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Buy Low/Sell High Thread (1 Viewer)

starks said:
FUBAR said:
fruity pebbles said:
trying to buy julio in a dynasty from a playoff team
same here, made a few offers in each of my fantasy leagues where it makes sense. in two of mine, the Julio owner is rebuilding so I didn't bother to make an offer.
Better get back to those offers in a hurry guys.
I don't get it
Hurry because Julio may be done for the season

 
starks said:
FUBAR said:
fruity pebbles said:
trying to buy julio in a dynasty from a playoff team
same here, made a few offers in each of my fantasy leagues where it makes sense. in two of mine, the Julio owner is rebuilding so I didn't bother to make an offer.
Better get back to those offers in a hurry guys.
I don't get it
Hurry because Julio may be done for the season
Right, that's the idea. We're talking dynasty here.

 
Kaep is a great buy-low right now.

Vernon is looking healthy and the 49ers have the 31st rank in strength of schedule remaining.

I think he's going to have a very nice 2nd half of the season as they cruise to the playoffs.

The Packers also have what looks like a cake schedule remaining, after Baltimore. If Matthews can get back in 4-6 weeks, look out for them come playoff time.

 
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I think Blackmon is a buy low. I know he's coming off a great game, but maybe his perceived value as a WR isn't as high as it should be, based on him being well below Jeffery and Allen as waiver pickups on the podcast this week. I view him as a weekly WR2, with WR1 type upside, kind of similar to Josh Gordon.

 
I think Blackmon is a buy low. I know he's coming off a great game, but maybe his perceived value as a WR isn't as high as it should be, based on him being well below Jeffery and Allen as waiver pickups on the podcast this week. I view him as a weekly WR2, with WR1 type upside, kind of similar to Josh Gordon.
first game of the season he goes off for 130 / 1 .... good luck buying him low in any sense of the word. Especially now that Henne is starting.

 
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Anyone trying to buy low on Steven Jackson before he comes back in Week 7? I imagine his value took a huge hit with the Falcons loss of Julio and Roddy banged up. Teams can stack the box now to stop the run. Thoughts?

 
Anyone trying to buy low on Steven Jackson before he comes back in Week 7? I imagine his value took a huge hit with the Falcons loss of Julio and Roddy banged up. Teams can stack the box now to stop the run. Thoughts?
That's a decent question. The thing that concerns me is that Julio being gone could certainly mean that Atlanta has a harder time moving the ball and could result in fewer goal line opportunities. Also--if Atlanta loses another game or two---they might just try to develop their young players. I don't think it's a horribly bad idea to send out a low to moderate offer to an sjax owner as a feeler--but I don't think I would "buy high" on the Julio news.

 
Was thinking of the same thing. Owners could be on the verge of bailing and the Julio news might push it over. But on the flip side it might make them think they'll lean on Jackson more.

Was also looking at buying low on McFadden, but projecting out, his fantasy playoff schedule for week 14-15 looks terrible (@ NYJ, KC). I know some people don't look that far, but I factor that in for mid-season trades.

 
The Julio owner in our league has Avery, T. Austin, Marlon Brown and M. Bennett as his remaining receivers in a 3WR/TE start league + 1 flex. Horrible. I have AJ Green, Cruz, Antonio Brown, Blackmon, Julius Thomas and Cameron. I've offered his choice of Antonio Brown or Cameron for Rivers straight up (he also has Ryan). No other owner needs a QB (I have Stafford and am worried that Calvin's injury may linger), so I think this is sorta a buy low on Rivers (6 point TD league). Though I know I'm buying after multiple 400 yard games.

 
The Julio owner in our league has Avery, T. Austin, Marlon Brown and M. Bennett as his remaining receivers in a 3WR/TE start league + 1 flex. Horrible. I have AJ Green, Cruz, Antonio Brown, Blackmon, Julius Thomas and Cameron. I've offered his choice of Antonio Brown or Cameron for Rivers straight up (he also has Ryan). No other owner needs a QB (I have Stafford and am worried that Calvin's injury may linger), so I think this is sorta a buy low on Rivers (6 point TD league). Though I know I'm buying after multiple 400 yard games.
I don't think that is a buy low at all. If I owned rivers and had his crew of wr's---I would be thrilled with that offer. In fact--if it is a ppr league--I'm jump for antonio brown. Rivers is having a nice season--but the thing is that going into fantasy drafts--he was rated very low. I think most people that drafted him--took him as a backup qb. If this is the case with the trading partner you are trying to work with--I'm guessing he also has a decent qb starting for his team--so I'd think he'd take your deal. If he doesn't--I wouldn't worry too much. Stafford will probably end up being a top 6-10 fantasy qb--which is more than fine.

