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Chris Hogan, WR (2 Viewers)

Greg Bedard just mentioned with conviction that Hogan will have at least 100 receptions this year. 


This can only happen if he full inherits the Welker/Edelman role.
He would have to get 150 targets.  A healthy Gronk is getting 120 and White/Lewis is getting 120. Cooks would have to be a bust, because the next guy in line is probably only getting 70-80 targets.  Definitely not impossible, but I would think Cooks is more likely to be the one seeing the 150 targets.

 
Nero said:
He would have to get 150 targets.  A healthy Gronk is getting 120 and White/Lewis is getting 120. Cooks would have to be a bust, because the next guy in line is probably only getting 70-80 targets.  Definitely not impossible, but I would think Cooks is more likely to be the one seeing the 150 targets.
And Burkhead is being criminally underrated. He's easily a better receiver than White and Lewis.

 
Interesting.

Ian Rapoport‏ Verified account @RapSheet  6m6 minutes ago

Source: The #Patriots are placing WR Malcolm Mitchell on Injured Reserve.

 
Interesting.

Ian Rapoport‏ Verified account @RapSheet  6m6 minutes ago

Source: The #Patriots are placing WR Malcolm Mitchell on Injured Reserve.
I mentioned this as an option over the summer. Not sure if they plan on bringing him back as a designated IR return player.

 
I have cooks in one league.  Hogan in the other.  Wouldn't it be crazy if Hogan outscores cooks for the season?
I would not be surprised at all.  Unless the pats treat cooks like Randy moss where they game plan to feature him every week, he will be an exciting role player for the team.  I see no reason why cooks and hogan both can't have 1000 td seasons and each have bw 7-10 tds.  I think Brady has a chance at over 40 tds this year.  

Lets say gronk is healthy all year and Gronking out. Pencil him in for   12 tds.  

Lets say the rbs catch another 12.  That's 24.  

That leaves 16 tds to the WRs.  Cooks and hogan most likely beneficiaries.  And I think hogan has more tds BC he's a bigger red zone tgt.  

So I can envision 1000 yds and 8-10 tds for hogan which would make him a great wr3. 

 
I would not be surprised at all.  Unless the pats treat cooks like Randy moss where they game plan to feature him every week, he will be an exciting role player for the team.  I see no reason why cooks and hogan both can't have 1000 td seasons and each have bw 7-10 tds.  I think Brady has a chance at over 40 tds this year.  

Lets say gronk is healthy all year and Gronking out. Pencil him in for   12 tds.  

Lets say the rbs catch another 12.  That's 24.  

That leaves 16 tds to the WRs.  Cooks and hogan most likely beneficiaries.  And I think hogan has more tds BC he's a bigger red zone tgt.  

So I can envision 1000 yds and 8-10 tds for hogan which would make him a great wr3. 
12 TD's from RB's? Off the top I am going to guess that is high. In the TB/BB era, the most receiving TD's they've had from RB's has been 6.

 
Though Hogan could be the guy to step up in the slot and get a good share of those Edelman looks.

He looked terrible tonight -- couldn't gain separation, didn't seem crisp with routes. 

Depending on Amendola's health, could still hold value, and things do change for teams after the first game of the season, where teams are still knocking off rust and gelling. 

That said, I don't hold hope that Hogan can be a reliable flex player.

 
He's not a slot WR and I don't know why I'm the only one on this board saying it. Feel like I'm taking crazy pills.

 
Gotta place a lot of the blame on Brady, he was just off on a ton of throws. On the positive side it seems like he had a dozen targets...

 
CabinFever said:
Gotta place a lot of the blame on Brady, he was just off on a ton of throws. On the positive side it seems like he had a dozen targets...
While Brady did have a crap game, this was more on Hogan IMHO. Too interested in whining for flags instead of battling for balls. 

 
CabinFever said:
Gotta place a lot of the blame on Brady, he was just off on a ton of throws. On the positive side it seems like he had a dozen targets...
8 opportunities - 5 targets and 3 carries.

 
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While Brady did have a crap game, this was more on Hogan IMHO. Too interested in whining for flags instead of battling for balls. 
The reported chemistry between Brady and Hogan was not evident tonight. They were off on seemingly everything. The bright spot was that Hogan did get 5 targets which is only 1 less than Gronk and 2 less than Cooks and Amendola. He also had 3 rushes so he was heavily involved. If you ask me though, it looks like their plan was/is to replace Edelman with Amendola. Thats a plan thats sure to fail long term though as no way he stays healthy with that many targets. But they may need him to because that seems to make their offense much better.

 
Cooks had 3 catches on 7 targets

Gronk had 2 catches on 6 targets

Hogan had 1 catch on 5 targets

KC has a good secondary and Brady looked rusty. I don't think I am worried unless you expect Brady to continue throwing for 44% this year. I'm happy he was heavily involved, obviously upset about the result. 

