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Buy Low/Sell High Thread (1 Viewer)

Do you think Dwayne Bowe could be a buy low? He had a decent outing today with 55 yards and a TD but isn't by any means lighting it up. I would sell high on julian edelman, two 20+ ppg in ppr, and still has value while Amendola is out.
I'd consider selling high on him.

It doesn't seem like his skill set is a great fit for Alex Smith and this offense.
I've just dealt Bowe for Sproles in a standard league, and I feel like I'm committing highway robbery. I was ready to waive him for some WW fodder.

I think now is as high as we're going to be able to sell Bowe this season, as I expect more games like the first three instead of the last game. Sell him to the people who know the name but haven't suffered through the results this season. Yahoo still has his offense rank really high at 38th overall, so any trade with Bowe will look good on their trade evaluation.

 
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Ray Rice as a possible buy low?

I've had an offer sent to me in my keeper league, Matt Forte for Rice. Forte is a high price to pay, but the guy always starts the year strong and then injures himself. I'm thinking about it seriously.

What does everyone thiounk? Would you value Rice higher than Forte in a keeper (6 player keeper)? I may go back at him and ask for a 3rd round draft pick as well as rice.

 
How bout Doug Martin?

Does his sheer volume of touches make him a candidate, the owner is expecting 1st round numbers and might be willing to sell cheap after watching Glennon play.

I'm torn whether or not to go after him. Thinking about using Demarco Murray as bait, but hesitating.

 
Ray Rice as a possible buy low?

I've had an offer sent to me in my keeper league, Matt Forte for Rice. Forte is a high price to pay, but the guy always starts the year strong and then injures himself. I'm thinking about it seriously.

What does everyone thiounk? Would you value Rice higher than Forte in a keeper (6 player keeper)? I may go back at him and ask for a 3rd round draft pick as well as rice.
I don't think Forte for Rice is buying low enough at this point. They weren't THAT far apart in the preseason rankings, and the Bears offense is functioning better than Baltimore. Although Forte has had some injuries the last couple years, they don't strike me as the type that make him a higher than normal injury risk.

Forte is playing at an elite level, with most of it being sustainable. The TDs may not come as frequently as they have, but they have been giving him red zone carries, and defenses will not be able to stack the box without some serious injuries to the passing game.

I do like the idea of going after Rice, though. Bernard Pierce hasn't done anything to make this a true timeshare, and the minor improvements to the offensive line should help solidify things a little.

 
From another thread but Chirs Johnson might be a good play here at the right price, Locker & his penchant for running out, Fitz in with some dumpoffs, and CJ's got to get closer to 1000+ rushing by the end of the year.

 
Ray Rice as a possible buy low?

I've had an offer sent to me in my keeper league, Matt Forte for Rice. Forte is a high price to pay, but the guy always starts the year strong and then injures himself. I'm thinking about it seriously.

What does everyone thiounk? Would you value Rice higher than Forte in a keeper (6 player keeper)? I may go back at him and ask for a 3rd round draft pick as well as rice.
Wow, I;d much rather own Forte than Rice at this point. Rice still has Pierce to worry about and Rice's upcoming schedule isn't exactly great.

As for some buy low targets this week for myself, I'm fishing for In PPR Redrafts:

Tony Romo - In leagues where I drafted Wilson and/or RG, he's definitely one of the QB's I'm trying to target, most that drafted him either did so as part of a QBBC or even a backup and I like his upcoming schedule for the rest of the year.

Ray Rice - Not sure if he can be bought too low, all depends on the owner's team record and roster. But in the right scenario he can probably be had right now as long your willing to part with some quality.

Knowshon Moreno - People still seem a bit weary and shaky about him as a RB2 moving forward despite his production so far, I'm definitely trying to acquire him in the couple of leagues where I missed out.

C.J. Spiller - Yes, I'm a bit of a sucker for this guy, just love his talent and believe that he's too good not to breakout soon enough. Things look bleak right now with the lack of production, f-jax stealing touches and the injuries, but I view it as a perfect storm to buy low.

Danny Woodhead - Similar to Moreno for me, his trade value is probably still lower than it should be despite his recent production.

Marques Colston - The targets, receptions and yards have been there, and so the TD's will come soon as well. Colston also seems to have a knack for turning it on late in the season, good target right now.

DeSean Jackson - Still a top 10 WR IMO and coming off of 2 disappointing weeks opens up the door for a potential buying opportunity. The upcoming 2 matchups with the Giants has some serious FF potential for all involved.

