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Drafting Michael Turner this year in a Keeper League (1 Viewer)

dickey moe

Fingerpicker
I'm in a pretty competitive keeper league (keep two) that's drafting this Sunday. I'd like to snag Michael Turner somewhere between the 8th and 12th round to prepare for next season. I might have to overpay if I want him though, because I was hanging out with the LT2 owner in our league last night and he indicated that he wants Turner as well (I didn't let him know I was currently thinking of drafting Turner). Where should I target Turner in this draft?

 
Really depends on the number of keepers. In my dynasty league, he was protected this year.
Why even respond if that's what you're going to say? He said that it was keep two. It's hard to say what round to take him in because we don't know your scoring or how RB heavy your draft will be. But I'd say you have to take him around RB20 if you want him.
 
I am in a 4 man keeper/14 team draft this afternoon. I will post the result of his selection this evening. Keep in mind that there is already 30 RB's kept. I took him last year at the end of the 3rd(essentially the 7th) and it did not pay off for me. Obviously too high, but RB's with that potential I thought it was worth the shot and FA. I am sure people will be onto my game this year. Will let you know anyway.

 
Why even respond if that's what you're going to say? He said that it was keep two.
No reason to be a tool. :lol:
JohnnyU's right on that one.I missed the keep two part in the opening post. That makes a big difference. I'd say the odds that you decide to keep Turner aren't great, especially if you're picking towards the end of the first round. He could have a bad year, get injured or not sign in a favorable situation. You will probably keep your first round pick this year, assuming he lives up to or near expectations. That leaves all your other rounds to find one keeper. Yes, there's a chance Turner is a first round pick in redraft years, but there's also a very good chance you won't keep him. I would not overpay for that chance.If you really want him, though, the LT owner is probably thinking 7.01.
 
12 Team 2 Keeper

We Start 2 RB and a Flex, I drafted him in 8.01. RB Heavy as no PPR. 2 round deduction every year so he will be a 6th rounder in 2008.

Not sure that helps but I would think he goes a round or so earlier than typical ADP if a keeper league.

 
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Why even respond if that's what you're going to say? He said that it was keep two.
No reason to be a tool. :bow:
JohnnyU's right on that one.I missed the keep two part in the opening post. That makes a big difference. I'd say the odds that you decide to keep Turner aren't great, especially if you're picking towards the end of the first round. He could have a bad year, get injured or not sign in a favorable situation. You will probably keep your first round pick this year, assuming he lives up to or near expectations. That leaves all your other rounds to find one keeper. Yes, there's a chance Turner is a first round pick in redraft years, but there's also a very good chance you won't keep him. I would not overpay for that chance.If you really want him, though, the LT owner is probably thinking 7.01.
Sorry to be a tool. This is the kind of post/response that I'd expect from a mod. The earlier post was not.
 
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Why even respond if that's what you're going to say? He said that it was keep two.
No reason to be a tool. :popcorn:
JohnnyU's right on that one.I missed the keep two part in the opening post. That makes a big difference. I'd say the odds that you decide to keep Turner aren't great, especially if you're picking towards the end of the first round. He could have a bad year, get injured or not sign in a favorable situation. You will probably keep your first round pick this year, assuming he lives up to or near expectations. That leaves all your other rounds to find one keeper. Yes, there's a chance Turner is a first round pick in redraft years, but there's also a very good chance you won't keep him. I would not overpay for that chance.If you really want him, though, the LT owner is probably thinking 7.01.
Sorry to be a tool. This is the kind of post/response that I'd expect from a mod. The earlier post was not.
I just took him at 10.1 in a keep 5 league.
 
Anyone have an educated guess on the odds of Turner being moved before the trading deadline (in October?)

If the Chargers don't trade him, he'll walk as an UFA next spring, and they'll get nothing in return.

 
In my Keep 3 league, as the LT2 owner I had him targeted in the 4th, but lost out big time - he went mid-2nd round to a team that is already playing for next year.

 
In our 12 team keep 10 league I traded my 2nd rounder (2.12) for him before the draft. The guy said he couldn't see holding a spot with him knowing that he probably wouldn't play. Why would I argue? Keeping 10 makes this getting Turner for the 2.12, which is A okay with me, but I wouldn't expect that to be the norm in larger keeper formats. Any FBG in the know realizes his keeper value is pretty high right now.

