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2025 Detroit Lions: 3-1 Lions roll over Browns (27 Viewers)

The Lions plan to release veteran LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin when the new league year begins, per source.

JRM — who’s also the NFLPA president — made his first Pro Bowl and was second-team All-Pro in 2023.

A longtime contributor and special teams standout now available.
 
The Lions plan to release veteran LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin when the new league year begins, per source.

JRM — who’s also the NFLPA president — made his first Pro Bowl and was second-team All-Pro in 2023.

A longtime contributor and special teams standout now available.
Sad to see him go but the Lions have a bunch of cheaper options for special teams and they have to be mindful of the salary cap. A tough but necessary move imo.
 
The Lions plan to release veteran LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin when the new league year begins, per source.

JRM — who’s also the NFLPA president — made his first Pro Bowl and was second-team All-Pro in 2023.

A longtime contributor and special teams standout now available.
Sad to see him go but the Lions have a bunch of cheaper options for special teams and they have to be mindful of the salary cap. A tough but necessary move imo.

Yeah the new dynamic kickoff rules kind of limited his contribution. Lions led the league in touchbacks, unless they were trying to line drive it through the landing zone they almost always kicked it out the back of the end zone.

Gonna be lots of tough cap cuts this year and next - that's the price you pay for locking up the core.
 
The Lions plan to release veteran LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin when the new league year begins, per source.

JRM — who’s also the NFLPA president — made his first Pro Bowl and was second-team All-Pro in 2023.

A longtime contributor and special teams standout now available.
Sad to see him go but the Lions have a bunch of cheaper options for special teams and they have to be mindful of the salary cap. A tough but necessary move imo.

Yeah the new dynamic kickoff rules kind of limited his contribution. Lions led the league in touchbacks, unless they were trying to line drive it through the landing zone they almost always kicked it out the back of the end zone.

Gonna be lots of tough cap cuts this year and next - that's the price you pay for locking up the core.

Maybin was a good role player, but those roles can be filled by hungry young players. Still a little surprised though as Maybin was only making 1.9 so not a whole lot of savings.
 
The Lions plan to release veteran LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin when the new league year begins, per source.

JRM — who’s also the NFLPA president — made his first Pro Bowl and was second-team All-Pro in 2023.

A longtime contributor and special teams standout now available.
Sad to see him go but the Lions have a bunch of cheaper options for special teams and they have to be mindful of the salary cap. A tough but necessary move imo.

Yeah the new dynamic kickoff rules kind of limited his contribution. Lions led the league in touchbacks, unless they were trying to line drive it through the landing zone they almost always kicked it out the back of the end zone.

Gonna be lots of tough cap cuts this year and next - that's the price you pay for locking up the core.

Maybin was a good role player, but those roles can be filled by hungry young players. Still a little surprised though as Maybin was only making 1.9 so not a whole lot of savings.

He was due a bonus after the new league year starts. Dead cap $2.8M / cap savings $2M.

Just speculating here but last year in his NFLPA role he insisted the reporters stop coming in the locker room to do postgame player interviews & conduct them in the hallway. (I know there are rules about how many minutes they have to wait, not certain about all the particulars here)

This was about halfway through the season & after some of the beats asked for clarification, it was decided it would be up to individual players. So about half the guys kept going out into the hall & half the guys would waive them in.

One of those much ado about nothing deals, but I’m sure it was also viewed as “why is this being made an issue?” because there wasn’t really a consensus either way.

Coach always talked about JRM as being part of the core, glue guy, part of the old guard. But IMO stuff like this (& there was probably an iceberg we don’t know about) made it easier to say “oh we can save $2M cap space? let’s do it, man.”
 
The Lions plan to release veteran LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin when the new league year begins, per source.

JRM — who’s also the NFLPA president — made his first Pro Bowl and was second-team All-Pro in 2023.

A longtime contributor and special teams standout now available.
Sad to see him go but the Lions have a bunch of cheaper options for special teams and they have to be mindful of the salary cap. A tough but necessary move imo.

Yeah the new dynamic kickoff rules kind of limited his contribution. Lions led the league in touchbacks, unless they were trying to line drive it through the landing zone they almost always kicked it out the back of the end zone.

Gonna be lots of tough cap cuts this year and next - that's the price you pay for locking up the core.

Maybin was a good role player, but those roles can be filled by hungry young players. Still a little surprised though as Maybin was only making 1.9 so not a whole lot of savings.

He was due a bonus after the new league year starts. Dead cap $2.8M / cap savings $2M.

Just speculating here but last year in his NFLPA role he insisted the reporters stop coming in the locker room to do postgame player interviews & conduct them in the hallway. (I know there are rules about how many minutes they have to wait, not certain about all the particulars here)

This was about halfway through the season & after some of the beats asked for clarification, it was decided it would be up to individual players. So about half the guys kept going out into the hall & half the guys would waive them in.

One of those much ado about nothing deals, but I’m sure it was also viewed as “why is this being made an issue?” because there wasn’t really a consensus either way.

Coach always talked about JRM as being part of the core, glue guy, part of the old guard. But IMO stuff like this (& there was probably an iceberg we don’t know about) made it easier to say “oh we can save $2M cap space? let’s do it, man.”

Lions needed the glue guys to set the tone and culture. Right now the culture and expectations seem set.

Bottom line is every year players come and players go. Maybin is more replaceable than others.
 
Big fan of Porter - will likely be there for the second round pick at #60. Lance Zierlein's writeup from NFL.com:

Overview​

Sixth-year senior with elite traits and special teams talent but only one year of starting experience at cornerback. Porter’s rep total is heavy on zone coverages but he has the athleticism, burst and speed to handle more man coverage. He has excellent zone awareness with the twitch and ball skills to expand his sphere of influence. He uses his length to shade downfield throws but needs to get stronger to improve his press, his contest and his tackling in run support. More schooling is needed as a pattern-matcher but his athletic profile and instant impact on special teams should create more confidence in projecting Porter’s continued ascension as a CB2/CB3.

Strengths​

  • Elite combination of size, length and speed.
  • Possesses arm length that offensive tackles would covet.
  • Smooth athlete with easy change of direction and acceleration.
  • Long speed with well-timed transitions to phase deep routes.
  • Mature field awareness and zone discipline despite a lack of experience.
  • Possesses the burst and ball skills to crank up ball production.
  • Standout talent at gunner with four career blocked punts.

Weaknesses​

  • Made first start at cornerback in his sixth season in 2024.
  • Limited man-cover reps on tape to evaluate.
  • Takes time gathering and adjusting to more complex routes.
  • Below-average play strength to discard run blocks.
  • Quite a bit to clean up with tackling and contain in run support.
  • Inconsistent coming to balance as a tackler as a punt gunner.


I think he has tremendous upside. Love the length, burst and has elite ball skills. Will contribute Day 1 as a four phase special teamer while they refine his man coverage.

4.30 40 time on Friday - officially puts him on Chris Ballard's radar

(Colts entire draft is often nothing but guys with insane athletic scores)
 
I might have missed V3 but too lazy to go searching for it....

Bo77 Mock Offseason v. 4 // Attempting to Find a "Standard" Brad Holmes Offseason​



What Constitutes a "Standard" Free Agency?​

Going to do a very simple method for this one, which is evaluating the average of how many significant moves that Holmes has made each offseason, and then also peep the breakdown of how that averages out between internal moves (re-signings, extensions) and external moves (trades or free agent signings), and essentially limit myself to whatever that average looks like.

