Bronco Billy
Footballguy
Well, looking at current ADP (using ppr) for this year and then ppw scoring from last year by position ranking, I used the optimal 1st rounder and midrange 2nd rounders to see how starters scoring shakes out.
Starting lineups: 1 QB, 1 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex
Team A (optimal 1st rounder)/Team B (3 mid 2nds)
QB9 / QB7
RB1 / RB10
WR9 / WR7
WR18 / WR17
WR21 / WR24
TE5 / TE2
Flex
RB27-WR31 / RB13
——————————————-
So Team A in optimal draft position gets a large edge at starting RB. Team B gets large edges at TE and the flex spot. QB and WRs are pretty even with Team B getting a slight edge. The advantages on each side pretty much cancel each other overall in starters.
So overall, the starting scoring is almost exactly even. But that’s giving Team A the best pick in the draft while giving Team B only average draft position. So the best you can expect the exchange to shake out is for the team with the 1st rounder to end up near even.
But there is more advantage to Team B. Team B fills its starting requirements in 7 rounds while Team A takes 9 rounds. That means Team B is filling their bench with better players throughout the balance of the draft. That’s not an insignificant advantage.
Just some food for thought...
Starting lineups: 1 QB, 1 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex
Team A (optimal 1st rounder)/Team B (3 mid 2nds)
QB9 / QB7
RB1 / RB10
WR9 / WR7
WR18 / WR17
WR21 / WR24
TE5 / TE2
Flex
RB27-WR31 / RB13
——————————————-
So Team A in optimal draft position gets a large edge at starting RB. Team B gets large edges at TE and the flex spot. QB and WRs are pretty even with Team B getting a slight edge. The advantages on each side pretty much cancel each other overall in starters.
So overall, the starting scoring is almost exactly even. But that’s giving Team A the best pick in the draft while giving Team B only average draft position. So the best you can expect the exchange to shake out is for the team with the 1st rounder to end up near even.
But there is more advantage to Team B. Team B fills its starting requirements in 7 rounds while Team A takes 9 rounds. That means Team B is filling their bench with better players throughout the balance of the draft. That’s not an insignificant advantage.
Just some food for thought...
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