In your format I would advise not to reach too early for him and feel good about your starters before you do, however, your post asked where you should expect to take him in a keep 2 league. It would help to know how many teams (unless I missed that somewhere), but I'd figure you'll see him roll off the board by the late 6th early 7th. Maybe not, but if the LT owner is set he might buy his insurance early.

Good luck tomorrow.

 
Take him late enough so you can keep him next year. In our league (16 team, keep 2) you can only keep a guy after round 7. If you dont have any rule, scoop him, my wits are saying hes going somewhere after this season to be the horse. btw, I got him around 128 overall, somewhere in the 8-9 rounds of a 16 team draft.

 
I was able to get him in the 12th....10 team 2 keeper league. The LT owner #### himself when I put the sticker on the board - he was about to take him.

 
Turner should not be a candidate for protection in anything short of a full dynasty league.
I disagree. I am not in a full dynasty league, 6 keepers and I am planning to keep Turner as of today, because WHEN he becomes a starter in 2008, it is like payday having a good runningback for short dollars. If I throw him back his salary double's or triple's from what I paid last year.
 
I'm drafting next week in a new keep 4 league and I plan on taking him late 5th or early 6th if he's still around. I would imagine in a keep 2 league you should wait a few rounds later because he may not be one of your two keeps if you pick well enough your first two rounds.

 
Anyone have an educated guess on the odds of Turner being moved before the trading deadline (in October?)
Less than one percent. They already turned down a first-rounder for him, and AJ said for teams not to call with any more offers; Turner is off the table and will be a Charger this year.
 
Turner should not be a candidate for protection in anything short of a full dynasty league.
In most keeper league's I've played in, when you keep a player you forfeit the draft pick in the round he was originally selected in. If someone drafts Turner in the sixth or seventh round this year, and he'd be drafted in the first or second round next year, he's definitely a keeper. He's worth a lot more than a first-rounder who would go in the first round.
 
Anyone have an educated guess on the odds of Turner being moved before the trading deadline (in October?)

If the Chargers don't trade him, he'll walk as an UFA next spring, and they'll get nothing in return.
They will get a full year of his services. He is very useful in spelling Tomlinson, and probably the best insurance policy if a starting RB goes down. I wish the Chargers would have dealt him, but I understand why they have kept him.
 
Anyone have an educated guess on the odds of Turner being moved before the trading deadline (in October?)

If the Chargers don't trade him, he'll walk as an UFA next spring, and they'll get nothing in return.
They will get a full year of his services. He is very useful in spelling Tomlinson, and probably the best insurance policy if a starting RB goes down.
They will also receive a compensatory pick for losing him as a free agent, which will likely be a 3rd round pick.LAUNCH

 
Anyone have an educated guess on the odds of Turner being moved before the trading deadline (in October?)
Less than one percent. They already turned down a first-rounder for him, and AJ said for teams not to call with any more offers; Turner is off the table and will be a Charger this year.
Thanks, MT.On the flip side, I would expect that the chances he is with S.D. next year is also about one percent, yes?

 
Anyone have an educated guess on the odds of Turner being moved before the trading deadline (in October?)
Less than one percent. They already turned down a first-rounder for him, and AJ said for teams not to call with any more offers; Turner is off the table and will be a Charger this year.
Thanks, MT.On the flip side, I would expect that the chances he is with S.D. next year is also about one percent, yes?
Yes, the only realistic way that might happen is if LT has a career-ending injury.
 
I just completed the draft in my 12 team/keep 3 draft. I was in the 11th spot and own LT2, so I spent my 4.02 pick on Turner. That is about the equivalent of a late 7th round pick. He seems to be going anywhere from that point through to the mid 9th in maock drafts. Unless you have LT2, I don't see the reason for going too soon on him. Having said that, the LT2 owner will probably target him early, so a premium may need to be paid if you want him that badly.

 
dickey moe said:
I'm in a pretty competitive keeper league (keep two) that's drafting this Sunday. I'd like to snag Michael Turner somewhere between the 8th and 12th round to prepare for next season. I might have to overpay if I want him though, because I was hanging out with the LT2 owner in our league last night and he indicated that he wants Turner as well (I didn't let him know I was currently thinking of drafting Turner). Where should I target Turner in this draft?
Thats about right 8-12 rds.
 
