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Andy D's mock draft central - Last one for 2018! Now with 100% more second round! (1 Viewer)

Andy Dufresne

Footballguy
Usual disclaimer: Mock drafts serve almost no purpose except for enabling people to learn about incoming talent, discuss scheme fits based on franchise philosophy, and really just to waste time. If you want "accuracy", you have unrealistic expectations. If people really could predict the future they wouldn't waste the talent on mock drafts.

 
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We'll see who does/doesn't declare in the next couple weeks. It's just slow at work so this gives me something to do.

12/27 - If I were the GM mock draft. IOW this is what I would do if I were GM of the club.

1. Browns - Sam Darnold QB USC

If Josh Rosen doesn't want to play for us, he doesn't have to. We'll be very careful not to throw Darnold to the wolves as we've already fired Hue Jackson.

2. Giants - Josh Rosen QB UCLA

Sure the Manning situation was bungled. But his career IS almost over.

3. Colts - Bradley Chubb DE NC ST

If Luck's shoulder doesn't check out then we'll have to consider QB but for now we solve the outside pressure problem that's plagued us for many years.

4. Browns - Saquon Barkley RB PSU

Crowell just isn't good enough and our offense gets a lot more dynamic this way. 

5. Buccaneers - Derwin James JOAT FSU

We'll address the pass rush later. Take the Swiss Army Knife instead. The man will be a menace for us.

6. Broncos - Baker Mayfield QB OK

I like the fire he brings in addition to the talent. Lynch is sunk cost and we're cutting bait.

7. Bills (from 49ers) - Lamar Jackson QB Louisville

Bills feel they have to trade up for a QB and like that his passing ability is on an upward trajectory. Niners are happy to gain extra firsts.

8. Jets - Josh Allen QB Wyoming

We have to take QB here even though this is a huge risk even with the upside. McCown is so old he's not buying green bananas.

9. Bears - Calvin Ridley WR Alabama

We should probably have at least once WR on the roster.

10. Bengals - Mike McGlinchey OT ND

His name has been lost in the shuffle this year but he's better now than when he was a top prospect last year. As expected, our line killed us this year.

11. Raiders - Minkah Fitzpatrick CB Alabama

Get Conley back, continue Joseph's development, and draft Fitzpatrick...maybe we can finally have a pass defense.

12. Dolphins - Quinton Nelson OG ND

He's a great guard. Yay. But the Fins need to run the ball since their QB situation is...Oof.

13. Cardinals - Mason Rudolph QB OK ST

It's QB MANIA! Rudolph's stock is all over the map, but remember when nobody thought Mahomes would be a high pick? The Cards just can't put all their eggs in the Palmer basket anymore.

14.  Redskins - Derrius Guice RB LSU

Since I'm the Skins' GM here, I haven't stupidly let Cousins go but instead have signed him long term. Perine is just okay. Guice is the ram we've been looking for.

15. Packers - Roquan Smith LB UGa

To paraphrase Paul Simon, our life is so hard because we're so soft in the middle. No more!

16. Chargers - Connor Williams OT UT

Get Lamp back, continue growing Feeney, add Williams...then we can stop talking about our o- line.

17. 49ers (from Bills) - Courtland Sutton WR SMU

To trade down this far and still address the #1 need in this way would be awesome.

18. Lions - Arden Key DE LSU

He may test lights out at the combine and go way higher than this.

19. Cowboys - Clelin Ferrell DE Clemson

He may test lights out at the combine and go way higher than this. Cowboys need to get it right at DE eventually.

20. Seahawks - Kolton Miller OT UCLA

Sure Wilson is a great scrambler...But he shouldn't have to be.

21. Titans - Sam Hubbard DE/OLB TOSH

Kevin Dodd is a bust but the need remains.

22. Ravens - James Washington WR OK ST

Team might take WR each of the first three rounds.

23. 49ers - Josh Jackson CB Iowa

No. Not the actor from Fringe.

24. Falcons - Vita Vea DT Washington

Moe isn't cutting it and Vea is two humans worth in one person.

25. Jaguars - Mark Andrews TE OK

Pass catcher situation is in a lot of flux and there isn't a decent TE currently on the roster.

26. Rams - Denzel Ward CB tOSU

There's a lot of defense to consider. Also thought about Bryce Love as although Gurley could be MVP he needs some pressure relief. And look what the Saints did.

27. Panthers - Chukwuma Okorafor OT WMich

A good player and a guy you can root for.

28. Saints - Rashaan Evans LB Alabama

Klien is just a decent player. 

