What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

Baseball Wagering (1 Viewer)

I did well last night. I didn't post them but I took the ChiSox OVER, the San Fran OVER, and San Fran -1 1/2. Today, I like:

Toronto +250

Washington +220

Minnesota/Detroit OVER 9

Toronto/New York OVER 10

GLA

 
I did well last night. I didn't post them but I took the ChiSox OVER, the San Fran OVER, and San Fran -1 1/2. Today, I like:

Toronto +250

Washington +220

Minnesota/Detroit OVER 9

Toronto/New York OVER 10

GLA
Click to expand...
Good so far...... :thumbup:
 
Back off a one day suspension, I have Saturday ACTION

Baseball - 961 New York Mets -102 for Game

Baseball - 963 Philadelphia Phillies/Pittsburgh Pirates under 9½ -125 for Game

Baseball - 966 San Diego Padres +102 for Game

Baseball - 974 Cleveland Indians -105 for Game

Baseball - 973 Texas Rangers/Cleveland Indians under 9½ -110 for Game

Baseball - 976 Kansas City Royals +116 for Game

Baseball - 980 Los Angeles Angels +111 for Game

Baseball - 979 Chicago White Sox/Los Angeles Angels under 7½ -120 for Game

8 to win 1786.05

 
play for today..

Dodgers-Padres OVER 7.5 -120
Click to expand...
I like this one. I'm in.I also like two heavy dogs and I'm going light on both via a parlay.

Chacin +178

Day +170

$20 parlay to win $130

I think the Jays can bounce back after getting rolled yesterday and I'm not about to grant Jeff Suppan any easy wins until he gets his head out of his butt.

 
Sunday

Baseball - 901 New York Mets +102 for Game

Baseball - 903 Colorado Rockies -110 for Game

Baseball - 905 Houston Astros -109 for Game

Baseball - 911 Milwaukee Brewers +118 for Game

Baseball - 916 San Francisco Giants -101 for Game

Baseball - 921 Boston Red Sox -174 for Game

Baseball - 927 Chicago White Sox +112 for Game

Baseball - 929 Texas Rangers +112 for Game

8 to win 1808.34

 
San Diego Padres Money Line for Game +118 D. Lowe must start C.H. Park must start

LAA Angels Money Line for Game -124 J. Garland must start E. Santana must start

 
Alright, here are my plays today:

Trachsel +102 2 units

Sure the Braves have owned the Mets over the years, but this Mets team is for real. Solid offense, David Wright is raking, Delgado, Beltran back. I think I have the better team and the better starting pitcher, to hell with history.

Blanton -133 3 units

Last night I had a 6 unit wager on Loaiza against the Royals, and God hooked me up by storming away a 6-1 Royals lead. I think the man upstairs is trying to tell me something and I'll listen. The Royals are awful. I'll fade them all year long, and anytime I don't have to lay -200 or more, I'm on it.

I have a few NBA prop bets too I'll list here

Heat to win 11-13 points

Suns to win 4-6 points

(I put these because I know GM loves prop bets)

g'luck

 
Alright, here are my plays today:

Trachsel +102 2 units

Sure the Braves have owned the Mets over the years, but this Mets team is for real. Solid offense, David Wright is raking, Delgado, Beltran back. I think I have the better team and the better starting pitcher, to hell with history.

Blanton -133 3 units

Last night I had a 6 unit wager on Loaiza against the Royals, and God hooked me up by storming away a 6-1 Royals lead. I think the man upstairs is trying to tell me something and I'll listen. The Royals are awful. I'll fade them all year long, and anytime I don't have to lay -200 or more, I'm on it.

I have a few NBA prop bets too I'll list here

Heat to win 11-13 points

Suns to win 4-6 points

(I put these because I know GM loves props bets)

g'luck
Click to expand...
fixed. :bag:
 
Alright, here are my plays today:

Trachsel +102  2 units

Sure the Braves have owned the Mets over the years, but this Mets team is for real.  Solid offense, David Wright is raking, Delgado, Beltran back.  I think I have the better team and the better starting pitcher, to hell with history.

Blanton -133 3 units

Last night I had a 6 unit wager on Loaiza against the Royals, and God hooked me up by storming away a 6-1 Royals lead.  I think the man upstairs is trying to tell me something and I'll listen.  The Royals are awful.  I'll fade them all year long, and anytime I don't have to lay -200 or more, I'm on it. 