Mike Wallace - Tannehill's looked solid this season, I expect him to start clicking with Wallace soon enough. Tannehill has good arm strength, Wallace has the speed so sooner or later Wallace is going to get going. Only annoying part is that he's prone to having complete duds some weeks,

Hakeem Nicks - Eli loves Cruz, the whole world knows it. Nicks looks a little slow out there to me. I still expect better days ahead and the potential for a trade to a better situation would be huge for his FF value. Might be worth a shot.

Antonio Gates - I love what McCoy's done with this passing game, and again like Woodhead and Moreno his owners might be thinking "sell while I can" and if I needed a TE I would certainly be interested.

Players that I own am looking to potentially sell high in PPR Redrafts:

Andrew Luck - Had hope that this might be his huge breakout season, but he's still too streaky/inconsistent during games. He's also had some nice early matchups and the schedule gets tougher moving forward, especially during the short-term(SEA, @SD, DEN, BYE, HOU) before it eases up again.

Trent Richardson - His YPC has been disappointing, but thankfully he's found the endzone in each game with Indy so far. Again similar to Luck, if I'm sitting at 0-4, 1-3 or even 2-2, I'm looking at the upcoming 5 weeks and I'm probably looking to move him for an RB with a better short term outlook.

Kenbrell Thompkins - With Gronk's return looming in 1-2 weeks and Amendola apaprently not too far behind, I'd look to sell Thompkins. It sounds as if Gronk might be out again this week though, so maybe he's a hold for one more week.

Dwayne Bowe - Maybe more of a "sell while you still can" situation, but I'd definitely be shopping him around.

 
From another thread but Chirs Johnson might be a good play here at the right price, Locker & his penchant for running out, Fitz in with some dumpoffs, and CJ's got to get closer to 1000+ rushing by the end of the year.
He's interesting, but with KC, @SEA, SF, BYE coming up I'd rather wait until later to target him.

 
Ray Rice as a possible buy low?

I've had an offer sent to me in my keeper league, Matt Forte for Rice. Forte is a high price to pay, but the guy always starts the year strong and then injures himself. I'm thinking about it seriously.

What does everyone thiounk? Would you value Rice higher than Forte in a keeper (6 player keeper)? I may go back at him and ask for a 3rd round draft pick as well as rice.
I don't think Forte for Rice is buying low enough at this point. They weren't THAT far apart in the preseason rankings, and the Bears offense is functioning better than Baltimore. Although Forte has had some injuries the last couple years, they don't strike me as the type that make him a higher than normal injury risk.

Forte is playing at an elite level, with most of it being sustainable. The TDs may not come as frequently as they have, but they have been giving him red zone carries, and defenses will not be able to stack the box without some serious injuries to the passing game.

I do like the idea of going after Rice, though. Bernard Pierce hasn't done anything to make this a true timeshare, and the minor improvements to the offensive line should help solidify things a little.
You guys may be right...i'm passing on the Rice for Forte stuff for now. Forte is a damn good back if he can stay healht.

 
somebody in a mid/lower tier to target as a throw in is Emmanual Sanders. He has 38 targets on the year.

 
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Somebody offered me Wilson for S. Jackson. Two weeks ago, I would have jumped on it but SJax is almost healthy now and Wilson hasn't done squat. However, I still think Wilson is a decent buy low candidate. What are people getting for him on the open market?

 
How bout Doug Martin?

Does his sheer volume of touches make him a candidate, the owner is expecting 1st round numbers and might be willing to sell cheap after watching Glennon play.

I'm torn whether or not to go after him. Thinking about using Demarco Murray as bait, but hesitating.
My feeling on it is that Martin was a sell high as soon as rumblings started that Glennon could take over. I thought maybe he could get some dumpoffs but even that seems unlikely.

 
Full disclosure---I own Ridley in one league to clear up any biases I may have. I'm sending offers out for him in the other 4 leagues that I play in--mainly because of what I saw last week. Blount had every opportunity to have a monster game this last week--and he was unimpressive. Not only that--the Pats lose a tight game--and he fumbled the ball away. Bolden didn't look like a guy that can carry a team's running game in my opinion--so I'm thinking that Ridley may have gotten his role back by default. I'm not saying to trade anything of major or decent value away for him--but I'm guessing he can be gotten for very cheap right now. I think he's certainly worth some low ball offers--as I guarantee you that the vast majority of his owners would be willing to look at any deal.

