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[DYNASTY] 2013 Top 20 Rookies (1 Viewer)

Randall Cobb is a better football player than James Jones, but he's not better on the outside.
A dubious claim, but I'll leave that mess of a debate to the other thread. Cobb and Wheaton have shown different skills up to this point in their careers. Even dating back to college, Cobb has mainly been used to make plays in the middle of the field. He's shown a lot as a catch-and-run target, but remains a bit of an unknown quantity as an outside receiver.
A dubious claim? So the Packers played Jones over Cobb on the outside even though Cobb was better? Maybe you should get them on the phone and let them know how dubious that is. Not everything you disagree with is dubious or fantasy. I don't claim that Wheaton plays like Cobb; I don't think they do. My point was that it is harder for guys their size to be productive on the outside.
He's already shown that he can be effective outside, so the idea that he'll suddenly stop being effective in this capacity because he's an inch shorter and 7 pounds lighter than ideal doesn't carry much weight with me.
What a player shows in college does not directly translate to the NFL. You know that.
 
And a follow up to the Blackmon question, where would Josh Gordon rank in this crop of WRs (and I guess knowing what we know now including situation and team that got him)?
Gordon wasn't on my radar at this point in the process last year, so I can't really say where he as a prospet falls in my opinion. As far as what his current value equates to in this draft, right now, I'd take him over everyone, except maybe Patterson. But the NFL's opinion is very important so draft spot/situation could change that.
 
He ran 4.29 at his Pro Day. The link you provided says his 40 "low time" is 4.27.
In big writing it says 40 yard dash time 4.29. I just remember that 4.29 number and thought it was the combine. I just "Googled DeSean Jackson 40 yard dash 4.29". As I said, we can use 4.35, he was the fastest guy in his class. You think Wheaton runs that?
 
And a follow up to the Blackmon question, where would Josh Gordon rank in this crop of WRs (and I guess knowing what we know now including situation and team that got him)?
Gordon wasn't on my radar at this point in the process last year, so I can't really say where he as a prospet falls in my opinion. As far as what his current value equates to in this draft, right now, I'd take him over everyone, except maybe Patterson. But the NFL's opinion is very important so draft spot/situation could change that.
Sweet! On name alone I traded my 2013 2nd round rookie pick for him after week 1 this past season. I wanted to draft him in our rookie draft, but since our draft was the week prior to the supplemental draft, I couldn't.
 
A dubious claim? So the Packers played Jones over Cobb on the outside even though Cobb was better? Maybe you should get them on the phone and let them know how dubious that is. Not everything you disagree with is dubious or fantasy.
The fact that the Packers use Cobb in the slot doesn't mean that they are using Jones "over" him on the outside. All it means is that they think Cobb offers the most value to the team in the slot. Imagine that you have two receivers.Receiver A is a 100 in the slot and an 85 outside.Receiver B is a 80 in the slot and an 80 outside.If you put receiver A in the slot and receiver B in the outside, you get 180 value. If you put receiver B in the slot and receiver A on the outside, you get 165 value. So in this hypothetical example, you'd play receiver A in the slot even though he's a better outside receiver than receiver B. The overall problem with your take is that it assumes a linear hierarchy in which the outside WR spot is so important that you put your best WR there regardless of other considerations. Cobb had more targets than Jones last season, so the idea that Green Bay played Jones "over" him seems to miss the point a little bit. But that's completely irrelevant to the discussion at hand. Regardless of whether or not he can play outside, Cobb hasn't been asked to do it. And thus it's not a totally safe assumption to think that he can. However, Wheaton has always played on the outside. He's already shown that he can thrive there, so the idea that he's destined for the slot in the NFL doesn't really jive with me, especially when you read about him destroying corners at the Senior Bowl.
 
