I think it's pretty easy to say the 2021 and 2023 classes truly set the Lions up for long term success. From Sewell to Branch it was hit after hit.
But how about 2022, when they landed their best defender and fastest playmaker?
Detroit Lions general manager Brad Holmes strapped a rocket to the franchise's rebuild with his first draft class in 2021, selecting two future All-Pros and four other starters, including three who remain with the team on second contracts.
That set a high bar for Holmes' acumen as an evaluator and lofty expectations for his encore in 2022, with the team holding the No. 2 overall pick and a second first-rounder, coming from the Rams as part of the Matthew Stafford/Jared Goff swap a year earlier.
I've long eschewed the performative exercise of immediately grading a draft, preferring to evaluate the class three years after the fact, when abilities and roles are established.
As we near the 2025 draft, let's assess how well Holmes was able to follow up on his foundation-laying performance as a rookie GM.
Round 1, Pick No. 2 - Defensive end Aidan Hutchinson
This is as uncomplicated as things get. Regardless of some questions about Hutchinson's arm length throughout the pre-draft process, he proved to have an answer to the physical limitation by posting elite agility numbers at the combine.
As a rookie, Hutchinson's production was heavily fueled by his hustle. Following the debut campaign, he's continued to take clear steps forward each year, legitimately looking like one of the NFL's elite pass rushers prior to breaking his leg last season.
It's admittedly easy to become infatuated with the hometown product because of familiarity, yet Hutchinson is everything a team could want in a building block. He's athletic, productive, and doesn't have issues with complacency. He is driven to be better than he was the previous day, week and season.
Alternative option: Cornerback Sauce Gardner
Hutchinson was the right choice, but the team wouldn't be dealing with buyer's remorse had they taken Gardner, the Detroit native who was a shutdown corner coming out of Cincinnati. He's limited opposing quarterbacks to completing 50.9% of their passes when targeting him through three years, resulting in two first-team All-Pro selections.
Grade: A+
Round 1, Pick No. 12 - Wide receiver Jameson Williams
The decision to trade up 20 spots to snag Williams remains one of Holmes' boldest moves as Detroit's GM.
While working his way back from a torn ACL suffered in the national championship game, Williams was predictably a non-factor as a rookie. He finished his first season catching just one of nine targets — a 41-yard touchdown — and added another 40-yard score after taking a handoff.
Williams' sophomore season was marred by issues on and off the field. It started poorly, with a six-game suspension — later reduced to four — for violating the league's gambling policy. After that was served, his hands and chemistry with Goff were both shaky, resulting in overall inefficiency.
And it wasn't all sunshine and rainbows in 2024. Still, Williams unquestionably turned a corner and delivered results closer to what the Lions anticipated when drafting him. Despite a second suspension — two games for violating the league's performance-enhancing substance policy — he found a needed level of consistency to go with his propensity for big plays, finishing with 58 catches for 1,001 yards and eight touchdowns.
Williams' future with Detroit is cloudy. Holmes has said the team intends to pick up the speedster's fifth-year option. However, a long-term extension is not immediately being considered.
Alternative option: Safety Kyle Hamilton
The Lions went into the draft needing a safety to pair with Tracy Walker. We didn't know it at the time of the Williams' selection, but the team would find their guy a couple of rounds later.
Hamilton, who might as well have been designed in a lab to play the position, came off the board two picks later. He's been a stud from the jump, getting named to a pair of Pro Bowls and earning All-Pro honors twice.
Grade: C+
Round 2, Pick No. 46 - Defensive end Josh Paschal
Holmes double-dipped at defensive end, taking Paschal out of Kentucky. The immediate selling points were the defender’s versatility, particularly his ability to disrupt the pocket from inside alignments on passing downs, and his leadership. He had been a three-time captain for the Wildcats.
Paschal’s career started slowly and has never really taken off. As a rookie, he missed most of the offseason program and all of training camp with a sports hernia, debuting five weeks into the regular season. In 10 games, he tallied 16 tackles and 2.0 sacks.
