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Duke Johnson RB Dolphins (5 Viewers)

Much LOLs were had when I grabbed him in the 14th round the other day, with Crowell going in the 5-6th and West around the 11th.

I know he won't fall that far in most drafts but there is crazy value to be had there.
I think you'll be getting the last LOL.

 
I'm surprised there isn't more talk about this kid as the situation seems like it could be a perfect upside sitatuion.

- The coaching staff hasn't been happy with Crowell/West and they have been pedestrian in camp

- they have terrific run blocking and will focus the offense around the run

- Duke apparently impressed the staff a great deal in OTAs so much so they've been vocally frustrated that he's been dinged up because they have big plans for him

- good skillset ... great playmaker and receiver

- his cost is a mid to late round flier

It seems like he could be a HUGE value for very little cost....what am I missing?
Duke hasn't been practicing or playing in games. The coaching staff isn't happy about any of the backs, that includes him...

What you're missing is a big bucket of water to clear up this muddy situation.
Some people like to see proof in black and white. Others are able to arrange the mosaic pieces into a pattern.
 
I'm surprised there isn't more talk about this kid as the situation seems like it could be a perfect upside sitatuion.

- The coaching staff hasn't been happy with Crowell/West and they have been pedestrian in camp

- they have terrific run blocking and will focus the offense around the run

- Duke apparently impressed the staff a great deal in OTAs so much so they've been vocally frustrated that he's been dinged up because they have big plans for him

- good skillset ... great playmaker and receiver

- his cost is a mid to late round flier

It seems like he could be a HUGE value for very little cost....what am I missing?
Duke hasn't been practicing or playing in games. The coaching staff isn't happy about any of the backs, that includes him...

What you're missing is a big bucket of water to clear up this muddy situation.
the problem is once the situation has been "settled" his value will be a 4th round pick...

Personally, I prefer to look for cloudy situations with good potential upside and buying the upside guy that I think will emerge on the cheap. If he comes out and has an Ameer Abdullah debut next week it's too late to get the premium value and the cat is out of the bag. Every fanstasy site will be on the bandwagon and he'll rocket up the boards. Also, if he doesn't work out his price tag is cheap enough that you drop him in the first few weeks for the hot waiver pickup. The perfect low cost, high upside risk that can make a big difference during the season.
I agree he could be a great value. I also plan on grabbing him where I can in redraft in the latter rounds... but I think his current price is fitting. If his price starts rising to where West is... not so much.

 
http://www.news-herald.com/sports/20150822/cleveland-browns-duke-johnson-returns-to-practice

some highlights...

Blunt-talking running backs coach Wilbert Montgomery believes the practice time Johnson missed won’t hamper him because the Browns and Miami Hurricanes use the same offense. Johnson averaged 6.9 yards a carry in college. He is the only running back in the glorious history of the ’Canes to rush for 900-plus yards in three straight seasons.

“Before his injury, he showed us the things we wanted to see,” Montgomery said recently. “As long as he stays focused and stays into it, I think he’s going to be OK because he’s done a lot of things already. The running part of it — he’s a running back. Put him on his track and tell him his keys and he’s going to be fine.

“He gives you another dimension that we don’t have in the group that we had last year. Duke can be a slot receiver. He can line up wide and you can move him all over the field. He’s a total mismatch. In my report, I wrote him up as a Thurman Thomas-type running back when he came out because he can be in any spot and take advantage of his athleticism.”

 
I think as long as he can suit up and play this week in week 3 he gets the most touches in week 1 and say what you want but Cleveland is a very good running team.

They want Duke to be the guy to lead an inept offense. Duke could be a surprise guy to grab and be rewarded with a top 20 rb at the end of the season.