 
Haha I hated the playcalling last night.
Wouldn't mind getting him some runs if they also got him some catches. I wish they could play him in the slot because it seems like whomever is playing in the slot is going to get a lot of looks.

 
He had Marcus Peters and some double teams on him.  Granted, not a good start but I'm not ready drop after one stinker.

 
Not sure how you can blame hogan for this. 

Playcalling was horrid.  3 runs?  Are you kidding me? Brady was terrible.  Completed less than 50 percent.  16 completions.  Wow.  He was open on several targets and Brady wasnt even close.  I think if Brady has one of those great Brady games and Hogan totally gets left out, then it's time to worry. He was fourth in targets tonight.  Add in those dumb run plays he's got the most wr touches 

Amendola was getting all the easy stuff.  He's hurt again.

They go to the Superdome after a loss and he's the clear wr2.  I'm starting him again.

 
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Yep this was mostly on Brady. He proved he was human last night, and 40 years old. He missed all his receivers Last night more often than he connected with them. I'm not seeing a valid reason to jump off the Cooks or Hogan train.  :shrug:  Unless Brady is now Peyton Manning of 2015.

 
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He's got a good overall point, though. I don't see how people aren't worried about Amendola getting some of those snaps/targets vacated by Edelman. I don't see Hogan stepping right into Edelman's shoes.
You guys should've been worried about the Dola. But Hogan did dominate snaps, I think.

 
You guys should've been worried about the Dola. But Hogan did dominate snaps, I think.
He played 85% of snaps last year. His role is that of what Brandon Lafells was a few years back. He'll have some nice weeks but his stats will be reminiscent to that of last year and he will be high volatility. 

 
He played 85% of snaps last year. His role is that of what Brandon Lafells was a few years back. He'll have some nice weeks but his stats will be reminiscent to that of last year and he will be high volatility. 
I know, but personally I wasn't sure he was going to get those snaps now that Cooks is there. I thought it might be Cooks all the time and then Dola/Hogan splitting. But yeah, I agree with you - he's going to be hard to predict week-to-week. I only have him in the subscriber contest and the only reason I took him was because Amendola wasn't an option.  :kicksrock:

90 percent.  He was in there more than cooks
Where did you get snap counts so quickly? I've always relied on footballoutsiders, but they take a couple days to release that data.

 
Brady was horrible, New England stunk, etc.  

Didn't they just score 28 points with a defense that couldn't get off of the field and got stopped on two fourth-and-inches? Brady threw for 270 yards and had another hundred or so in PI calls.   

We're talking a totally different game last night if some things go an inch here or an inch there. Hogan will be fine. I wouldn't draw too much from last night other than that Danny Amendola is never going to stay on the field with any, um, consistency (Hey, Joe Morgan in the house!)

 
Not sure how you can blame hogan for this. 

Playcalling was horrid.  3 runs?  Are you kidding me? Brady was terrible.  Completed less than 50 percent.  16 completions.  Wow.  He was open on several targets and Brady wasnt even close.  I think if Brady has one of those great Brady games and Hogan totally gets left out, then it's time to worry. He was fourth in targets tonight.  Add in those dumb run plays he's got the most wr touches 

Amendola was getting all the easy stuff.  He's hurt again.

They go to the Superdome after a loss and he's the clear wr2.  I'm starting him again.
I was shocked last night that people were starting him. He has no talent at all and was about 6th on the patriots list. Injuries might give him a bit of opportunity now but he's a total lottery pick. Just because he's white and plays on the pats doesn't mean he's the next welker/edelman.

 
I know, but personally I wasn't sure he was going to get those snaps now that Cooks is there. I thought it might be Cooks all the time and then Dola/Hogan splitting. But yeah, I agree with you - he's going to be hard to predict week-to-week. I only have him in the subscriber contest and the only reason I took him was because Amendola wasn't an option.  :kicksrock:

Where did you get snap counts so quickly? I've always relied on footballoutsiders, but they take a couple days to release that data.
Tweet from some pats reporter

 
I was shocked last night that people were starting him. He has no talent at all and was about 6th on the patriots list. Injuries might give him a bit of opportunity now but he's a total lottery pick. Just because he's white and plays on the pats doesn't mean he's the next welker/edelman.
You are wrong

 
Brady has had issues with that type of 8 man defensive coverage before (for reference, see the loss to the Jets in the playoffs in 2010). KC flooded the middle to take away the underneath stuff and played physical man to man on the outside and deep routes. NE didn't adjust. The Pats needed 1) Brady to take off and run to get some yardage rather than just throw the ball away 20 yards down field, 2) have a back coming out of the backfield and make the first guy miss if they wanted to get more consistent yardage and/or 3) audible to a running play and pick up 5 or 6 yards. Bottom line in the second half, NE didn't do anything to make Reid change what he was doing defensively.

