What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

[Dynasty] 2014 Draft Prospects (1 Viewer)

What is the fantasy football impact of the 2014 NFL draft dropping 10 talented Running backs, 15 very solid WR Prospects, and 3-5 solid TE prospects into the NFL.

Running Backs- we have seen the NFL convert to more of a Running Back by Committee over the years. This has to make this trend even more prominent throughout the league. I imagine we are going to see some of these guys and some solid veteran talent riding the bench..... Does situation become even more important?? Does this make it even more important to stockpile many RBs making the RB position in dynasty drafts even more important than other positions like WR?

Wide Receivers- will the strength of the position have more teams spreading the ball around? Does this make the position less valuable in dynasty rookie drafts?

Tight Ends- this position is already so deep. Adding three guaranteed studs plus a few more options to the NFL makes this position less valuable.... You can replace someone fairly easy.....

Having an Understanding "of what the added influx of many talented rook skill position players means" can give dynasty fantasy owners an edge and an idea of what type of trades they may want to offer.

I'm interested and look forward to the Shark Pool's insight on this.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Came in here to post about Freeman. Dude looks legit. I hope he didn't flash to much tonight because I'm already sold on him.

 
Marqise Lee had a horrible 12% drop rate this season: https://twitter.com/NU_Gap/status/419739114473136129

I want to like you Marqise Lee, your YAC is good at all levels (7.1 overall, 6.5 on screens) but that 12% drop rate is a killer
Justin Hunter also had a 12% drop rate last season: http://www.thesidelineview.com/columns/nfl/metrics-study-overrated-draft-prospects

I wonder if it has anything to do with horrible hands technique.
Doesn't look like they got many right last year.
 
Marqise Lee had a horrible 12% drop rate this season: https://twitter.com/NU_Gap/status/419739114473136129

I want to like you Marqise Lee, your YAC is good at all levels (7.1 overall, 6.5 on screens) but that 12% drop rate is a killer
Justin Hunter also had a 12% drop rate last season: http://www.thesidelineview.com/columns/nfl/metrics-study-overrated-draft-prospects

I wonder if it has anything to do with horrible hands technique.
Doesn't look like they got many right last year.
Eric Reid and Keenan Allen have been fantastic... both met expectations plus some.

 
What is the fantasy football impact of the 2014 NFL draft dropping 10 talented Running backs, 15 very solid WR Prospects, and 3-5 solid TE prospects into the NFL.

Running Backs- we have seen the NFL convert to more of a Running Back by Committee over the years. This has to make this trend even more prominent throughout the league. I imagine we are going to see some of these guys and some solid veteran talent riding the bench..... Does situation become even more important?? Does this make it even more important to stockpile many RBs making the RB position in dynasty drafts even more important than other positions like WR?

Wide Receivers- will the strength of the position have more teams spreading the ball around? Does this make the position less valuable in dynasty rookie drafts?

Tight Ends- this position is already so deep. Adding three guaranteed studs plus a few more options to the NFL makes this position less valuable.... You can replace someone fairly easy.....

Having an Understanding "of what the added influx of many talented rook skill position players means" can give dynasty fantasy owners an edge and an idea of what type of trades they may want to offer.

I'm interested and look forward to the Shark Pool's insight on this.
Yes, absolutely 100 percent guaranteed. There's no mathematical chance whatsoever that any of those three players could ever be anything but a stud at the NFL level. Guaranteed.

 
The RBs seem to be catching the pre-draft downplay similar to last year. Opportunity can go a long way.
Opportunity is what beat down a lot of the class last year.
How so? I think it was very good for opportunity as most of the RBs who were highly drafted went to good situations in which they (for the most part) had no one blocking their way to playing time.

 
My sleeper pick of the 2014 drafts, Terrance West, RB from Towson.
2014 NFL Draft: Towson RB Terrance West to forgo senior season

Jason La Canfora

Towson University running back Terrance West, the runner-up for FCS player of the year who led his school to its first national title game, said he will forgo his senior season and enter the NFL Draft.

West, who ran for 2,468 yards this season, received a national draft grade of the third round, and some scouts have him rated higher than that. He has a pro body, runs with authority, is explosive and set several FCS records as a junior. In a weak running back draft, he could be primed to make waves.

West, a Baltimore native, was a big-school recruit, but ended up going to prep school, had difficulty qualifying due to his SAT score and ended up a Towson, a school a few miles outside of downtown, near his home, where he has flourished and drawn plenty of attention from the scouting community.

