Kool-aid Larry....
Where do you have Lacy ranked and what are your projections for him?
ok, I doubt anybody is checking this thread for kool-aid larry's draft breakdown, but I'll work off ffcalc for some thumbnail opinion.
first of all, I mostly look in these threads for opinion from others, but I did have a bit of an opinion of my own going in this time, as I had spent a fair amount of effort looking at green bay a couple years ago for some similar thread about starks, grant, or wtfever it was --- the conclusion I came up with is green bay is constantly throwing in the endzone, and even when they don't you get vultured by rodgers and kuhn, so the gb rb didn't really appeal to me, and I have yet to see much, if anything, contrary to that.
not only wasn't lacy's production boosted by rodgers, as people like to insist based on their imaginations, it might have actually been hurt by all these great surrounding players on this historic offense crowding out his td opps.
I'd prefer to look at it drive by drive, but I'm not doing that again.
anyway, here are the (ppr) picks off the top of my head, as my draft is a couple weeks away and I'm still in process:
one thing I notice in this thread is a lot of true believers seem to hang their hats on volume, and I don't generally try to predict injuries, so ppg is more what i tend to look at.
LeSean McCoy
Jamaal Charles
Matt Forte
Adrian Peterson
nobody's a lock for anything, but I really don't see any reason lacy pushes past those ^^ guys.
here's more of the list in ffcalc order
Calvin Johnson
Demaryius Thomas
Jimmy Graham
Dez Bryant
DeMarco Murray
Brandon Marshall
Peyton Manning
Julio Jones
Montee Ball
Jordy Nelson
Arian Foster
Rob Gronkowski
those ^^ are probably all guys I would prefer to lacy, some of which I obviously don't need to take at 1.05, or whatever, but I just put them in there, anyway.
Eddie Lacy
A.J. Green
Marshawn Lynch
LeVeon Bell
Drew Brees
Aaron Rodgers
Antonio Brown
these guys ^^ are players of comparable value that I probably won't end up with, and probably don't have to make the decision on at 1.05
I don't think lacy is elite, and I think there are later round rb who have potential to give me comparable production, whereas it would be tougher to get comparable late round production on the elite te or wr.
lynch, bush, bell, foster, and even vereen, I think, were all comparable ppg values in my league last year, and I actually think chris johnson can close in on that with expected ppr points.
I'd take lacy somewhere in the second, but i doubt i'll have that decision to make