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Baseball Wagering (1 Viewer)

After a huge night last night I squandered almost 100% of the winnings on table games at Bodog. :rant:Stupid move. But back at it tonite.One play stands out so far.Det. RL -140, not a value play in terms of what you gotta pay but looks solid.Radke has been better of late but his lone bad outting came at the hands of Det. he lasted only 1 inning. He is 0-3 w/ a 10+ ERA against the Tigers as well. Robertson has been a little more solid and is 3-0 vs. the Twinkies w/ a flat 4 ERA. Some might want to consider the RL, I myself will play it a bit more close to the belt and take the ML.2ND play is Reds ML +102Reds rebound tonite, Milton handled the Cards well in his lone start against them this year, 8 SO innings. Marquis has been bad all year long and will be out by the 5th inning. Also like the over in the Phillies v. Braves game. Might go back to the well there.
Nice writeup and good info - I know all too well about blowing winnings on stupid ### online table games - you'll get em back tonight!
 
Two plays I like tonight:

Balt/Tor O 10.5 - both starters are lousy in terms of expected era ( #64B and # 56C) for those familiar with Sagarin Ratings - thanks again for the link Roarin' Soarin'; Tor can flat out mash and Balt can score runs as well - I think this sails over;

LA Angels -115: Jared Weaver has shown to be the real deal. Sowers had two straight SO appearances before getting roughed up a bit by Boston his last time out. Sowers does not throw very hard and needs pinpoint control to be successful. His Peripherals do not support his outings thus far. Also, given how inconsistent rookie pitching can be ( which could effect either side), and the fact that at this price you clearly get the better team relatively cheaply - I'll take LAA -115

GLTA

 
Two plays I like tonight:Balt/Tor O 10.5 - both starters are lousy in terms of expected era ( #64B and # 56C) for those familiar with Sagarin Ratings - thanks again for the link Roarin' Soarin'; Tor can flat out mash and Balt can score runs as well - I think this sails over;LA Angels -115: Jared Weaver has shown to be the real deal. Sowers had two straight SO appearances before getting roughed up a bit by Boston his last time out. Sowers does not throw very hard and needs pinpoint control to be successful. His Peripherals do not support his outings thus far. Also, given how inconsistent rookie pitching can be ( which could effect either side), and the fact that at this price you clearly get the better team relatively cheaply - I'll take LAA -115GLTA
:goodposting: I really like the Angels tonite as well. However, I'll wait until closer to game time before making a final decision. glta
 
Well, I just sent in my pre-get-home-plays. These are generally plays I come across here and there and just get them in in case I don't have time to make any plays at home...you know family obligations or some such distraction.

Both are RL parlays, cause I ####### love these things.

NYM -1.5(Trachsel +140)/Bos -1.5(Lester +100)

Mets are at home, Trachsel is a decent starter, Williams hasn't really been lights out. Plus the price is right on this one +140 is pretty good. As a comparison, Hammels -1.5 is +140 too, but the ML on that is -109. The ML on the Mets is like -141. Yes, I know the Mets are at home....but not sure if that extra half-inning is that much of a plus. Anyway, I like this one.

Boston is simply betting against the worst team in the majors :shrug: Oh, I'm a Red Sox fan too, so call it a homer play if you will.

Hou -1.5 (Backe +145)/Sea -1.5 (Hernandez +105)

Again, just playing against bad teams here. The Astros just came off a 6-game road trip in which they won 4....against SD and AZ, two teams in playoff contention. Now they get to come home, after a day off, and load up against the lowly Pirates. They really need this series bad, and they have to know it. I'm not a huge Backe fan, frankly the guy sucks, so I'm probably on the over too a bit later. Astros bats are heating up, a little, plus Berkman's back so let's see what we can do. Astros tend to fare pretty well against lefties too so hopefully Garner can light a fire under their asses and get some runs.

Seattle is simply because they are at home, have a guy that can be lights out, and well their playing the ####### Devil Rays. Seo has been pretty outstanding this year, with a 3-9 record and a mid 5's ERA. Dude's let up 22 HR's in only 110 innings, is VERY hittable. Only problem is he may not pitch tonight, so here's hoping he tries to pitch one for the team. I know the Mariner's are not exactly World beaters either, but again I have Hernandez, who has a sub-4 ERA at home (crushed the Rays the only time he faced them). And I just read that the Seattle bullpen has like a 0.96 ERA over the past 10 or so games. Hopefully again, we get some runs early and shut down this vaunted Devil Rays offense.

G'luck!

 
I sorta kinda like the Dodgers to go down tonight....

Kim +140 seems like great value to me. He's pitched pretty well and I have to think if this was Maddox and the Cubs he was facing, he wouldn't be getting +140.

