That's an awfully high ranking for Tavon Austin. Over the past 10 years the list of 5'9 WRs who have had 1000 yards from scrimmage in a season is exactly 2 players long, Wes Welker and Steve Smith; so from a probability perspective, the odds are considerably against Austin. I actually like him as a player, but if he doesn't end up on a team with a dynamic passing offense I think he's doomed for mediocrity from a fantasy perspective; not something I'm looking for from my first round pick.
I think the list of teams after Austin will be short, but they will all have a plan to utilize him in a very active role. He may not be a day 1 guy, but I see him as the type that teams discuss early in day 2 after they have 18 hours to re-evaluate their board after Thursday night. Really, really like him.That's an awfully high ranking for Tavon Austin. Over the past 10 years the list of 5'9 WRs who have had 1000 yards from scrimmage in a season is exactly 2 players long, Wes Welker and Steve Smith; so from a probability perspective, the odds are considerably against Austin. I actually like him as a player, but if he doesn't end up on a team with a dynamic passing offense I think he's doomed for mediocrity from a fantasy perspective; not something I'm looking for from my first round pick.
He seems more like Dexter McCluster than DeSean Jackson. He's intriguing because he has some special qualities, but he also has some glaring flaws.That's an awfully high ranking for Tavon Austin. Over the past 10 years the list of 5'9 WRs who have had 1000 yards from scrimmage in a season is exactly 2 players long, Wes Welker and Steve Smith; so from a probability perspective, the odds are considerably against Austin. I actually like him as a player, but if he doesn't end up on a team with a dynamic passing offense I think he's doomed for mediocrity from a fantasy perspective; not something I'm looking for from my first round pick.
I think he looks dynamic close to the Watkins/Lee level. Depending on where he goes (or maybe not) I could def see myself using the 1.1 on him. People smarter than me say he's too raw, I think he's the best in a class of weak skill position players.from the wonderful world of Twitter:After conversation, Butch Jones says he thinks Cordarrelle Patterson 'definitely going to the NFL'He is one of the more interesting prospects... pretty versatile, but not much D1 experience. Combine will be huge for him, but can't see him as a first day selection.
Both of those guys dropped about a million yards in their true freshman seasons though.Patterson only had 778 yards this year as a JC transfer. And that's with a (somewhat) viable pro prospect slinging him the ball.I think he looks dynamic close to the Watkins/Lee level. Depending on where he goes (or maybe not) I could def see myself using the 1.1 on him. People smarter than me say he's too raw, I think he's the best in a class of weak skill position players.from the wonderful world of Twitter:
After conversation, Butch Jones says he thinks Cordarrelle Patterson 'definitely going to the NFL'
He is one of the more interesting prospects... pretty versatile, but not much D1 experience. Combine will be huge for him, but can't see him as a first day selection.
He reminds me a little bit of Brandon Tate coming out of UNC. Big guys with good speed and great run after the catch and return abilities. I do think Patterson has a little bit more explosiveness though. If he runs well, I could see him going in the late 2nd round of the draft. And if it happens to be a good fantasy situation, I could see him as a late 1st round fantasy guy with legit upside. I'd also note that in addition to the 800 receiving yards, he also had over 300 rushing yards. That is a pretty legit statistical season for a first year guy. Though I agree not enough to put him on the Lee/Watkins level.Both of those guys dropped about a million yards in their true freshman seasons though.Patterson only had 778 yards this year as a JC transfer. And that's with a (somewhat) viable pro prospect slinging him the ball.I think he looks dynamic close to the Watkins/Lee level. Depending on where he goes (or maybe not) I could def see myself using the 1.1 on him. People smarter than me say he's too raw, I think he's the best in a class of weak skill position players.from the wonderful world of Twitter:
After conversation, Butch Jones says he thinks Cordarrelle Patterson 'definitely going to the NFL'
He is one of the more interesting prospects... pretty versatile, but not much D1 experience. Combine will be huge for him, but can't see him as a first day selection.
He only had one 100+ yard game all season. A 200+ yard effort against the mighty Troy.
I'm not going to say that he's a certain bust, but there's definitely a disconnect between what I see on the field and how high some people rate him. He's just a middle round NFL draft pick to me. That opinion is subject to change, but as of right now he's not someone that I plan on targeting.
