it would only get worse, but I didn't feel like it made sense to sacrifice 50+ points to draft one. I tentatively planned for 1 TMQB and 1 RB at the next turn.
7.14 Jared Cook, TE, NO - Drafted as TE20. Finished last season as TE16 in NO; now the #1 TE with the Chargers, where Henry finished last season as TE14 in 14 games. I expect Cook to slide right into Henry's role, and he could play more than 14 games and thus outperform Henry, especially since the Chargers seem like a possible playoff team.
8.3 Steelers, PIT, TMQB - Drafted as TMQB14. Finished last season as TMQB12, despite Roethlisberger coming off major surgery last offseason and despite issues with the OL, running game, and Roethlisberger's knee. Supposedly he is in "the best shape of his career," having dedicated himself to losing weight, strict diet, etc. I expect he will play better this season, and playoff points are likely.
I strongly considered taking RB Harris or RB Williams at 7.14, but felt I was gaining 50+ points by drafting Cook and continuing to wait at RB. I was mildly surprised that only 13 TMQBs were drafted through pick 8.2, but felt I needed to take one here to get ahead of a potential QB run, with so many picks between my even and odd round picks. I considered the Saints TMQB, but chose what I viewed to be the better value. I tentatively planned to take my second TMQB at the next turn, along with my first RB.
9.14 Dolphins, TMQB, TEN - Drafted as TMQB23. Finished last season as TMQB19 without playoff points, missing a playoff spot at 10-6 on tiebreakers. Tua should be improved, and his targets should also be better, with the additions of WRs Waddle and Fuller. I expect this TMQB to outperform this draft position. Playoff points are possible.
10.3 Darnell Mooney, WR, CHI - Drafted as WR56. Finished last season as WR52. Now he enters his second year having moved up into a starting role, and he should have improved QB play. He has been getting rave reviews in training camp, and I expect him to be a top 40 WR this season, making him a great value here. Not counting on playoff points, but they are possible given Chicago made the playoffs last season.
I had planned on getting a RB at this turn for sure, but wanted my second TMQB as well. Once I faced the choice of drafting one of the available RBs or Mooney at 10.3, I felt compelled to go with Mooney. I usually devalue RBs in this format, but this is by far the longest I have waited on that position; will be interesting to see if I get burned by that. With 8 picks to go, my remaining picks are very simple: 4 RBs, 2 PKs, and 2 DSTs. I planned to go with the best 2 RBs at the next turn.
11.14 Tony Pollard, RB, DAL - Drafted as RB47. Finished last season as RB42 without playoff games. With better health, it seems that the Cowboys could have a shot at the playoffs this season, so playoff points are possible. Elliott missed one game last season, and Pollard had 25.2 points in that game, so Pollard is a high floor pick with high ceiling potential if Elliott misses time.
12.3 Mason Crosby, PK, GB - Drafted as PK10. Finished last season as PK16, 17 points behind PK10. Most importantly, he has strong job security, and the Packers could play multiple playoff games to maximize his scoring potential.
I had fully intended to take 2 RBs at this turn, but 9 PKs were drafted by the time I got to my 12.3 pick. With 26 picks until my next pick at 13.14, I felt I needed to draft my first PK here to ensure I was able to get at least one low risk PK. I planned to target RB and PK at the next turn.
13.14 Tevin Coleman, RB, NYJ - Drafted as RB54. Only scored 8.7 points last season, but finished 2019 as RB28. Head coach Saleh brought the 49ers running scheme with him to New York, and brought Coleman to be his lead back in that offense. Hoping for 100+ points here. This is my first pick I would say has no chance at playoff points.
14.3 Justin Jackson, RB, LAC - Drafted as RB56. Finished last season as RB73, but played in only 9 games due to injuries. He is having a great training camp and should outperform this draft position if he can stay healthy. Playoff points are possible.
I had intended to draft my second PK at this turn, but could not determine a safe pick that I liked, with a lot of kicker competitions ongoing right now. So went RB-RB instead. At the next turn, I figured I'd get my first DST and best available RB/PK.
15.14 Cardinals, DST, ARI - Drafted as DST16. Finished last season as DST13 with no playoff games. Playoff points seem likely, and if their upward trend under Vance Joseph continues, they should move into the top 10 in this format.
16.3 Chargers, DST, LAC - Drafted as DST19. Finished last season as DST23. However, they had the 4th highest number of adjusted games lost on defense according to Football Outsiders and played the entire season without starting S James and starting LB Tranquill, both of whom are back. They also hired Brandon Staley as their new head coach, and he has a reputation as a strong defensive coach. I'm expecting this unit to be top 10 this season, possibly top 5. Playoff points are possible.