West could have stayed another season but his pro prospects are high after several standout performances on ESPN during the FCS playoffs and will leave the Baltimore area tomorrow to begin intense combine preparations. West, and Towson corner Jordan Love -- a transfer from Georgia expected to go in the fifth round -- are signing with agent Marc Lillibridge.
 
What is the fantasy football impact of the 2014 NFL draft dropping 10 talented Running backs, 15 very solid WR Prospects, and 3-5 solid TE prospects into the NFL.

Running Backs- we have seen the NFL convert to more of a Running Back by Committee over the years. This has to make this trend even more prominent throughout the league. I imagine we are going to see some of these guys and some solid veteran talent riding the bench..... Does situation become even more important?? Does this make it even more important to stockpile many RBs making the RB position in dynasty drafts even more important than other positions like WR?

Wide Receivers- will the strength of the position have more teams spreading the ball around? Does this make the position less valuable in dynasty rookie drafts?

Tight Ends- this position is already so deep. Adding three guaranteed studs plus a few more options to the NFL makes this position less valuable.... You can replace someone fairly easy.....

Having an Understanding "of what the added influx of many talented rook skill position players means" can give dynasty fantasy owners an edge and an idea of what type of trades they may want to offer.

I'm interested and look forward to the Shark Pool's insight on this.
For RBs and WRs, I feel the opposite. With RBBCs coming more and more into vogue, I think it makes RBs less valuable as you have to throw more darts at the wall and hope you get lucky. With more passes being thrown all the time, it makes WRs more valuable as there are just more catches to be made.

I agree with TEs. I think we're going to start to see the more savvy owners keeping less players at the TE position (in leagues that start only 1 TE) as there will be more good options (in the upper tiers, if you will) meaning we'll be able to keep less fliers at the position. Much like has happened with the QB position in leagues that start only 1 QB.

 
Greg Robinson, Tim Jernigan dominate BCS championship game

By Daniel Jeremiah

NFL Media analyst

The BCS championship game between Florida State and Auburn was loaded with some of the top prospects in college football, and NFL Media analyst Daniel Jeremiah was there to break down each of their performances.

Florida State prospectsTimmy Jernigan, DT: Jernigan was a dominating force in this game. Against the run, he used his quick hands to stack blockers and his lower strength to hold the point of attack. He violently shed blockers throughout the game and was disruptive for 3 1/2 quarters before gassing out late in the fourth quarter. Against the pass, his quickness was a problem for the interior of Auburn's offensive line. He has all of the tools to be a dominant three-down defender at the next level.

Kelvin Benjamin, WR: It was a relatively quiet night for Benjamin for the first 59 minutes of the game. However, he more than made up for it by high pointing the winning touchdown in the game's final minute. It's easy to get excited about his pro potential. He has a rare blend of size, strength and quickness. He is a nightmare matchup in the red zone, and he has all of the tools to be a No. 1 wideout at the next level. Earlier in the game, he had an impressive catch down the field, where he fully extended to secure the ball. He did have one costly drop on a slant route, but I'd say he more than made up for it.

Lamarcus Joyner, CB: Joyner quietly had a very solid game. He lines up over the slot, and he's a very effective blitzer. He showed the ability to adjust on the fly and peel off his blitz to tackle the ball carrier. He had plenty of speed to carry vertical routes in the passing game, and his energy was contagious in the second half. Just about every NFL evaluator describes him with this phrase: "That dude is a FOOTBALL PLAYER!" It's accurate.

Rashad Greene, WR: Greene had an outstanding game. He finished the night with a team-best nine catches for 147 yards. He is a smooth route runner, and he has outstanding acceleration after the catch. He can work in the slot or on the outside. He made the key play on the game-winning drive. He split two Auburn defenders and picked up 49 yards on a short second-and-2 pass. He did drop one easy ball earlier in the game, but I don't have any concerns with his hands.

Cameron Erving, OT: It was an average game for Erving. He struggled to cut off the speed rushers at times, and he was also overpowered on a few snaps. However, he did flash some strength and power in the run game. He has an NFL body and a lot of upside, but he's still a work in progress.

Devonta Freeman, RB: Freeman finished the game with a team-best 73 rushing yards, and he also produced a 3-yard score in the first half. He is a small runner, but he has an explosive burst and finishes every run. He is also a viable pass catcher, hauling in three balls for 21 yards. His future is likely as a third-down back at the next level.