dickey moe said:
I'm in a pretty competitive keeper league (keep two) that's drafting this Sunday. I'd like to snag Michael Turner somewhere between the 8th and 12th round to prepare for next season. I might have to overpay if I want him though, because I was hanging out with the LT2 owner in our league last night and he indicated that he wants Turner as well (I didn't let him know I was currently thinking of drafting Turner). Where should I target Turner in this draft?
Thats about right 8-12 rds.
Tonight in a redraft he went mid 8th round. I had the #1 & LT and planned on grabbing him at the 8.12/9.01 turn but was backdoored. I think he;ll go considerably earlier in a keeper.
 
As a follow up to my post yesterday. In my 14 team/4 keeper, 30 RB's kept already he went at 1.12 yesterday evening. Guy already had Maroney, McGahee going in. He took Brandon Jackson at 4 and due to trade took Turner at 12.

 
Clayton and I are about to draft in a 16 teamer (1 keeper) and we're targeting him in the 8th... he went 12th last year. If he doesn't fall to us then not the end of the world but I'd like to have him there.

 
Sounds like I am in a similar keeper league as the OP is. Keep 2, 15 owners, total roster 18 slots. I am the LT owner and kept him (obviously) and i won the league last year so I was drafting in the 15th slot.

I drafted Turner on the 8.01 spot because RBs were going like hot cakes and some of the back-ups like L. Betts were already coming off the board. There was no way Turner would have lasted until the 9.15 spot so I may have reached for him a bit early but I have my LT handcuff and also a potential keeper for next year when turner goes free agent.

 
I picked him up at 114 in a startup dynasty where you keep everyone (though it is contract based).

I was already stocked at RB (Bush, Peterson, Norwood, Ahman Green) but couldn't pass him up that late. Couldn't believe he was still there and that I had missed him for that long (would have taken him about 90 if I saw him). In our contract based league, he will cost me $2 for the next 5 years :goodposting:

I also got Norwood at 87 overall so I don't think anyone was looking much at the future.

People in this league were also shocked when I picked AD with #14.

 
Burner went 66 overall in 13 team Keeper with 4 IDP spots. I hate my brother. I would have taken him two rds. later at the turnaraound on the other end.

 
I am in an Antsports league. You can keep three, but you pay with a draft pick 2 rounds above where he was selected, but you can only give up a 2nd (player drafted in the 4th or later). Thus, many of the early round studs are not able to be kept.

You only start 1 RB, 2 WR, plus a flex, so you can take bigger chances earlier on keepers.

I kept 2 RBs and a WR; I took Turner in the 6th with the intention of keeping him next year for a 4th.

HTH

 
I picked him up at 114 in a startup dynasty where you keep everyone (though it is contract based). I was already stocked at RB (Bush, Peterson, Norwood, Ahman Green) but couldn't pass him up that late. Couldn't believe he was still there and that I had missed him for that long (would have taken him about 90 if I saw him). In our contract based league, he will cost me $2 for the next 5 years :lmao:I also got Norwood at 87 overall so I don't think anyone was looking much at the future. People in this league were also shocked when I picked AD with #14.
If your really looking at the future then you dont take Norwood , cause in the future they will get the 1st pick ( 2008 ) overall and get their RB .
 
Anyone have an educated guess on the odds of Turner being moved before the trading deadline (in October?)If the Chargers don't trade him, he'll walk as an UFA next spring, and they'll get nothing in return.
...and on the flip side, the team getting him is no lock to keep him, so why would they give up a draft pick to get him? :devil'sadvocate: :suds: (as an NFL GM in need of a RB, I'd certainly entertain a 2nd day pick, but I don't think SD takes that)in my keep 4 (12 teamer), MT went 3.10, so 34+48=82 overall (=late 7th)
 
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If your really looking at the future then you dont take Norwood , cause in the future they will get the 1st pick ( 2008 ) overall and get their RB .
Hmmm, I could have sworn there was another area of need that the Falcons need to address, but unfortunately, they're not in the news that often anymore :cool:
 

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