I drafted my two defenses here to avoid getting stuck with bottom defenses and managed to get two good values here. I waited on my second PK because I have a high risk, high reward plan for that pick - Tristan Vizcaino, who is leading the Chargers PK competition over Badgley, who was drafted at 16.7. I'm expecting to be able to get him with my final pick.
17.14 Devontae Booker, RB, NYG - Drafted as RB64. Finished last season as RB55, playing for the Raiders. He is now the backup to Barkley in New York, so he should get some opportunity as Barkley returns from his ACL injury. No playoff points. Hoping for 100 points here.
18.3 Tristan Vizcaino, PK, LAC - Drafted as PK30. As noted above, this is a gamble. He is leading the PK competition for the Chargers right now, and I think he is the favorite to win the job. Last season, Badgley finished as PK22, but he missed 9 of 33 field goal attempts and 3 of 39 extra point attempts, so he could have easily finished in the top 15. That was also without playoffs, which are possible for the Chargers. So, I'm either looking at a top 15-ish PK or zero points here.
This is my second year in a row drafting from the #14 spot. Last year, I finished #4 overall, but I'm not sure I like this draft as much as last year's. Will be fun to watch it play out.
Personally, I think all 3 NFC Wild Cards are coming out of the NFCW. There's only 1 Team coming out of the East, and the Cowboys and Redskins will be dueling for that spot all Season. The Packers and Bucs are far and away the class of their Divisions, and I don't think the Vikings, Panthers or Saints are going to finish with better records than than any of the 4 Teams in the West. That Division is loaded, top to bottom, hence how I've written them - no predicted order of finish, but #4 will only be a game or 2 behind #1, and all will have 10+ W's. IMHO, of course.Enjoyed the write up. My main quibble is the the word "likely" represents greater than 50% odds. I don't think (and Vegas agrees) both Seattle and Arizona are "likely" to make the playoffs with the Rams and Niners in the division. Steelers are in same boat at +150 to make it.
Enjoyed the write up. My main quibble is the the word "likely" represents greater than 50% odds. I don't think (and Vegas agrees) both Seattle and Arizona are "likely" to make the playoffs with the Rams and Niners in the division. Steelers are in same boat at +150 to make it.
Done and now on your roster.Just Win Baby said:@David Yudkin, I want to draft a player in the 18th round who is not available in the MFL player list for some odd reason. If you confirm I can do this, I'll name the player.
I am not sure if you have seen instinctive outlier projections post or not, but he has Kupp and Mike William's greatly outperforming consensus view.nittanylion said:QB: Ravens, 49'ers
RB: Dobbins, Sermon, Dillon, Lindsay
WR: Kupp, MkWilliams, Gallup, BryEdwards, A-RSt.B, DJax
TE: Andrews, Hurst
D/ST: Bills, Saints
PK: Prater, Bullock
I feel a strange disconnect from this Team, and don't quite know what to make of it.
I opened with the patented RavenStack(LJax/Dobbins/Andrews)...feel even better about that now, with the Bateman injury. Thought Gus might be in the cards as well, but 9th Rd was too rich for my blood, and he didn't come back to me in the 10th. Obviously, I think the Ravens are a strong Super Bowl contender.
9'ers QB seems like a nice complimentary piece to QB Ravens.
I gambled and lost during the Rd3/4 turn. Already having Andrews/QBRavens, and with Dobbins staring me in the face, I pulled the trigger on him, largely because there were so many anchor WR still on the board. Now, Dobbins was 4th out of 5 straight RB leading into that turn, so the position was constricted, and I may not have been able to get him, and certainly not a comparable RB on the way back, and for what I'm projecting him for this Season, he's capable of logging mid-1st level non-PPR stats + extra games, but the ensuing WR run really was deflating: McLaurin, Cooper, DJMoore, Lamb, Lockett, Woods, all in a row. Had to anchor with Kupp. Don't like that.
Think I have a decent enough non-ppr RB stable. Dobbins and Dillon likely playoffs, Sermon strong maybe. Lindsay going nowhere, but if he truly seizes the starting role and doesn't get hurt, he should compile.
WR a weird group. Kupp is fine. High floor, at least. He doesn't move the needle for me the way Woods does. I'm higher than many on Mike Williams this year, we'll see if it plays out. Gallup is a legit WR3 in a 16-Teamer, another high floor guy, plus injury upside. Kupp/Gallup should log extra games. BMW, maybe. Bry Edwards and ARSB are speculative, but have upside. DJax a home-run hitter riffing early with Stafford should add splash points here and there, and a playoff game or 2.