29. Vikings - Maurice Hurst DE Mich

The Vikings defense is going to be very expensive in the next couple years. Can't keep everyone so young replacements are needed.

30. Steelers - Ronnie Harrison S Alabama

Mike Mitchell ain't great and says ridiculous things.

31. Patriots - Ogbonnia Okoronkwo OLB OK

Pats just churn through Lbs

32. Eagles - Orlando Brown OT OK

Eagles about to churn through linemen.

 
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Round 1        
        
1. Cleveland Browns     -    Sam Darnold
2. New York Giants     -    Bradley Chubb
3. New York Jets (from Indianapolis Colts)     -    Josh Rosen
4. Cleveland (from Houston Texans)     -    Quenton Nelson
5. Denver Broncos     -    Baker Mayfield
6. Indianapolis Colts (from New York Jets)     -    Saquon Barkley
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers     -    Minkah Fitzpatrick
8. Chicago Bears     -    Vita Vea
9. San Francisco 49ers     -    Roquan Smith
10. Oakland Raiders     -    Denzel Ward
11. Miami Dolphins     -    Tremaine Edmunds
12. Buffalo Bills (from Cincinnati Bengals)     -    Josh Allen
13. Washington Redskins     -    Derrius Guice
14. Green Bay Packers     -    Jaire Alexander
15. Arizona Cardinals     -    Lamar Jackson
16. Baltimore Ravens     -    Leighton Vander Esch
17. Los Angeles Chargers     -    Derwin James
18. Seattle Seahawks     -    Harold Landry
19. Dallas Cowboys     -    Calvin Ridley
20. Detroit Lions     -    Isaiah Wynn
21. Cincinnati Bengals (from Buffalo Bills)     -    Billy Price
22. Buffalo (from Kansas City Chiefs)     -    Courtland Sutton
23. Los Angeles Rams     -    Will Hernandez
24. Carolina Panthers     -    Marcus Davenport
25. Tennessee Titans     -    James Daniels
26. Atlanta Falcons     -    Da'Ron Payne
27. New Orleans Saints     -    DJ Moore
28. Pittsburgh Steelers     -    Rashaan Evans
29. Jacksonville Jaguars     -    Mike McGlinchey
30. Minnesota Vikings     -    Josh Jackson
31. New England Patriots     -    Connor Williams
32. Philadelphia Eagles     -    Tyrell Crosby
        
Round 2        
        
33. Cleveland     -    Chukwuma Okorafor
34. New York Giants     -    Rashaad Penny
35. Cleveland (from Houston)     -    Taven Bryan
36. Indianapolis     -    Maurice Hurst
37. Indianapolis (from New York Jets)     -    Ogbonnia Okoronkwo
38. Tampa Bay     -    Sony Michel
39. Chicago     -    Sam Hubbard
40. Denver     -    Kolton Miller
41. Oakland     -    Dallas Goedert
42. Miami     -    Harrison Phillips
 

 
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Similar to your SF move, I'd think there is almost no way Browns keep that 2nd 1st round pick, right? Someone desperate for a QB is going to want to move up there to jump ahead of Denver, NYJ to get their guy. Could be Bills, Ari, Wash, etc. I think you are going to see a scenario like last year where later/mid round teams jump one right after another to get their QB like KC & Houston did.

Browns have two early 2nd's as well, could see them jumping back into the late 1st as well when you get to that part.

 
Similar to your SF move, I'd think there is almost no way Browns keep that 2nd 1st round pick, right? Someone desperate for a QB is going to want to move up there to jump ahead of Denver, NYJ to get their guy. Could be Bills, Ari, Wash, etc. I think you are going to see a scenario like last year where later/mid round teams jump one right after another to get their QB like KC & Houston did.

Browns have two early 2nd's as well, could see them jumping back into the late 1st as well when you get to that part.
It could happen but the problem for the Browns is that it's still quite costly to move to 4. If they take less than "value" it could happen.

But if I were GM I'd use the pick. I need more (some? One?) elite players on my team not more picks.

 
5 top ten QBs?  Is the incoming class rate that well?

If Barkley grades a top 5 talent, why shouldn't the Colts take a shot?  Gore has to be done soon.

 
5 top ten QBs?  Is the incoming class rate that well?

If Barkley grades a top 5 talent, why shouldn't the Colts take a shot?  Gore has to be done soon.
The class rates well and there's just that much demand at the position.

They'd consider Barkley, sure, but there are huge holes to fill all over the roster. And RB is a loaded position in this year's draft.