 
Full disclosure---I own Ridley in one league to clear up any biases I may have. I'm sending offers out for him in the other 4 leagues that I play in--mainly because of what I saw last week. Blount had every opportunity to have a monster game this last week--and he was unimpressive. Not only that--the Pats lose a tight game--and he fumbled the ball away. Bolden didn't look like a guy that can carry a team's running game in my opinion--so I'm thinking that Ridley may have gotten his role back by default. I'm not saying to trade anything of major or decent value away for him--but I'm guessing he can be gotten for very cheap right now. I think he's certainly worth some low ball offers--as I guarantee you that the vast majority of his owners would be willing to look at any deal.
I get what you are saying, and to a large degree, I agree with you. However, don't you think this would actually be better news for Vereen; at least for the FF playoffs? He is able to play (assuming his return to health) in week 11. Since Ridley has struggled, Blount didn't do much with his opportunity, Bolden hasn't done much; don't you think that Vereen will have a good opportunity when he gets back?

 
I just traded for Ridley too. I think he's gotta get things back on track. Once Gronk is back, it should open things up for the whole offense. You don't go from a 1200yd 10TD RB to nothing just like that.

Sure Bolden and Blount failing will help Vereen when he gets back, but that's still another 5 weeks away. I'd definitely think about scooping up Vereen if you can afford to stash him.

 
Full disclosure---I own Ridley in one league to clear up any biases I may have. I'm sending offers out for him in the other 4 leagues that I play in--mainly because of what I saw last week. Blount had every opportunity to have a monster game this last week--and he was unimpressive. Not only that--the Pats lose a tight game--and he fumbled the ball away. Bolden didn't look like a guy that can carry a team's running game in my opinion--so I'm thinking that Ridley may have gotten his role back by default. I'm not saying to trade anything of major or decent value away for him--but I'm guessing he can be gotten for very cheap right now. I think he's certainly worth some low ball offers--as I guarantee you that the vast majority of his owners would be willing to look at any deal.
I get what you are saying, and to a large degree, I agree with you. However, don't you think this would actually be better news for Vereen; at least for the FF playoffs? He is able to play (assuming his return to health) in week 11. Since Ridley has struggled, Blount didn't do much with his opportunity, Bolden hasn't done much; don't you think that Vereen will have a good opportunity when he gets back?
While I agree with your thoughts about Vereen--I don't think the situation in regards to buying low on Vereen or Ridley is necessarily an either/or situation. I certainly think that both guys could be considered great buy lows. I just say Ridley because Vereen will probably make his biggest impact around the fantasy playoffs-and for me--I still think he's at least a good 5-6 weeks away from being relevant. I do think the window to buy Vereen will be open for at least another 1-2 weeks--where Ridleys window could be much smaller. I watched the Pats game this last week---and one thing that concerned me is how uncomfortable Brady looked without Ridley in the backfield. People keep mentioning that rain had a huge impact on the game--but I personally didn't see much rain until the final 8-10 minutes of the game--and Brady looked pedestrian the entire game. I do think this bodes well for Ridley and I don't disagree that Vereen is a guy to start looking at too.
 
What does everybody think about Tom Brady? Is he a buy low or is he just gonna continue to suck the rest of the season? I have an offer that sends him my way...I just don't know if I want him at this point.

 
What does everybody think about Tom Brady? Is he a buy low or is he just gonna continue to suck the rest of the season? I have an offer that sends him my way...I just don't know if I want him at this point.
I would think with Gronk coming back and Amendola back, his numbers should go up. How much? No idea. But I think he finishes somewhere around the Top 10.

 
I just traded for Ridley too. I think he's gotta get things back on track. Once Gronk is back, it should open things up for the whole offense. You don't go from a 1200yd 10TD RB to nothing just like that.
Lawrence Maroney ring a bell? I once had 3 full sized couches in my first dinky college apartment. Why? Because they all offered something but also had their drawbacks. One comfy but ugly as sin. One comfy but smelled like dogs. One nice lookin but had the worst cushions. Moral of the story, don't own the NE RBs. They should be on a curb.
 
How bout Doug Martin?

Does his sheer volume of touches make him a candidate, the owner is expecting 1st round numbers and might be willing to sell cheap after watching Glennon play.