Auburn prospectsGreg Robinson, OT: Robinson was the most dominating player on the Rose Bowl field. In the run game, he has a lethal combination of quickness, strength and agility. He cleaned up FSU safety Terrance Brooks with a monster shot on Tre Mason's touchdown catch in the first quarter. He repeatedly collapsed his opponent on down blocks and created huge running lanes for Mason. In pass protection, he has very quick feet and strong hands. He was called for one holding penalty, but he was otherwise pretty flawless on the big stage. He's as talented as any blocker in college football.

Tre Mason, RB: If not for the last-minute drive by the Seminoles, Mason would've been the MVP of the game. He was outstanding from start to finish. He racked up 195 rushing yards on 34 carries and also chipped in with a 12-yard touchdown catch. He ran over FSU safety Jalen Ramsey on his way to a 37-yard score with less than two minutes to play in the game. He doesn't have top-tier speed, but I love his vision, patience and power. He has put up big numbers against the top defenses in college football, and he's proved he can handle a heavy workload.

Dee Ford, DE: Coming into the game, I thought Ford's quickness would be a problem for the Seminoles. That ended up being an understatement. He was disruptive throughout the game, collecting two sacks and multiple pressures. He has the ability to win with pure speed off the edge, but he also has a nifty inside counter move as well. He is an ideal 3-4 outside linebacker at the next level.

Chris Davis, CB: Davis would like to forget the final drive of his college career. He committed a crushing pass-interference penalty before allowing the game-winning touchdown catch. However, he did have several bright spots earlier in the contest. He played physical versus a very talented Seminoles receiving corps, and he had three pass breakups. He also contributed a key punt return to set up an Auburn touchdown. He's likely a mid- to late-round prospect, but his ability to play on all four downs will add to his value on draft day.

Follow Daniel Jeremiah on Twitter @MoveTheSticks.
 
Rotoworld:

Florida State redshirt sophomore WR Kelvin Benjamin had four receptions for 54 yards and a touchdown in Monday's 34-31 victory over Auburn in the BCS National Championship game.

Benjamin's two-yard touchdown catch with 13 seconds left in regulation won the game. He ends the year having caught a TD in six consecutive games and finished with 15 TD receptions total. The 6-foot-5, 234-pounder is a matchup nightmare and a nuclear weapon in the red zone. He's expected to declare for the NFL draft, and he'll likely be a first-round pick if he does. Benjamin will turn 23 in February. "Benjamin's size/speed combo is lethal, but he still has concentration lapses: He will catch a seemingly uncatchable ball, then drop one right in his hands with no one around," wrote NFL.com. "Despite that lack of consistency, his upside is enormous, and he might have the highest ceiling of anyone on the team not named Jameis Winston."


Source: NFL.com
Auburn junior RB Tre Mason rushed for 195 yards and a touchdown on 34 carries in a 34-31 loss to Florida State in the BCS National Championship game.

He also had a receiving touchdown in the first quarter. Mason didn't slow down after rushing for nearly 500 yards in his previous two games against Alabama and Missouri. Mason filed for an NFL draft evaluation and is considering bolting Auburn early. "Mason should intrigue clubs that employ passing-down backs on a more regular basis," NFL.com's Albert Breer wrote last month.


Source: NFL.com
 
Rotoworld:

UCF redshirt junior QB Blake Bortles officially declared for the NFL draft on Monday.

"I have decided to pursue my dream of playing in the NFL," Bortles said. "I'd like to thank UCF and couldn't be more proud to say I played at UCF." Bortles (6-foot-4, 230 pounds) posted a 67.8 completion percentage and threw for 3,581 yards, 25 touchdowns and nine interceptions this past season. He added 272 yards and six touchdowns on the ground. Bortles has ideal size, a bazooka arm and strong pocket movement reminiscent of Ben Roethlisberger. He's unproven against elite competition, however, and is already being picked apart by experts. NFL.com's Daniel Jeremiah compared Bortles to Titans QB Jake Locker, and his co-worker Bucky Brooks wrote, "I don't see a transcendent star that will significantly change the fortunes of a dismal franchise."


Source: UFC Football on Twitter
 
Seems like we've went from a bare bones RB class to some nice options between Late comers like Hyde and Mason.
It does. Not that different than last year's scenario, it seems (think someone mentioned this). Also, as touched on already, many of these RB prosepects appear to be situation-dependent risers or fallers (significant moves), in dynasty. This isn't necessarily bad, but it is nice when there are a couple obvoius RB talents that jump off the screen to almost everyone that watches them (particularly if you have an early dynasty pick).