 
Tonight's card:

both of Guru's plays for .5 units each to make roughly 2 on each

1 unit play on ANA -112

1 unit play on Balt/TOR O 10 +100

Col - maybe - let's see what the early games hold

GLTA

 
Tonight's card:

both of Guru's plays for .5 units each to make roughly 2 on each

1 unit play on ANA -112

1 unit play on Balt/TOR O 10 +100

Col - maybe - let's see what the early games hold

GLTA
If I could get that price on Balt/TOR +100 i'd be all over it. :( Final card looks like this:

Mets RL +141

Marlins ML +106

Tigers ML -140

Reds +102/Phillies v. Braves O9 IF BET

Hopefully we can have a few winners and take it up a notch for the 10:05 games :banned:

 
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I sorta kinda like the Dodgers to go down tonight....Kim +140 seems like great value to me. He's pitched pretty well and I have to think if this was Maddox and the Cubs he was facing, he wouldn't be getting +140.
The thought has crossed my mind...
mine as well - they have won 10 straight
I just came in here and you guys are reading my mind. This is what I was thinking on my trip home.
 
I sorta kinda like the Dodgers to go down tonight....Kim +140 seems like great value to me. He's pitched pretty well and I have to think if this was Maddox and the Cubs he was facing, he wouldn't be getting +140.
The thought has crossed my mind...
mine as well - they have won 10 straight
I just came in here and you guys are reading my mind. This is what I was thinking on my trip home.
I am really liking the over here
 
I sorta kinda like the Dodgers to go down tonight....Kim +140 seems like great value to me. He's pitched pretty well and I have to think if this was Maddox and the Cubs he was facing, he wouldn't be getting +140.
The thought has crossed my mind...
mine as well - they have won 10 straight
I just came in here and you guys are reading my mind. This is what I was thinking on my trip home.
I am really liking the over here
This is what I am now thinking...
 
I sorta kinda like the Dodgers to go down tonight....Kim +140 seems like great value to me. He's pitched pretty well and I have to think if this was Maddox and the Cubs he was facing, he wouldn't be getting +140.
The thought has crossed my mind...
mine as well - they have won 10 straight
I just came in here and you guys are reading my mind. This is what I was thinking on my trip home.
I am really liking the over here
This is what I am now thinking...
:coffee: :stalker:
 
Looking closer, and I fully believe they are ####### with the balls in Colorado (no doubt about it -- thanks Hoard), Kim is not so good on the road. His last four have fetched the following earned runs: 7,3,6,5...against Az, Pitt, Sea, and Wash respectively. Those aren't exactly world-beaters, either. Anyway, he's a different pitcher at home with all the help, so I'm not buying that he's come around or whatever.

I certainly can't back the guy against the red-hot Dodgers, although I wanted to for value's sake.

On the other side, the Dodgers need no introduction with the way they're playing and scoring. Was fading Maddux before he came over, but not so sure at this point.

So, it's either the over or the Dodgers for me tonight. Be back in a bit, gotta smoke a bowl for some clarity.

KIDDING, I WAS KIDDING ABOUT THE BOWL!!

 
i see a total of 8 -102 at pinny for col/la - i am thinking this looks like a solid play.

Nice analysis SLBD

This is what Kim has done against the Dodgers this year:

DATE TEAM OPP RESULT RECORD SV ERA GS CG SHO IP H R ER HR BB SO HBP WP BK

05/16 COL LA W 5-1 2-1 0 4.62 1 0 0 7.0 4 1 1 0 5 5 0 2 0

05/22 COL @LA L 1-6 2-2 0 4.02 1 0 0 6.0 6 3 1 0 2 2 1 0 0

06/09 COL LA L 0-3 3-4 0 4.84 1 0 0 6.2 8 3 3 0 3 5 0 0 0

I got these stats from CBS Sportsline. The only game that was that LA he only allowed 1 ER.

:thinking:

 
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well 10 minutes to game time and hit on one already tonight - I am taking out first instrincts - small - col +147 - risking .5 units

GLTA

 
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two more plays after a mediocre start:

Parlay TB ML +190/O 9

O8.5 in the Dodgers game +105

changed my mind on how to play the TB game

 
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Two plays I like tonight:Balt/Tor O 10.5 - both starters are lousy in terms of expected era ( #64B and # 56C) for those familiar with Sagarin Ratings - thanks again for the link Roarin' Soarin'; Tor can flat out mash and Balt can score runs as well - I think this sails over;LA Angels -115: Jared Weaver has shown to be the real deal. Sowers had two straight SO appearances before getting roughed up a bit by Boston his last time out. Sowers does not throw very hard and needs pinpoint control to be successful. His Peripherals do not support his outings thus far. Also, given how inconsistent rookie pitching can be ( which could effect either side), and the fact that at this price you clearly get the better team relatively cheaply - I'll take LAA -115GLTA
:banned: :banned:
 
1 Unit each..

Balt/Tor Over 10 -110

Sea/TBay Under 9 -120

1 Unit Parlay:

Rockies +140

Royals +140

GLA
Well, right side on the Royals game, wrong side with the Rockies, though Col made me feel good for about 6 innings.Hit both the totals, so it was a winning night.