 
Everybody blaming this dud on Brady should go watch the game again and find a time when he was open. You won't find many. Even when the pats gave Hogan the ball on those end-arounds, he looked like a yeti. He's not slick.

Granted, he played a good secondary though, even Gronk couldn't really get too open. But at least he's a beast. 

 
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Brady has had issues with that type of 8 man defensive coverage before (for reference, see the loss to the Jets in the playoffs in 2010). KC flooded the middle to take away the underneath stuff and played physical man to man on the outside and deep routes. NE didn't adjust. The Pats needed 1) Brady to take off and run to get some yardage rather than just throw the ball away 20 yards down field, 2) have a back coming out of the backfield and make the first guy miss if they wanted to get more consistent yardage and/or 3) audible to a running play and pick up 5 or 6 yards. Bottom line in the second half, NE didn't do anything to make Reid change what he was doing defensively.
I remember watching this game and being stunned. (Jets fan here.) Rex rushed three all game, flooded the underneath middle, and won the game. Other teams have tried to emulate that, but few have the defensive backfield the Jets did back then. It's really not a bad sign for Hogan's fantasy future that he and Brady had subpar games last night; it was a good game plan executed by a very, very good team with a very, very good defensive backfield.  

 
Everybody blaming this dud on Brady should go watch the game again and find a time when he was open. You won't find many. Even when the pats gave Hogan the ball on those end-arounds, he looked like a yeti. He's not slick.

Granted, he played a good secondary though, even Gronk couldn't really get too open. But at least he's a beast. 
He definitely wasn't getting much separation deep, but I thought he was open a couple times on the shallow crossing routes, Brady just never looked his way.

It seemed like he had Peters on him all night. 

 
He definitely wasn't getting much separation deep, but I thought he was open a couple times on the shallow crossing routes, Brady just never looked his way.

It seemed like he had Peters on him all night. 
The guy who designed a crossing route did so because he had a receiver who couldn't get open. 

Marcus Peters coverage might have had something to do with Hogan's ####ty performance. I have to take your word for it though, because I can't say I noticed who was on him most of the time. 

 
The guy who designed a crossing route did so because he had a receiver who couldn't get open. 

Marcus Peters coverage might have had something to do with Hogan's ####ty performance. I have to take your word for it though, because I can't say I noticed who was on him most of the time. 
Yeah I was pretty bullish on Hogan and I've tempered my expectations. Still a hold in my opinion. Amendola may miss time.

3 rushes and 5 targets isn't so bad. The Pats passing offense had a bad day all around. NO next week is interesting.

 
Yeah I was pretty bullish on Hogan and I've tempered my expectations. Still a hold in my opinion. Amendola may miss time.

3 rushes and 5 targets isn't so bad. The Pats passing offense had a bad day all around. NO next week is interesting.
It's only one game...you can't really make a decision on him until week 3-4...I still think he's going to have a monster year

 
Yeah I was pretty bullish on Hogan and I've tempered my expectations. Still a hold in my opinion. Amendola may miss time.

3 rushes and 5 targets isn't so bad. The Pats passing offense had a bad day all around. NO next week is interesting.
Amendola missing time won't help Hogan. It probably hurts him. Amendola is the closest thing to Edelman that the Patriots have left, and Hogan is probably the farthest. Hogan made some good plays last year down the field, but not on the short routes. Edelman underneath attracting attention of the defense opened things up for Hogan on the long pass plays.

Unfortunately, other than Amendola, the Patriots don't have anybody to do the kind of things Edelman does. Maybe Cooks? I doubt it. He's quick but not limber. 

 
Amendola missing time won't help Hogan. It probably hurts him. Amendola is the closest thing to Edelman that the Patriots have left, and Hogan is probably the farthest. Hogan made some good plays last year down the field, but not on the short routes. Edelman underneath attracting attention of the defense opened things up for Hogan on the long pass plays.

Unfortunately, other than Amendola, the Patriots don't have anybody to do the kind of things Edelman does. Maybe Cooks? I doubt it. He's quick but not limber. 
When Edelman went down I was thinking someone out of the trio of Lewis, White and Burkhead would fill that role. I was surprised by the lack of creativity in using those guys as receivers last night. They caught passes, but seemed to be used out of traditional RB formations. Was thinking White/Lewis/Burkhead would line up at receiver at times. Maybe they did and I missed it.

 
When Edelman went down I was thinking someone out of the trio of Lewis, White and Burkhead would fill that role. I was surprised by the lack of creativity in using those guys as receivers last night. They caught passes, but seemed to be used out of traditional RB formations. Was thinking White/Lewis/Burkhead would line up at receiver at times. Maybe they did and I missed it.
I'm not an expert by any means; but fwiw, I think running backs line up out wide to take advantage of linebackers not cornerbacks. 

 

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