Justin Rogers - Detroit Football Network (Substack)
Lions midseason report - Offense & Special Teams
Where Detroit Lions' offense is thriving and could stand to improve at 2024 season's midpoint
Quarterback
Key stat: 104.4 passer rating overall, 124.4 when running play-action
Jared Goff was in the midst of a historically efficient season before the Houston Texans upended his red-hot run with five interceptions last Sunday. Still, despite that hiccup, the reigning NFC Player of the Month has been everything the Lions have needed him to be in 2024.
Even with the struggles last weekend, Goff is on pace to finish with the best completion percentage and passer rating of his career. And while he’d prefer to not need another, his three fourth-quarter comebacks and three game-winning drives are both one shy of his previous bests in a season.
There’s a reason fans can’t stop chanting his name.
Improvement from 2023:Accuracy
Area for improvement: Going by the eye test, Goff’s deep ball has steadily improved during his time in Detroit. Still, only 45.5% of those attempts 20 yards or more beyond the line of scrimmage have been on target this year, which is middle of the pack and would be better.
Grade: A- (Sorry, the career-worst 3.7% interception rate was too much to overlook)
Running back
Key stat: 1,326 rushing yards, 4.7 yards per carry
Led by the dynamic duo of David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs, the Lions are on pace for their most rushing yards in a season since 1981 and best yards per carry since 1997.
After posting incredible production during their first season together in 2023, the tandem is somehow on pace to exceed it, tracking toward topping 3,000 yard per scrimmage this year.
Improvement from 2023: I’ll hit you with two. First, Gibbs has tapped more into his explosivity. After logging 27 carries of 10 or more yards last season, he’s already at 21 in 2024.
The pair have also been far more productive as pass-catching options, already nearing 90% of their combined receiving yardage from a year ago.
Area for improvement: Gibbs' pass blocking is rough. He’s allowed seven pressures the 25 times he’s been asked to stay in and protect Goff.
Grade: A
Wide receiver
Key stat(s): 2.0% drop rate
It was far from an overhaul, but no group on the offense has changed more since last season than the receiving corps. Amon-Ra St. Brown is the constant as the No. 1 target, while Jameson Williams has stepped into the No. 2 spot previously held by Josh Reynolds, with newcomer Tim Patrick rounding out the starting group.
Because the Lions have leaned so heavily on the ground game this season, St. Brown’s production has dipped significantly. He’s still efficient, with a career-best 70.1% success rate with his targets, but the wideout is tracking toward finishing with fewer than 1,000 yards after topping 1,500 as an All-Pro last year.
Williams, meanwhile, has experienced a breakout despite his recent two-game suspension. He could end up cracking 1,000 yards from scrimmage with another big game or two down the stretch.
Patrick’s production has been modest, but efficient. He’s caught 12 of the 15 throws his direction, plus he’s a willing blocker, which is critical in Detroit’s scheme.
Improvement from 2023: The Lions were one of the worst teams in the NFL with drops a year ago. They're now among the best.
Area for improvement: For a group that takes such pride in the skill, the run blocking could be more consistent. It’s slipped a bit since last year, particularly, and unexpectedly, with St. Brown.
Grade: B+
Tight end
Key stat: 22.2% per game decline in Sam LaPorta’s production
St. Brown isn’t the only player taking a hit from the increased reliance on the running backs. LaPorta, the second-year player out of Iowa who reset the franchise record books at his position as a rookie, hasn’t come close to repeating last season’s production.
That said, the underlying metrics are really good. He’s still running routes at the same rate — as opposed to being asked to block more on passing plays — he’s catching a higher percentage of the throws his direction, has a better success rate than 2023 on those targets, and is averaging 41.7% more yards per catch.
LaPorta was likely slowed by a hamstring strain early in the season, and he’s unfortunately dealing with a new injury (shoulder) coming off his best game of the season.
There’s not a lot to say about the rest of the group. Brock Wright continues to be the same player — focused more on blocking than receiving — and the team swapped out its No. 3 option a couple weeks back, dumping Parker Hesse in favor of Shane Zylstra.
Improvement from 2023: It’s unquestionably the efficiency with the limited targets. As far as Wright, he’s made modest gains as a pass protector.
Area for improvement: As it has been the past few seasons, there’s room for growth with the group’s run blocking. That was on full display against Houston last Sunday, where the collective struggled, resulting in a season-low yards per carry for the backs.
Grade: B
Offensive line
Key stat: 2.8 yards before contact, up 12% from last season
An offensive line is only as good as its weakest link, so there was understandable concern when the Lions were outbid for Jonah Jackson in free agency, losing the longtime starting guard to the Rams. But they found a hell of a stopgap replacement in Kevin Zeitler, a 2023 Pro Bowler.
After that signing, coach Dan Campbell suggested the group might be better this season and last, which has come to fruition. While there are all kinds of metrics available to evaluate the unit, it's difficult to argue the Lions aren’t among the league’s best, with Pro Football Focus ranking them No. 1 this week.
The group is unique in that they can block any style required. That’s allowed the team to shift to a more zone-heavy run scheme in 2024, helping maximize the talent of the team's running backs.
In terms of pass protection, the line has been good, not great, but there are some challenges that come with keeping the rush off one of the league’s least mobile quarterbacks. Detroit is allowing pressure on 23.3% of passing plays, which is bottom half of the league and up slightly from a year ago.
Improvement from 2023: Run blocking.
Area for improvement: The left side could certainly be better. Guard Graham Glasgow has been the group’s least consistent player in his second year back with the team. Meanwhile, blindside tackle Taylor Decker, who missed the last game with a shoulder injury, has given up six sacks, putting him on pace for a career-worst.
Grade: A-
Specialists
Key stat(s): 46.0 net punting average, 14/14 on field goals
Coordinator Dave Fipp’s groups have been remarkable this season, ranking near the top of the league in almost every meaningful category. Jack Fox remains on pace to have one of, if not the greatest net punting season of all time. His big leg has been working in conjunction with a stellar coverage group led by gunners Khalil Dorsey and Kindle Vildor.
But the true surprise has been the consistency of the kicking operation, which has a rookie long snapper and an inexperienced kicker in Jake Bates. You wouldn’t know it given the group remains perfect on field goals this year, including a 52- and 58-yarder in the closing minutes against Houston to seal the come-from-behind victory.
To top it off, the Lions are also top-five in kickoff and punt return average.
Improvement from 2023: All of it.
Area for improvement: Even on his record-breaking pace, Fox’s touchback percentage is a career-worst. If he could keep the ball out of the end zone more often, he might blow the net-punting mark out of the water.
Grade: A
Coaching
Passing up head coaching opportunities this offseason, Ben Johnson has Detroit’s offense humming again. Yes, there have been some duds, including a rough day in the red zone against Tampa Bay and the turnover-fest against Houston, but the unit is a little bit better in almost every way.
Improvement from 2023:Rushing production, up. Passing efficiency, up. Third down conversion percentage, up. Yards per play, up. Scoring, up.
Area for improvement: Well, Johnson could always scheme up a way for Penei Sewell to throw a pass. Sorry, I’m not giving up on the idea. Practically, the coordinator will tell you he’d like to trim the three-and-outs, which are happening nearly once every five possessions.
Grade: A