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***Chicago Cubs Thread*** (1 Viewer)

Ian Stewart currently has a 231 BABIP when his XBABIP based on his line drive, fly ball, groundout rates, etc... is around 337. In his two full seasons and career his BABIP was 12-20 less than his XBABIP. So let's say he should have a BABIP of 321 so far and let's assume for now that every extra hit would only be a single. What would his slash look like?

271/341/426

Throw in a few doubles on his extra 8 base hits and he should be approaching a 800 OPS. Nothing tremendous but not the wasteland his surface numbers present.

Since you would not take my opinion seriously based on watching every Ian Stewart at bat this year. Here are the numbers that say he is very unlucky so far this season. It is true that he isn't hitting the fly balls that a middle of the lineup player should hit. But his likelihood to get a hit does increase due to the lack of fly ball so far.

Who knows what type of player he will look like at the end of the year? All I know is that he has been one of the Cubs three best bat on ball hitters so far this season and he doesn't have a sacrifice hit in his career. So far he has the lowest K rate of his career by nearly 5%. Is it a mirage or has his work with Rudy initiated a process that will make him a better overall hitter? Can he marriage the higher contact rate with a higher fly ball rate? I don't know but bunting with him with runners on 1st and 2nd was a bad gamble for Sveum.
When do we stop caring about lucky/unlucky and all of them there cybermetrics (Sveum's word, not mine)?

We're going on 8 consecutive months of him either being in AAA or being, at best, a .200 hitter. This is someone you take the bat out of the hands of, even if he's never laid down a bunt in his life, when the game dictates the need.

Why? Because bunting and funds are what they have preached since day one of spring training. And if he can't hit over .200, and can't lay down a bunt in a situation that screams for it, maybe he should be finding another line of work.
You and I have had our disagreements in the past but you are spot on here. I can't stand the guy.
 
Well, that sucked
Castro and LaHair MIA for the entire home stand. Not sure if it is because he is hitting 3rd, but Castro looks to be pressing so far this year. He is pulling way to many pitches. But Sveum talks about moving around the top 3 in the lineup like he has better options. DeJesus is clearly the best OBP player on the team outside of LaHair and like everyone else, he isn't a #3 hitter. Unless Rizzo comes up as the clean up hitter soon and moves LaHair and Castro up a spot, I have no idea what he is looking to do. But I am so certain getting Joe Mather more at bats is a good thing.
 
how soon is Rizzo gonna be here?
Reporters are rumoring that Rizzo will be called up when the Cubs are playing away vs AL teams (June 8-10, June 18-20). I am not sure that is happening and also not sure if they do that will they keep up Rizzo and move LaHair to the OF and upset Soriano (please).
 
'boubucarow said:
'Annyong said:
how soon is Rizzo gonna be here?
Reporters are rumoring that Rizzo will be called up when the Cubs are playing away vs AL teams (June 8-10, June 18-20). I am not sure that is happening and also not sure if they do that will they keep up Rizzo and move LaHair to the OF and upset Soriano (please).
WGN radio guys were speculating that Soriano might get some time on the DL to rest his knees when the time comes. But they also brought up the fact that Starlin Castro was brought up early, so the Cubs are probably not to eager to do that with another top prospect. And I agree. Everyone went into this season preaching patience and tempering their expectations, and here it's only late May and fans are clamoring for a Rizzo call-up, despite the fact that's not in the long-term interest of the ballclub.
 
'boubucarow said:
'Annyong said:
how soon is Rizzo gonna be here?
Reporters are rumoring that Rizzo will be called up when the Cubs are playing away vs AL teams (June 8-10, June 18-20). I am not sure that is happening and also not sure if they do that will they keep up Rizzo and move LaHair to the OF and upset Soriano (please).
WGN radio guys were speculating that Soriano might get some time on the DL to rest his knees when the time comes. But they also brought up the fact that Starlin Castro was brought up early, so the Cubs are probably not to eager to do that with another top prospect. And I agree. Everyone went into this season preaching patience and tempering their expectations, and here it's only late May and fans are clamoring for a Rizzo call-up, despite the fact that's not in the long-term interest of the ballclub.
Well when a guy has a 1.200 OPS at Triple A, there is really no reason not to call him up. Regardless of the long-term situation the guy is ready now and a 30 day trial call-up isn't going to hurt. The fact this will be his second trip to the show also helps, leaving him in the minors for the rest of the year really doesn't help him IMO.
 
Iowa Cubs put up 18 yesterday on Tacoma.

