NFL teams will reach for quarterbacks. We know this. Does anyone really believe that Matt Stafford was the best football player in the 2009 draft or that Vince Young and JaMarcus Russell were safe picks in the top 5? Of course not, but that didn't stop teams from making those picks. If you want to win in the NFL, you need a QB. Sometimes you get lucky and an elite one is handed to you on a platter. Other times you're stuck trying to shoe-horn a flawed prospect into a draft slot that he doesn't deserve.
That could very well happen to Cam Newton. Look at this year's QB class. Now that Luck has returned to school, there's not a can't-miss prospect in the bunch. People say nice things about Blaine Gabbert, but his 2010 stats don't exactly inspire confidence. 63.4% completions, 6.7 yards per attempt, 16 TDs, 9 INTs. Not the kind of numbers that scream franchise QB. Ryan Mallett has suspect character, escapability, and football IQ. Jake Locker couldn't hit the broad side of a barn if he was standing two yards away.
This year's QB class is poor. There just aren't a lot of obvious safe options. With so many teams still looking to find serviceable starters, I suspect that we'll see guys like Newton and Mallett drafted early. Newton has a number of red flags, but he also has a lot of things working in his favor. He's big and powerful with a strong arm. He dominated his level of competition and showed no nerves in important games. If Vince Young can become a top 3 pick despite being a terrible passer then I don't see why Newton can't go as high as #1 overall.