In general, I'm a talent over situation guy, as situation can change fast. But at the same time, if you lose a couple of years from a young RB stuck in a bad situation right out of the gate, it can hurt his value substantially, given the short shelf life at the position. This ups the RB situation weighting for me, a touch. Not saying it trumps talent, but situation right out of the gate seems more important for RBs than some other positions.

 
Conn, you stay away from Terrance West you *******! I need to draft him in every league. Gotta represent my Alma Mater!

 
Ball State's Willie Snead will bypass senior season for NFL draft

By Mike Huguenin

College Football 24/7 writer

Ball State wide receiver Willie Snead, who was third nationally in receiving yardage this season, will bypass his senior season and turn pro, the school announced Tuesday.

Snead finished the season with 106 catches (tied for seventh nationally) for 1,516 receiving yards (third) and 15 touchdown receptions (tied for third). All three of those marks set single-season school records. He had 12 catches of at least 30 yards this season, a number that cfbstats.com shows is tied for 10th-most in the nation.

Snead (5-foot-11, 193 pounds) caught at least five passes in each of Ball State's 13 games this season and caught at least nine in seven contests. He had nine 100-yard games and had at least one TD reception in 10 games. He caught 195 passes, for 24 TDs, in the past two seasons.

Snead lacks speed, but he runs solid routes, has good hands and knows how to get open. He is a third-day prospect who, despite his production, could go undrafted because of his lack of speed.

Ball State is losing four-year starting quarterback Keith Wenning, who threw for 4,148 yards and 35 TDs this season, and his departure may have played a role in Snead's decision.

He played high school ball for his dad at Muskegon (Mich.) Heights, where he was a state player of the year as a quarterback. He began his high school career at powerhouse Belle Glade (Fla.) Glades Central before his dad, Willie Snead III, left Glades Central for Muskegon Heights. The elder Snead played wide receiver at Virginia and Florida in the early 1980s.

"We appreciate Willie's contributions to our program and wish him well as he pursues his dream of competing at the highest level," Ball State coach Pete Lembo said in a release. "We have encouraged Willie to formulate a plan to complete his degree requirements."

Mike Huguenin can be reached at mike.huguenin@nfl.com. You also can follow him on Twitter @MikeHuguenin.
 
James Wilder declaring for draft Tue Jan 7, 04:33 PM

Florida State RB James Wilder Jr. is declaring for the 2014 NFL Draft. The 6-foot-2, 229-pound junior rushed 81 times this year for 563 yards and eight touchdowns.

Footballguys view: Wilder is one of our favorite backs in this upcoming draft. He's a rare (true) power back. Wilder has the size/power combination other backs in this class just don't have. He split time during his college career, so there's no need to worry about wear and tear like other backs. Wilder loves contact, and he does a good job of keeping his feet after contact. Anything to see here? I didn't notice him last night if he played

 
Oklahoma St WR Josh Stewart declared today... anything to see here? 8/80/1td in the cotton bowl
Slot WR. More value if your league awards return points.
Rotoworld take:

Oklahoma State junior WR Josh Stewart announced on Instagram Tuesday that he will declare for the NFL draft.

"I would like to just let you all know that I've decided to declare and enter the NFL draft!" Stewart wrote. "One of the most hardest decisions I've had to make in my life. But I'm ready for this life and I hope all my friends and Cowboy family continue to follow me throughout this journey I'm gonna be preparing for!" Stewart led OSU with 60 receptions and ranked second in receiving yards with 703 this past season. In addition, he's a tremendous punt returner who finished fourth in the nation with 16.7 yards per attempt (two TDs in 22 returns). Though not the biggest weapon at 5-foot-10, Stewart has demonstrated in innate ability to find open spaces on the field and his ball skills are superb.


Source: Josh Stewart on Instagram
 
Rotoworld:

LSU beat writer Ross Dellenger cites a source who says redshirt sophomore RB Jeremy Hill is now leaning towards staying in school rather than declaring for the draft.

"Hill has not officially decided to return, but all signs point to the 6-foot-2, 235-pounder remaining in school, said the source, who was familiar with the decision but not authorized to speak on Hill’s behalf," Dellenger writes. We are a bit surprised by the news, since previous reports stated Hill was almost certainly jumping to the NFL. He only has two seasons of on-field action with the Tigers and would return as their top offensive weapon.


Source: The Advocate
 
Rotoworld:

Former Bears director of college scouting Greg Gabriel would select six QBs over UCF redshirt junior Blake Bortles at this point in the process.