Missed the early action, but I'll throw a unit out there for fun...

Oak/Tex UNDER 9 -110

:shrug: just throwing darts at this point.

 
I like Seattle today. Shields is awful on the road, 2-4 with an ERA over 6.50, with opponents hitting .344 against him. Day games, opponents are hitting .314 against him too. And righties are hitting .362 against him. Hopefully the heart of the Mariners lineup (Lopez, Beltre and Sexson) can do some damage. Also still like the M's bullpen, so I don't mind laying the -164.

Also a little RL parlay to keep the good times rolling.

Seattle -1.5 (+125)/Houston -1.5 (Oswalt +100)

Almost got burned by this one last night, but I don't care, that was last night. Already am on Seattle, and hell I don't mind laying the runs with Oswalt pitching against Pittsburgh. Plus with Wheeler and Lidge pitching okay lately, I think the Buccos will be lucky to score 2 runs tonight (last time I said this they lit up Zambrano and the Cubs, so buyer beware).

g'luck

 
How is Lackey sitting there at -114? I think ANA is a strong play tonight. Disclaimer that I will be @ the Jake tonight with my kid, and am in full FADE THE TRIBE mode. Seriously, ANA is the better team with the better starter. The Tribe is only better than TB and KC in the entire American League, and keeps finding ways to lose one run ballgames. I like ANA here.

FWIW, I also like guru's RL parlay.

 
1 Unit Parlay:

Tampa +144

Rockies +122

I hate that everytime I place a bet I see Guru on the other side. I swear it ain't on purpose man. I just think the Mariners aren't the kid of team who can sweep anybody. They can win 2 of 3, but I just envision them struggling to sweep even the Rays. Even at home. Washburn isn't worth the chalk figure, IMO.

Gotta try to take another shot at the Dodgers again. They probably won't win 55 games in a row, so at some point, I'll win this way.

 
1 Unit Parlay:

Tampa +144

Rockies +122

I hate that everytime I place a bet I see Guru on the other side. I swear it ain't on purpose man. I just think the Mariners aren't the kid of team who can sweep anybody. They can win 2 of 3, but I just envision them struggling to sweep even the Rays. Even at home. Washburn isn't worth the chalk figure, IMO.

Gotta try to take another shot at the Dodgers again. They probably won't win 55 games in a row, so at some point, I'll win this way.
GM - it's all good! I think we've only one about 1 bet when we were on the same side, so if you are against me that means that one of us has to win, no? My check ever show up?Cheers :banned:

 
Green94 said:
Looking at Zito -130 and Zambrano -115 today
I'm not playing anything, but looking at Zito, who I usually like, the Rangers kinda have his number. Tough game there...good luck.
Haven't played it yet... still looking over some numbers. Thanks for the heads up though. :thumbup:
I like the Rangers against Zito :unsure: Not playing it though.Also like the Brew crew, but it's tough to pass up Zambrano at that number. G'luck

 
Green94 said:
Looking at Zito -130 and Zambrano -115 today
I'm not playing anything, but looking at Zito, who I usually like, the Rangers kinda have his number. Tough game there...good luck.
Haven't played it yet... still looking over some numbers. Thanks for the heads up though. :thumbup:
Not that career stats matter much considering player movement and such, but Zito is 16-3 :eek: lifetime against the Rangers and 2 of those 3 losses have come this year :lmao: :unsure:
 
I hit an early Parlay today of Toronto winning and the under in that game.i did not have time to get it in this am.

Later today I have a parlay of Stl/Cinn U9 -105, LAA/Cleve U9 -105

:tumbleweed:

 
Green94 said:
Looking at Zito -130 and Zambrano -115 today
I'm not playing anything, but looking at Zito, who I usually like, the Rangers kinda have his number. Tough game there...good luck.
Haven't played it yet... still looking over some numbers. Thanks for the heads up though. :thumbup:
Not that career stats matter much considering player movement and such, but Zito is 16-3 :eek: lifetime against the Rangers and 2 of those 3 losses have come this year :lmao: :unsure:
Oops, thought the game started at 3, not 2:30. Guess I'm not playing that one.
 
General Malaise said:
1 Unit each..

Balt/Tor Over 10 -110

Sea/TBay Under 9 -120

1 Unit Parlay:

Rockies +140

Royals +140

GLA
Well, right side on the Royals game, wrong side with the Rockies, though Col made me feel good for about 6 innings.Hit both the totals, so it was a winning night.

Missed the early action, but I'll throw a unit out there for fun...

Oak/Tex UNDER 9 -110

:shrug: just throwing darts at this point.
Nice performance, Zito. :kicksrock: oh, and the Oakland Bullpen can blow me.

 

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