This is not to say that the Lions will limit themselves to whatever the idea of a "standard" offseason is in terms of total moves made over a certain dollar amount. Holmes has shown versatility based on the specifics at hand. But rather this is simply to find what a degree of an average, standard process would look like here from a purely mathematically standpoint, rather than assuming any of us know bests and would just presume to know exactly how many different pieces Holmes will tinker with. This is a look at how Holmes might go about the offseason, not an argument that this is how he should or even will.
Now, to clarify, I am choosing here to define significant moves as anything with an annual average value (AAV) over $2.5 million. Why? That's more or less the average for a player who is expected to be a noteworthy enough contributor at almost every position. It doesn't guarantee it's a big level starter, but it does pretty much equate to guys who are expected to compete for starting roles and significant playtime. I'll also chart the average spent in AAV in each cycle as well and try and to keep my final number the same for this one.


Move2021 Offseason2022 Offseason2023 Offseason2024 OffseasonStandard Offseason
Significant Moves:768118 moves
Significant Internal Moves:1426*3.25 moves
Significant External Moves:62654.75 moves
Average AAV per Sig. Move:$3.9 mil$5.6 mil$6.2 mil$7.4 mil$5.8 mil


*- 3 of the Internal ones in 2024 were extensions of Goff, ARSB, and Sewell, I am not factoring those into the avg. of AAV as this is more to measure the true hard cash used this cycle more so than extension numbers, which throw the metric off.
One significant adjustment however! Rather than simply use the standard offseason numbers as the guide, I think it's clear to see that trend line, which shows that there's more moves and more spending as the Lions competitiveness increased. Which is to say that rather than include the weight of the two rebuilding offseason (2021-2022), I'll instead be using an average of the 2023-2024 offseason as the actual final numbers here, so we'll go with a total of no more than 10 moves total. Let's get after it!

Internal Free Agency

Extensions
For this one, going to go ahead and explore what is probably the most likely scenario, which is Detroit extending both DE Aidan Hutchinson (5-years, $170.5 million, per Lionswire's Jeff Risdon) and then S Kerby Joseph (4-years, $82 million, per Josh Queipo's projections). Both of those financial values fit the trend we saw from Holmes' last year, which was paying Sewell and St. Brown both enough to catapult them to the no. 1 slot in terms of contract value, and Jared Goff also getting a pretty elite deal. Usually, if you have a young, internal player you're extending, landing in the top-3 maybe top-5 tends to be where you land on All-Pro players like these guys. Remember, as the cap is set to continually rise, and others will quickly outpace them (particularly at EDGE with Myles Garrett and Micah Parsons contenders to overtake Hutchinson within a few weeks of the ink drying on that deal), so it doesn't matter too much that they become the top paid. Joseph's is technically second behind Antoine Winfield, but fits in that similar top-3 range, though don't be surprised if his deal ends up at $86 million over four years.
Restructures & Retirements
In this one, as mentioned, I've alternated with the Lions seeing RG Kevin Zeitler retire each and every one so far, so this one will have him sticking around and not retiring. I don't anticipate anyone else considering retirement at this point, though LT Taylor Decker is probably the next most likely.
As for restructures, I don't think any moves here are all that likely. There's a few that are somewhat plausible, but depends on too much future projections to realistically give it a shot.
Cuts
For this one, we'll go ahead and add in two cuts, with Detroit parting ways with LG Graham Glasgow and ILB Jalen Reeves-Maybin. Now to be clear, I think a renegotiation with Glasgow is quite likely, more so than outright cut, but currently Glasgow's cap hit is higher than he's worth so some degree of adjustment here will be required. Most fans sentimentality and non-business oriented perspective on this will lead them to suggest that cutting Reeves-Maybin for just $2 mil in cap space seems a bit unnecessary, which is possibly fair, but it's also a little tough to justify his cap hit with declining play and being easily replaceable at the moment by internal options. Which is more so to say JRM may also get a look for a renegotiation, but also could be considered a cut candidate. I'd say Kalif Raymond might also fall into that category, but his 'teams value is a lot higher than anyone else, so he might be able to stick around despite a $6.5 mil cap hit as a soon-to-be 31 year old return man/WR4.
 
Re-signings

Here's the final one we landed on here. For this one, I prioritized the re-sginings of WR Tim Patrick and RG Kevin Zeitler to help make this a bit more realistic. By that I mean that if we also look into the "standard" offseason, it can be seen that Holmes usually has a notable free agent or two hit the market and not return, and thus that is the projected fate here for DT Levi Onwuzurike and LB Derrick Barnes. Let's say they get a nice pay day with Aaron Glenn and the Jets or something.
This segment does cost us 4 of our 10 significant internal moves, with CB Carlton Davis and DB Ifeatu Melifonwu joining that club alongside the aforementioned Patrick and Zeitler.

Pos.PlayerYearsValue
CBCarlton Davis3$57 million
GKevin Zeitler1$6.5 million
DBIfeatu Melifonwu1$4.5 million
WRTim Patrick1$4.5 million
TEShane Zylstra2$4 million
RBCraig Reynolds2$4 million
EDGEAl'Quadin Muhammad1$1.2 million
DTKyle Peko1$1.2 million
ILBBen Niemann1$1.2 million
CBKindle Vildor1$1.2 million
OTDan Skipper1$1.2 million
CBKhalil Dorsey1$1.2 million
ILBTrevor Nowaske1$1.0 million*
iOLMichael Niese1$940k*
OTConnor Galvin1$940k*
EDGEMitchell Augde1$840k*

*- represents the current ERFA tender

External Moves

Trades
With six moves left to go here, I could look at a trade or so here to go ahead and add to that. The most common names listed here are EDGE Myles Garrett and some WR options like Deebo Samuel or Cooper Kupp, but one I'd keep an eye on is what happens if the Browns do trade Garrett, would the full blown rebuild allow them to consider a deal for CB Denzel Ward then too? I'm not making that one a thing here, but something to keep an eye on.
When it comes to trades, I will say that so far I am not terribly high on this draft class. There's about 30 prospects so far who fit the billing as a clear cut Lions fit, but the ratio so far is a bit behind prior years from what I've evaluated. Thus, if the Lions can find a solid veteran to add to the roster using either that fourth-round pick from the Eagles or maybe even a pair of sixth-round picks, I do think this would be a good year to do so.

The other player I'd be interested in facilitating a move for that is a lot more practical and reasonable to actually get something here for is Broncos DL John Franklin-Myers. He just landed a career high seven sacks last season, but still may be interested in moving him, or maybe even cutting him. While ideally the Lions would get him off of a cut, I do think he (and his contract) are still worth the cost of trading for. JFM was a former Brad Holmes selection in LAR, and is a much better version of what the Lions have used John Cominsky as, which is a bigger, heavier DE who can also kick inside at times. Acquiring Franklin-Myers would only cost Detroit about $7.4 million in cap space, which is right about what I think you'd get him for on the open market, and thus a solid enough deal. So let's facilitate it...

Lions send: 2025 sixth-round selection (via TB)
Broncos send: DE John Franklin-Myers

This one would end being quite cheap with Franklin-Myers a potential cut candidate otherwise. He's still a great player, glue guy type of play and very versatile to let Kelvin Sheppard get creative and swap between 3-4 and 4-3 with ease.
 