That list includes Teddy Bridgewater, Johnny Manziel, AJ McCarron, Derek Carr, David Fales and Brett Smith. "I am not going to deny that this player has talent, but I do feel that he would have been better served staying in college and developing his game," Gabriel writes. "He is far from being ready to come into the NFL and play." The longtime NFL exec previously said the GM and head coach who selected Bortles in the first-round would be fired within three years.


Source: National Football Post
 
James Wilder declaring for draft Tue Jan 7, 04:33 PM

Florida State RB James Wilder Jr. is declaring for the 2014 NFL Draft. The 6-foot-2, 229-pound junior rushed 81 times this year for 563 yards and eight touchdowns.

Footballguys view: Wilder is one of our favorite backs in this upcoming draft. He's a rare (true) power back. Wilder has the size/power combination other backs in this class just don't have. He split time during his college career, so there's no need to worry about wear and tear like other backs. Wilder loves contact, and he does a good job of keeping his feet after contact.Anything to see here? I didn't notice him last night if he played
Rotoworld take:

Florida State junior RB James Wilder Jr. will declare for the NFL, according to ESPN's Joe Schad.

Wilder Jr. drew some buzz prior to the season, but it was obvious his talent did not match that of Devonta Freeman and Karlos Williams. Wilder Jr. is an upright runner with a punishing style. He should be a third day pick.


Source: Joe Schad on Twitter
2014 NFL Draft: FSU's James Wilder leaving for NFL

By Derek Harper | The Sports Xchange/CBSSports.com

January 7, 2014 5:09 pm ET
Florida State running back James Wilder will forgo his senior season and enter the 2014 NFL Draft, a source told ESPN.

Despite his limited workload, Wilder is the No. 4-rated junior running back and currently projected as a mid-round pick. He is a powerful runner who "explodes out of his cuts and runs with both power and determination," according to NFLDraftScout.com Senior Analyst Rob Rang.

Wilder, 6-feet-2, 229 pounds, had 81 carries for 563 yards and eight touchdowns this seasons as one of two primary backups to starter Devonta Freeman. He also battled a shoulder injury and a concussion, and Wilder's decision to make the jump to the NFL isn't surprising with Karlos Williams earning additional snaps as the season went on.

Wilder, a native of Tampa, Fla., is the son of former Tampa Bay Buccaneers star James Wilder, Sr.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Rotoworld:

Asked about breaking Bo Jackson's 1985 school record of 1,786 rushing yards, Auburn junior RB Tre Mason said: "It would be a lot better if I was holding up that crystal ball."
Mason rushed for 195 yards and a touchdown on 34 carries in a 34-31 loss to Florida State in Monday's BCS National Championship game. "I feel like I let them down," said Mason. "It's always going to be remembered, but it's always going to eat me up inside that we had beaten some of the top teams in the nation and fell short at the very end. It's pretty much like a book that was written. It was a crazy story." Mason said he will discuss his options with his family before deciding on whether to declare for the NFL draft.

Source: ESPN.com
 
Rotoworld:

LSU beat writer Ross Dellenger cites a source who says redshirt sophomore RB Jeremy Hill is now leaning towards staying in school rather than declaring for the draft.

"Hill has not officially decided to return, but all signs point to the 6-foot-2, 235-pounder remaining in school, said the source, who was familiar with the decision but not authorized to speak on Hill’s behalf," Dellenger writes. We are a bit surprised by the news, since previous reports stated Hill was almost certainly jumping to the NFL. He only has two seasons of on-field action with the Tigers and would return as their top offensive weapon.


Source: The Advocate
Damn, you're good. Was coming to post this.

He had a brutal time getting into school and I think it sounds like he's really conflicted about the decision.

 
What is the fantasy football impact of the 2014 NFL draft dropping 10 talented Running backs, 15 very solid WR Prospects, and 3-5 solid TE prospects into the NFL.

Running Backs- we have seen the NFL convert to more of a Running Back by Committee over the years. This has to make this trend even more prominent throughout the league. I imagine we are going to see some of these guys and some solid veteran talent riding the bench..... Does situation become even more important?? Does this make it even more important to stockpile many RBs making the RB position in dynasty drafts even more important than other positions like WR?

Wide Receivers- will the strength of the position have more teams spreading the ball around? Does this make the position less valuable in dynasty rookie drafts?

Tight Ends- this position is already so deep. Adding three guaranteed studs plus a few more options to the NFL makes this position less valuable.... You can replace someone fairly easy.....

Having an Understanding "of what the added influx of many talented rook skill position players means" can give dynasty fantasy owners an edge and an idea of what type of trades they may want to offer.