Andrews, Top 5 TE with some added upside, now that Bateman is banged up. Hurst isn't going to the playoffs, but I think he's very underrated for what he could accomplish as the 'true' TE in Atlanta's scheme.
Same deal with D/ST and PK - Bills (playoffs)/Saints (probably not); Prater (playoffs)/Bullock(certainly not).
I dealt with some Dynasty drama during the Draft on 8/9-11, that caused me to lose focus a bit, which is probably while I feel the disconnect. Not going to get into it. Commish has to handle it bs, not necessarily typical, but had to wade into the cesspool more than I wanted to get it resolved. You'd think running a League going into it's 20-something year, largely comprised of original Owners would be relatively free of issue, but sometimes things get shoved under the rug for a while, or take time to manifest themselves. Lordy.
A rather brief summary, in terms of how I usually write up. I guess this is an OK Team. Time will tell.
Thanks, David. Good luck to all!
Thoughts and prayers. I offer my deepest condolences on your loss.4.16 Etienne, Travis JAC RB - I think ETN is going to be a top RB for the next several seasons. The coach does worry me though.
What happened?Thoughts and prayers. I offer my deepest condolences on your loss.
ETN lis franc injury. Strong chance he is done for the season.What happened?
I haven't heard the bad news yet I guess.
The last couple days have not really been going my way.
Yep that really sucks for me.ETN lis franc injury. Strong chance he is done for the season.
ETA: Already placed on season ending IR.
I usually pour salt on a wound. Haven’t tried putting it in a womb though.Yep that really sucks for me.
Thanks for putting salt in the womb good buddy.![]()
It's a FBG idiom from long ago I found funny so I like to repeat it when I can.I usually pour salt on a wound. Haven’t tried putting it in a womb though.
If nothing else at least I set myself up for this to possibly benefit me.12.16 Michel, Sony NEP RB - Im not really a fan of Michel but he is decent and the Patriots could make the playoffs. I was also intrigued with the possibility of him being traded to a team like the Rams.
18.3 Tristan Vizcaino, PK, LAC - Drafted as PK30. As noted above, this is a gamble. He is leading the PK competition for the Chargers right now, and I think he is the favorite to win the job. Last season, Badgley finished as PK22, but he missed 9 of 33 field goal attempts and 3 of 39 extra point attempts, so he could have easily finished in the top 15. That was also without playoffs, which are possible for the Chargers. So, I'm either looking at a top 15-ish PK or zero points here.
Thanks for doing this. I know stuff like this takes up a lot of time.This is not meaningful, but perhaps interesting. Here is the DD view of the rosters, with projections updated just now:
3097.7 Coordinator
3089.0 Anarchy99
3087.9 rzrback77
3026.0 Stinkin' Ref
2999.8 Just Win Baby
2971.8 Reaper
2970.8 Duckboy
2951.4 BroncoFreak_2K3
2938.1 CalBear
2920.5 OldMilwaukee
2811.0 Norseman
2806.5 Ben & Jerry's
2722.9 Biabreakable
2696.7 nittanylion
2690.2 Pigskin Fanatic
2671.8 JeremyX13
Caveats:
Injuries and the PK curse have already started... drafted players projected with 50 or fewer points in DD:
- These are default FBG projections in DD Classic, no modifications. I'm sure many of you and other sources of projections have different views on many players.
- For QB, I drafted every individual QB available in DD onto the teams in accordance with TMQB selections to make up the TMQB projections.
- Obviously, these projections do not account for playoff points.
- Obviously, these projections do not account for injuries still to come, which will make a huge impact.
