Now here is the roster of a league mate of mine who had a playoff caliber team but never won it all.
Roster at the end of 2005 season:
Cassel, Matt NEP QB 18.62 7 FA
Favre, Brett GBP QB 215.64 6 FA
Frye, Charlie CLE QB 58.38 4 3.09
Harrington, Joey DET QB 130.44 3 FA
Losman, J.P. BUF QB 94.80 9 FA
Martin, Jamie STL QB 68.18 9 FA
Mauck, Matt TEN QB 5.34 10 FA
McMahon, Mike MIN QB 86.92 5 FA
McPherson, Adrian NOS QB - 10 4.09
Orlovsky, Dan DET QB 1.52 3 6.08
Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB -2.60 6 1.11
Barber, Marion DAL RB 102.45 9 2.11
Barber, Tiki NYG RB 310.00 5 FA
Davenport, Najeh GBP RB (I) 27.53 6 FA
Gado, Samkon GBP RB 106.90 6 FA
Holmes, Priest KCC RB (I) 106.80 5 FA
Jacobs, Brandon NYG RB 57.36 5 2.09
Jones, Thomas CHI RB 200.90 4 FA
Parker, Willie PIT RB 172.60 4 FA
Battle, Arnaz SFO WR 56.18 6 FA
Boldin, Anquan ARI WR 190.90 6 FA
Edwards, Braylon CLE WR (I) 70.20 4 1.05
Horn, Joe NOS WR 68.40 10 FA
Johnson, Bryant ARI WR 52.78 6 FA
McDonald, Shaun STL WR 54.70 9 FA
Owens, Terrell DAL WR 114.50 9 FA
Ward, Hines PIT WR 163.60 4 FA
Wilford, Ernest JAC WR 111.10 7 FA
Joppru, Ben HOU TE (I) - 3 FA
Smith, Alex TBB TE 53.10 7 5.09
Witten, Jason DAL TE 116.70 9 FA
Graham, Shayne CIN PK 152.80 10 FA
Tynes, Lawrence KCC PK 142.40 5 FA
Roye, Orpheus CLE DT 100.50 4 FA
Berry, Bert ARI DE (I) 52.50 6 FA
Cole, Trent PHI DE 61.00 6 FA
Mathis, Robert IND DE 102.00 8 FA
Suggs, Terrell BAL DE 104.30 3 FA
Barnett, Nick GBP LB 151.80 6 FA
Newman, Keith MIN LB 52.60 5 FA
Polk, Dashon HOU LB 88.50 3 FA
Tatupu, Lofa SEA LB 141.50 8 FA
Taylor, Ben GBP LB 98.00 6 FA
Thompson, Chaun CLE LB 97.50 4 FA
Thornton, David TEN LB 83.00 10 FA
Wong, Kailee HOU LB (I) 30.00 3 FA
Brown, Sheldon PHI CB 125.20 6 FA
Jackson, Marlin IND CB 57.10 8 FA
Dawkins, Brian PHI S 132.40 6 FA
Wilson, Gibril NYG S 130.60 5 FA
Now this team seeing itself as being competitive kept roster intact to make another run at the playoffs.
Starters -
Favre
Preist Holmes X
Tiki Barber
Thomas Jones
Boldin
Joe Horn X
Terrell Owens X
Hines Ward
Witten
Mathis
Suggs
Barnett
Tatutpu*
Thornton
Taylor
Sheldon Brown
Dawkins
Gibril Wilson
Situational starters -
Frye
Harrington
Losman
Davenport
Gado
FWP
Battle
Bryant Johnson
Shaun McDonald
Ernest Wilford
Alex Smith
Roye, Orpheus CLE DT
Bert Berry
Polk, Dashon
Thompson, Chaun
Wong, Kailee
Developmental players -
Cassell
Martin
Mauck
Adrian McPherson
Dan Orlovsky
Aaron Rodgers
Marion Barber
Brandon Jacobs
Braylon Edwards
Ben Joppru
Trent Cole
Marlin Jackson
X - bust due to age or injury. If your team does not have the depth to be competitve if one of your players busts you should be looking at improving your depth.
*rookie became starter. This should not be counted on at the begining of the season. Roster did have a developmental player at LB who panned out right away.
So what you have here is a owner who did have reasonable reasons to think he could contend for a title. A very aging roster however with Favre, Preist, Tiki Barber, Horn, Owens and Ward as the key starting players. He did very well in adding youth to his roster also in McPherson, Rodgers, Marion Barber, Brandon Jacobs, Braylon Edwards, Cole, Lofa and Jackson. Also Gado and FWP were very good situational starters (FWP became a starter in years ahead).
However as this unfolded the team was not strong enough to contend for a title because Favre had a poor year, Preist did not return to form, Horn fell off, TO missed too many games and the defense was really not up to snuff. You can see by how many QB are being rostered that they owner is trying to replace Favre but doesen't have a good enough backup. Although I can understand the owners decision to try and win it all with what he had (no one was offering anything of value for Preist) I think there was enough risk at the begining of the season that the owner may have been better off working on his depth instead of trying to make another run.