In 2023, he missed five more contests with a knee injury, posting a similar stat line with 25 tackles and 1.0 sack.
Last season, Paschal made an effort to tap more into his physicality. It led to an increase in pass-rush pressure and some improvements as a run defender, but still only a modest dent on the stat sheet. He finished with 21 tackles and 2.0 sacks despite appearing in a career-high 14 games and logging 549 defensive snaps.
Alternative option: Wide receiver Alec Pierce
Wide receiver George Pickens, selected six picks after Paschal, is arguably the best talent drafted in that range, but his personality would have been a poor fit for Detroit’s culture. Pierce, who came off the board one spot after Pickens, could have filled the need for the field-stretching threat the Lions were looking for when they snagged Williams in the first round.
Pierce isn’t a star, but he has delivered on his big-play potential. He racked up 824 yards and seven touchdowns last season, leading the NFL with 22.3 yards per reception.
Grade: D+
Round 3, Pick No. 97 - Safety Kerby Joseph
A converted wide receiver with limited starting experience at the University of Illinois, the Lions banked on Joseph's raw playmaking abilities translating to the next level.
While the team hoped to have a little more time to develop Joseph behind the scenes, a season-ending injury to Walker required an early-season insertion into the starting lineup. Joseph has never looked back.
He's tallied at least four interceptions each of his first three seasons, leading the league with nine in 2024 to earn first-team All-Pro honors. Additionally, he's sharply reduced his risk-taking while significantly improving his tackling.
The pick has been a home run.
Alternative option: None.
Grade: A+
Round 5, Pick No. 177 - Tight end James Mitchell
Maybe it wasn't an obvious need at the time, but the Lions had little certainty at tight end beyond T.J. Hockenson. Plus, Holmes likely already had an inkling he would shop the Pro Bowler rather than sign him to a market-resetting extension. Hockenson was shipped to the Vikings at the trade deadline a few months later.
Mitchell was coming off a serious knee injury, so the Lions thought they might be getting a bargain in the middle of Day 3. But it never worked out.
Mitchell's best season was his rookie year. He appeared in 14 games, seeing 183 offensive snaps and another 136 on special teams. He was targeted 11 times and caught all of them for 113 yards and score.
However, following the selection of Sam LaPorta in the following year's draft, in addition to Brock Wright locking down the TE2 role, Mitchell faded into the background. He caught two passes in 15 games in his second season and didn't make the roster out of camp in 2024, spending the year on the team's practice squad.
He signed a futures contract with the Carolina Panthers in January.
Alternative option: Cornerback Christian Benford
No one could have reasonably predicted Benford would become a high-level starter out of Villanova. Sure, he offered good size, impressive college ball production, and showcased NFL-caliber speed during the pre-draft process. Still, there was a considerable level of projection coming out of the FCS level.
Now a two-year starter for the Bills, Benford has developed into a Pro Bowl-caliber corner, recently earning a four-year, $69 million extension.
Grade: D-
Round 6, Pick No. 188 - Linebacker Malcolm Rodriguez
NFL teams didn’t know what to do with Rodriguez. His instincts and effort were readily apparent, but the former safety’s size felt prohibitive. Additionally, the way he was utilized in Oklahoma State’s scheme made it difficult to assess how his abilities would translate to the next level.
As it turned out, the instincts played. Rodriguez earned a starting job as a rookie and racked up 87 tackles in 15 starts. He moved into a reserve role after the team drafted Jack Campbell in 2023, allowing Rodriguez to transform into a key special teams performer.
In 2024, he again proved his value, first as a package-based contributor on defense, then as an injury replacement, before he was lost to an ACL tear.
Alternative option: Tight end Andrew Ogletree
The Lions got it right with Rodriguez, but in a world where they didn’t draft Mitchell a round earlier, Ogletree would have been a solid pickup to round out the tight end room. The 6-foot-5, 260-pounder was never going to post big receiving numbers. Still, he’s proven to be an excellent blocker, both in the ground game and in pass protection.
Grade: A