DevilintheDetail
Footballguy
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/2012/12bloom_buysell_wk3.php
In this week's edition of Bloom's "Buy Low / Sell High" article, he identifies Cedric Benson as a sell high candidate. I won't copy the excerpt, but basically he argues that Benson had a nice game but primarily because James Stark will start stealing his carries when healthy, he will only give sporadic flex-level play this season.
This makes no sense to me for a couple of reasons. First off, Benson has a high usage rate for a contemporary RB, getting 24 carries in Week 2 (going for 115 yards against the Bears defense). The Packers are very clearly more committed to the run this year and Benson should have a lot of room to run with the multiple receiving options spreading the field. Green Bay doesn't have a big, bruising goal line back, so Benson should presumably get some of the many goal line touches that Green Bay will have to divvy up (I think they probably would like to limit Aaron Rodgers' exposure to injury at the goal line, too). Starks is a mediocre back that has been prone to getting nagging injuries. There has been no talk in Green Bay (that I'm aware of) of Benson losing carries to Starks. Further, though this week's matchup against the Seahawks is a tough one, the Packers still play a bunch of weak defenses in the meat of the season. It's easy to imagine Benson pounding defenses while the Packers protect big leads in November and December. I could easily see regular RB2 numbers with some big 100 yard / 2 TD, RB1-type games.
If anything, Benson seems to me like a clear buy low. Am I missing something?
In this week's edition of Bloom's "Buy Low / Sell High" article, he identifies Cedric Benson as a sell high candidate. I won't copy the excerpt, but basically he argues that Benson had a nice game but primarily because James Stark will start stealing his carries when healthy, he will only give sporadic flex-level play this season.
This makes no sense to me for a couple of reasons. First off, Benson has a high usage rate for a contemporary RB, getting 24 carries in Week 2 (going for 115 yards against the Bears defense). The Packers are very clearly more committed to the run this year and Benson should have a lot of room to run with the multiple receiving options spreading the field. Green Bay doesn't have a big, bruising goal line back, so Benson should presumably get some of the many goal line touches that Green Bay will have to divvy up (I think they probably would like to limit Aaron Rodgers' exposure to injury at the goal line, too). Starks is a mediocre back that has been prone to getting nagging injuries. There has been no talk in Green Bay (that I'm aware of) of Benson losing carries to Starks. Further, though this week's matchup against the Seahawks is a tough one, the Packers still play a bunch of weak defenses in the meat of the season. It's easy to imagine Benson pounding defenses while the Packers protect big leads in November and December. I could easily see regular RB2 numbers with some big 100 yard / 2 TD, RB1-type games.
If anything, Benson seems to me like a clear buy low. Am I missing something?