Free Agents

Here's what we got for the Lions, with again the remaining five "significant" moves

PositionPlayerTeamYrs.Value
EDGEAzeez OjulariNYG2$16 million
CBDarius SlayPHI1$5.5 million
DTSebastian Joseph-DayTEN1$3.5 million
CRobert HainseyTB1$3.0 million
ILBShaq ThompsonCAR1$3.0 million
WRNoah BrownWAS1$2.0 million
GLucas PatrickNO1$2.0 million

Brad Holmes recently squashed the idea of a major edge rusher move, saying another premium edge is "probably not" going to happen. However, what about a solid 1-2 pairing of two quality, but not exactly star edge rushers joining on board in John Franklin-Myers and EDGE Azeez Ojulari. Whereas JFM is a bigger, EDGE/5T, Ojulari is a truer SAM outside linebacker/stand-up edge rusher. They can easily play together, and together still cost less than what one of the splashier signings like a Josh Sweat or Khalil Mack probably will cost. I honestly wanted Ojulari most last year at the deadline, but now's a great time to add him nonetheless.

I have the Lions bringing back CB Darius Slay, this time more as veteran competition and depth to go alongside Carlton Davis and Terrion Arnold. Slay's remained a capable player into 34-years of age, but it still sounds like the Eagles will be moving on and turning to younger options internally. The Lions could significantly benefit from three corners with starting capability, and Slay's veteran mentorship.

Another defensive lineman is a former Ram that Holmes played a role in selecting. DT Sebastian Joseph-Day is a versatile interior run-stopper who plays with great effort and quality athleticism. He's not a flashy player by any means, but he'd be a quality fill-in while Alim McNeill continues to rehab and get healthy, as he can play both 3T and NT.

Next up is a decent flier on Bucs C Robert Hainsey a former starter at center for Tampa who moved into a reserve role this past season. I think he'd be worth a look for Detroit as a top reserve at either C or G, and he's young enough that if Ragnow does indeed retire early, as had been rumored at various points (though doesn't seem to be trending that way), the Lions could potentially have an internal replacement ready to step in.

And we now dip into the linebacker market here. I don't actually think the Lions will make any significant move for a true inside linebacker, but if they did, grabbing Shaq Thompson as a veteran who can shift between the MIKE and WILL duties regularly enough would make sense as a key reserve behind Anzalone and Campbell.

And we close it out with WR Noah Brown, a big, speedy receiver who is still, even at 29-years old, more athlete than football player, but has seen his production grow over the years. He's a solid WR3/4/5 type who could compete for a role on the team. And G Lucas Patrick is a former starter in Chicago and Green Bay who gives Detroit some veteran depth along the OL with Glasgow out.

We could do a few more smaller moves, but I'll largely hold off there as I did a lot of re-signings earlier.

NFL Draft​


Here's what we land on for this one, doing one slight trade down at the end of the third-round to recoup an extra Day 3 pick late.


SelectionPositionPlayerCollege
Round 1, Pick #28DTWalter NolenOle Miss
Round 2, Pick #60SXavier WattsNotre Dame
Round 4, Pick #105 (via NE)GTate RatledgeGeorgia
Round 4, Pick #133 (via PHI)CBNohl WilliamsCalifornia
Round 7, Pick #227 (via NYJ)EDGEFadil DiggsSyracuse
Round 7, Pick #230 (via DAL)WRTory HortonColorado State
Round 7, Pick #246TEJackson HawesGeorgia Tech

For the first-round pick, I have the Lions going defensive tackle and grabbing Ole Miss DT Walter Nolen. He's a 6-3, 295 pound three technique who wins with the quintessential Brad Holmes blend of burst and explosiveness. He needs some further refinement, but think he brings the right traits to the table to be developed into a game wrecker under Kacy Rodgers and company. The one note here is some have suggested some potential "character concerns" with Nolen, though those can have a pretty wide range out "issues" with significantly varying severity. For example, Jameson Williams had some reported concerns himself, yet was still taken by Detroit. From what I have heard, most of the concern on Nolen seems somewhat similar to that of Williams, which is just that some folks may not love the personality as much as other guys in the league.

Next up is a safety in Xavier Watts, and while some might argue otherwise, I'm actually a decent believer that the Lions will probably go safety earlier in this one than some might speculate. Watts is an excellent option out of Notre Dame, with elite athleticism, excellent feel for the game, and great ball skills as a former receiver. He's a willing tackler as well, which helps the fit in Detroit. He can allow Detroit more freedom to move Brian Branch around and take advantage of matchups.

Tate Ratledge is a multi-year starting guard for the Bulldogs. At 6-6, 330 pounds, he's a big dude who can generate some movement in the run game, but still is capable of playing laterally as well. He anchors particularly well for his height, and brings a tough demeanor to the inside as a potential successor to Kevin Zeitler in 2026.

I usually don't repeat prospects but given that I used Cal CB Nohl Williams in a situation I technically screwed up on (with a pick I had traded for Cooper Kupp). Thus, I'd like to give him some more credit and a fair section here. His athletic testing the other day wasn't terrific, but he has the size and physicality in press to be a very worthwhile addition for Detroit.

Someone who did crush it in athletic testing was Syracuse EDGE Fadill Diggs. He landed at an unofficial 9.30 RAS score, which clears the very strict 9.2 line that Holmes has thus far operated with. Diggs is a raw player at the moment, with good explosiveness and power and speed, but needs to really fine tune his instincts and play the game at a more technical level. However, he's a solid developmental edge prospect to fit the Lions depth chart.

WR Tory Horton is a 6-3, 190 pound X-receiver hailing from Colorado State. His first sentence write-up from the 33rd Team is almost perfectly in the mold that we've seen Holmes target, describing him as "a dangerous vertical receiver who offers sufficient speed on the perimeter, strong ball tracking ability, and strong hands to attack the football." He brings a nice element to develop behind Tim Patrick.

And last but not least is TE Jackson Hawes. None of the tight ends have really met the bar that well in the RAS department, but Hawes' 7.83 is solid enough, especially considering this is a very late pick. He's more of a gritty blocker, but that's a role we've now seen Detroit look at expanding rather than just continuing to toss in a series of runny catchy passy tight ends.
 

2025 Projected Depth Chart

Offensive Depth Chart

PositionStarterRotationDepth
QuarterbackJared GoffHendon HookerJake Fromm
Running BackJahmyr Gibbs & David MontgomeryCraig ReynoldsSione Vaki
Wide ReceiverAmon-Ra St. BrownKalif RaymondTom Kennedy
Wide ReceiverJameson WilliamsNoah BrownAntoine Green
Wide ReceiverTim PatrickTory HortonRonnie Bell
Tight EndSam LaPortaBrock WrightShane Zylstra
Left TackleTaylor DeckerDan SkipperGiovanni Manu
Left GuardChristian MahoganyLucas Patrick
CenterFrank RagnowRobert HainseyMichael Niese
Right GuardKevin ZeitlerTate Ratledge
Right TacklePenei SewellColby SorsdalConnor Galvin


Defensive Depth Chart

PositionStarterRotationDepth
Defensive EndAidan HutchinsonAl'Quadin MuhammadMitchell Agude
Defensive TackleWalter Nolen OR Sebastian Joseph-DayAlim McNeill*Mekhi Wingo
Defensive TackleD.J. ReaderBrodric MartinKyle Peko
5T Defensive EndJohn Franklin-MyersZaDarius SmithNate Lynn
Defensive End (Rush)Azeez OjulariJosh PaschalFadill Diggs
Inside LinebackerAlex AnzaloneShaq ThompsonBen Niemann
Inside LinebackerJack CampbellMalcolm RodriguezTrevor Nowaske
CornerbackCarlton DavisKindle VildorMorice Norris
CornerbackDarius Slay OR Terrion ArnoldNohl WilliamsStanley Thomas-Oliver
Slot/NickelAmik RobertsonEnnis RakestrawKhalil Dorsey
Free SafetyKerby JosephXavier WattsLoren Strickland
Strong SafetyBrian BranchIfeatu MelifonwuEric Hallett
 
There are so many good edge rushers in this draft it's hard to separate them. One of the players I like is Donovan Ezeiruaku of Boston College. In addition to his physical abilities he has a rep for studying and knowing the game inside out.