I'm torn whether or not to go after him. Thinking about using Demarco Murray as bait, but hesitating.
Good luck. In a few leagues where I couldn't get McCoy or Charles I took Martin. Since every FF site has plastered stuff about Freeman/Glennon and selling high, no one's wanted to touch the guy with a ten foot pole.

Nowadays there's so much info out there that you can't prey on ignorance, only disgust and panic, when trying to buy low/sell high.

 
I'd try to buy Blackmon. It may not be a "buy low" but some owners may be thinking they are selling high. I'd definitely deal a Reggie Wayne type guy maybe VJax.

 
I'd try to buy Blackmon. It may not be a "buy low" but some owners may be thinking they are selling high. I'd definitely deal a Reggie Wayne type guy maybe VJax.
Trying to offer Nicks + Stacy. Sound about right? I'm hesitant to offer much of anything for a Jags player.

 
I'd try to buy Blackmon. It may not be a "buy low" but some owners may be thinking they are selling high. I'd definitely deal a Reggie Wayne type guy maybe VJax.
Trying to offer Nicks + Stacy. Sound about right? I'm hesitant to offer much of anything for a Jags player.
As a blackmon owner I wouldn't even consider that tbh
To me it depends on the guys RB position. Some people are really hurting right now and Stacy may end up being a starter for some.

 
Trying to offer Nicks + Stacy. Sound about right? I'm hesitant to offer much of anything for a Jags player.
As a blackmon owner I wouldn't even consider that tbh
To me it depends on the guys RB position. Some people are really hurting right now and Stacy may end up being a starter for some.
Exactly. His only RBs are Morris, Bryce Brown, and Franklin.

Is it safe to assume that Henne will be the starter for the rest of the season, therefore upping his prospects? Gabbert would appear to kill a lot of Blackmon's upside if he were to come back--especially around FF playoffs.

 
Trying to offer Nicks + Stacy. Sound about right? I'm hesitant to offer much of anything for a Jags player.
As a blackmon owner I wouldn't even consider that tbh
To me it depends on the guys RB position. Some people are really hurting right now and Stacy may end up being a starter for some.
Exactly. His only RBs are Morris, Bryce Brown, and Franklin.

Is it safe to assume that Henne will be the starter for the rest of the season, therefore upping his prospects? Gabbert would appear to kill a lot of Blackmon's upside if he were to come back--especially around FF playoffs.
No. For some reason the Jags coaches keep giving Gabbert a chance.

 
any thoughts on Kenbrell Thompkins ?

Everything that I have heard and read says to sell sell sell!!

I was about to start offering him around but then decided not to. WIth the return of Gronk pretty soon, wouldn't this help Thompkins?

Yes maybe less hands to feed but defenses will "probably" key in on stopping Gronk thus opeling it up a little bit more for the wr's ?

Or am I thinking way off??

 
Trying to offer Nicks + Stacy. Sound about right? I'm hesitant to offer much of anything for a Jags player.
As a blackmon owner I wouldn't even consider that tbh
To me it depends on the guys RB position. Some people are really hurting right now and Stacy may end up being a starter for some.
Exactly. His only RBs are Morris, Bryce Brown, and Franklin.

Is it safe to assume that Henne will be the starter for the rest of the season, therefore upping his prospects? Gabbert would appear to kill a lot of Blackmon's upside if he were to come back--especially around FF playoffs.
hard to say but I think Blackmon will be ok either way...just like Gordon with Weeden/Hoyer. If you're good and he is they will generally give you the ball. If Gabbert were put back in I don't think he'd fall off the cliff...he played this weekend and he had 6 targets, 3 catches for 99 yards with gabbert and 2 targets 46 yards from Henne. He'll get the ball either way.

 
It's not really a buy low/sell high player but I'm on the bubble for a playoff spot right now and I am holding Crabtree on my IR spot. He has a 2 year deal so I would still have him for next year as well as whenever he comes back this year. Do I keep him or sell him to a team that is out of it for someone like a Nicks or Blackmon, etc?

 
Rice just had a two td week, so the opportunity to buy low is closing. That said if you OWN Rice, you may be able to sell that 2 TD performance as a sign of things to come and get more than you could have two weeks ago.

Anectdotal evidence - last week I offered Rice and Bowe for Gio and Decker....foolish offer as Bowe and Rice had sucked up to that point. Now, 1 week later, that same owner wants to trade Gio for Rice and I am now trying to get Colston or Decker as part of the trade from a much more arguable position.

 
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