I have a few NBA prop bets too I'll list here

Heat to win 11-13 points

Suns to win 4-6 points

(I put these because I know GM loves props bets)

g'luck
Click to expand...
fixed. :bag:
Click to expand...
:lmao:
 
play for today..

Dodgers-Padres OVER 7.5 -120
Click to expand...
I like this one. I'm in.I also like two heavy dogs and I'm going light on both via a parlay.

Chacin +178

Day +170

$20 parlay to win $130

I think the Jays can bounce back after getting rolled yesterday and I'm not about to grant Jeff Suppan any easy wins until he gets his head out of his butt.
Click to expand...
so there was a reason they were heavy dogs, eh?
 
play for today..

Dodgers-Padres OVER 7.5 -120

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Click to expand...
:excited: :excited: :excited: I didn't watch one second of this. I was outside all day putting together a ####ing sand box for my kids. F'n thing required 600 gawd damn pounds of sand. I checked the score once at saw Dodgers up 5-0 in the 8th and gave up hope. I just NOW finished the sand box and came back in to see if we even got close. 6-5 in 10 innings! :banned: :banned: :banned:

JTC is heating up, ya'll.

 
Broke out just about even yesterday.....I've got a good feeling about tonight:

Texas, Loe - 134 (1.5 units)

Texas's offense is an elite unit and against TB, they should be able to pound out enough runs to win. Just a feeling here, but I always like to fade TB when I can get a good price. Oh, have I mentioned Tampa's starter McClung has a 9.27 ERA? Good enough for me.

SD, Peavy - 117 (1 unit)

Not sold on SD's offense yet, but when I get to play Peavy for about even money against a team with only one offensive weapon, I'm doing it. Wright is not exactly a world beater either.

That's all I've played so far. I'm looking at the Astros and Cards too, as I think there is pretty good value on each.

g'luck

 
Can't pull in an eight teamer- I'l try a niner

Baseball - 951 Philadelphia Phillies +130 for Game

Baseball - 957 Colorado Rockies +162 for Game

Baseball - 959 Houston Astros +103 for Game

Baseball - 963 Los Angeles Dodgers -123 for Game

Baseball - 965 San Diego Padres -119 for Game

Baseball - 968 Baltimore Orioles -109 for Game

Baseball - 970 Boston Red Sox +107 for Game

Baseball - 971 Chicago White Sox +100 for Game

Baseball - 979 Oakland Athletics -108 for Game

8 to win 4,983.97

 
Can't pull in an eight teamer- I'l try a niner

Baseball - 951 Philadelphia Phillies +130 for Game

Baseball - 957 Colorado Rockies +162 for Game

Baseball - 959 Houston Astros +103 for Game

Baseball - 963 Los Angeles Dodgers -123 for Game

Baseball - 965 San Diego Padres -119 for Game

Baseball - 968 Baltimore Orioles -109 for Game

Baseball - 970 Boston Red Sox +107 for Game

Baseball - 971 Chicago White Sox +100 for Game

Baseball - 979 Oakland Athletics -108 for Game

8 to win 4,983.97

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Click to expand...
Hey cosjobs, have you ever won one of these type of bets?
 
They must be using a dead ball tonight. I tried to watch 4 innings of that Cubs/Pirates snooze fest and thought to myself "No freaking wonder they turned a blind eye to steroids."

I took the under in the final three games left and parlayed them as well. :bag:

 
Broke out just about even yesterday.....I've got a good feeling about tonight:

Texas, Loe - 134 (1.5 units)

Texas's offense is an elite unit and against TB, they should be able to pound out enough runs to win.  Just a feeling here, but I always like to fade TB when I can get a good price.  Oh, have I mentioned Tampa's starter McClung has a 9.27 ERA?  Good enough for me.

SD, Peavy - 117 (1 unit)

Not sold on SD's offense yet, but when I get to play Peavy for about even money against a team with only one offensive weapon, I'm doing it.  Wright is not exactly a world beater either.