Ezeiruaku led the FBS in sacks per game (1.38), finished second in the country in tackles for loss (20.5), and won the Ted Hendricks Award for best defensive end in college football.

In practice he could once again go up on the other side of the line vs his former teammate Christian Mahogany.
 
There are so many good edge rushers in this draft it's hard to separate them. One of the players I like is Donovan Ezeiruaku of Boston College. In addition to his physical abilities he has a rep for studying and knowing the game inside out.

Ezeiruaku led the FBS in sacks per game (1.38), finished second in the country in tackles for loss (20.5), and won the Ted Hendricks Award for best defensive end in college football.

In practice he could once again go up on the other side of the line vs his former teammate Christian Mahogany.

Trevor Sikkema & Connor Rogers (NFL Stock Exchange) mocked him to Detroit post-Combine.

I like to be well informed about the draft cycle but learned my lesson in 2023.

If Brad thinks Player X is the best fit, then I'm backing him.

IDK nothing.
 

A position-by-position look at Detroit Lions' offensive needs and potential fits ahead of free agency


The NFL's free agency period opens next Wednesday, March 12, at 4 p.m.

Ahead of that signing frenzy, let's take a position-by-position look at the Detroit Lions roster, starting with the offense.

We'll assess the team's needs by examining the players under contract for the upcoming season and those with expiring deals. We'll also highlight some reasonable free-agent fits to consider as the team prepares to do some offseason shopping.

Quarterback​

Under contract: Jared Goff, Hendon Hooker, Jake Fromm

Expiring contracts: Teddy Bridgewater

Top free agents: Sam Darnold, Justin Fields, Russell Wilson, Jameis Winston, Daniel Jones

Potential fits: Jarrett Stidham

Analysis: It’s nice to not need a quarterback, right? It’s actually been quite a while since the Lions have been in the market for a starter, going back to 2009, when the team selected Matthew Stafford with the No. 1 overall pick. And after signing Goff to an extension that runs through 2028, the Lions should be set at the spot for a while.

The backup situation is also fairly stable, despite the short-term decision to bring back Bridgewater for the playoffs last year. Hooker, with a full season under his belt, presumably continues to be the answer for the role.

On the off chance I’m overestimating the organization’s faith in Hooker, it stands to reason the team would seek a familiar veteran. That could obviously be Bridgewater. Alternatively, the team could look for a tie to new coordinator John Morton. Stidham spent the past two seasons with the coach in Denver, appearing in six games as a backup QB. His production has been modest throughout his career. Still, having played in multiple systems for multiple teams, he could provide a valuable set of veteran eyes to the room for game-planning purposes.

Ultimately, I think the Lions stand pat with their current setup.

Running back​

Under contract: Jahmyr Gibbs, David Montgomery, Sione Vaki

Expiring contracts: Craig Reynolds

Top free agents: Aaron Jones, Najee Harris, Rico Dowdle, J.K. Dobbins, Nick Chubb

Potential fits: Reynolds, Reggie Gilliam

Analysis: Detroit has similar stability at the top of its backfield depth chart. Gibbs's rookie contract has two years and a fifth-year option remaining, and Montgomery signed a two-year extension through the 2027 season. However, the team has off-ramps the two seasons after this one if they decide to change course.

The Lions' immediate concern is the depth beyond that dynamic tandem. Reynolds has admirably filled the role over the past few seasons, including a large special teams workload. He's respected and trusted by the coaching staff, so it would hardly be surprising to see him brought back.

Additionally, the team drafted Vaki to round out the room last year. He remains a work in progress as a ball carrier, having converted from playing safety in college. Still, his extensive special teams contributions keep him active on game days.

I do wonder if the Lions would consider re-adding a traditional fullback to the roster this offseason, either instead of or in addition to Reynolds. Some good ones are expected to hit the market, including five-time Pro Bowler Patrick Ricard. Alternatively, there's Gilliam, who has served as the blocking back in Bufflao the past five seasons while averaging more than 300 special teams snaps the past four. Finally, there's old friend Michael Burton, a fifth-round pick for the Lions in 2015, who was with Morton in Denver the past two seasons.

Wide receiver​

Under contract: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Kalif Raymond, Tom Kennedy, Ronnie Bell, Antoine Green

Expiring contracts: Tim Patrick, Allen Robinson

Top free agents: Tee Higgins (franchised), Chris Godwin, Davante Adams, Amari Cooper, Stefon Diggs

Potential fits: Patrick, Lil'Jordan Humphrey, Noah Brown, Ben Skowronek

Analysis: Detroit has a little work to do at the position this offseason. Three of their top four receivers remain under contract, including the All-Pro St. Brown and budding star Williams. The four-year extension St. Brown signed last offseason kicks in this year. Williams’ future is less certain. He’s under contract for 2025, and the team holds a costly fifth-year option. An extension might make more sense, especially if he continues to take positive steps on and off the field.

From a depth perspective, Raymond brings versatile reliability. Where Detroit needs help is at the X, which veteran Tim Patrick capably filled a year ago. Joining the roster just before the start of the season, he caught 33 of 44 targets for 394 yards and three scores. He was also an eager and effective blocker on the perimeter, a requirement for that spot in Detroit.

Patrick will turn 32 this year but appeared to have enough in the tank to justify extending the relationship. But suppose the Lions want to go younger with a big-bodied perimeter threat ahead of the draft, at least a few options are scheduled to be available.

Among that group is the 6-foot-4, 225-pound Humphrey, who Denver retained over Patrick last season. He responded with a career-high 31 catches for the Broncos. Not only does he have overlap with Morton from his time there, but Humprhy came into the league with the Saints in 2019, when coach Dan Campbell was still on staff.

As for the 6-foot-3, 224-pound Skowronek, he was scouted by Lions general manager Brad Holmes before being selected in the seventh round by the Los Angeles Rams in 2021. Skowronek’s best production came a year later when he caught 39 balls for 376 yards, plus he’s amassed more than 700 special teams snaps across his first four seasons.

These aren’t sexy names, but the Lions aren’t likely looking to spend big money on the position with so many resources tied up into St. Brown and potentially Williams. They need a complement to the corps and can seek a more cost-effective solution in the draft if they desire.

Tight end​

Under contract: Sam LaPorta, Brock Wright

Expiring contracts: Shane Zylstra

Top free agents: Mike Gesicki, Juwan Johnson, Tyler Conklin, Zach Ertz

Potential fits: Hunter Long, Eric Saubert

Analysis: Five tight ends took offensive snaps for the Lions last season, with LaPorta and Wright accounting for 88.6% of the workload. Even more lopsided, the tandem was responsible for 96.4% of the position’s receiving production. That’s counting offensive tackle Dan Skipper’s 9-yard touchdown catch as part of a jumbo package.

Those figures set the table for how much the Lions need a tight end in 2025. Of course, it’s reasonable to expect they’ll carry a third on the roster, but it’s difficult to suggest they’re looking for a type based on how they handled the spot last year.

After a healthy camp competition, the Lions opened the campaign with Parker Hesse, a block-first option. They eventually swapped him out for Zylstra, who is more of an athletic receiving threat.