 
I have him on nearly every team, a relatively late pickup in all of them. Excited to see what he can do in week 3. Johnson was utterly electric at the U, their best playmaker every season. I had the pleasure to see him in person a few times, and his quick twitch moves to get those extra few yards are impressive.

 
http://www.foxsports.com/nfl/story/cleveland-browns-duke-johnson-mike-pettine-looks-explosive-in-return-082415

http://www.cleveland.com/browns/index.ssf/2015/08/mike_pettine_on_duke_johnsons.html

"It's tough on a defense when you have both tailbacks out there,'' said coach Mike Pettine. "You can use Duke as a wideout. It just gives you a little more flexibility from a formation standpoint, which then lends itself to a possible mismatch when you use Duke as a wideout. You can react to what a defense puts out there and call your play accordingly. That is something I am sure we will use."

 
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We Tigers said:
I have him on nearly every team, a relatively late pickup in all of them. Excited to see what he can do in week 3. Johnson was utterly electric at the U, their best playmaker every season. I had the pleasure to see him in person a few times, and his quick twitch moves to get those extra few yards are impressive.
How can that be? Didn't Miami have Phillip Dorsett, the guy that everyone thinks is the greatest thing since sliced bread?

I think Duke Johnson is falling into a category with David Johnson and Perriman. These are three really good players that lost a lot of their buzz fast because they weren't flashing and getting a lot of publicity like some other guys have. People just don't have the patience these days. They want to see those names all over Twitter and highlight shows in the pre-season.

Duke could have some real good value and might be most valuable down the stretch of the season which would be ideal to strengthen your team when it matters the most. My biggest concern for him is durability. I'm not sure the Browns can use him in the best way without exposing him to overuse.

The LAST thing I want to see is for Duke Johnson to be the darling of September in fantasy because if he is, the Brown will wear him out and by November, he will be of no use to us. I would prefer he be a 7-9 touch guy for about 6 weeks and then take off.

 
We Tigers said:
I have him on nearly every team, a relatively late pickup in all of them. Excited to see what he can do in week 3. Johnson was utterly electric at the U, their best playmaker every season. I had the pleasure to see him in person a few times, and his quick twitch moves to get those extra few yards are impressive.
How can that be? Didn't Miami have Phillip Dorsett, the guy that everyone thinks is the greatest thing since sliced bread?
It might be hard to believe but yes, Duke was easily the best playmaker for Mia in all 3 years. Dorsett might have been the most underutilized and developed player in college football. Yeah, the raw skills were there but Mia never harnessed it for multiple reasons.
 
This is the situation I'll be watching closely tonight. First showing and some good buzz. Can still get him super cheap in drafts. Will this be his coming out party or just a run of the mill effort? I'm anxious to see what happens.

 
This is the situation I'll be watching closely tonight. First showing and some good buzz. Can still get him super cheap in drafts. Will this be his coming out party or just a run of the mill effort? I'm anxious to see what happens.
Same here, one of the many late round RBs I am putting chips down on.

 
Dude just went 9.02 in my draft. I thought I had until at least round 10 to pick him.. Crap.

 
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Rotoworld:

ESPN's Adam Caplan expects Duke Johnson to lead the Browns' backfield in touches if he stays healthy.

This is the sense we've started to get as Isaiah Crowell and Terrance West have sleepwalked through the preseason. Both the coaching staff and local media have spent a good deal of the summer talking the third-rounder up, while he has a hold on third-down duties no matter what happens between now and Week 1. With Crowell and West working to cancel each other out, Johnson could start encroaching on their supposed early-down territory.

Related: Isaiah Crowell, Terrance West

Source: Adam Caplan on Twitter

Aug 29 - 7:24 PM
 
Alex P Keaton said:
Banger said:
TripItUp said:
I really hope he doesn't do much tonight.
Ya I'm torn. Own him in one league but want him in 2 others that haven't drafted yet and don't want his stock to skyrocket.
So you hope to draft a guy who looks crappy?
It's a long season. I'm just hoping to draft him cheap as possible. I think he can be a difference maker for a bargain price. Certainly worth the risk. Great line, good defense, coaches don't like starters, they've raved about him being a difference maker, having a big role and he was the all time rush leader at Miami. What am I missing ? This screams potential good upside for no downside.

 
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Mehh...so his brain is scrambled? I was very happy to get Duke in the middle of the 10th Rd (12 team redraft) today. Guess I just can't have nice things.