I'm interested and look forward to the Shark Pool's insight on this.
For RBs and WRs, I feel the opposite. With RBBCs coming more and more into vogue, I think it makes RBs less valuable as you have to throw more darts at the wall and hope you get lucky. With more passes being thrown all the time, it makes WRs more valuable as there are just more catches to be made.

I agree with TEs. I think we're going to start to see the more savvy owners keeping less players at the TE position (in leagues that start only 1 TE) as there will be more good options (in the upper tiers, if you will) meaning we'll be able to keep less fliers at the position. Much like has happened with the QB position in leagues that start only 1 QB.
That's no sure thing. The devil is in the details. It all depends on where the passes go, just as it does for the RB touches. If one guy is getting them, then his value increases. But if they get spread around, then his value could just as easily remain steady or even decrease.

Outside of flex positions, it won't matter that the NFL is passing more if those extra passes are distributed across the whole receiving corp. If a team increases it's passing by 10%, but that increase results in a 10% increase for every WR on the roster, there hasn't been any real value change between those receivers. And if every other team does the same, the same would be true among all WR's across the league. It's nothing more than stat inflation.

The perception is that if you have multiple RB's getting touches then that is a coaching philosophy that is different from getting multiple WR's touches in a game. I don't think it is. The advent of the spread makes the top end of every position, with the possible exception of QB, more valuable because those tiers are usually occupied by the guys that get a lion's share of their team's positional touches. And as teams tweak the spread, I think it will trend towards more mismatches across the formation which would mean more touches being spread around. Creating mismatches is all the rage in football right now.

The key will be identifying which guys at the various positions buck the spread trend and do maintain a lion's share of those positional touches.

And since most leagues already start more WR's than RB's, you are usually looking at lower ranked WR's as flex competition for RB's. So, for example, you are choosing your flex from among WR4's and RB2's or RB3's. And since the increase of the spread also sends some of those passing game touches to RB's, there is still a good chance that the RB options on your roster will score more points than the lower tier WR options.

 
lsutigers said:
Faust said:
Rotoworld:

LSU beat writer Ross Dellenger cites a source who says redshirt sophomore RB Jeremy Hill is now leaning towards staying in school rather than declaring for the draft.

"Hill has not officially decided to return, but all signs point to the 6-foot-2, 235-pounder remaining in school, said the source, who was familiar with the decision but not authorized to speak on Hill’s behalf," Dellenger writes. We are a bit surprised by the news, since previous reports stated Hill was almost certainly jumping to the NFL. He only has two seasons of on-field action with the Tigers and would return as their top offensive weapon.


Source: The Advocate
Damn, you're good. Was coming to post this.

He had a brutal time getting into school and I think it sounds like he's really conflicted about the decision.
Rotoworld:

LSU redshirt sophomore RB Jeremy Hill wants to return to school in 2014 to "pay back" HC Les Miller for standing by him, according to beat writer Glenn Guilbeau.

Hill was suspended prior to the 2013 season for sucker punching a random person in a parking lot. He missed a small amount of on-field action, since Les Miles put Hill's suspension up to a team vote. Obviously the running back was reinstated by his peers by a clear margin. Teams likely have more off-field than on-field questions with Hill, so they could be impressed with this decision and sign of good faith.


Source: Glenn Guilbeau on Twitter
 
Rotoworld:

Auburn junior RB Tre Mason is not ready to announce his NFL decision.

"Emotions are everywhere right now. That's not really what's going through my head right now," he said. "That decision will probably come later on, but right now I'm not thinking of that." Plenty of running backs are deciding to enter the draft rather than return to school, and Mason has the tackle breaking ability that is coveted in the NFL. he is also very good at finding small creases and falling forward.


Source: Ledger-Enquirer
After stating he would return, USC redshirt junior TE Xavier Grimble told reporters he will declare for May's NFL draft.

"I’ve been at 'SC for four years and have had a pretty productive career," Grimble told the LA Times. "I’m healthy and just want to move on and give it a shot... I feel like it was kind of my time." The tight end has been underused in recent years, but he enters a class that lacks depth at the position despite being very good at the top.


Source: LA Times
Florida State redshirt sophomore WR Kelvin Benjamin is heavily leaning towards declaring for the NFL draft, according to Yahoo! Sports' Rand Getlin.

Benjamin turns 23 in February, which likely plays into this decision, but he has the talent to match it. The big wide receiver was silent for much of the National Championship game but made the game winning catch in the area he can dominate: contested situations. Bejamin does have a history of drops, however. A first-round pick is not out of the question.