That's all I've played so far.  I'm looking at the Astros and Cards too, as I think there is pretty good value on each.

g'luck

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Click to expand...
Hit both my bets last night and I feel good again today. I see some day baseball is on tap, so I'll be sending it some afternoon plays this morning. :thumbup:
 
Can't pull in an eight teamer- I'l try a niner

Baseball - 951 Philadelphia Phillies +130 for Game

Baseball - 957 Colorado Rockies +162 for Game

Baseball - 959 Houston Astros +103 for Game

Baseball - 963 Los Angeles Dodgers -123 for Game

Baseball - 965 San Diego Padres -119 for Game

Baseball - 968 Baltimore Orioles -109 for Game

Baseball - 970 Boston Red Sox +107 for Game

Baseball - 971 Chicago White Sox +100 for Game

Baseball - 979 Oakland Athletics -108 for Game

8 to win 4,983.97

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Click to expand...
Hey cosjobs, have you ever won one of these type of bets?
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Click to expand...
Yes. I hit an eight teamer NFL preseason about six months (posted here) back and have hit one in baseball 3 of the last 4 years. All paid 1600-2100. I estimate I make about 50-60 wagers of this type a year.
 
Baseball - 902 Cincinnati Reds +115 for Game

Baseball - 903 Pittsburgh Pirates -109 for Game

Baseball - 906 San Francisco Giants -128 for Game

Baseball - 913 Houston Astros +153 for Game

Baseball - 918 Cleveland Indians +109 for Game

Baseball - 920 Los Angeles Angels -157 for Game

Baseball - 924 Boston Red Sox -123 for Game

Baseball - 927 Texas Rangers -110 for Game

8 to wn 1751.95

 
Don't really see anything early that is offering outstanding value, but I did punch the following:

St. Louis, Ponson - 123 to make 1 unit

Reds are hot, sure, but their starting pitcher, Dave Williams is sporting an outstanding 9.53 ERA so far this year. Yeah, I know Ponson is nothing to write home about, but in what should be a relatively high scoring game, I'll take the guy that has been pitching better so far, and hope that the Cards get out by enough early so as not to get into their bullpen. I think the Cards are a much better team and Cincy is overperforming, so I'll play it accordingly.

I would lean Buerhle -117 in the other game, however I have Sabathia on both of my fantasy baseball teams, so I don't want to bet against him :bag:

 
Don't really see anything early that is offering outstanding value, but I did punch the following:

St. Louis, Ponson - 123 to make 1 unit

Reds are hot, sure, but their starting pitcher, Dave Williams is sporting an outstanding 9.53 ERA so far this year.  Yeah, I know Ponson is nothing to write home about, but in what should be a relatively high scoring game, I'll take the guy that has been pitching better so far, and hope that the Cards get out by enough early so as not to get into their bullpen.  I think the Cards are a much better team and Cincy is overperforming, so I'll play it accordingly.

I would lean Buerhle -117 in the other game, however I have Sabathia on both of my fantasy baseball teams, so I don't want to bet against him :bag:

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Click to expand...
I'm on the Cards -115 for 2 units. I think your analysis is spot on here. Ponson has been junk over the last two years, but prior to that, he was a very good pitcher and he's pitched well this year. Perhaps he made mechanical and mental adjustments that have him back in good shape? Either way, I do think the Reds are overacheiving and of their starters, Williams is the one I would back the least.
 
Ugh, somebody get Ponson out of the game....

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Click to expand...
Good thing the Cards sat Pujols, Edmonds AND Rolen today :hot: :hot: :hot:
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Click to expand...
well, perhaps they'll use these guys off the bench....or they could go with the mighty bat of Jason Marquis. Either way. :hot:
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Click to expand...
Jason Marquis hit for Sidney Ponson :hot: :hot: :hot:
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Click to expand...
well...we're all tied at 2. Could be worse, I suppose. At least they got Edmonds in the game now. Gonna be a battle of bullpens from here on out and I would think we'll see Rolen in the game now that Luna's out.
 
I'm going conservative tonight with a 3-teamer:

Houston Astros +169 for Game

Houston Astros/Milwaukee Brewers under 8 -110 for Game

Los Angeles Dodgers -114 for Game

40 to win 345.61

 
May 1st has come and gone and PinPoint is up and running. Sorry for not posting the first two days of plays, I'm still busy adding more functionality for record keeping & convenience. This season, I'm going to run PinPoint every day from May 1st to August 31st. There are 3 individual formulas that will produce 3 separate (though possible overlapping) results.

For anyone who doesn't know, PinPoint is an automated computer program written by me. It downloads several stat pages and uses them to compute a betting line. Then it takes this line and compares it to the one listed by Pinnacle Sports. As a disclaimer, I'm not a pro anything. This is just a side project I started after I started gambling on bases last year.

Formula 1 -- This was the one and only formula used last year and it returns unchanged. I have its record from last season, but it's buried in an Excel file on the HD of a computer that has crashed. Eventually I'll get around to retrieving it. This formula only went through a short trial (around 2 months), but it definitely made money, typically maintaining a double digit Return on Investment percentage. [Edit: The 2005 record is in my sig, but the Excel file has much more detailed breakdowns.]

