Bing Predicts the NFL (or not?) (1 Viewer)

[Riversco]

http://www.businessinsider.com/microsoft-cortana-nfl-predictions-week-1-2014-9


The Microsoft Engine That Nailed The World Cup Is Predicting Every NFL Game — Here Are Its Picks For Week 1

Microsoft's Cortana, the Windows phone virtual assistant that correctly predicted 15 of 16 World Cup knockout stage games, is back for the NFL season.
The predictions come from a model by Bing Predicts that takes into account 2013 results, offensive and defensive stats, margin of victory, location, weather, and public sentiment (which is meant to help identify real-time factors such as injuries).

Since the model just picks a winner and doesn't predict a score against the spread, the hit rate should be well over 50%.

Cortana did well at the World Cup, and even picked Germany over Brazil in the semifinal when other statistical models had Brazil as the heavy favorite. So if you're the gambling sort, it might be wise to take these picks into account.

Here are the Bing Predicts odds for Week 1:

Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks — Seahawks win (74.2% chance)
New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons — Falcons win (61.4% chance)
Minnesota Vikings at St. Louis Rams — Rams win (67.4% chance)
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers — Steelers win (70.2% chance)
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Philadelphia Eagles — Eagles win (75.4% chance)
Oakland Raiders at New York Jets — Jets win (62.9% chance)
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens — Ravens win (59.8% chance)
Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears — Bears win (64.4% chance)
Washington Redskins at Houston Texans — Texans win (51% chance)
Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs — Chiefs win (64.4% chance)
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins — Patriots win (61.4% chance)
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Buccaneers win (56.6% chance)
San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys — 49ers win (68.8% chance)
Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos — Broncos win (77.8% chance)
New York Giants at Detroit Lions — Lions win (61.4%% chance)
San Diego Chargers at Arizona Cardinals — Cardinals win (58.2% chance)

Interestingly, Cortana picked the Vegas betting favorite in 15 of 16 Week 1 games. The only disparity is in the Saints-Falcons game. Vegas has New Orleans as a three-point favorite, while Cortana has Atlanta as a pretty big 61% favorite.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Interesting pick with the +135 Falcons. People who bet money lines or suicide pools might be able to use something like this.

 

[tdoss]

Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks — Seahawks win (74.2% chance)
New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons — Falcons win (61.4% chance)
Minnesota Vikings at St. Louis Rams — Rams win (67.4% chance)
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers — Steelers win (70.2% chance)
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Philadelphia Eagles — Eagles win (75.4% chance)
Oakland Raiders at New York Jets — Jets win (62.9% chance)
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens — Ravens win (59.8% chance)
Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears — Bears win (64.4% chance)
Washington Redskins at Houston Texans — Texans win (51% chance)
Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs — Chiefs win (64.4% chance)
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins — Patriots win (61.4% chance)
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Buccaneers win (56.6% chance)
San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys — 49ers win (68.8% chance)
Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos — Broncos win (77.8% chance)
New York Giants at Detroit Lions — Lions win (61.4%% chance)
San Diego Chargers at Arizona Cardinals — Cardinals win (58.2% chance)
10-6...meh

Hate Bing with a passion.

 

[Jobber]

Bing is great for pr0n though.

 

[mquinnjr]

 

[(HULK)]

Lets see how it does weeks 2 and 3 with more current data. Being based off of 2013 is kinda setting it up for failure when so much has changed.

 

[gmbacm]

 

[mquinnjr]

So, I guess Siri is a mush. NOW I know why Apple is losing all this marketshare.

Hopefully this is addressed during today's keynote.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Interesting pick with the +135 Falcons. People who bet money lines or suicide pools might be able to use something like this.

It did nail the lone dog it picked.

4-0 in +70% games also.

 

[tdoss]

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-engine-nailed-world-cup-204019983.html

29-19 so far...I'm not impressed, yet.

• New York Giants vs. Washington Redskins — Redskins win, 64.4% chance (Redskins -3.5)
• Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears — Bears win, 58.2% chance (Packers -1.5)
• Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans — Bills win, 53.3% chance (Texans -3)
• Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts — Colts win, 68.6% chance (Colts -7.5)
• Carolina Panthers vs. Baltimore Ravens — Ravens win, 65.9% chance (Ravens -3)
• Detroit Lions vs. New York Jets — Lions win, >50% chance (Lions -1.5)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers — Steelers win, 78.9% chance (Steelers -7.5)
• Miami Dolphins vs. Oakland Raiders — Dolphins win, 58.2% chance (Dolphins -4)
• Jacksonville Jaguars vs. San Diego Chargers — Chargers win, 83% chance (Chargers -13)
• Atlanta Falcons vs. Minnesota Vikings — Falcons win, 56.6% chance (Falcons -3)
• Philadelphia Eagles vs. San Francisco 49ers — 49ers win, 58.2% chance (49ers -5.5)
• New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys — Cowboys win, 53.3% chance (Saints -3)
• New England Patriots vs. Kansas City Chiefs — Patriots win, 67.4% chance (Patriots -3.5)

Cortana and Vegas disagree on three games: Saints-Cowboys, Bills-Texans, and Bears-Packers.