Source: Rand Getlin on Twitter
 
you guys think Kelvin Benjamin has the speed to be a monster at the next level? or is he too slow?
Speed isn't his issue, drops are.
Does he look stiff at time to you?
Yes, but even if he isn't able to fix that he has the skill set to be a 60/900/10 type of guy, if he fixes the drops issues anyway.

I don't think he'll outright fail (Jonathan Baldwin immediately comes to mind), but those drafting him for his top 5-10 ceiling must understand there's a better chance he ends up an inconsistent red zone asset than a total stud.

 
I don't see Benjamin sliding outside the top 45 picks if he runs a decent 40 time (4.55 or better). Love him or hate him, he has a monster ceiling if he hits. Huge frame and can dominate at the catch point because of his size and wingspan. My main question with him is whether or not he has the fast-twitch suddenness that you want in a #1 WR. Guys like Demaryius Thomas, Vincent Jackson, Larry Fitzgerald, and Andre Johnson are tall/thick, but they also have the ability to plant and explode.

I would say the combine numbers will tell the story there, but in reality I think this quality is very hard to capture in workout numbers. Jon Baldwin had everything on paper, but watching him early in the 2012 season for the Chiefs I was struck by how sluggish he was off the line/out of his breaks. That is a death sentence in the NFL and if Benjamin turns out the same way you will be seeing a lot of this (it's probably PI but you get my point):

http://youtu.be/4feKUNstdxI?t=1m44s

I'd say the same thing about Mike Evans. Both guys have the frame and the jump ball skills that get people excited. Are they going to be dynamic in their routes like Larry Fitzgerald and Vincent Jackson? I think that's the question mark. Being merely big and athletic is enough in college (see: Mike Williams, Reggie Williams, Jon Baldwin). In the NFL you need to be able to move. I will say that I like Benjamin a lot more than guys like Stephen Hill and Brian Quick. Right now I have him in the second tier behind Watkins and Lee. Given how high people are on Mike Evans, I think Benjamin is a little underrated in contrast. We will see what the teams really think in a few months.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
JamesTheScot said:
What is the fantasy football impact of the 2014 NFL draft dropping 10 talented Running backs, 15 very solid WR Prospects, and 3-5 solid TE prospects into the NFL.

Running Backs- we have seen the NFL convert to more of a Running Back by Committee over the years. This has to make this trend even more prominent throughout the league. I imagine we are going to see some of these guys and some solid veteran talent riding the bench..... Does situation become even more important?? Does this make it even more important to stockpile many RBs making the RB position in dynasty drafts even more important than other positions like WR?

Wide Receivers- will the strength of the position have more teams spreading the ball around? Does this make the position less valuable in dynasty rookie drafts?

Tight Ends- this position is already so deep. Adding three guaranteed studs plus a few more options to the NFL makes this position less valuable.... You can replace someone fairly easy.....

Having an Understanding "of what the added influx of many talented rook skill position players means" can give dynasty fantasy owners an edge and an idea of what type of trades they may want to offer.

I'm interested and look forward to the Shark Pool's insight on this.
For RBs and WRs, I feel the opposite. With RBBCs coming more and more into vogue, I think it makes RBs less valuable as you have to throw more darts at the wall and hope you get lucky. With more passes being thrown all the time, it makes WRs more valuable as there are just more catches to be made.I agree with TEs. I think we're going to start to see the more savvy owners keeping less players at the TE position (in leagues that start only 1 TE) as there will be more good options (in the upper tiers, if you will) meaning we'll be able to keep less fliers at the position. Much like has happened with the QB position in leagues that start only 1 QB.
That's no sure thing. The devil is in the details. It all depends on where the passes go, just as it does for the RB touches. If one guy is getting them, then his value increases. But if they get spread around, then his value could just as easily remain steady or even decrease.

Outside of flex positions, it won't matter that the NFL is passing more if those extra passes are distributed across the whole receiving corp. If a team increases it's passing by 10%, but that increase results in a 10% increase for every WR on the roster, there hasn't been any real value change between those receivers. And if every other team does the same, the same would be true among all WR's across the league. It's nothing more than stat inflation.

The perception is that if you have multiple RB's getting touches then that is a coaching philosophy that is different from getting multiple WR's touches in a game. I don't think it is. The advent of the spread makes the top end of every position, with the possible exception of QB, more valuable because those tiers are usually occupied by the guys that get a lion's share of their team's positional touches. And as teams tweak the spread, I think it will trend towards more mismatches across the formation which would mean more touches being spread around. Creating mismatches is all the rage in football right now.