With a new coordinator and position coach, it wouldn’t be surprising to see some fresh faces. Long, a former third-round draft pick, is intriguing because he offers athletic upside and has been a quality run blocker for the Rams over the past two seasons.

Saubert, a journeyman who has played for six teams during his eight-year career and spent 2024 with San Francisco, also fits this mold.

Offensive line​

Under contract: Taylor Decker, Graham Glasgow, Frank Ragnow, Penei Sewell, Christian Mahogany, Giovani Manu, Netane Muti, Kingsley Eguakun, Jamarco Jones

Expiring contracts: Kevin Zeitler, Dan Skipper, Kayode Awosika, Michael Niese

Top free agents: Ronnie Stanley, Trey Smith (franchised), Patrick Mekari, Tyron Smith, Drew Dalman, Will Fries, Teven Jenkins

Potential fits: Zeitler, Skipper, Trystan Colon

Analysis: There's a touch of uncertainty with the Lions' front headed into 2025, with that conversation centered around the guards.

Zeitler was outstanding as a stopgap last season, yet it's debatable how much the team needs him back next season with the emergence of Mahogany, who thrived in two spot starts and profiles best as a right guard.

Detroit's other four starters from a year ago remain under contract. However, the team will likely need to replace Graham Glasgow sooner rather than later. He turns 33 in August and is coming off a down year.

Assuming the Lions stick with Glasgow for another season, and opt to run with Mahogany over re-signing Zeitler, they'll need depth across the unit. They started to address it earlier this offseason by re-signing Muti. He was having a stellar camp last offseason before suffering a torn pec.

It also remains to be seen whether Manu has developed enough in one year to be ready to take over the swing tackle job. The team isn't likely to leave this to chance. They'll have veteran competition for the youngster, potentially (likely?) running it back with Skipper.

It also makes sense to add another low-cost, experienced guard in case Muti's longstanding durability issues persist. Someone like Dalton Risner, who has starting experience on both sides, makes sense. If center flexibility is important, Colon has been a capable reserve for Baltimore and Arizona the past five seasons.
 
Maxx Crosby signed a 3 year extension for $106 million with the Raiders. I'm a huge fan. If I recall correctly he played EVERY snap in 9 of 12 games last year. That's insane

Hutchinson will be in that ballpark.
 
Maxx Crosby signed a 3 year extension for $106 million with the Raiders. I'm a huge fan. If I recall correctly he played EVERY snap in 9 of 12 games last year. That's insane

Hutchinson will be in that ballpark.
True, he will. It's why it's so hard to fit two players of that caliber on one defensive line.
 
Maxx Crosby signed a 3 year extension for $106 million with the Raiders. I'm a huge fan. If I recall correctly he played EVERY snap in 9 of 12 games last year. That's insane

Hutchinson will be in that ballpark.
True, he will. It's why it's so hard to fit two players of that caliber on one defensive line.

Nick Bosa is at $34M, so I think had Hutch mentally penciled in at $35M. Parsons is playing for $22M 5th year option this year, and unlikely to report until he gets a long term deal.

Hutch will make $19.872M on his 5th year option.

Top of the market prices only go in one direction. Sooner we get a deal done with Aidan the better, hopefully before Micah & Jerry finish their deal.
 

A position-by-position look at Detroit Lions' defensive needs and potential fits ahead of free agency


The NFL's free agency period opens next Wednesday, March 12, at 4 p.m. After examining the Detroit Lions offense on Wednesday, let’s take a position-by-position look at the defense.

We'll assess the team's needs by examining the players under contract for the upcoming season and those with expiring deals. We'll also highlight some free-agent fits to consider as the team prepares to do some offseason shopping.

Edge

Under contract: Aidan Hutchinson, Josh Paschal, Za’Darius Smith, Nate Lynn, Isaac Ukwu

Expiring contracts: Marcus Davenport, John Cominsky, Al-Quadin Muhammad, Jonah Williams, Mitchell Agude (ERFA)

Top free agents: Khalil Mack, Josh Sweat, Haasan Reddick, Malcolm Koonce, Dayo Odeyingbo

Potential fits: Muhammad, Mack, Chase Young, Deatrich Wise Jr., Emmanuel Ogbah

Analysis: After this year's Super Bowl, everyone wants to emulate the Philadelphia Eagles' ability to affect the quarterback rushing just four. Of course, that's far easier said than done.

The Lions blitzed twice as much as the Eagles last season. Much of that was schematic, part of former coordinator Aaron Glenn's philosophical DNA. Even before Hutchinson was lost for the season, the Lions had double-digit blitzes in each of their first four games, including a season-high 21 against Seattle in Week 4.

Still, it would be nice to be less reliant on the defensive strategy. That hinges on having more pass-rushing talent up front. The team's offseason approach will start with Smith, last year's trade deadline acquisition. A stopgap to replace Hutchinson, the Lions hold an option with the inherited contract to keep him in the fold as a partner to their star.

Retaining Smith would cost the Lions close to $11 million. A few days into the league here, he's due a $2 million roster bonus and a $7 million option bonus. For cap purposes, the latter would be spread out because of three void years attached to the end of his contract. That means Smith would cost a reasonable $5.76 million cap hit this year, but the Lions would be on the hook for $5.24 million in dead money in 2026 when the contract voids/expires.

There's certainly a case to keep him. Even as he approaches his 33rd birthday, Smith provided 63 QB pressures last season. He might not be much of a run defender at this stage of his career, but he can clearly still disrupt the QB's pocket.

Pair that with Paschal, bringing back Muhammad — who was solid down the stretch last season — plus adding an early-round draft pick to the mix, and you have the makings of a solid edge group.

Alternatively, the Lions could decline Smith's option and take a bigger swing on the market. Mack jumps out as an intriguing option. At 34 years old, he's not going to command a long-term deal. His pass-rush production dipped last season, but he remains impactful, including elite run-stopping abilities.

Young, the No. 2 pick in the 2020 draft, is looking at playing for his third team in three years. He continues to offer a high pass-rush ceiling if you can get past concerns about inconsistent effort.

Wise and Ogbah wouldn't bring that kind of pass-rush juice, but both stylistically fit the type of big-framed, pocket-crushing complement the team has sought opposite Hutchinson. They should also cost significantly less than Smith or Mack.

Defensive tackle

Under contract: Alim McNeill, DJ Reader, Brodric Martin, Mekhi Wingo, Chris Smith

Expiring contracts: Levi Onwuzurike, Pat O’Connor, Kyle Peko, Myles Adams

Top free agents: Milton Williams, B.J. Hill, Onwuzurike, Javon Hargrave, Calais Campbell

Potential fits: Onwuzurike, O’Connor, Campbell, Hill, Poona Ford, Jarran Reed

Analysis: Similar to Smith's option, the Lions have a decision to make with Reader. He's due a $4 million roster bonus next week, part of a nearly $13 million cap hit. Alternatively, the Lions could cut the veteran nose tackle, eat $5 million in dead money and add almost $8 million in cap space.

It's not an easy choice. In Reader's first season with the Lions, and coming off the second torn quad of his career, he wasn't as dominant as he'd previously been. Still, he provided more than 500 quality snaps, and Martin has not shown he's ready to take over the job.

Beyond Reader, the Lions face the prospect of losing Onwuzurike. He is due a significant raise after overcoming concerns about his back and delivering more than 600 snaps and 45 quarterback pressures. His injury history might limit the number of years teams will be willing to commit, but an offer averaging double-digit millions wouldn't be surprising.

Even with Detroit's pending cap crunch, we can't rule out an extension of the relationship. General manager Brad Holmes likes to keep his own, and he's always had a strong affinity for Onwuzurike.