A dubious claim? So the Packers played Jones over Cobb on the outside even though Cobb was better? Maybe you should get them on the phone and let them know how dubious that is. Not everything you disagree with is dubious or fantasy.
The fact that the Packers use Cobb in the slot doesn't mean that they are using Jones "over" him on the outside. All it means is that they think Cobb offers the most value to the team in the slot. Imagine that you have two receivers.Receiver A is a 100 in the slot and an 85 outside.Receiver B is a 80 in the slot and an 80 outside.If you put receiver A in the slot and receiver B in the outside, you get 180 value. If you put receiver B in the slot and receiver A on the outside, you get 165 value. So in this hypothetical example, you'd play receiver A in the slot even though he's a better outside receiver than receiver B. The overall problem with your take is that it assumes a linear hierarchy in which the outside WR spot is so important that you put your best WR there regardless of other considerations. Cobb had more targets than Jones last season, so the idea that Green Bay played Jones "over" him seems to miss the point a little bit. But that's completely irrelevant to the discussion at hand. Regardless of whether or not he can play outside, Cobb hasn't been asked to do it. And thus it's not a totally safe assumption to think that he can. However, Wheaton has always played on the outside. He's already shown that he can thrive there, so the idea that he's destined for the slot in the NFL doesn't really jive with me, especially when you read about him destroying corners at the Senior Bowl.
You're right, it is not 100% relevant, but I want to correct you. Playing Jones and Nelson as the 2 WRs in all 2 WR sets (with jennings out) is pretty clearly playing Jones over Cobb. In every game where one of the GB WRs was injured (most of them), Jones got more snaps than Cobb by a good margin. Jones played in 2 and 3 WR sets, Cobb played in 3 WR sets. Don't mean to beat a dead horse, but I am using Cobb as an example of a smaller guy being limited to the slot and it hurting his opportunities.ETA: Jones had a lot more snaps than Cobb.
 
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Randall Cobb is a better football player than James Jones, but he's not better on the outside.
A dubious claim, but I'll leave that mess of a debate to the other thread. Cobb and Wheaton have shown different skills up to this point in their careers. Even dating back to college, Cobb has mainly been used to make plays in the middle of the field. He's shown a lot as a catch-and-run target, but remains a bit of an unknown quantity as an outside receiver.
A dubious claim? So the Packers played Jones over Cobb on the outside even though Cobb was better? Maybe you should get them on the phone and let them know how dubious that is. Not everything you disagree with is dubious or fantasy.
Even more disappointing given you stated you respected his claim :thumbdown:
 
While I like Wheaton's game in a vacuum, I don't expect him to produce good FF results(all that matters). I have Keenan Allen, C. Patterson, D. Hopkins, D. Rodgers, M. Wilson, C. Hamilton all ahead of Wheaton.ETA: Tavon Austin ahead of Wheaton as well.

 
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...and Wheaton doesn't have that speed.
You can't be serious.
Jackson ran a 4.29. Would you project that for Wheaton?
What's your source? 4.35 to me.http://www.nfldraftscout.com/ratings/dsprofile.php?pyid=57210&draftyear=2008&genpos=WR
He ran 4.29 at his Pro Day. The link you provided says his 40 "low time" is 4.27.
The low time is just an estimate not an actual recorded time.
 
Pro Day times are always inflated. I'll take the Combine time.I'll take the over, but Wheaton doesn't need to run a 4.3x. Chris Givens ran a 4.41 and he gets deep easily and so does Wheaton. AJ Jenkins ran a 4.39, but is nowhere that fast on the field. Mike Thomas ran a 4.30; I don't see the speed on the field either.

 
Pro Day times are always inflated. I'll take the Combine time.I'll take the over, but Wheaton doesn't need to run a 4.3x. Chris Givens ran a 4.41 and he gets deep easily and so does Wheaton. AJ Jenkins ran a 4.39, but is nowhere that fast on the field. Mike Thomas ran a 4.30; I don't see the speed on the field either.
I am not suggesting Wheaton can't get deep on NFL corners, he certainly can.
 
'tdmills said:
While I like Wheaton's game in a vacuum, I don't expect him to produce good FF results(all that matters). I have Keenan Allen, C. Patterson, D. Hopkins, D. Rodgers, M. Wilson, C. Hamilton all ahead of Wheaton.ETA: Tavon Austin ahead of Wheaton as well.
My thinking is along these same lines.
 
Markus Wheaton with a great move against one of the best, if not the best, CB at Senior Bowl, Desmond Trufant:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PrPsnQWU6kA

 
'Concept Coop said:
'Xue said:
Pro Day times are always inflated. I'll take the Combine time.I'll take the over, but Wheaton doesn't need to run a 4.3x. Chris Givens ran a 4.41 and he gets deep easily and so does Wheaton. AJ Jenkins ran a 4.39, but is nowhere that fast on the field. Mike Thomas ran a 4.30; I don't see the speed on the field either.
I am not suggesting Wheaton can't get deep on NFL corners, he certainly can.
Marquise Goodwin is more like DeSean. Similar height/weight and will probably run a 4.3 flat. Wheaton is slower than Goodwin, but he'll still have plenty of speed to be a better WR.
 
