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BnB's Baker's Dozen (1 Viewer)

You had me until you put down Stephen Alexander. He sucks, but seems to always find his way onto value lists every year.
Amen brother. I can't for the life of me understand why this guy even gets drafted anymore. He couldn't disappoint on a more consistent basis if he tried.There are some players I simply won't draft. Stephen Alexander is one of them.

 
i still like clayton's prospects going forward for dynasty purposes...

in redraft, galloway does worry me next few years...

however old he is (didn't look up... 31-32?) he is a young early thirties...
Galloway will turn 35 during the season. He had the second best fantasy scoring season of any WR 34 or older (189 points), second only to Cris Carter's 202 points scored in 1999.I own him in one league and hope he comes in at 75-80% of last year's total.

 
It would seem to be if Clayton is in for a much bigger year and Galloway stays close to last year's numbers, might Simms become a qb to target?

 
Personally, I am keeping my eye on developoments in Jacksonville.

Just my gut speaking, but I think Byron Leftwich will have a breakout year. I like his options at WR - I see Wilford as a #3 fantasy WR option with #1 possibilities; Matt Jones still has lots of upside; Jimmy Smith has a little left in the tank; maybe RegWill can do perform (I'm not holding my breath).

And, if I may embrace the concept of RBBC (eww!), Fred Taylor and Greg Jones represent one of the best RBBCs this upcoming season (assuming good health).

My estimation of Jax offense, especially Leftwich, will only increase if Jax reels in a TE in round 1 or 2.

 
Butterfingers? And there's only so many looks he will get considering he's got two clearly superior recievers ahead of him and that the Panthers are generally considered a run-first team.
for the 84th WR drafted, you gotta take some chances :shrug:
He was the 125th ranked WR according to PFR. 41 spots higher than he performed is a major risk, so much so I'd bet that's a bigger jump than any other player in the NFL/FF. 41?
He was injured his rookie year. Last year the buzz out of the Panther's practice facility was how fast he was progressing. Don't forget that he didn't play much WR in college and was a two way player. He was good enough to make Gardner expendable and to become the number two option in the playoffs for the Panthers. WR84 puts him in the middle of the NFL's WR3s. He has more talent then most NFL WR3s. If something were to happen to Key or SS, Carter will skyrocket into a top 30 performer. I can't say that for most guys drafted this late.
Drew Carter was not a 2-way player at Ohio State (that was Chris Gamble). He was considered the #2/#3 receiver and would disappear in games. He was, however, the kind of guy that would make huge plays to change games. He had a ton of speed. However, I seem to remember that he was injured often.
 
Butterfingers? And there's only so many looks he will get considering he's got two clearly superior recievers ahead of him and that the Panthers are generally considered a run-first team.
for the 84th WR drafted, you gotta take some chances :shrug:
He was the 125th ranked WR according to PFR. 41 spots higher than he performed is a major risk, so much so I'd bet that's a bigger jump than any other player in the NFL/FF. 41?
He was injured his rookie year. Last year the buzz out of the Panther's practice facility was how fast he was progressing. Don't forget that he didn't play much WR in college and was a two way player. He was good enough to make Gardner expendable and to become the number two option in the playoffs for the Panthers. WR84 puts him in the middle of the NFL's WR3s. He has more talent then most NFL WR3s. If something were to happen to Key or SS, Carter will skyrocket into a top 30 performer. I can't say that for most guys drafted this late.
Drew Carter was not a 2-way player at Ohio State (that was Chris Gamble). He was considered the #2/#3 receiver and would disappear in games. He was, however, the kind of guy that would make huge plays to change games. He had a ton of speed. However, I seem to remember that he was injured often.
Good thing that has changed ...............
 
I like your first 3 picks. After that you wasted your typeing time. :rolleyes:

I also would put Julias up there with your top 3.

 
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Inspired by Lhucks, here are my top 13 pre-NFL draft value picks for 2006 redraft leagues.  The draft positions are based on a recent draft with prominent FBG members in a 16 team league.

Chris Brown RB31 - Finished ranked 20th and 24th in limited action over the last two seasons.  Despite his upright running style, he does have talent.  I expect Tenn to draft a QB in the first and don't see anyone on the roster who's a threat to unseat Brown.

Aaron Brooks QB19 - A perrenial top 10 fantasy QB who finsihed ranked 16 last year despite missing 3 games.  Please explain how moving to the Raiders with weapons like Moss and Porter reduces his value?

