While it makes sense to try and trade Tomlin rather than just firing him outright, I can’t imagine the Steelers doing that.
My guess is they will wait on signing him to an extension and let things play out
This feels like the only option they won't choose. I don't think they'd move into next season with a lame duck coach, and the best coordinator options probably wouldn't choose a coach that might only last one year.
I think they either move on or extend him, and I think it's more likely they extend him by at least a year or 2.
Yup and then I think they’ll extend him again in 2 years because nothing will have changed and who would they find that would be better.
It's definitely possible. From the outside looking in, it appears that the team has become stale. Tomlin can still be a great coach but need to move on (Andy Reid-style).
I'm hopeful that instead the Steelers (Omar/Weidl) can find a way to jump start him and turn this around. I think the key to that will be for someone else to bring in a DC and OC from outside that get along with Tomlin, but bring more to the table.
I find myself wondering when exactly Tomlin has actually been a great coach. I know what his reputation nationally has been, and winning early set the stage for everything else.
I don't dispute that his first 4 or 5 years were great, but that team was set up exceptionally well and a lot of coaches would've won consistently with that defense and Roethlisberger leading the offense. But at what point has a team of his exceeded expectations by playing better than expected? I'm not talking about having a better record than deserved in years like this one, I'm talking about genuine improvement over what was expected based on the team's talent level. Has his leadership or coaching staff actually improved on what they were supposed to be?
To me, it just hasn't happened. He's been fine, and he's had enough talent to win at least 8 or 9 games per year every year. But a great coach? I guess I can't figure out what he's done at any point to deserve that except for taking advantage of a talented roster for a few years before a consistent decline since.
And who could they hire that'd be better? Of course there's risk in moving on, but in the NFL today, his style doesn't fit anymore. I don't think it's a high bar to set for a different coach to step in and somehow manage to win 3 playoff games in the next 13 years.