Trying to get a better handle on this WR class.

THUMBS UP

Chris Harper, Kansas State - A bit of a late revelation. Looks the part physically. Lacks just a little bit of burst and speed, but smooth athlete with the dimensions of an NFL starter. Not sure I really see that special something to be a #1 target, but I look for him to get drafted pretty high and have a long pro career. When you watch the

you can see that he really suffered from the terrible QB play of Collin Klein. Quinton Patton, Louisiana Tech - Always liked him. He's an efficient player. Quick and smooth. Productive, tough, and dangerous after the catch. Definitely has the innate WR skills to make a smooth transition to becoming a productive pro. The only question is athletic ability. He has enough to be a starter, but doesn't really have any standout traits. I've made the comparison a million times by now, but he reminds me of Stevie Johnson.

Markus Wheaton, Oregon State - Already said a lot about him. Plays fast. Almost out of control, but not quite. Has the best burst of any outside WR in this class and shows good ability to win contested passes. Size is a negative. Would be more optimistic if he were 2 inches taller and ten pounds heavier. Can't really see him being a bust though. Has standout speed/burst and enough football skills to take advantage of it.

Fairly optimistic about Keenan Allen, Da'Rick Rogers, Marquess Wilson, Robert Woods, and Justin Hunter as well. Allen has a good chance to be my #1 WR and a first tier prospect in this class. The other guys have at least one wart that will keep them in the second tier, but they're all players that I would think about grabbing at their ADP.

THUMBS DOWN

Cordarrelle Patterson, Tennessee - My pick for most overrated WR prospect. I just don't really see what the fuss is about. Yes, he has good straight line speed and he can run well in the open field, but overall I don't find him that impressive. Not that productive and looks like a poor route runner. Also not that strong physically. I expect to be down on him relative to the consensus.

Terrance Williams, Baylor - Has the production you want. Tall with above average strength and speed. Doesn't move very well though and looks like he could have a lot of trouble separating in the NFL. A bit of a sloppy runner and doesn't have the crisp movement of someone like Patton or Harper. I wouldn't say that he's a certain bust, but he's definitely not someone who pops for me.

I'm also likely to be a little bit down on DeAndre Hopkins and Tavon Austin compared to where others will rank them. Tavon is explosive, but very hard to assess simply because there's no one like him in the NFL. He's too small to play RB and doesn't show a lot of downfield game, so I think he'll only really have value if some teams feeds him short catch-and-run opportunities. Could be Harvin. Could be McCluster. Maybe somewhere right in the middle. As for Hopkins, I think he's pretty good, but he's kind of a size/speed tweener. Not quite big enough to be a pure possession WR. Not quite fast enough to be a deep threat. Certainly not a bad player. There are others I like more though.

Marcus Davis falling like a stone in my rankings too.

 
Harper has strong yet soft hands. Was very physical in the Senior Bowl practices, would have been called for offensive pass interference on some of the routes. Moves well for his weight. Curious to see if he slims down.

 
EBF, Watching film of Florida RB Gillslie nothing fancy but runs between the tackles could be this years Alfred Morris

 
EBF,What are your thoughts on Marquise Goodwin?
Not that familiar with him. I caught some of the bowl game and he looked like an interesting athlete. He had pretty modest production in college though and sometimes these track types don't have the right mentality or toughness for football. He's going to struggle with beating the jam and running routes because he's so raw, but you can't teach speed. I look for him to go 3rd-4th round ala TJ Graham and Jacoby Ford. Hard to see him becoming a #1 WR in the NFL. In the right offense, maybe you get something like Antonio Brown.
 
EBF, Watching film of Florida RB Gillslie nothing fancy but runs between the tackles could be this years Alfred Morris
I still need to watch more, but right now I'm not that high on Gillislee. Not that big and doesn't have the quickness/speed to compensate. I think he's probably just a backup in the NFL. Doesn't have enough standout traits to be more than that.
 
Regarding Wheaton, and I'm not advocating for or against him at this point, but guys who ran track in college usually do two things. They time really fast in the 40 due to (of course) God-given speed and training in technique. Mario Manningham timed very slow compared to game tape because his track training was minimal and he had maybe the worst starting form of any WR I've seen at the combine. I'd expect Wheaton to time 4.35 or less. These track guys also spend a lot more of their offseason in college running and much less time lifting weights than their piers. They will usually make tremendous strides between years 1 and 2 when they get to the pros. Just something to keep in mind.