Rizzo: 3-5 5r/1hr/3rbi

43g totals: 15hrs/42rbi/.352avg/.418obp/.697slg/1.115ops

side note: Volstad still sucks.

 
'Doctor Detroit said:
'pantagrapher said:
'boubucarow said:
'Annyong said:
how soon is Rizzo gonna be here?
Reporters are rumoring that Rizzo will be called up when the Cubs are playing away vs AL teams (June 8-10, June 18-20). I am not sure that is happening and also not sure if they do that will they keep up Rizzo and move LaHair to the OF and upset Soriano (please).
WGN radio guys were speculating that Soriano might get some time on the DL to rest his knees when the time comes. But they also brought up the fact that Starlin Castro was brought up early, so the Cubs are probably not to eager to do that with another top prospect. And I agree. Everyone went into this season preaching patience and tempering their expectations, and here it's only late May and fans are clamoring for a Rizzo call-up, despite the fact that's not in the long-term interest of the ballclub.
Well when a guy has a 1.200 OPS at Triple A, there is really no reason not to call him up. Regardless of the long-term situation the guy is ready now and a 30 day trial call-up isn't going to hurt. The fact this will be his second trip to the show also helps, leaving him in the minors for the rest of the year really doesn't help him IMO.
There is no reason for the Cubs to call him up if he hasn't addressed the issues in his swing that were exploited in San Diego last year. I have no clue if that has happened. If it has been addressed, I am sure he is on his way shortly. As for Cubs fans, what did they really expect? There was little reason to think the Cubs would be competitive. Calling up Rizzo will not turn the Cubs into a 90 win team. Rizzo would just be another player to watch that you know is in the Cubs future. While that is nice, we can just concentrate on the pieces already in place until the next wave comes up.
 
I probably will jinx him now but Castro has been tremendous defensively for a month now. After two errors on April 21st, he has only one error since. He is covering a ton of ground and has been very accurate on throws. He is especially great on chasing down pop ups and is beginning to use the long one bounce throws when he is deep into the hole. The play last night on Chris Johnson was special. If he can maintain the consistency in his glove work and throws, he is playing close to gold glove level defense. It stands out more since he has been struggling at the plate for over a week now but his defense has not suffered at all.

 
'Doctor Detroit said:
'pantagrapher said:
'boubucarow said:
'Annyong said:
how soon is Rizzo gonna be here?
Reporters are rumoring that Rizzo will be called up when the Cubs are playing away vs AL teams (June 8-10, June 18-20). I am not sure that is happening and also not sure if they do that will they keep up Rizzo and move LaHair to the OF and upset Soriano (please).
WGN radio guys were speculating that Soriano might get some time on the DL to rest his knees when the time comes. But they also brought up the fact that Starlin Castro was brought up early, so the Cubs are probably not to eager to do that with another top prospect. And I agree. Everyone went into this season preaching patience and tempering their expectations, and here it's only late May and fans are clamoring for a Rizzo call-up, despite the fact that's not in the long-term interest of the ballclub.
Well when a guy has a 1.200 OPS at Triple A, there is really no reason not to call him up. Regardless of the long-term situation the guy is ready now and a 30 day trial call-up isn't going to hurt. The fact this will be his second trip to the show also helps, leaving him in the minors for the rest of the year really doesn't help him IMO.
There is no reason for the Cubs to call him up if he hasn't addressed the issues in his swing that were exploited in San Diego last year. I have no clue if that has happened. If it has been addressed, I am sure he is on his way shortly. As for Cubs fans, what did they really expect? There was little reason to think the Cubs would be competitive. Calling up Rizzo will not turn the Cubs into a 90 win team. Rizzo would just be another player to watch that you know is in the Cubs future. While that is nice, we can just concentrate on the pieces already in place until the next wave comes up.
LaHair's slump isn't helping matters
 
'Dr. Awesome said:
I really like the Campana kid. :thumbup:
Seems everyone but the Cubs love this kid. Guy's batting over 300 with 86 at bats. So what happens? Chicago plants his butt firmly on the bench. Cubs fans, wtf? What gives?
It seems Sveum is trying to add power to the lineup. Of course, that power is Joe Mather in the #3 hole. The knock on Campana is that he will not be able to get on base enough to utilize his speed. His walk rates have always been poor, he isn't really a very good bunter, and he lacks the bat speed/strength to maintain a high average. That said, I have no clue why they are not giving Campana every chance to prove he can be the leadoff hitter for the new regime. To get Joe Mather at bats?
 