 
It could happen but the problem for the Browns is that it's still quite costly to move to 4. If they take less than "value" it could happen.

But if I were GM I'd use the pick. I need more (some? One?) elite players on my team not more picks.
I do think it is hard to pin any of Cleveland problems on the backfield.  Crowell and Duke Johnson still look like a potent combo if they have solid QB play.  Defense could use more talent here though.

 
Browns @ #4: Given they also have 3 2nd round picks, I think they’ll stay here.  I actually wouldn’t be surprised to see them trade up if they like Barkley.  IND has a need at RB, and CLE has the picks to move up.

5 QB’s in Top 8:  That feels ‘heavy’.

Minkah?  Buzz around this kid would seem to suggest he’s Top 10 shoo-in.

 
Where Barkley lands will be interesting and probably debated back and forth the next 4 months. He could be a rare elite RB and dynamic for an offense making him a great selection for almost any team. But then again, he's a RB and a lot of teams at the top, as per usual, have tons of holes. Also, there's not one team in the top 8 that is set at RB currently that we could easily eliminate as not interested. There's a couple of teams just outside the top 10 as well that could trade up for a difference maker like Barkley too.

 
I do think it is hard to pin any of Cleveland problems on the backfield.  Crowell and Duke Johnson still look like a potent combo if they have solid QB play.  Defense could use more talent here though.
Hard to even label Duke as a back. And Crowell is JAG IMO.

They were missing Garrett for a big part of the year and Ogbah (who had been coming on) for the rest of it. Peppers was underutilized. But yeah, they could throw a dart and improve their defense too.

 
Browns @ #4: Given they also have 3 2nd round picks, I think they’ll stay here.  I actually wouldn’t be surprised to see them trade up if they like Barkley.  IND has a need at RB, and CLE has the picks to move up.

5 QB’s in Top 8:  That feels ‘heavy’.

Minkah?  Buzz around this kid would seem to suggest he’s Top 10 shoo-in.
Minkah is at 11 to the Raiders.

 
Hard to even label Duke as a back. And Crowell is JAG IMO.

They were missing Garrett for a big part of the year and Ogbah (who had been coming on) for the rest of it. Peppers was underutilized. But yeah, they could throw a dart and improve their defense too.
Duke still runs well, but he does have more targets than carries on the year.  He could do with higher usage as a RB now that Gordon/Coleman are back. 

I bet on Crowell in a couple of leagues this year and that went poorly.  I still think it is more of a situation/game script issue than talent issue.  Good enough that I'd rather use a later pick here if I were a GM.  Just my thoughts.

Garrett getting a TD called back this weekend because someone was offside was just sad to see.

 
I agree with the Browns using that 4 pick on Barkley assuming they go QB at 1.  That pick is like found money and their defense is showing signs of not being terrible going forward.  Good spot for a luxury pick like Barkley IMO

 
Browns trade #1 to Denver for #6 and a 2019 1st. Denver takes Darnold. Browns take Mayfield at 4 and Barkley at 6.

 
Browns trade #1 to Denver for #6 and a 2019 1st. Denver takes Darnold. Browns take Mayfield at 4 and Barkley at 6.
I dont dislike the move, but I feel like the return is unrealistic considering how much its cost in the last few drafts where it occured for a team to move up to the top 2 picks and get their franchise guy

 
I do think it is hard to pin any of Cleveland problems on the backfield.  Crowell and Duke Johnson still look like a potent combo if they have solid QB play.  Defense could use more talent here though.
i think this is a fair point. it's hard to judge the relative quality and effectiveness of the Cleveland offense given the atrocious play at the QB position. you just don't know what you have there. honestly, i think they'd be making a mistake drafting yet another QB to learn the pro position, build the offense around and lead the team. they probably would be better served finding a transitional QB that can develop those weapons while a QB is behind him. 

 
IIRC, Crow is a FA after this year and Duke will be in the last year of his contract as well. That Barkley pick would make a lot of sense right now. Now if they resign Crow in March though, then I think you will have to plug Barkley in somewhere else.

 
We'll see who does/doesn't declare in the next couple weeks. It's just slow at work so this gives me something to do.

12/27 - If I were the GM mock draft. IOW this is what I would do if I were GM of the club.

1. Browns - Sam Darnold QB USC

If Josh Rosen doesn't want to play for us, he doesn't have to. We'll be very careful not to throw Darnold to the wolves as we've already fired Hue Jackson.

2. Giants - Josh Rosen QB UCLA

Sure the Manning situation was bungled. But his career IS almost over.