If the Lions have to shop outside their walls, there are some intriguing options. Hill, Reader's former teammate in Cincinnati, is a durable, well-rounded interior lineman who has played more than 700 snaps each of the past three seasons, been steady against the run and offers a decent amount of pressure as a rusher.

Meanwhile, despite being long in the tooth, Campbell continues to be one of the NFL's premier interior run defenders. The Lions considered the veteran a couple of years back but couldn't reach a deal. It would certainly be worth revisiting.

Linebacker

Under contract: Alex Anzalone, Jack Campbell, Malcolm Rodriguez, Trevor Nowaske, Abraham Beauplan, DaRon Gilbert

Expiring contracts: Derrick Barnes, Ben Niemann, Ezekiel Turner, Anthony Pittman

Top free agents: Dre Greenlaw, Nick Bolton, Ernest Jones, Bobby Wagner

Potential fits: Barnes, Michael Hoecht

Analysis: A few publications have listed
Greenlaw as a fit for Detroit, but it would be surprising to see the team commit significant cap space to an off-ball linebacker this offseason, given Anzalone and Campbell are three-down players.

Detroit's more pressing concern is what to do at their strongside spot, which was manned by Barnes to begin last season. In that incarnation of the scheme, he played twice as many snaps on the line of scrimmage as part of a five-man front. There aren't a lot of players out there who can effortlessly flip between those edge alignments, move to stack linebacker, or even drift out to the slot to cover a tight end.

Nowaske filled the role after Barnes went down, but the results were mixed for a young player seeing the first defensive work of his career.

The Lions have options with their approach to the SAM position. They could bring back Barnes, who is coming off the injury and has a resume lacking playmaking production, which should keep the price tag down. Alternatively, they could go cheap and young with Nowaske, counting on a developmental jump with the experience he gained last season. Or they could re-envision the role as more of a traditional pass-rusher while reverting to more of a nickel-heavy base defense, no longer feeling forced by Barnes' talent to get a third linebacker on the field.

Regardless, the team will need some depth at linebacker, especially with Rodriguez recovering from a torn ACL this offseason. That solution could be as simple as re-signing Niemann and Turner, two steady special teams contributors with contrasting defensive skill sets.

Hoecht did catch the eye when looking over the list of pending free agents. Formerly a 310-pound interior lineman, he dropped more than 40 pounds and played a versatile outside linebacking role last season, primarily lining up on the edge. He joined the Rams the year Holmes left for the Detroit job, but the GM was almost certainly involved in scouting the defender.
 
Cornerback

Under contract: Terrion Arnold, Amik Robertson, Ennis Rakestraw, Stantley Thomas-Oliver

Expiring contracts: Carlton Davis III, Kindle Vildor, Khalil Dorsey, Emmanuel Moseley

Top free agents: D.J. Reed, Charvarius Ward, Davis, Byron Murphy Jr., Asante Samuel Jr.

Potential fits: Davis, Ward, Paulson Adebo, Stephon Gilmore, Isaiah Rodgers

Analysis: The Lions have to do something at cornerback in free agency; it’s just a matter of how much the team is willing to spend. We can’t rule out re-signing Davis, who was the solution the team needed him to be after he was acquired in a trade from Tampa last offseason.

Davis will be viewed as near or at the top of the list of available corners, which will allow him to command a multi-year offer that will likely range from $15-$18 million per season. Murphy, Reed and Ward also figure to be in that price range, even with the latter coming off a down season for the 49ers.

We know the Lions prefer to play man-to-man, so they’ll be hunting for cornerbacks who thrive in those assignments. If they’re unable or unwilling to meet the demands for top-of-the-market talent, a small step down could be Adebo. He’s had success playing man coverage and has snagged seven interceptions the past two seasons, but he’s coming off a broken leg that prematurely ended his 2024 campaign.

Even more cost-conscious would be Gilmore, the two-time All-Pro and former Defensive Player of the Year. Although he is in the twilight of his career, he remains productive enough to serve as a stopgap for a young secondary being built around Arnold and Rakestraw.

Of course, many Lions fans will feel the same way about a temporary reunion with Darius Slay, who was recently released by the Eagles. Now 34 years old, the former Lions draft pick still limited opposing quarterbacks to completing just half of their passes when targeting him in coverage last season.

The Lions should also consider Slay’s teammate, Rodgers, a reserve who thrived in his playing time opportunities last season after being suspended all of 2023 for violating the league’s gambling policy.

Safety

Under contract: Kerby Joseph, Brian Branch, Morice Norris, Loren Strickland, Erick Hallett

Expiring contracts: Ifeatu Melifonwu

Top free agents: Jevon Holland, Justin Reid, Tre'von Moehrig, Camryn Bynum, Talanoa Hufanga

Potential fits: Jeremy Chinn, John Johnson,
Ashtyn Davis

Analysis: The Lions arguably have the best safety tandem in the league. Regardless, with Melifonwu headed to free agency, the team has major depth issues.

Ideally, the team would find a versatile veteran who is equally comfortable lining up deep or in the box. Johnson, the longtime Ram, would be an intriguing option if he cannot find a starting opportunity. He missed much of last year with a shoulder injury but looked solid in his return to the starting lineup down the stretch of the 2023 season.

Chinn is admittedly a stretch, especially after increasing his value with a strong season on a prove-it deal for the Commanders in 2024. He’s worth mentioning because there’s an overlap with Melifonwu’s size and skill set. You could justify the pursuit of Chinn as a hybrid box defender and building around three-safety packages.

Davis is more of a bargain option. He’s a special teams standout with defensive experience but has logged fewer than 500 snaps across the past three seasons. That said, he’s been solid when called upon, can handle versatile assignments and is still in his physical prime (28).
 
Was listening to the Athletic Football Podcast with Robert Mays and Derrick Klassen the other day. They had a mailbag question about whether the Lions should go all-in (eg on a Garrett trade), and they made two good points. May's point -- which I've already made myself in earlier posts, though tbf I probably got the idea from listening to folks like him -- is that as their core gets super expensive, they're going to need their draft picks in order to surround their stars with cheap talent.

But Klassen's argument was that, coming off a 15-2 season where the wheels fell off in the divisional round, their takeaway should be that you can never bet the house on a single year, because all it takes is one bad game. So the better course is to put yourself in a position to compete every year and hope that at least one of those years, things break your way in the playoffs.

I mostly agree with that, but the one thing that still nags at me is that 2025 will likely be the last year of Holmes/Campbell 1.0. Assuming the new coordinators work out, the Lions can basically run things back from last year. But starting next year, the roster will really have to change. I have faith in Brad and Dan to manage that transition, but I could see going at least a little bit all-in for this year (while not crippling themselves for the future)
 
Malcolm Rodriguez's ACL injury cost him a significant pay bump for 2025. He was tracking toward earning a Proven Performance Escalator for playing 35% of snaps through three years. Lost ~$2.3M.

Rodriguez played 31.6% of Detroit's defensive snaps over the past three years. Needed 101 more to hit the threshold for the escalator. Would have taken his 2025 salary from $1.1M to $3.4M.
 
Was listening to the Athletic Football Podcast with Robert Mays and Derrick Klassen the other day. They had a mailbag question about whether the Lions should go all-in (eg on a Garrett trade), and they made two good points. May's point -- which I've already made myself in earlier posts, though tbf I probably got the idea from listening to folks like him -- is that as their core gets super expensive, they're going to need their draft picks in order to surround their stars with cheap talent.