In 2006 his team officialy loses Preist Holmes and Tiki Barber annouces that he will retire at the end of the season. Yet the owner still tries to make another playoff run with obviously deprechiated roster. To his credit he does try to trade Tiki but everyone knows of the announcement so he cannot get reasonable return in trade for him. Still considering the age and depriciation of his players value combined with some good young talent a rebuild would have been a better course of action even if he would have sold off some of his aging players for a bit less than their worth. It would have been better to do this the year before of course when those players had more value.
Roster at the end of 2006 season:
Cassel, Matt NEP QB -0.22 6 FA
Croyle, Brodie KCC QB ® -3.08 3 3.11
Favre, Brett GBP QB 228.10 6 FA
Frye, Charlie CLE QB 150.16 6 FA
Gradkowski, Bruce TBB QB ® 108.54 4 4.11
Losman, J.P. BUF QB 215.10 8 FA
Romo, Tony DAL QB 213.82 3 FA
Rosenfels, Sage HOU QB (I) 28.30 5 FA
Alstott, Mike TBB RB 42.90 4 FA
Barber, Marion DAL RB 184.10 3 FA
Tiki Barber - retired so not shown on EOY roster for some reason. But he was kept for the entire season and never traded.
Griffith, Justin ATL RB 49.70 5 FA
Jacobs, Brandon NYG RB 118.23 4 FA
Jones, Thomas CHI RB 172.40 7 FA
Parker, Willie PIT RB 259.70 4 FA
Taylor, Chris HOU RB ® 25.30 5 FA
Battle, Arnaz SFO WR 92.70 7 FA
Boldin, Anquan ARI WR 152.10 9 FA
Crayton, Patrick DAL WR 79.85 3 FA
Hagan, Derek MIA WR ® 30.60 8 2.11
Holmes, Santonio PIT WR ® 122.82 4 1.11
Horn, Joe NOS WR 94.90 7 FA
Johnson, Bryant ARI WR 100.73 9 FA
Owens, Terrell DAL WR 201.00 3 FA
Ward, Hines PIT WR 136.50 4 FA
Williams, Reggie JAC WR 92.60 6 FA - traded Braylon Edwards for him and I think draft picks. Trying to move development of WR forward to get useful player this year.
Lewis, Marcedes JAC TE ® 18.60 6 2.07
Witten, Jason DAL TE 83.40 3 FA
Graham, Shayne CIN PK 132.50 5 FA
Tynes, Lawrence KCC PK 126.10 3 FA
Holliday, Vonnie MIA DT 84.00 8 FA
Anderson, Mark CHI DE ® 75.50 7 FA
Mathis, Robert IND DE (P) 100.00 6 FA
Suggs, Terrell BAL DE 101.50 7 FA
Anderson, James CAR LB ® 32.50 9 FA
Barnett, Nick GBP LB 103.80 6 FA
Phillips, Shaun SDC LB 105.00 3 FA
Shanle, Scott NOS LB 101.00 7 FA
Short, Brandon NYG LB 53.50 4 FA
Thornton, David TEN LB 107.00 7 FA
Bethea, Antoine IND S ® 89.80 6 FA
Chavous, Corey STL S 101.20 7 FA
Dawkins, Brian PHI S 129.80 9 FA
Landry, Dawan BAL S ® 110.60 7 FA
Phillips, Jermaine TBB S 135.20 4 FA
Wilson, Gibril NYG S 118.50 4 FA
Starters -
Favre
Marion Barber
Tiki Barber - Had a good season however Jacobs cuts into his TD numbers.
Thomas Jones
FWP
Boldin
Terrell Owens
Hines Ward
Witten
Mathis
Suggs
Barnett
Tatutpu
Thornton
Jermaine Phillips
Dawkins
Gibril Wilson
Situational starters -
Frye
Romo
Losman
Brandon Jacobs
Battle
Bryant Johnson
Reggie Williams
Vonnie Holiday
Phillips, Shaun
Shanle, Scott
Corey Chavous
Developmental players -
Cassell
Croyle
Gradkowski
Rosenfels
Chris Taylor
Crayton, Patrick
Hagan, Derek
Holmes, Santonio*
Marcedes Lewis
Mark Anderson*
James Anderson
Brandon Short
Bethea, Antoine
Landry, Dawan
X - bust due to age or injury. If your team does not have the depth to be competitve if one of your players busts you should be looking at improving your depth.
*rookie became starter. This should not be counted on at the begining of the season. Roster did have a developmental player at LB who panned out right away.