 
Buy somewhat high - WR Garcon.

Rest of season pass D rankings as of today:

29, 23, 30, 26, 32, 28, 2, 21, 4, 22, 29 and if you play week 17... 21

Buy high on WR Cruz and somewhat high on WR Nicks.

Rest of season pass D rankings as of today:

32, 28, Bye, 20, 25, 29, 25, 28, 3, 20, and if you play week 17... 25

Anytime I can get a run of that many bottom third pass D's... I'm buying.

Pretty much buy NFC East wideouts. ;)

 
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After seeing his few carries the other night, Ivory looked good. More explosive than Powell. If healthy, he could win that 2-down starting role like they expected him to.

 
Dynasty - Buy low or sell high on MJD?

Is it buy low before he produces despite the offense around him as in years past or sell high based on his name appeal before all value is lost?

 
After seeing his few carries the other night, Ivory looked good. More explosive than Powell. If healthy, he could win that 2-down starting role like they expected him to.
It's too bad he's a near lock to never complete a full season without succumbing to injury. His injury history makes DMC look durable.

 
After seeing his few carries the other night, Ivory looked good. More explosive than Powell. If healthy, he could win that 2-down starting role like they expected him to.
I had similar thoughts.....although Goodson certainly does complicate things.
Goodson tore his ACL and MCL.

I would 100% buy low on Powell in PPR right now as Goodson, not Ivory was really hurting his PPR floor.

Also, Ivory is no lock to finish this season healthy. Powell could very easily go back to being a 20 touch back sooner than later.

 
After seeing his few carries the other night, Ivory looked good. More explosive than Powell. If healthy, he could win that 2-down starting role like they expected him to.
I had similar thoughts.....although Goodson certainly does complicate things.
Goodson tore his ACL and MCL.

I would 100% buy low on Powell in PPR right now as Goodson, not Ivory was really hurting his PPR floor.

Also, Ivory is no lock to finish this season healthy. Powell could very easily go back to being a 20 touch back sooner than later.
Yup. Bought the Powell/Ivory combo a couple days ago, and I feel really good about it going forward.

 
I think it might be a good idea to try to sell Zac Stacy this week if you need help in other areas. I like him and he has value as a starting RB but his schedule is pretty tough the rest of the year and you might be able to sell him to a RB needy team now that he has solidified his role. You probably won't get much for him straight up but I'd try to use him in a package to get something done.

 
WRs to buy low on? I'm thinking my main WR core (Andre, Colston, White) but would like some others.
Off the top of my head: Cruz, A. Jeffery, T. Smith.
Buy low on 2nd year player with a 100 yd game and a 200 yd game in his last three? Neat trick.
Yeah, so my definition of buying low is get the player when their perceived value lags below their actual value. Considering he has been erratic outside of those two weeks, he had a down Week 6, and I still don't think owners quite yet value him where he should truly be, I still consider him a buy low. I never inferred you were buying at the lowest point. Feel free to differ as to what you think his potential is, but I'll just put a disclaimer and the definition of "buy low" I use every time I make a recommendation now so I can avoid the snide remarks. Thanks for your input.

 
Full disclosure---I own Ridley in one league to clear up any biases I may have. I'm sending offers out for him in the other 4 leagues that I play in--mainly because of what I saw last week. Blount had every opportunity to have a monster game this last week--and he was unimpressive. Not only that--the Pats lose a tight game--and he fumbled the ball away. Bolden didn't look like a guy that can carry a team's running game in my opinion--so I'm thinking that Ridley may have gotten his role back by default. I'm not saying to trade anything of major or decent value away for him--but I'm guessing he can be gotten for very cheap right now. I think he's certainly worth some low ball offers--as I guarantee you that the vast majority of his owners would be willing to look at any deal.
Good call

 
Any thoughts on Gonzalez? With Julio gone and Roddy still limping around he has to see the majority of targets from Ryan right? I have Finley and He might be in the same situation with GB wr injuries over the weekend.