 
EBF, Watching film of Florida RB Gillslie nothing fancy but runs between the tackles could be this years Alfred Morris
Gillislee/Jon Franklin/Andre Ellington are all built close to the same. But Franklin/Ellington>>Gillislee.
All those guys have different builds and dimensions.Gillislee reminds me of Mike Goodson.
Mike Gillislee 5'11 210Andre Ellington 5'9 192Jon Franklin 5'10 198Granted no two players are ever the same, but BMI wise they're close(It's not like Robbie Rouse is in here). They have similar games: good speed, try to run inside, slashers. I think Gillislee is the better inside runner, Ellington the best outside guy, with Franklin having the best all around game.
 
I really don't think there is much different in Franklin and Gillislee's game. Both have functional running ability and are advanced in the passing game for this stage in their development. Franklin has a little more flash, Gillislee more of the reliable yards type. If I were grading them on a scale of 1-100 they'd have the same grade, where they're ranked come May? Depends who drafts them and into what role.Agreed about Ellington though. Different offering than the other two.

 
Regarding Wheaton, and I'm not advocating for or against him at this point, but guys who ran track in college usually do two things. These track guys also spend a lot more of their offseason in college running and much less time lifting weights than their piers. They will usually make tremendous strides between years 1 and 2 when they get to the pros. Just something to keep in mind.
If they do not have hands of stone. And don't know if Wheaton does or not
 
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Regarding Wheaton, and I'm not advocating for or against him at this point, but guys who ran track in college usually do two things. These track guys also spend a lot more of their offseason in college running and much less time lifting weights than their piers. They will usually make tremendous strides between years 1 and 2 when they get to the pros. Just something to keep in mind.
If they do not have hands of stone. And don't know if Wheaton does or not
I thought Wheaton looked pretty good on Saturday. My thoughts and with EBF liking, he moves up my rankings all the time.
 
EBF, Watching film of Florida RB Gillslie nothing fancy but runs between the tackles could be this years Alfred Morris
Not EBF, but my opinion:As a Gator fan, I've watched close to every game this year, one in person. He just doesn't have anything special about him. He has some nice balance and he is a smart runner. But again, nothing special. He doesn't look as strong or as feisty as Morris. And he looks smaller in pads, but not faster. He won't break nearly as many tackles as Morris at the next level.For one reason or another, the NFL comp that comes to mind for me is Tashard Choice.
 
A dubious claim? So the Packers played Jones over Cobb on the outside even though Cobb was better? Maybe you should get them on the phone and let them know how dubious that is. Not everything you disagree with is dubious or fantasy.
The fact that the Packers use Cobb in the slot doesn't mean that they are using Jones "over" him on the outside. All it means is that they think Cobb offers the most value to the team in the slot. Imagine that you have two receivers.Receiver A is a 100 in the slot and an 85 outside.Receiver B is a 80 in the slot and an 80 outside.If you put receiver A in the slot and receiver B in the outside, you get 180 value. If you put receiver B in the slot and receiver A on the outside, you get 165 value. So in this hypothetical example, you'd play receiver A in the slot even though he's a better outside receiver than receiver B. The overall problem with your take is that it assumes a linear hierarchy in which the outside WR spot is so important that you put your best WR there regardless of other considerations. Cobb had more targets than Jones last season, so the idea that Green Bay played Jones "over" him seems to miss the point a little bit. But that's completely irrelevant to the discussion at hand. Regardless of whether or not he can play outside, Cobb hasn't been asked to do it. And thus it's not a totally safe assumption to think that he can. However, Wheaton has always played on the outside. He's already shown that he can thrive there, so the idea that he's destined for the slot in the NFL doesn't really jive with me, especially when you read about him destroying corners at the Senior Bowl.
You're right, it is not 100% relevant, but I want to correct you. Playing Jones and Nelson as the 2 WRs in all 2 WR sets (with jennings out) is pretty clearly playing Jones over Cobb. In every game where one of the GB WRs was injured (most of them), Jones got more snaps than Cobb by a good margin. Jones played in 2 and 3 WR sets, Cobb played in 3 WR sets. Don't mean to beat a dead horse, but I am using Cobb as an example of a smaller guy being limited to the slot and it hurting his opportunities.ETA: Jones had a lot more snaps than Cobb.
Personally, I could care less how many snaps my WR is getting if he's getting the most targets. My league doesn't give me points for my WR's blocking on a running play.
 