So the owner attempted to make another run with essentialy the same aging roster as he had the year before. He also hurt his overall strength trading off Edwards in a move to try and help himself now instead of being paitient. He has some developmental players panning out in Tony Romo, FWP and Marion Barber. The team however fails to make the playoffs in a late season loss. But really I think the writing was on the wall that this team would be middle of the road compared to other compition in the league and would have been better served selling off its older players to add more depth, picks and developmental players for a stronger push moving forward.
In fact that is exactly what he decided to do the next season when he still had a roster that could have made another playoff push. In my opinion he correctly identifies that he is good enough to be middle of the pack but not good enough to seriously contend for a title. And the core of his roster keeps aging. So he makes moves to improve the overall value of his team instead of trying to be competitive in 2007. He trades off Favre, Romo (doesent believe in him without TO), FWP, Brandon Jacobs, Ryan Grant, Boldin and TO for other young players and many draft picks. Stacking picks for the 2008 season while adding young players like Leinart, Jamarcus Russell, Michael Turner, Bowe, Greg Jennings and Roy Williams.
Some of you may say that he gave up quality players and hurt his chances to compete in 2007 and I would agree with you. But in doing so he added more talented depth to his roster that has much more long term viability as well as adding many draft picks to be used in 2008 season to further add to his depth of talent.
And that is the main thing that I think was lacking in his team. He had strong starters yes but didnt have quality depth behind them to forestall injuries and bad years from his starters. Even though he very well with free agent pick ups (Romo, FWP, Gado, Ryan Grant) and made good picks in rookie drafts his team was still middle of the pack and unable to compete with the elite teams in the league. Now that he has blown up his starting roster for more youth and depth it makes his team much stronger moving forward in overall value. 2007 season was a loss to do this. But would he have really been better off getting one more year out of players like Favre and TO?
I think not.
His roster now post rookie draft:
Grossman, Rex CHI QB - 8 FA
Leinart, Matt ARI QB - 7 FA
Moore, Matt CAR QB - 9 FA
Orton, Kyle CHI QB - 8 FA
Pennington, Chad NYJ QB - 5 FA
Redman, Chris ATL QB - 7 FA
Rosenfels, Sage HOU QB - 8 FA
Russell, JaMarcus OAK QB - 5 FA
Barber, Marion DAL RB - 10 FA
Bell, Tatum DET RB - 4 FA
Boyd, Cory TBB RB ® - 10 FA
Brown, Thomas ATL RB ® - 7 FA
Bush, Michael OAK RB - 5 FA
Calhoun, Brian DET RB - 4 FA
Duckett, T.J. SEA RB - 4 FA
Forte, Matt CHI RB ® - 8 1.04
Hightower, Tim ARI RB ® - 7 3.11
Hillis, Peyton DEN RB ® - 8 FA
McFadden, Darren OAK RB ® - 5 1.01
Mendenhall, Rashard PIT RB ® - 6 1.03
Rice, Ray BAL RB ® - 10 1.06
Smith, Kevin DET RB ® - 4 1.05
Torain, Ryan DEN RB ® - 8 2.03
Turner, Michael ATL RB - 7 FA
Walker, Darius HOU RB - 8 FA
Battle, Arnaz SFO WR - 9 FA
Bowe, Dwayne KCC WR - 6 FA
Gage, Justin TEN WR - 6 FA
Holmes, Santonio PIT WR - 6 FA
Hubbard, Paul CLE WR ® - 5 FA
Jennings, Greg GBP WR - 8 FA
Shields, Arman OAK WR ® - 5 FA
Thomas, Devin WAS WR ® - 10 1.11
Ward, Hines PIT WR - 6 FA
Wilford, Ernest MIA WR - 4 FA
Williams, Reggie JAC WR - 7 FA
Williams, Roy DET WR - 4 FA
Davis, Kellen CHI TE ® - 8 FA
Lewis, Marcedes JAC TE - 7 FA
Witten, Jason DAL TE - 10 FA
Graham, Shayne CIN PK - 8 FA
Tynes, Lawrence NYG PK - 4 FA
Ellis, Sedrick NOS DT ® - 9 FA
Haye, Jovan TBB DT - 10 FA
Anderson, Mark CHI DE - 8 FA
Mathis, Robert IND DE - 4 FA
Odom, Antwan CIN DE - 8 FA
Adibi, Xavier HOU LB ® - 8 4.05
Brackett, Gary IND LB - 4 FA
Crowell, Angelo BUF LB - 6 FA
Durant, Justin JAC LB - 7 FA
Gooden, Tavares BAL LB ® - 10 4.03
Keiaho, Freddie IND LB - 4 FA
Thornton, David TEN LB - 6 FA
Bailey, Champ DEN CB - 8 FA
Bennett, Fred HOU CB - 8 FA
Bigby, Atari GBP S - 8 FA
Reed, Edward BAL S - 10 FA
Wilson, Gibril OAK S - 5 FA
Will this team be able to contend for a 2008 title? Remains to be seen how some of these players pan out. But I definitly think this roster is much more balanced than the previous ones were and in a much better situation moving forward even if it does not contend this year.