 
Basically sustained the hit almost instantly after I drafted him tonight (within about a half hour). Sigh. Hopefully it's not a lingering one.

 
I don't think he is that cheap in drafts. In the 9th round of 12 team PPR, there are hardly any RBs left. If he were to stay healthy, you could argue he is the top option available or one of the top ones. DMC could be a solid option which I forgot about. The RBs really fall off after a certain point.

 
concussion was the perfect storm to keep his ADP low...had he broke off a long TD his ADP skyrockets and you lose all the value.

 
concussion was the perfect storm to keep his ADP low...had he broke off a long TD his ADP skyrockets and you lose all the value.
Call it personal preference, but I'd rather lose a couple rounds of draft value than have my player suffer a head injury (perhaps a significant one at that). But I'm funny that way. Plus, I drafted him before the injury anyway.

 
concussion was the perfect storm to keep his ADP low...had he broke off a long TD his ADP skyrockets and you lose all the value.
Call it personal preference, but I'd rather lose a couple rounds of draft value than have my player suffer a head injury (perhaps a significant one at that). But I'm funny that way. Plus, I drafted him before the injury anyway.
Exactly. This could keep him out and delay his progress.

 
Plus, I drafted him before the injury anyway.
and that's the problem with this forum from a redraft perspective...people are here rooting for players they've already drafted instead of objectively evaluating performance.

All objectivity is lost...see it in almost every player thread here.

 
Plus, I drafted him before the injury anyway.
and that's the problem with this forum from a redraft perspective...people are here rooting for players they've already drafted instead of objectively evaluating performance.

All objectivity is lost...see it in almost every player thread here.
You are doing the same thing just from the opposite end. You are rooting against players so that their ADP stays in a certain place so you can draft them at a lower cost. Others are rooting for their players to do well so that their value increases.

 
Plus, I drafted him before the injury anyway.
and that's the problem with this forum from a redraft perspective...people are here rooting for players they've already drafted instead of objectively evaluating performance.

All objectivity is lost...see it in almost every player thread here.
Totally agree. In no scenario was it good for Duke to lay an egg and get injured last night
 
Plus, I drafted him before the injury anyway.
and that's the problem with this forum from a redraft perspective...people are here rooting for players they've already drafted instead of objectively evaluating performance.

All objectivity is lost...see it in almost every player thread here.
Totally agree. In no scenario was it good for Duke to lay an egg and get injured last night
Maybe I'm missing the point here (probably am), but in what way is a head injury helpful for player value??? I'm confused by the rejoinder that implies people in this forum fail at player evaluation.

 
Plus, I drafted him before the injury anyway.
and that's the problem with this forum from a redraft perspective...people are here rooting for players they've already drafted instead of objectively evaluating performance.

All objectivity is lost...see it in almost every player thread here.
Totally agree. In no scenario was it good for Duke to lay an egg and get injured last night
you don't get it...it's okay. :thumbup:

 
Plus, I drafted him before the injury anyway.
and that's the problem with this forum from a redraft perspective...people are here rooting for players they've already drafted instead of objectively evaluating performance.

All objectivity is lost...see it in almost every player thread here.
Totally agree. In no scenario was it good for Duke to lay an egg and get injured last night
you don't get it...it's okay. :thumbup:
Guess I don't. Some people in here were rooting for Duke to do nothing yesterday, so that his "value" stayed low. He has done nothing in preseason to indicate that he will make any impact this year, and now he is hurt. I'm sure Duke owners (other than me) will spin this as a positive.Help me understand what I'm missing.

 
Plus, I drafted him before the injury anyway.
and that's the problem with this forum from a redraft perspective...people are here rooting for players they've already drafted instead of objectively evaluating performance.

All objectivity is lost...see it in almost every player thread here.
Totally agree. In no scenario was it good for Duke to lay an egg and get injured last night
Maybe I'm missing the point here (probably am), but in what way is a head injury helpful for player value??? I'm confused by the rejoinder that implies people in this forum fail at player evaluation.
If it wasn't serious and you felt for the year overall he's still going to be good then I guess keeping his value down is helpful. I don't necessarily agree but I think that was his idea.