@ShanePHallam: Lots of teams talked with WR Markus Wheaton after practice including Vikings Ravens and CardinalsI know Houston was grilling him yesterday too
Well, if he ended up with the Cards or Vikings it certainly wouldn't move him up my FF draft boards, that's for sure.
 
EBF, Watching film of Florida RB Gillslie nothing fancy but runs between the tackles could be this years Alfred Morris
He needs to be totally ignored as a prospect even after the draft to be this year's alfred Morris, but I think they have different styles anyway. Overall, I think there is a lot of nice to his game and could be a functional starter, but is more probably to be a 2nd part of committee or clean back-up. I am guessing something like a 4th/5th rounder in the NFL.
 
Personally, I could care less how many snaps my WR is getting if he's getting the most targets. My league doesn't give me points for my WR's blocking on a running play.
Which is fine. If his owners are treating him as though this was a baseline, or even a good year, I don't think Cobb is overrated. But Cobb has one of the best slot gigs in the NFL. Most teams aren't nearly as explosive as the Packers, so even if Wheaton (or whomever) is a Cobb level talent, it is not likely he provides Cobb level production. If we made a list of strictly slot players with WR1 fantasy potential, we couldn't count 5 guys. If (a big if; we'll see) Wheaton is strictly a slot guy, his fantasy value is kerriganed.
 
'coolnerd said:
EBF, Watching film of Florida RB Gillslie nothing fancy but runs between the tackles could be this years Alfred Morris
He needs to be totally ignored as a prospect even after the draft to be this year's alfred Morris, but I think they have different styles anyway. Overall, I think there is a lot of nice to his game and could be a functional starter, but is more probably to be a 2nd part of committee or clean back-up. I am guessing something like a 4th/5th rounder in the NFL.
All about the passing game, Gillislee now is ahead of Morris after a year in the pros, would bet the gap is even wider after a year in the pros for Gillislee. Alf runs angrier than I've seen from Gillislee, have to give him a bump there though.
 
'coolnerd said:
EBF, Watching film of Florida RB Gillslie nothing fancy but runs between the tackles could be this years Alfred Morris
He needs to be totally ignored as a prospect even after the draft to be this year's alfred Morris, but I think they have different styles anyway. Overall, I think there is a lot of nice to his game and could be a functional starter, but is more probably to be a 2nd part of committee or clean back-up. I am guessing something like a 4th/5th rounder in the NFL.
All about the passing game, Gillislee now is ahead of Morris after a year in the pros, would bet the gap is even wider after a year in the pros for Gillislee. Alf runs angrier than I've seen from Gillislee, have to give him a bump there though.
There are plenty of RBs on Alf's roster who could provide more out of the backfield; it's not saying much about Gillislee, who didn't have anything but average passing numbers. And a lot of that was due to the FLA staff not trusting their QB to throw beyond 5-7 yards very often. In other words, unless the prospect we are comparing Alfred to is starting level, it doesn't matter how they compare to him as a receiver.
 
I think we discussed this before, correct me if I'm wrong, but simply citing Gillislee's passing numbers is a poor way to evaluate his passing game skills. In the games I watched he showed everything a coach would want out of a developmental guy from a passing game perspective. Willingness and ability to read and execute blocks with quality route running and hands, way ahead of most prospects at this point.

 
Regarding Wheaton, and I'm not advocating for or against him at this point, but guys who ran track in college usually do two things. They time really fast in the 40 due to (of course) God-given speed and training in technique. Mario Manningham timed very slow compared to game tape because his track training was minimal and he had maybe the worst starting form of any WR I've seen at the combine. I'd expect Wheaton to time 4.35 or less. These track guys also spend a lot more of their offseason in college running and much less time lifting weights than their piers. They will usually make tremendous strides between years 1 and 2 when they get to the pros. Just something to keep in mind.
I'm not familiar with who runs track and who doesn't. Do you have examples of track guys who have put on muscle and then busted out in their 3rd year?
 
Trying to get a better handle on this WR class.THUMBS UPChris Harper, Kansas State - A bit of a late revelation. Looks the part physically. Lacks just a little bit of burst and speed, but smooth athlete with the dimensions of an NFL starter. Not sure I really see that special something to be a #1 target, but I look for him to get drafted pretty high and have a long pro career. When you watch the

I agree with most of this. Chris Harper really stands out to me on tape and the Boldin comparisons are easy to see. Like Boldin he's also a converted QB.
 

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