But Klassen's argument was that, coming off a 15-2 season where the wheels fell off in the divisional round, their takeaway should be that you can never bet the house on a single year, because all it takes is one bad game. So the better course is to put yourself in a position to compete every year and hope that at least one of those years, things break your way in the playoffs.
This makes sense, plus there isn't a single player that ensures any team a championship any given year. Even the best are subject to injury as we have already seen.
 
The Lions have agreed to a 3-year $25.5M extension for Derrick Barnes, a key part of their defense. $16M of the deal is fully guaranteed on signing.



Big fan of this move, he was really coming on late 2023. Really hurt not having him most of last season.
 
The Lions have agreed to a 3-year $25.5M extension for Derrick Barnes, a key part of their defense. $16M of the deal is fully guaranteed on signing.



Big fan of this move, he was really coming on late 2023. Really hurt not having him most of last season.
I'm also a big fan. Barnes has shown dramatic improvement since being drafted and still has more upside to tap into. The contract was reasonable as well.
 
The Lions have agreed to a 3-year $25.5M extension for Derrick Barnes, a key part of their defense. $16M of the deal is fully guaranteed on signing.



Big fan of this move, he was really coming on late 2023. Really hurt not having him most of last season.

Other than his missed sack on Prescott been impressed with Barnes development.

@Da Guru circa 2030

“Would have had the #1 seed back in ‘23 if CeeDee doesn’t catch that 97 yarder.”
 

Ahead of free agency, evaluating Detroit Lions' cap situation for 2025 and beyond


Perhaps you caught the news last week. The NFL's salary cap continued its sharp rise, reaching $279.2 million for the upcoming season. That marks a 9.3% increase following last year's 13.6% jump. It means the league's 32 teams will collectively have $761 million more to spend on player contracts this season.

Even before the ceiling was raised, the Detroit Lions had a healthy cap situation. Following a roster dismantling that coincided with general manager Brad Holmes's arrival in 2021, the team has patiently built through the draft, with savvy additions through trades and free agency the past couple of seasons.

With this year's signing period arriving next week, now is an ideal time to examine Detroit's immediate and future cap position in greater depth to better understand the team's spending power heading into the new league year.

Let's start with some basics before diving into what it all means.

Calculating current cap space​

As established, this year's cap is $279.2 million. To determine the remaining space, we must deduct salaries and lingering dead money from players who have been cut or were on expiring contracts with void years, plus add in the unused cap space from the previous season, which rolls over.

Let's start with salaries. Remember, the NFL has a strange rule where only the top 51 player salaries count against the cap during the offseason. Removing linebacker Jalen Reeves-Maybin from Detroit's calculation, given his pending release, the team's top 51 salaries add up to $228.6 million. We will come back to this total in a moment.

Moving on to dead money, factoring in the $2.75 million from Reeves-Maybin, the Lions are currently on the hook for $21.4 million attached to four players. That figure includes $9.8 million that had been pushed into void years on Carlton Davis III's inherited and restructured contract, $2.3 million for Marcus Davenport, also tied to void years, and $6.5 million from last year's release of cornerback Cam Sutton.

The Sutton number is likely lower but not publicly available. The team released him with cause after domestic violence allegations in 2024, but that designation was appealed. The sides eventually reached an unknown settlement. Regardless, even though the $6.5 million represents more than 2% of this year's cap, it's largely inconsequential to the Lions' big picture.

Finally, according to NFLPA records, Detroit is carrying over $23.7 million in unused cap space from last season.

Now, I noted that I wanted to return to the top 51 salary calculation. That's because I do something differently — but ultimately necessary — when evaluating the team's cap space ahead of free agency. I think it's important to include cap estimates for the team's upcoming draft class in April. That raised the Lions' figure to $231.2 million.

That does not include Friday’s extension agreement for Derrick Barnes because we don’t have the details yet. The first-year hit will undoubtedly be less than the reported $8.5 million average value of the deal, probably closer to $3-4 million, but we'll leave it off the ledger until we have clarity.

Where does that leave the Lions? Starting with the league's cap figure, subtracting salary obligations, subtracting dead money, and adding carryover, the Lions were roughly $50.3 million under the cap before re-signing Barnes.

Pumping the brakes​

Without further context, that's an exciting number. However, several considerations must be weighed before demanding Holmes call the Browns to barter for Myles Garrett or break out the checkbook for a free-agent spending spree.

Remember, the top 51 rule only applies during the offseason. Once the regular season begins, all 53 players on the active roster, the 16-man practice squad, and any players on injured reserve count toward the cap. Just those two extra roster spots and a practice squad will cost somewhere around $6 million.

Plus, if anyone understands the costs associated with replacing injured players, it's the Lions. The team had more than 20 players placed on injured reserve last season. That's why the front office is conscientious about leaving a significant rainy-day fund, which allows them to not only sign midseason replacements off the street and other teams' practice squads, but also provides the flexibility to swing a deadline deal for an established veteran like Za'Darius Smith.

The fact that they accomplished all that and are still carrying over $23 million should hammer home the team won't come close to spending every available dollar.

More pressing than those items are Detroit's future obligations, those already established and others still to come.

Last offseason, the Lions signed several foundational pieces to massive extensions. That group included quarterback Jared Goff, wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown, offensive tackles Penei Sewell and Taylor Decker, and running back David Montgomery. Well, those bills come due in a more significant way starting next season.

Goff has a $32.6 million cap hit this year. Next year, it vaults to $69.6 million. St. Brown's will go from $13.9 million to $33.1 million in 2026. Sewell, $9.5 million to $28 million.

Before Barnes gets added in, Detroit has $255 million committed to 26 players under contract for the 2026 season. Additionally, the team has another $11.7 million in projected dead money. Even if the cap rises north of $300 million, the math gets more complicated.

And that's not even weighing in possible extensions for Aidan Hutchinson, Kerby Joseph, Brian Branch, Sam LaPorta, Jahymr Gibbs, Jameson Williams and Jack Campbell. Each of those deals figures to be near the top of the market for their positions, with Hutchinson having the potential to become the league's highest-paid non-quarterback, topping Maxx Crosby's record-breaking extension signed this week.

It's why Holmes levied this warning at the scouting combine late last month:

"We're at the juncture with our roster right now that we have identified a lot of young core pieces that we want to keep around, and unfortunately that's the tough part is that you got to make decisions on other players contractually that you might not be able to keep that you want to keep," Holmes explained. "So it's not more so due to you don't want to have the players anymore, you just can't have everybody."

Under Holmes, Detroit has always prioritized re-signing its own, proven again with Barnes’ extension. You can safely expect the franchise's focus during the next two offseasons will be directed toward retaining most of that group mentioned above.

Spending power and other considerations​

While next year’s cap situation looks dicey, it’s important to remember there are several ways to create cap space, starting with carrying over unused space from this year into next.

Some veterans will also be cut, and it’s a safe bet a couple of those bigger contracts will be restructured, especially Goff’s gaudy number, pushing a percentage of cap obligations into the future.

Of course, that’s the delicate dance talent-rich teams must navigate to remain competitive annually. There’s a limit to how frequently and how much you can lean on restructures before you end up in a perpetual cap hell. The New Orleans Saints epitomize this type of fiscal gymnastics. They are annually scrambling to trim their cap before the start of each new league year. They entered this offseason more than $40 million over budget. This is a folly the Lions should do everything they can to avoid.

Still, even heeding those warnings, there’s room to add this offseason, especially shorter-term contracts. It’s why I highlighted several older yet still productive veterans as potential fits in our free-agency previews. Players like Stephon Gilmore, Darius Slay and Calais Campbell make more sense when considering the roster’s future. That could potentially be extended to a bigger fish like Khalil Mack or Joey Bosa, if a deal can be structured in a way that gives the Lions flexibility, similar to the DJ Reader’s two-year agreement last offseason.