3. Colts - Bradley Chubb DE NC ST

If Luck's shoulder doesn't check out then we'll have to consider QB but for now we solve the outside pressure problem that's plagued us for many years.

4. Browns - Saquon Barkley RB PSU

Crowell just isn't good enough and our offense gets a lot more dynamic this way. 

5. Buccaneers - Derwin James JOAT FSU

We'll address the pass rush later. Take the Swiss Army Knife instead. The man will be a menace for us.

6. Broncos - Baker Mayfield QB OK

I like the fire he brings in addition to the talent. Lynch is sunk cost and we're cutting bait.

7. Bills (from 49ers) - Lamar Jackson QB Louisville

Bills feel they have to trade up for a QB and like that his passing ability is on an upward trajectory. Niners are happy to gain extra firsts.

8. Jets - Josh Allen QB Wyoming

We have to take QB here even though this is a huge risk even with the upside. McCown is so old he's not buying green bananas.

9. Bears - Calvin Ridley WR Alabama

We should probably have at least once WR on the roster.

10. Bengals - Mike McGlinchey OT ND

His name has been lost in the shuffle this year but he's better now than when he was a top prospect last year. As expected, our line killed us this year.
What did SF get in the fake trade down to the Bills?  Both the Bills original 1st rounder and the first rounder from the Chiefs?

 
i think this is a fair point. it's hard to judge the relative quality and effectiveness of the Cleveland offense given the atrocious play at the QB position. you just don't know what you have there. honestly, i think they'd be making a mistake drafting yet another QB to learn the pro position, build the offense around and lead the team. they probably would be better served finding a transitional QB that can develop those weapons while a QB is behind him. 
My opinion separates from you here:

You hire a new coach. You spend some of the massive cap on at least a serviceable QB to start the year.  The coach and the GM finds a QB they believe in.  You take him number one. 

The Browns absolutely have to take a potential franchise QB and they should do it at #1.

They can't afford to half-### it again. 

 
My opinion separates from you here:

You hire a new coach. You spend some of the massive cap on at least a serviceable QB to start the year.  The coach and the GM finds a QB they believe in.  You take him number one. 

The Browns absolutely have to take a potential franchise QB and they should do it at #1.

They can't afford to half-### it again. 
i don't disagree this approach to their rebuilding. i haven't seen anything from Kizer that makes me confident that there is a legit starting pro QB buried under all that. they should strongly consider taking a QB in early R1 but certainly they need a stopgap QB to develop the other weapons. they just can't keep the entire offense on a subsistence diet while they roll the dice at QB. they need to know what they have.

 
The class rates well and there's just that much demand at the position.

They'd consider Barkley, sure, but there are huge holes to fill all over the roster. And RB is a loaded position in this year's draft.


I agree with the Browns using that 4 pick on Barkley assuming they go QB at 1.  That pick is like found money and their defense is showing signs of not being terrible going forward.  Good spot for a luxury pick like Barkley IMO
I'm really on the fence about Barkley here. He's a talent for sure and I don't think he falls out of the top 5 (Indy or Tampa) but I think Cleveland goes DB at 4. possibly Minkah Fitzpatrick.

If Cleveland does take Barkley, the only reason Lynch wouldn't draft him is if he's happy with the 49er defensive backfield. Then maybe Fitz falls to 10 but that would be really nice value.

 
switch Jackson to Denver at 6 and Mayfield to whoever wants an undersized QB from a conference that has never produced a franchise QB...imo

 
I dont dislike the move, but I feel like the return is unrealistic considering how much its cost in the last few drafts where it occured for a team to move up to the top 2 picks and get their franchise guy
Agreed.  No chance this is enough to move up from 6 to 1.  Especially if they're taking a RB at 6.  Instead you could probably get 3 first for a team around #10 to move up to 1.  Then move up from 10 to 6 if you want Barkley and the cost wouldn't be much. 

 
Or in this scenario with Chubb gone can’t the Bills jump the Broncos to #5 with the same offer so they can get their guy in front of Denver?

 
Some pundits are saying Mayfield "might" be a first rounder, due to his personality/whatever. I thought he'd be a top 10 lock after the Heisman, but any chance he falls a lot further than that? And does this take into account the fact that Kirk Cousins will be the Broncos QB next year?

 
Anyone else is in play for the Colts? The Bucs desperately want Chubb. 
Sure..they'd love to have Barkley. Castonzo played okay in spots but that o-line has to get better. How about Roquan Smith to shore up the non existent middle of their defense?

