Corona Virus Serious Level - 3.6.20 (1 Viewer)

[mr. furley]

Do they show what the "no pre-existing conditions" and the people under 60 numbers are?  Because that's the Goldilocks number.

doesn't seem to break it down that far, but you could probably do some math (i can't) to get to that number.

eta: 

Age and conditions of Coronavirus cases

 See latest findings: Age, Sex, Demographics of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths

According to China's National Health Commission (NHC), about 80% of those who died were over the age of 60 and 75% of them had pre-existing health conditions such as cardiovascular diseases and diabetes.[24]

According to the WHO Situation Report no. 7 issued on Jan. 27:

The median age of cases detected outside of China is 45 years, ranging from 2 to 74 years.

71% of cases were male.

A study of 138 hospitalized patients with NCIP found that the median age was 56 years (interquartile range, 42-68; range, 22-92 years) and 75 (54.3%) were men.[25]

Fatality Rate (case fatality ratio or CFR) of the Wuhan Coronavirus

See full details: Wuhan Coronavirus Fatality Rate

The novel coronavirus' case fatality rate has been estimated at around 2%, in the WHO press conference held on January 29, 2020 [16] . However, it noted that, without knowing how many were infected, it was too early to be able to put a percentage on the mortality rate figure.

A prior estimate [9] had put that number at 3%.

Fatality rate can change as a virus can mutate, according to epidemiologists.

For comparison, the case fatality rate for SARS was 10%, and for MERS 34%.

 

[urbanhack]

Voted 7 initially...sticking with it.

 

[TheIronSheik]

doesn't seem to break it down that far, but you could probably do some math (i can't) to get to that number.

 

[mr. furley]

same 

 

[mr. furley]

Police launch 'pepper balls' at Dayton students partying after university closes over coronavirus concerns

These students probably would have voted 0 or even -1.

yeah, sure, like they would have voted at all

 

[Ted Stickles]

I voted this being a 9.

 

Maybe I should have voted it a 10?

 

[bostonfred]

One of the biggest events of my lifetime was 9/11. It temporarily disrupted air travel (i was on a plane for work later that September), permanently changed people's behaviors (like people attending web classes instead of flying to our offices, which is now commonplace), the stock market got hammered, and most important,  a significant number of people - thousands, not millions - died.  

In even optimistic scenarios, this is trending towards being worse in every way. 

If it's true that people can get reinfected after having this, and that it's actually more deadly after reinfection... this could be the big one. 

Going back to this - i was one of 5 people who voted that this was a ten.  Only 29 out of 270 voters thought it was higher than a 7 by the second week of March. It's an interesting reread.

 

[Galileo]

Going back to this - i was one of 5 people who voted that this was a ten.  Only 29 out of 270 voters thought it was higher than a 7 by the second week of March. It's an interesting reread.

I would speculate that there is a sizable population that would still not vote higher than a 7 on May 2nd.

 

[prosopis]

I voted three. I base that on the inconvenience of people buying all the TP and water at Costoc. I also work in the health field and it is getting to be a PIA to get supplies like masks and sanitizers we use in the ORs. 

I was wrong. I was basing my answer on past "scares" that turned out to be bs, I suppose one of these times they were going to be right.

 

[PIK95]

Going back to this - i was one of 5 people who voted that this was a ten.  Only 29 out of 270 voters thought it was higher than a 7 by the second week of March. It's an interesting reread.

I thought it was a ten in February, when I ordered my chest freezer from Lowes. I finally  got it and loaded it up around St Patricks day.  I didn't see the T.P. run coming.  I had my kids clean out their desk/locker a few days before they surprised everyone and canceled it.  My daughter was just laughing about that yesterday.  It's been like 45 days of lockdown?  Piece of cake besides being poorish now.  As long as we have food, water, and electricity I could do this forever.

 

[AAABatteries]

I voted a 1 based on the question, for me and where I live.  

I think this is being way overblown. It is basically a virus, much like the flu. If you are a person in normal to good health, you may catch it, but you probably will not die from it.  The biggest group at risk are the elderly and people in poor health.  I have never had a flu shot nor would I get a vaccine for this if and when it becomes available.  

On an economical impact, it will have a larger effect, but that will be nationwide.  Consumer goods, parts for electronics, automotive parts (I am in the automotive business). A vast majority of these come from China, so this happening in China has a larger effect than it happening in our country.

@snellman - definitely not calling you out but I think you were first to make a comment about the vaccine - that I noticed.  Just curious if you changed your mind or if you decided to stick with not getting vaccinated.  Just curious since you were an “early adopter”.

 

[snellman]

@snellman - definitely not calling you out but I think you were first to make a comment about the vaccine - that I noticed.  Just curious if you changed your mind or if you decided to stick with not getting vaccinated.  Just curious since you were an “early adopter”.

Still have not been vaccinated and don't plan on getting it.  I have not had the covid either.  My wife has gotten the vaccine and the booster.  She works at a college and her company is planning for the vaccine requirement so she just got the booster this last week.  My company (dealership) shouldn't have to require the vaccine or testing because we are under the minimum number of employees but my dealer has said that he will not require it.  I have been exposed to it many times at work knowingly and who knows how many times unknowingly because I deal with plenty of people every day (service manager).

 

[Scoresman]

I have yet to hear a sensible, valid reason to not getting vaccinated at this point.  

 

[snellman]

I have yet to hear a sensible, valid reason to not getting vaccinated at this point.  

 I would tell you my reason, but You seem to have already said it is not sensible or valid, so I won't.

 

[Scoresman]

 I would tell you my reason, but You seem to have already said it is not sensible or valid, so I won't.

I only said I hadn't heard one yet, but I should clarify that I haven't heard one that doesn't have to do with a medical reason to not get vaccinated.