Is it worth a shot with Gonzalez for the ROS?

 
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Jets running game-I think they will be looking to bring someone in. I don't think Ivory can (or has the confidence from the team) that he can stay healthy. Everyone is talking up Powell and opportunity IS a big factor but this is also a guy that couldn't push Shonn Greene out of a job. Rememebr that. Now...who is out there that could be better? I'm skeptical anyone is so maybe this one is more to say "buyers be aware all around on the Jets".

Gonzo-Someone asked if he would be a good one because of the injuries at WR. You have to keep in mind he is also much more double teamable now. He is still Gonzo but I wouldn't be buying o the premise that his value increases.

SJAX-staying with Atlanta. He might be the buy low here.

Thad Lewis-I think this kid is a player and he is available and starting right in the heart of bye weeks. Probably an easy pickup.

 
Gonzo-Someone asked if he would be a good one because of the injuries at WR. You have to keep in mind he is also much more double teamable now. He is still Gonzo but I wouldn't be buying o the premise that his value increases.
Agree with this. My mind keeps going back to the Jets game, when they threw three guys on him when the Falcons were near the goal line. Ryan will still force him the ball, but between the O-Line and the injuries to his weapons, the likelihood that this offense returns to the form of years past is doubtful.

What's everyone doing with Blackmon? Two amazing games, with a third likely this week. But the Jags seem committed to giving Gabbert the starting job, and I think that limits his elite upside. But I haven't watched the film, so maybe he looks so good that he's going to thrive no matter what. I'd be selling right now.

 
Is Doug Martin too low? I'd like to target him but I'd like to hear your opinions.
Definitely worth a shot, but in general, his perceived value is still going to be far above his current production. He's done just enough yardage wise to keep owners from bailing, and the emotional bias of trading someone who you spent a top 5 pick or big chunk of auction budget will make it tough to get a true buy low. But if you can get him, I definitely think it's worth a shot. Glennon doesn't seem considerably worse than Josh Freeman has been this year or during his slump last year.

 
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In dynasty, now might be the time to buy low on Hakeem Nicks. Just saw an offer of Nicks basically straight up for Ellington.

 
So Trent Richardson was mentioned in this thread when he was still a Brown.

Is he (redraft):

(a) Stay Away,

(b) just "this close" to getting scores and burst (a buy low), or

(c ) a dead weight around FF owners necks and it ain't getting any better (sell low and be happy you sold)?

 
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Is Aaron Rodgers possibly a buy low? 3 patchy games in a row and just lost Cobb and maybe Jones.

What are some offers you have seen for Ridley? I have him and sort of want to hang onto him, but at the same time, wondering what I may get?

 
Anyone have thoughts on MJD? I haven't seen a JAX game this year, so have no clue if he looks as awful as his stats suggest. I was just offered him for Bowe and am intrigued by it since Bowe will not be seeing my starting lineup any time soon.

 
Is Aaron Rodgers possibly a buy low? 3 patchy games in a row and just lost Cobb and maybe
The problem with Rodgers is name recognition. The guys who are supposed to be elite usually don't get discounted as much as they possibly should. Maybe you can buy him at a fair price in redraft, but in dynasty he's probably still costing to 3 qb prices

 
Is Aaron Rodgers possibly a buy low? 3 patchy games in a row and just lost Cobb and maybe
The problem with Rodgers is name recognition. The guys who are supposed to be elite usually don't get discounted as much as they possibly should. Maybe you can buy him at a fair price in redraft, but in dynasty he's probably still costing to 3 qb prices
Rodgers is costing top 3 QB prices in dynasty based on name recognition? Uhhhh no. He's easily dynasty QB1 based on being a freaking point machine for years, dude. He's currently QB3 in PPG behind Brees and Manning and has a massive shelf life advantage over both of them. Coming off a slow stretch, he's still pacing for 5000 yards and 35 TDs this year. Name recognition? LMFAO.

 

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