Some pundits are saying Mayfield "might" be a first rounder, due to his personality/whatever. I thought he'd be a top 10 lock after the Heisman, but any chance he falls a lot further than that? And does this take into account the fact that Kirk Cousins will be the Broncos QB next year?
The QB merry-go-round will shake it up a lot. Which Vikings QBs will hit the market? Of course Cousins. Do the Jags really move on from Bortles? Does someone feel they can use Tyrod Taylor? Interesting stuff.

 
All of those guys selected around #4 overall?
better example, thats the same strategy that allows for trading out of the picks for wentz and watson :)

Their trade partners are going to be hard to come by I would think. NYG, Indy, Bucs, bears, 49ers arent giving them anything to move up to 1.01. Jets, Broncos maybe.

I think its more likely NYJ or Den makes a move to 1.03/4/5 to grab a qb, if at all. Pretty sure NYG isn't budging, but I could see a scenario where they feel like 1-2 more years of Eli is a possibility, and they could still move out of the 1.02 and stay in the top 10 and get a different qb while acquiring some assets

 
It would be great if SF could trade down, pick up an extra 1st and still grab Sutton. He would address their big receiver issue and give them another high pick to use on a guard/center, LB or DB. Last year the top WRs (Davis, Williams and Ross) all went top 10.  Not sure how Sutton is viewed at this point compared to those 3, but I get a feeling he won’t last until 17. Niner fans can hope though  

Would be a coo for the Raiders if Fitzpatrick falls to them. Fitzpatrick,  Conley, Obi and Joseph would make a nice, young set of DBs. 

 
Sutton to 49ers would have fantasy footballers all a twitter. Personally I think he will go earlier (NFL teams love huge WRs with measurables) and before Ridley (who seems like a mid/late 1st prospect IMO, not a top 10 guy, he doesn't come close to Davis for example, and Williams and Ross shouldn't have gone top 10, IMO) but who really knows with all these variables still out there. It's looking possibly like a pretty loaded FA WR class too, so potentially 49ers could get their WR with their huge amt of cap space and spend their pick addressing their woeful DB's or upgrading their O'line.

Also think it's unlikely Cousins remains a Redskin, but I like going with your gut. Perine had a few good games, but has also looked pedestrian at times with some fumbling issues. Could see them upgrading or staying with a RBBC mess if they get a healthy Fat Rob and Thompson back. Would break some Perine owners hearts if they take Guice.

 
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19. Cowboys - Clelin Ferrell DE Clemson

He may test lights out at the combine and go way higher than this. Cowboys need to get it right at DE eventually.
Do you mean opposite DeMarcus Lawrence who has had a huge year? Cowboys have more pressing needs at corner and LB on defense IMO. They're middle of the pack in sacks but only have 9 INTs.  Baltimore has 22 / Jags have 21 by comparison

 
As a Notre Dame fan, I will tell you that a team choosing McGlinchey over Quenton Nelson is making a huge mistake. The OL won the Joe Moore award not really for these two but, seriously, largely due to Nelson. He's that good.

I'd go so far as to say Nelson is the next Zack Martin, with the ability to make Pro Bowl after Pro Bowl starting his rookie year. I expect McGlinchey to be JAG without Nelson next to him in short order.

 
As a Notre Dame fan, I will tell you that a team choosing McGlinchey over Quenton Nelson is making a huge mistake. The OL won the Joe Moore award not really for these two but, seriously, largely due to Nelson. He's that good.

I'd go so far as to say Nelson is the next Zack Martin, with the ability to make Pro Bowl after Pro Bowl starting his rookie year. I expect McGlinchey to be JAG without Nelson next to him in short order.
Interesting. That's the first I've ever heard of McGlinchey being referred to as JAG. 

 
Interesting. That's the first I've ever heard of McGlinchey being referred to as JAG. 
He's got all of the physical tools and might be the next guy who, once away from South Bend he puts it all together, but he's nowhere near as polished as Nelson and yet routinely gets lumped in with him.

All big games ND blew this year (Georgia / Miami / Stanford) were games where Nelson looked like the one guy on the team who still belonged on the field and there was McGlinchey giving up the backside sack. If you watched the ND/Georgia game you might remember when ND got the ball back, down 1, with a chance to win and was strip sacked to end the game (this play). That whiff on the left OT is McGlinchey.

 
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I like most of the picks so far, my only objections are I feel Fitzpatrick is a top ten lock and Mayfield going that early would be a huge mistake for Denver. He’s gonna be exposed at the NFL level.

 

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