PahtyTom said:
Since I know you love FO so much
It’s rare to see a rookie back as assured as Forte, who had the starting job fall into his lap after Cedric Benson’ssummer indiscretions and made it his own. From Week 1, Forte ran, received, and blocked like a veteran back;only Frank Gore had a higher percentage of his team’s touches. He was more dependable than most veteranbacks that get the monicker, as he didn’t register a single blown block and had no fumble issues to speak of.The one negative was that he wore down quickly following 73 carries in the first three weeks, but he was usedmore judiciously by Lovie Smith thereafter and averaged 4.3 yards per carry after the Week 8 bye. He lacks thetop-end speed needed to be an elite back, but he has everything else you’d want. The best compliment we cangive Forte? The closest skill set we can think of to his is Emmitt Smith’s. Forte is that special of a player.
- FOA 2009So maybe elite isn't the right word for him. Maybe special is.
There's a difference between thinking the guys do quality NFL analysis and mindlessly agreeing with/parroting everything they say. I happen to think F&L does great work on dynasty rankings, and I've disagreed with him on this issue before. I think that EBF is a fantastic talent evaluator whose track record speaks for itself. In this case, I agree with him. In other cases, I haven't. That comes with the territory when it comes to independent thought.He's a very good blocker, a pretty good receiver, and an above average runner who happened to get an obscene workload as a rookie. He's a good back, but he's not a GREAT back. He's not Adrian Peterson. He's not Maurice Jones-Drew, or DeAngelo Williams, or Frank Gore, or Steven Jackson, or Chris Johnson. He's not Ronnie Brown (not revisionist history- I liked Brown more than Forte coming into the season). I still think Stewart is more talented, too. He's probably a comparable talent to Michael Turner, Brandon Jacobs, Marion Barber, or Knowshon Moreno, in my mind... although I've always been more down on Moreno than most, and I recognize that his pedigree means there's a strong chance I'm underrating him. But look at what's happened to Marion Barber over the years- first the team platoons him with Julius Jones, then they bring in Felix Jones and Tashard Choice. They keep chipping away slivers of his workload. I could easily see that happening to Forte, dropping his yearly touch totals down closer to 300 (rushes + receptions). If that happened, then how much value would he really have?Also, for the record, I'm not saying I would take those 10 backs over Forte in dynasty. Barber and Jacobs are comparable talents, but much older. Ronnie Brown's a superior talent, but he's turning 28 soon, and his age has to be a bit of a concern. Ditto that for Turner. I'd probably rank them Forte-Brown-Turner. I also don't have the stones to draft Jonathan Stewart as one of the top 8 RBs off the board, so I'd put Forte over him. That still leaves Forte as RB8 behind (in no particular order) Peterson/MJD/SJax/Gore/Williams/CJ/Moreno. Further, he's in the third tier, which is significantly behind the 2nd tier (1st tier = Peterson/MJD, 2nd = SJax/Gore/Williams/CJ, 3rd = Moreno/Forte/Brown/Turner/Stewart/Jacobs/Barber). Spending a top 5 pick on Forte would be more like spending a top 5 pick on Brandon Jacobs than it would be like spending a top 5 pick on DeAngelo Williams.