The key will be identifying which guys at the various positions buck the spread trend and do maintain a lion's share of those positional touches.

And since most leagues already start more WR's than RB's, you are usually looking at lower ranked WR's as flex competition for RB's. So, for example, you are choosing your flex from among WR4's and RB2's or RB3's. And since the increase of the spread also sends some of those passing game touches to RB's, there is still a good chance that the RB options on your roster will score more points than the lower tier WR options.
Most leagues that I play in do not start a flex. I've always liked "not having a flex" because it makes you draft strong at the required positions and doesn't simply "allow you to start your excess" - it also makes you make tougher lineup choices. The large influx of talent at the skill positions in this years draft has me re-evaluating my position against starting a flex. Maybe every 12 team league should start a flex? Or even 2 TEs?? I realize that any league can "do whatever it wants" under various structures. I just like to feel comfortable that the structure of my leagues maximize fun, competitiveness, and strategy. Maybe the traditional 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 1K, and 1 Defense should be re-evaluated?

 
Rotoworld:

Yahoo! Sports' Rand Getlin cites multiple sources who say Florida State junior RB Devonta Freeman is seriously considering entering the 2014 NFL Draft.
After the national championship game Freeman told reporters "I accomplished everything I wanted to [here]... I want to continue to do more." The Seminoles had a talented backfield, but our own Josh Norris thinks Freeman and Karlos Williams were the best of the bunch. Norris adds that Freeman has some Ahmad Bradhsaw in his game, thanks to an aggressive running style and pass protection skills.

Source: Rand Getlin on Twitter
Notre Dame junior RB George Atkinson will declare for the NFL draft.
Atkinson missed the school's bowl game due to a suspension. he claims he was texting during a team meal, but no official reason was given. We wouldn't expect a team to use more than a third day pick on Atkinson. He rushed for 555 yards and three touchdowns on 93 carries this season.

Source: Aaron Wilson on Twitter
NFL insider Adam Caplan notes teams are "all over the place" regarding UCF redshirt junior QB Blake Bortles' evaluation.
The "process of evaluating him going forward crucial to where he ends up," Caplan tweeted. Bortles obviously will not be a part of the Senior Bowl, so his performance at the Combine and his school's pro day appear to be of great importance. Bortles has plenty of starts under his belt, but the NFL does put the entire draft process on a bit of a pedestal.

Source: Adam Caplan on Twitter
Ohio State RB Carlos Hyde will attend the Senior Bowl.
Our own Josh Norris has listed Hyde as his top senior runner for some time, so it will be exciting to see the Buckeye down in mobile on an even playing field. His ability to beat first contact on a consistent basis was apparent this season following a suspension. He can improve in pass protection but did display receiving ability in the school's bowl game.

Source: Senior Bowl on Twitter
One NFL executive believes the only potential issue limiting Clemson junior Sammy Watkins from becoming a No. 1 WR is his height.
"Some may have issue for No. 1 WR being less than 6-1," Adam Caplan tweeted. We think the criticism is a bit unwarranted, since Watkins has the explosion and agility of a slot receiver, mixed with the length and mindset of bigger receivers to win at the catch point. Our own Josh Norris thinks Watkins is the undisputed top prospect at his position.

Source: Adam Caplan on Twitter
 
Watkins height is concerning but I don't think it really effects his floor as much as it effects his ceiling. He's not likely to be a top 5 WR because the chances of him being an elite redzone target are slim. He's still not a midget at 6'1ish. He could easily settle in the 6-12 range for WR and that's still WR1 territory........

 
Watkins height is concerning but I don't think it really effects his floor as much as it effects his ceiling. He's not likely to be a top 5 WR because the chances of him being an elite redzone target are slim. He's still not a midget at 6'1ish. He could easily settle in the 6-12 range for WR and that's still WR1 territory........
Roddy White, Reggie Wayne, Torry Holt all around 6'0". Crabtree 6'1". Watkins is imo faster and more explosive than all four (prep 10.3-10.4 100 m.?).

* Some have said his explosiveness is reminiscent of Percy Harvin, not sure about that (one of the quickest players I've seen), but if he was, he is listed at 5'11" 185 lbs. Creating a frankenstein monster version of Harvin that was two inches taller and and twenty pounds heavier would be nasty. In the first half of 2012, Harvin was up there with Calvin Johnson as the most productive WR.

 
Last edited by a moderator:

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top