Formula 2 -- New formula for this season. This formula is similar to Formula 1, but with a few tweaks on the weight that some of the stats have.

Formula 3 -- New formula for this season. This is based on the theory that MarshallPlan posted claiming that offense is 50% of a teams performance, pitching is 42% of a team's performance, and defense is 8% of a team's performance.

Today's plays coming soon.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
May 1st has come and gone and PinPoint is up and running.  Sorry for not posting the first two days of plays, I'm still busy adding more functionality for record keeping & convenience.  This season, I'm going to run PinPoint every day from May 1st to August 31st.  There are 3 individual formulas that will produce 3 separate (though possible overlapping) results.

For anyone who doesn't know, PinPoint is an automated computer program written by me.  It downloads several stat pages

Formula 1 -- This was the one and only formula used last year and it returns unchanged.  I have its record from last season, but it's buried in an Excel file on the HD of a computer that has crashed.  Eventually I'll get around to retrieving it.  This formula only went through a short trial (around 2 months), but it definitely made money, typically maintaining a double digit Return on Investment percentage.

Formula 2 -- New formula for this season.  This formula is similar to Formula 1, but with a few tweaks on the weight that some of the stats have.

Formula 3 -- New formula for this season.  This is based on the theory that MarshallPlan posted claiming that offense is 50% of a teams performance, pitching is 42% of a team's performance, and defense is 8% of a team's performance.

Today's plays coming soon.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Click to expand...
:popcorn: :nerd: :popcorn: :thumbup: :banned:
 
Remember that plays are graded Weak, Good, Strong, and Crazy. Don't bet the Crazy, but I'll be tracking them anyway.

Formula 1 (4-2 +233)Formula 2 (5-3 +286)Formula 3 (4-3 +170)TEAM           LINE       F1 PLAY     F2 PLAY       F3 PLAYDetroit        -134       Strong      Strong        CrazySeattle        +160       Good        Good          WeakOakland        -120       Weak                      WeakMilwaukee      -113       Good        Weak          GoodSan Diego      +107       Strong      Good          CrazyPhiladelphia   -108                                 WeakColorado       -108                                 Good
Edit: Hopefully this format is better all around.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Baseball - 951 Florida Marlins +148 for Game

Baseball - 951 Florida Marlins/Washington Nationals under 8½ -120 for Game

Baseball - 954 Philadelphia Phillies -110 for Game

Baseball - 955 Pittsburgh Pirates +260 for Game

Baseball - 958 Milwaukee Brewers -114 for Game

Baseball - 960 Houston Astros -150 for Game

Baseball - 965 San Diego Padres +101 for Game

Baseball - 967 Toronto Blue Jays +100 for Game

Baseball - 973 Seattle Mariners +155 for Game

6 to win 6007.09

 
Maddux at -113 vs. Arizona and Batista? :confused: And is that line dropping? If so, why? too good to believe?

And it seems like Chris Young is fantastic value vs. Seo and if you look at numbers, something is fishy there with those lines.

I wonder if a Dodgers/Dbacks parlay is warranted here to see if Vegas is trying to pull a fast one?

 
W Baseball - 951 Florida Marlins +148 for Game

L  Baseball - 951 Florida Marlins/Washington Nationals under 8½ -120 for Game

W  Baseball - 954 Philadelphia Phillies -110 for Game

L  Baseball - 955 Pittsburgh Pirates +260 for Game

L  Baseball - 958 Milwaukee Brewers -114 for Game

W  Baseball - 960 Houston Astros -150 for Game

W  Baseball - 965 San Diego Padres +101 for Game

L  Baseball - 967 Toronto Blue Jays +100 for Game

W  Baseball - 973 Seattle Mariners +155 for Game

6 to win 6007.09

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Click to expand...
5-4
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

Tonycarpenter
Questions about players Position Eligibility 2025 and beyond specific to my roster
Replies
2
Views
1K
FDASv2.0
FDASv2.0
L
Ohtani Contract & Why Baseball is Terrible
Replies
9
Views
1K
Eephus
Eephus
Tonycarpenter
12 Team 15 Keeper Who do you keep
Replies
16
Views
928
Tonycarpenter
Tonycarpenter

Users who are viewing this thread

Total: 1 (members: 0, guests: 1)
Back
Top