If you followed the draft for any length of time, you know that many players don't fall cleanly into perfect situations. some of the teams you list will solve the need in Free Agency, some have non-FF positions of greater need, and some teams will draft BPA into an area of relative strength. A class has to be evaluated on its relative strength and then adjusted once we KNOW the players' situation versus guesing and as in this post hoping for perfect situations.Yep. It seems like everyone has already assumed the worst case scenario for this draft class. With a few breaks it actually doesn't have to be half bad though. If Keenan Allen ends up in Indy, Justin Hunter in New England, Giovanni Benard in Green Bay, and Stepfan Taylor in Pitt (just some examples of feasible positive landing spots I understand how unlikely thy are) people will pay a mint to buy back into the draft. If they all end up in terrible situations then you won't be any worse off anyways because no one wants the picks to begin with.Couldn't agree more. A lot of people treating this rookie class like the plague, and come draft time I think that talk will be gone. Even a RB class that appears to be lacking may very well produce 3-4 very solid fantasy prospects.I think the inferiority of this class is being over exaggerated anyway, probably because the top of last year's class was just so great. There's a lot of good talent coming out this year, just not special talent like last year.
Hence the bolded statement in my post. My point is that some players will end up in favorable places. But instead of factoring that into draft pick prices people are assuming the worst about this draft class in every possible way. I'm not saying that it is the most talented class in the world but there are some talented players.If you followed the draft for any length of time, you know that many players don't fall cleanly into perfect situations. some of the teams you list will solve the need in Free Agency, some have non-FF positions of greater need, and some teams will draft BPA into an area of relative strength. A class has to be evaluated on its relative strength and then adjusted once we KNOW the players' situation versus guesing and as in this post hoping for perfect situations.Yep. It seems like everyone has already assumed the worst case scenario for this draft class. With a few breaks it actually doesn't have to be half bad though. If Keenan Allen ends up in Indy, Justin Hunter in New England, Giovanni Benard in Green Bay, and Stepfan Taylor in Pitt (just some examples of feasible positive landing spots I understand how unlikely they are) people will pay a mint to buy back into the draft. If they all end up in terrible situations then you won't be any worse off anyways because no one wants the picks to begin with.Couldn't agree more. A lot of people treating this rookie class like the plague, and come draft time I think that talk will be gone. Even a RB class that appears to be lacking may very well produce 3-4 very solid fantasy prospects.I think the inferiority of this class is being over exaggerated anyway, probably because the top of last year's class was just so great. There's a lot of good talent coming out this year, just not special talent like last year.
I never thought Tate to be a "big guy". Tate plays much smaller than Patterson.He reminds me a little bit of Brandon Tate coming out of UNC. Big guys with good speed and great run after the catch and return abilities. I do think Patterson has a little bit more explosiveness though. If he runs well, I could see him going in the late 2nd round of the draft. And if it happens to be a good fantasy situation, I could see him as a late 1st round fantasy guy with legit upside. I'd also note that in addition to the 800 receiving yards, he also had over 300 rushing yards. That is a pretty legit statistical season for a first year guy. Though I agree not enough to put him on the Lee/Watkins level.Both of those guys dropped about a million yards in their true freshman seasons though.Patterson only had 778 yards this year as a JC transfer. And that's with a (somewhat) viable pro prospect slinging him the ball.I think he looks dynamic close to the Watkins/Lee level. Depending on where he goes (or maybe not) I could def see myself using the 1.1 on him. People smarter than me say he's too raw, I think he's the best in a class of weak skill position players.from the wonderful world of Twitter:
After conversation, Butch Jones says he thinks Cordarrelle Patterson 'definitely going to the NFL'
He is one of the more interesting prospects... pretty versatile, but not much D1 experience. Combine will be huge for him, but can't see him as a first day selection.
He only had one 100+ yard game all season. A 200+ yard effort against the mighty Troy.
I'm not going to say that he's a certain bust, but there's definitely a disconnect between what I see on the field and how high some people rate him. He's just a middle round NFL draft pick to me. That opinion is subject to change, but as of right now he's not someone that I plan on targeting.