'Dr. Awesome said:
I really like the Campana kid. :thumbup:
Seems everyone but the Cubs love this kid. Guy's batting over 300 with 86 at bats. So what happens? Chicago plants his butt firmly on the bench. Cubs fans, wtf? What gives?
It seems Sveum is trying to add power to the lineup. Of course, that power is Joe Mather in the #3 hole. The knock on Campana is that he will not be able to get on base enough to utilize his speed. His walk rates have always been poor, he isn't really a very good bunter, and he lacks the bat speed/strength to maintain a high average. That said, I have no clue why they are not giving Campana every chance to prove he can be the leadoff hitter for the new regime. To get Joe Mather at bats?
His walk rate has been better this season, but it's still low. I was kind of surprised to see he has a .351 OBP (although it's been dropping steadily). Maybe Sveum sees that the regression is in progress and wants to try some other things instead of banging his head against a wall with a one-dimensional guy. He probably has to scrap for runs for another month before The Savior gets called up.
 
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'Dr. Awesome said:
I really like the Campana kid. :thumbup:
Seems everyone but the Cubs love this kid. Guy's batting over 300 with 86 at bats. So what happens? Chicago plants his butt firmly on the bench. Cubs fans, wtf? What gives?
It seems Sveum is trying to add power to the lineup. Of course, that power is Joe Mather in the #3 hole. The knock on Campana is that he will not be able to get on base enough to utilize his speed. His walk rates have always been poor, he isn't really a very good bunter, and he lacks the bat speed/strength to maintain a high average. That said, I have no clue why they are not giving Campana every chance to prove he can be the leadoff hitter for the new regime. To get Joe Mather at bats?
His walk rate has been better this season, but it's still low. I was kind of surprised to see he has a .351 OBP (although it's been dropping steadily). Maybe Sveum sees that the regression is in progress and wants to try some other things instead of banging his head against a wall with a one-dimensional guy. He probably has to scrap for runs for another month before The Savior gets called up.
He has been a bit more patient but I was just listing the knocks on him. If he can maintain a 350+ OBP and improve his defensive reactions, he can be the CF or LF for this team for a few years. His speed increases his norm BABIP and of course reeks havoc on the bases, but he doesn't make full use of that speed with initial bad reads in the field and his average at best bunting.
 
HEY LOOK! MORE GOATS!

Great cause, although I wonder why one would pick Santo's birthday to do cancer walk?

But find something better to do than perpetuate the stereotype that the Cubs and Cub fans need this stupud curse as a crutch to help deal with what comes with a century + of failure!!

 
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HEY LOOK! MORE GOATS!

Great cause, although I wonder why one would pick Santo's birthday to do cancer walk?

But find something better to do than perpetuate the stereotype that the Cubs and Cub fans need this stupud curse as a crutch to help deal with what comes with a century + of failure!!
Your link doesn't work

Winds blowing out, and the Cubs offense is offensive again.

 
HEY LOOK! MORE GOATS!

Great cause, although I wonder why one would pick Santo's birthday to do cancer walk?

But find something better to do than perpetuate the stereotype that the Cubs and Cub fans need this stupud curse as a crutch to help deal with what comes with a century + of failure!!
Your link doesn't work

Winds blowing out, and the Cubs offense is offensive again.
you really can't expect to put up crooked numbers on Eric Stultz, can you?Not sure what's wrong with linking this story. It's at the Tribune site.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
HEY LOOK! MORE GOATS!

Great cause, although I wonder why one would pick Santo's birthday to do cancer walk?

But find something better to do than perpetuate the stereotype that the Cubs and Cub fans need this stupud curse as a crutch to help deal with what comes with a century + of failure!!
Your link doesn't work

Winds blowing out, and the Cubs offense is offensive again.
you really can't expect to put up crooked numbers on Eric Stultz, can you?Not sure what's wrong with linking this story. It's at the Tribune site.
Fixed your link. An extra "http".
 
HEY LOOK! MORE GOATS!

Great cause, although I wonder why one would pick Santo's birthday to do cancer walk?

But find something better to do than perpetuate the stereotype that the Cubs and Cub fans need this stupud curse as a crutch to help deal with what comes with a century + of failure!!
Your link doesn't work

Winds blowing out, and the Cubs offense is offensive again.
you really can't expect to put up crooked numbers on Eric Stultz, can you?Not sure what's wrong with linking this story. It's at the Tribune site.
Fixed your link. An extra "http".
:thumbup:
 
Bases loaded in the bottom of the fifth with one out, Samar nursing a 2-1 lead. Grounder up the middle, Castro takes the flip from Barney and starts heading for the dugout.

:bag:

 
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