 
Plus, I drafted him before the injury anyway.
and that's the problem with this forum from a redraft perspective...people are here rooting for players they've already drafted instead of objectively evaluating performance.

All objectivity is lost...see it in almost every player thread here.
Totally agree. In no scenario was it good for Duke to lay an egg and get injured last night
Maybe I'm missing the point here (probably am), but in what way is a head injury helpful for player value??? I'm confused by the rejoinder that implies people in this forum fail at player evaluation.
If it wasn't serious and you felt for the year overall he's still going to be good then I guess keeping his value down is helpful. I don't necessarily agree but I think that was his idea.
Exactly. It was observation of a logic fail.
 
Concussion question for the forum: does one concussion post NFL draft start the career concussion count? I'm considering buying low in dynasty. I believe in Duke Johnson's talent but nervous that he could be another Jahvid Best.

 
Concussion question for the forum: does one concussion post NFL draft start the career concussion count? I'm considering buying low in dynasty. I believe in Duke Johnson's talent but nervous that he could be another Jahvid Best.
This is his second concussion. Why are people continually comparing it to Best?

 
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Concussion question for the forum: does one concussion post NFL draft start the career concussion count? I'm considering buying low in dynasty. I believe in Duke Johnson's talent but nervous that he could be another Jahvid Best.
This is his second concussion. Why are people continually comparing it to Best?
Because at some point they shut down Best's career before it got off the ground. Like I said before, I like Duke. Am considering buying. Would you have concerns or no?

 
Concussion question for the forum: does one concussion post NFL draft start the career concussion count? I'm considering buying low in dynasty. I believe in Duke Johnson's talent but nervous that he could be another Jahvid Best.
This is his second concussion. Why are people continually comparing it to Best?
Because at some point they shut down Best's career before it got off the ground. Like I said before, I like Duke. Am considering buying. Would you have concerns or no?
Best situation was a rare one and an anomaly. I don't think it's fair to compare it to anyone. It's like people trying to compare Gurley's knee injury to Latimore. There are variances in severity. I'm concerned Duke has battled several injuries in the past 3 years. None in and of itself has me ultra concerned. The sum of the parts does. He might just have had a run of bad luck. He might be brittle. It's too early too tell IMO.

 
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it's been very quiet since the concussion a week ago which isn't a great thing. you like to hear that they've gone through the protocol and got cleared but haven't heard any news so far. With opening day a week away I assume they'd want him cleared and practicing for opening day next week. For whatever reason the coaches thought that it might be a little while which again is something you don't want to hear.

anyone else hearing anything?

 
From the Crowell thread.

Biabreakable said:
Mike Pettine: Crowell in line to start; Bowe spot safe

Browns coach Mike Pettine gave some clarity to the Cleveland Browns' running back situation Thursday night, just in time for all those last minute fantasy drafts.

Pettine said in his post-game press conference that Isaiah Crowell has the edge to start in Week 1 against the New York Jets over Terrance West. That much became clearer Thursday night as West played the entire first half in the team's preseason finale.

Play NFL Fantasy Football!

The Browns were hoping that third-round pick Duke Johnson would step up and have a huge role in the backfield, possibly as a starter. But the Florida State product struggled with a hamstring injury early in camp, and is recovering from a concussion. The Browns figure to use all three backs liberally, and we wouldn't expect many yards in the season opener against the Jets' massive defensive line.

Pettine also went out of his way to dispel a particular rumor floating around Thursday, saying that wide receiver Dwayne Bowe is in no danger of being cut. While Bowe didn't show much in the preseason, he's due more than $6 million guaranteed this season. Cutting him would be lighting owner Jimmy Haslam's money on fire.

Still, it was telling that Bowe played into the third quarter of the final preseason game. The team needs Bowe to step up, and he only delivered one catch for eight yards. Pettine sent a message by playing Bowe alongside plenty of Browns players that won't be on the roster in 48 hours.
 

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