Dominic Rhodes RB38 - Obviously a high risk pick, but a potential homerun later in the draft.  At this point in time, he's the most likely 2006 version of Mike Anderson or LJ.  Yes, Indy will likely bring in a rookie to compete.  No they won't risk manning's health with someone unfamiliar with the audibles and blocking assignments.  Yes, there's enough scoring ops in Indy for two backs to finish in the top 30.

Michael Clayton WR39 - I'm expecting a return to 2004 numbers and believe injuries and ball cancer hampered him in 2005.

Reggie Brown WR43 - Until I hear otherwise, he's the number 1 WR in the league's most pass happy offense.

Ben Watson TE12 - Really came on in the second half of last year.  The thin receiving options in NE coupled with Brady should lead to his emergence this year.

Zach Hilton TE17 - Brees' likes his TEs...NTTAWWT.  I think the second half of 2005 shows the potential here for a very cheap price.

Dallas Clark TE18 - Grossly over rated last year.  Seems to have slipped to a position where Manning's potential makes him a bargain

Marion Barber RB49 - Finished 35th among the RBs last year.  I don't see his load decreasing and Parcel's may actually like this guy.

Reche Caldwell WR74 - NE's #2WR has consistantly posted numbers around WR40.  This guy is a must have acquisition at WR74.

Drew Carter WR84 - Forget Colbert, this will be the slot man in Carolina.  We're now in deep sleeper territory, but Carter is the best option out there to bust into the top 30 in the right circumstances.

Stephen Alexander TE31 - I thought he had become the Bronco's #1 TE in receiving terms at the end of last year.  Putzier has moved on leaving a huge opportunity for Alexander.  Of course this could go up in smoke if the Denver drafts a rookie in the first.

Lee Suggs RB71 - OK, he's on my sleeper list every year.  Eventually a blind squirrel will find and nut and this nut is basically free.  I still believe that he has talent.

bassnbrewrules

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Wow...this list got thru the draft relatively unscathed. Caldwell got some competition that will hurt. I expected Rhodes to get so competition...better Addai then TJones, DWilliams, or Maroney.
 
Inspired by Lhucks, here are my top 13 pre-NFL draft value picks for 2006 redraft leagues.  The draft positions are based on a recent draft with prominent FBG members in a 16 team league.

Chris Brown RB31 - Finished ranked 20th and 24th in limited action over the last two seasons.  Despite his upright running style, he does have talent.  I expect Tenn to draft a QB in the first and don't see anyone on the roster who's a threat to unseat Brown.

Aaron Brooks QB19 - A perrenial top 10 fantasy QB who finsihed ranked 16 last year despite missing 3 games.  Please explain how moving to the Raiders with weapons like Moss and Porter reduces his value?

Dominic Rhodes RB38 - Obviously a high risk pick, but a potential homerun later in the draft.  At this point in time, he's the most likely 2006 version of Mike Anderson or LJ.  Yes, Indy will likely bring in a rookie to compete.  No they won't risk manning's health with someone unfamiliar with the audibles and blocking assignments.  Yes, there's enough scoring ops in Indy for two backs to finish in the top 30.

Michael Clayton WR39 - I'm expecting a return to 2004 numbers and believe injuries and ball cancer hampered him in 2005.

Reggie Brown WR43 - Until I hear otherwise, he's the number 1 WR in the league's most pass happy offense.

Ben Watson TE12 - Really came on in the second half of last year.  The thin receiving options in NE coupled with Brady should lead to his emergence this year.

Zach Hilton TE17 - Brees' likes his TEs...NTTAWWT.  I think the second half of 2005 shows the potential here for a very cheap price.

Dallas Clark TE18 - Grossly over rated last year.  Seems to have slipped to a position where Manning's potential makes him a bargain

Marion Barber RB49 - Finished 35th among the RBs last year.  I don't see his load decreasing and Parcel's may actually like this guy.

Reche Caldwell WR74 - NE's #2WR has consistantly posted numbers around WR40.  This guy is a must have acquisition at WR74.

Drew Carter WR84 - Forget Colbert, this will be the slot man in Carolina.  We're now in deep sleeper territory, but Carter is the best option out there to bust into the top 30 in the right circumstances.

Stephen Alexander TE31 - I thought he had become the Bronco's #1 TE in receiving terms at the end of last year.  Putzier has moved on leaving a huge opportunity for Alexander.  Of course this could go up in smoke if the Denver drafts a rookie in the first.

Lee Suggs RB71 - OK, he's on my sleeper list every year.  Eventually a blind squirrel will find and nut and this nut is basically free.  I still believe that he has talent.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Nice list Bass, I agree with almost all of these selections. Your late round sleepers leave something to be desired, but for where they're being drafted, it would only take two or three decent weeks or production to provide "value" relative to ADP.
 

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