What’s less likely is a multi-year deal for a high-end talent in their prime. It's why re-signing Carlton Davis III has always been a complicated conversation. While contracts can easily be structured to have lower cap hits in the first year — Sutton’s three-year, $33 million pact had a first-year cap number of just $3.3 million, for example — the Lions aren’t in a great position to be taking on additional deals with these common, rapidly rising structures.

There's obviously a lot of fluidity to the management of the cap. Teams constantly prove an ability to shoehorn in contracts in creative ways. But not without creating future problems, forcing either a painful ripping off of the band-aid to reset the cap, or worse, getting trapped on the hampster wheel of mediocrity like the Saints.
 
Raised salary caps remind me of cost of living allowances in paychecks and SS payments. It seems like a raise, but really just reflects the extra amount you pay due to inflation.
 
Reportedly bringing back ED Marcus Davenport on another cheap 1-yr prove it deal. He lasted 86 snaps last year, roughly the same as 2023 with the Vikings.
 
Lions signed Marcus Davenport to a one year contract for up to $4.75 million. Probably loaded with games played incentives and they don't have to count on him. Relatively cheap and it won't stop them from adding in the draft. I'm good with it.
 
PFF article "One Perfect FA for every team"

Detroit Lions: CB D.J. Reed

As the Lions transition away from defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn to in-house successor Kelvin Sheppard, the backbone of their defensive structure isn’t yet known — but it’s fair to assume that most of the fundamentals will remain in place. Either way, adding arguably the top cornerback on the market in Reed wouldn’t hurt.

Last year, Detroit leaned primarily on Cover 1, running it on 33.7% of snaps. Meanwhile, since 2022, Reed’s 70.7 PFF coverage grade in Cover 1 is the 12th best among qualified cornerbacks. Even in a bit of a down season, Reed still enjoyed his staggering sixth straight year with a 70.0-plus PFF coverage grade.

The Lions’ cornerback room will need reinforcements, given that Carlton Davis III is no longer under contract. With $51 million in cap space and hopes of finally reaching the Super Bowl, Detroit can finance a big-money move like Reed.
 

Detroit Lions reportedly declining option, parting ways with Za'Darius Smith​


Smith was due a $7 million option bonus late next week. By releasing him, the Lions clear his contracts off their books without a lingering dead-money…


According to multiple reports Sunday afternoon, the Detroit Lions are parting ways with edge rusher Za’Darius Smith ahead of the new league year, which starts next Wednesday.

Acquired at the trade deadline last season, Smith helped buoy Detroit’s depleted pass rush, recording 4.0 sacks and 36 quarterback pressures across eight games.

With starters Aidan Hutchinson and Marcus Davenport lost to season-ending injuries, the Lions shipped a 2025 fifth-round pick and a 2026 sixth-round selection to the Browns for Smith. The Lions also received a seventh-round pick in 2026 as part of the exchange.

The teams went back and forth on compensation for weeks before reaching a deal on the day of the deadline. Following the season, Lions general manager Brad Holmes called it “the most difficult player acquisition journey that I’ve ever dealt with.”

Smith, 32, is a 10-year veteran who has appeared in 140 games, including 96 starts. He’s tallied 333 tackles and 69.0 sacks.

With the contract the Lions inherited from the Browns, Smith was due a $7 million option bonus late next week. Had Detroit exercised it, Smith would have carried a $5.7 million cap charge this season with a lingering $5.2 million dead money cap hit in 2026. By letting him go, the Lions are able to clear the contract from the books with no dead money hit.

Instead of retaining Smith, the Lions are opting to bring back Davenport, who appeared in just two games last season before suffering a season-ending triceps injury. On Saturday, the sides reached an agreement on a one-year deal, reportedly worth up to $4.75 million.
 
I am really curious about how Brad Holmes is going to manage free agency. I'm still hoping he can keep Carlton Davis and Kevin Zeitler but I really don't have a feeling one way or the other.

His track record regarding roster construction speaks for itself and until proven otherwise I'm going to trust him to do the right thing.
 
There might not be any free agents left come Wednesday. It's been a busy weekend.

Agreeing to deals today:

released vets who were free to sign anywhere:

Davante Adams (Rams)
Harold Landry (Patriots)

FA resigned by their team:

Aaron Jones (Vikings)
Ronnie Stanley (Ravens)
Nick Bolton (Chiefs)
Jarran Reed (Seahawks)
Hollywood Brown (Chiefs)
Lavonte David (Bucs)

+ DK Metcalf traded to the Steelers

+ Josh Allen resets the market
 
I am really curious about how Brad Holmes is going to manage free agency. I'm still hoping he can keep Carlton Davis and Kevin Zeitler but I really don't have a feeling one way or the other.

His track record regarding roster construction speaks for itself and until proven otherwise I'm going to trust him to do the right thing.

Those two would make sense

IDK if we’re in Carlton’s expected range, but I’d be disappointed if we settled for an aging CB like Gilmore

DL is going to be interesting - Levi is likely to go elsewhere, very deep draft class at ED/DI, but even if we’re drafting 2-3 we still need to sign a starter level FA
 
Contract numbers for Lions' Davenport a good reminder to wait before reacting

Davenport's cap hit in 2025 will be less than $2 million, with nearly two-thirds of his maximum earning potential tied to incentives.

The Detroit Lions' re-signing of Marcus Davenport to a one-year deal worth up to $4.75 million this weekend elicited a mixed reaction on social media, which unquestionably leaned negative. However, a clearer picture of the contract, revealed Sunday night, serves as a good reminder that immediate figures are often the best-case scenario for the player and can be a steep inflation of reality.

In this instance, nearly two-thirds of Davenport's maximum earning potential is tied to incentives. The veteran edge defender's contract includes a $1.35 million base salary and a $300,000 signing bonus, which is the extent of his guarantees.

In addition to those figures, Davenport can earn up to $850,000 in roster bonuses — $50,000 per game — and up to another $2 million for meeting playing time and sack thresholds. The requirements to collect the playing time and performance bonuses are unknown, but they'll likely be tiered. For example, he could earn a couple hundred thousand for playing 40%, 50% and 60% of the team's defensive snaps and similar bonuses for registering 6.0, 8.0 and 10 sacks.

If Davenport plays in all 17 games and hits every incentive, he’ll earn $4.5 million. And let's be clear, the Lions would welcome that. The former first-rounder's talent is undeniable, but so are his recent struggles to stay healthy. He was limited to two games in 2024 before suffering a season-ending triceps tear and four games the year before in Minnesota because of an ankle injury that required surgery.

Davenport will carry a $1.75 million cap hit in 2025, less than $500,000 more than the veteran minimum for a player with his experience. That figure represents his base salary, the signing bonus, and $100,00 in projected roster bonuses based on appearing in just two games the previous season. Any additional incentive money he earns in 2025 would be applied to next year's cap.

Maybe some of those fans who expressed initial frustration with Davenport's deal won’t be swayed by this new information. For many, any risk was too great, given the durability concerns.

That's a fair opinion. Still, if nothing else, it adds context to the team’s decision to go with him over Za’Darius Smith, who won’t have his option picked up by the Lions.

Had Detroit exercised Smith’s option, his cap hit would have been more than triple Davenport’s in 2025, in addition to a lingering $5.2 million dead money hit in 2026. Even if Davenport hits every incentive, he’ll cost less than half of Smith.
 

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