gianmarco
Footballguy
My only issue with what you are saying is that Williams was good enough to warrant being drafted in the 1st round. And it's not as if Carolina reached on him. He was projected to be a 1st round pick by NFL scouts whose job it is to figure out who is worth it and who isn't. I seriously doubt they draft a RB in the 1st round if all they see out of him is a 3rd down back. Now, I'm not saying that where a guy is drafted is the definitive measure to his ability. But, without him showing whether or not he can carry a full load in the NFL, it's a bit premature to write him off. That being said, I've never been very impressed from what I've seen from him on the field as well. He's never "wowed' me by anything he's done on the field. That doesn't mean he can't be a full-time back, just that he may not be an elite full-time back or even a very good full-time back. You're absolutely entitled to your opinion and if that's what you see on the field, then that's what you see. But, combine his draft position, NFL scouting, as well as his NFL stats over his 1st 2 yrs, and I think a lot of us may be writing this guy off way too early (myself included). I can't put my finger on it, but something seems to be missing on the "eye test" but yet he still seems to get it done.Thanks EBF, I have been thinking about this for a couple of days and have watched all of the Youtube Highlights on Williams. I see a great third down back in the NFL, I'll Repeat I see a great third down back in the NFL that doesn’t catch the ball much out of the backfield (In College). Talent yes, but the person who wrote Williams > Turner is either biased or is going to have to point me to some video that clearly shows Williams the Complete back. I don’t see it, I thought I've missed something while watching football the last two years, only a couple of Carolina games, but I just don’t see it. I don’t know what Turner will do this year, but I'm going to bet that he will be a good 30-40% more productive than Williams. Stats don’t lie unless they do. Sometimes they don’t tell the whole story. Watch all the Video available online for these two. I believe that if you are objective you will come to the same conclusion that I do, Turner is clearly the more talented back.Therein lies the difference. Signing a player to a fat contract is an endorsement of that player.They didn't cut Foster because of DeAngelo; they cut Foster because of Foster not doing much, plus the salary cap.Umm, isn't this exactly what he did by Car trading Foster?When I watch DeAngelo play, I just don't see a starting RB. When I see Michael Turner play, I see a 300 carry RB with breakaway speed. It's not close for me. DeAngelo may have talent, but it is telling to me that he could not take the job from Foster when he had ample opportunity to do it.
Cutting a starter is not (necessarily) an endorsement of his backup. What Carolina does in the draft should offer strong clues about their opinion of Williams. Personally, I would hold off on acquiring him until after the draft. His value won't shoot up a ton if he becomes their starter, but it will drop a ton if they draft Mendenhall or Stewart.
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This was his opinion, others can take it FWIW. I am not saying I agree or disagree with his conclusions, but the idea that the scouts know everything is absurd. There are many people who are not very strong in evaluations; we see it all the time. using baseball as an example, look how many people disagreed with what billy Beane was doing and kept relying on their scouts ONLY. Just recently we have seen OPS become a huge factor in analysis and it is clear that the scouts were WAY behind because they are human and have bias.Getting back to football, which does NOT lend itself to statistical study nearly as much as baseball, you do need scouts. But, to think they have so much more ability to judge talent than some others who are not in the business (but are serious in watching watching tape sometimes over and over) is a reach if you ask me.