Meanwhile, DD projects these undrafted players to score 100 or more points:
- Duckboy - 17.16, RB Jerick McKinnon (39.1)
- JeremyX13 - 17.8, RB Samaje Perine (36.7)
- Pigskin Fanatic - 16.11, RB Cordarrelle Patterson (34.0)
- Ben & Jerry's - 16.7, PK Mike Badgley (33.8)
- Pigskin Fanatic - 15.6, RB Tarik Cohen (32.5)
- Reaper - 18.6, RB Marlon Mack (28.0)
- Reaper - 17.11, RB LaMical Perine (22.9)
- JeremyX13 - 18.9, RB DeeJay Dallas (19.6)
- Biabreakable - 5.1, TE Irv Smith (19.5)
- Pigskin Fanatic - 18.11, WR Breshad Perriman (11.2)
- nittanylion - 18.5, PK Randy Bullock (7.4)
- Biabreakable - 16.16, PK Nick Folk (7.3)
- JeremyX13 - 15.8, RB Xavier Jones (4.1)
- Pigskin Fanatic - 17.6, WR Travis Fulgham (3.6)
- CalBear - 18.12, RB Patrick Laird (0.3)
- nittanylion - 3.12, RB JK Dobbins (0.0)
- Biabreakable - 4.16, RB Travis Etienne (0.0)
- JeremyX13 - 13.8, PK Cody Parkey (0.0)
- Norseman - 16.10, PK Joey Slye (0.0)
- BroncoFreak_2K3 - 18.13, PK Tucker McCann (0.0)
- PK Ryan Santoso (130.1)
- PK Quinn Nordin (129.5)
- PK Sam Ficken (128.8)
- PK Chase Mclaughlin (122.8)
- PK Evan McPherson (120.7)
- TE Tyler Conklin (118.9)
- PK Matt Ammendola (118.6)
- WR Nico Collins (115.5)
- WR Quez Watkins (102.5)
- WR Hunter Renfrow (102.3)
- TE Tyler Kroft (100.9)
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Thanks for doing this. I know stuff like this takes up a lot of time.
six of the top seven listed undrafted players are PK. The NFL Roster churn at the PK position is real, so the longer the wait, the more trepidation.This is not meaningful, but perhaps interesting. Here is the DD view of the rosters, with projections updated just now:
3097.7 Coordinator
3089.0 Anarchy99
3087.9 rzrback77
3026.0 Stinkin' Ref
2999.8 Just Win Baby
2971.8 Reaper
2970.8 Duckboy
2951.4 BroncoFreak_2K3
2938.1 CalBear
2920.5 OldMilwaukee
2811.0 Norseman
2806.5 Ben & Jerry's
2722.9 Biabreakable
2696.7 nittanylion
2690.2 Pigskin Fanatic
2671.8 JeremyX13
Caveats:
Injuries and the PK curse have already started... drafted players projected with 50 or fewer points in DD:
- These are default FBG projections in DD Classic, no modifications. I'm sure many of you and other sources of projections have different views on many players.
- For QB, I drafted every individual QB available in DD onto the teams in accordance with TMQB selections to make up the TMQB projections.
- Obviously, these projections do not account for playoff points.
- Obviously, these projections do not account for injuries still to come, which will make a huge impact.
Meanwhile, DD projects these undrafted players to score 100 or more points:
- Duckboy - 17.16, RB Jerick McKinnon (39.1)
- JeremyX13 - 17.8, RB Samaje Perine (36.7)
- Pigskin Fanatic - 16.11, RB Cordarrelle Patterson (34.0)
- Ben & Jerry's - 16.7, PK Mike Badgley (33.8)
- Pigskin Fanatic - 15.6, RB Tarik Cohen (32.5)
- Reaper - 18.6, RB Marlon Mack (28.0)
- Reaper - 17.11, RB LaMical Perine (22.9)
- JeremyX13 - 18.9, RB DeeJay Dallas (19.6)
- Biabreakable - 5.1, TE Irv Smith (19.5)
- Pigskin Fanatic - 18.11, WR Breshad Perriman (11.2)
- nittanylion - 18.5, PK Randy Bullock (7.4)
- Biabreakable - 16.16, PK Nick Folk (7.3)
- JeremyX13 - 15.8, RB Xavier Jones (4.1)
- Pigskin Fanatic - 17.6, WR Travis Fulgham (3.6)
- CalBear - 18.12, RB Patrick Laird (0.3)
- nittanylion - 3.12, RB JK Dobbins (0.0)
- Biabreakable - 4.16, RB Travis Etienne (0.0)
- JeremyX13 - 13.8, PK Cody Parkey (0.0)
- Norseman - 16.10, PK Joey Slye (0.0)
- BroncoFreak_2K3 - 18.13, PK Tucker McCann (0.0)
- PK Ryan Santoso (130.1)
- PK Quinn Nordin (129.5)
- PK Sam Ficken (128.8)
- PK Chase Mclaughlin (122.8)
- PK Evan McPherson (120.7)
- TE Tyler Conklin (118.9)
- PK Matt Ammendola (118.6)
- WR Nico Collins (115.5)
- WR Quez Watkins (102.5)
- WR Hunter Renfrow (102.3)
- TE Tyler Kroft (100.9)
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