Tate IS smaller than Patterson. Tate is only 6' 183, Patterson is 6'2" 205. But I think people were comparing they're roles/abilities/I never thought Tate to be a "big guy". Tate plays much smaller than Patterson.He reminds me a little bit of Brandon Tate coming out of UNC. Big guys with good speed and great run after the catch and return abilities. I do think Patterson has a little bit more explosiveness though. If he runs well, I could see him going in the late 2nd round of the draft. And if it happens to be a good fantasy situation, I could see him as a late 1st round fantasy guy with legit upside. I'd also note that in addition to the 800 receiving yards, he also had over 300 rushing yards. That is a pretty legit statistical season for a first year guy. Though I agree not enough to put him on the Lee/Watkins level.Both of those guys dropped about a million yards in their true freshman seasons though.Patterson only had 778 yards this year as a JC transfer. And that's with a (somewhat) viable pro prospect slinging him the ball.I think he looks dynamic close to the Watkins/Lee level. Depending on where he goes (or maybe not) I could def see myself using the 1.1 on him. People smarter than me say he's too raw, I think he's the best in a class of weak skill position players.from the wonderful world of Twitter:
After conversation, Butch Jones says he thinks Cordarrelle Patterson 'definitely going to the NFL'
He is one of the more interesting prospects... pretty versatile, but not much D1 experience. Combine will be huge for him, but can't see him as a first day selection.
He only had one 100+ yard game all season. A 200+ yard effort against the mighty Troy.
I'm not going to say that he's a certain bust, but there's definitely a disconnect between what I see on the field and how high some people rate him. He's just a middle round NFL draft pick to me. That opinion is subject to change, but as of right now he's not someone that I plan on targeting.
Future NY Jet.Tyler Bray declared.
Throughout the season we've chronicled the players who have helped and hurt their draft stock most in a given week. Below, we list the draft winners and losers from the entire season's body of work. (* denotes underclassmen)
Risers
Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia: Smith got off to a quick start at the beginning of the season, and was tough to stop all year long. His improvement on the field was obvious, as each week he continually made proper decisions in the pocket and displayed pinpoint accuracy with his throws. Smith now grades as the best quarterback in the draft and will be a top-15 choice in April.
Giovani Bernard, RB, North Carolina*: Bernard set himself apart from the rest of the position this season in a draft void of talent at running back. He was dominant in all areas of the game and beat opponents as a ball carrier, pass catcher and return specialist. If he checks out medically, Bernard will be the first back selected next April.
Zach Ertz, TE, Stanford*: Twelve months ago Ertz struggled to see the field, listed behind Coby Fleener on Stanford's depth chart. He grabbed hold of the starting job this year, then watched his draft stock take off. Ertz is a complete tight end with the ability to create mismatches in the secondary as a pass catcher or control opponents on the line of scrimmage as a blocker. He's an NFL-ready prospect with a first-round grade.
Terrance Williams, WR, Baylor: With the departure of Kendall Wright and Robert Griffin, the focus of Baylor's offense shifted to Williams this season. He answered the call. He's a reliable underneath pass catcher with sneaky speed and the ability to beat defenders deep. Williams' play this season has pushed him into the second round of the draft.
Luke Joeckel, T, Texas A&M*: Joeckel and his Aggie teammates found themselves playing in a new conference, for a new coach and protecting a new quarterback in 2012. The change was seamless for Joeckel, who now grades as the draft's premier pass-blocking tackle. He faced off against some of the nation's best pass rushers and defensive coaches each week, yet consistently shut down opponents. Joeckel ranks as a top-10 pick if he enters the draft.
Eric Fisher, T, Central Michigan: Fisher entered the season with late-round grades, but played far beyond the expectations of NFL scouts in 2012. He's a tremendous pass blocker with exceptional agility and movement skills. Fisher improved every aspect of his game and could slide into the late part of the first round.
Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU: Ansah was not on the scouting radar when the season began, but he's now the talk of the scouting community. The former track athlete from Ghana needed assistance on how to properly put on his football equipment two years ago, but he now grades out as a potential first-round pick based on his play in 2012.
Cornellius Carradine, DE, Florida State: Carradine had not started a game prior to the 2012 season, then was forced into the lineup after an injury to Brandon Jenkins. From the get go he looked like a seasoned veteran. Carradine was a forceful pass rusher who made a lot of plays behind the line of scrimmage and stopped the run with regularity. A late season ACL injury will knock Carradine out of the top 35 picks, but he improved his draft stock almost three full rounds as a senior.
Damontre Moore, OLB, Texas A&M*: The Aggies produced the second pick of the 2011 draft in linebacker Von Miller, and Moore may not be far behind next April. The junior turned in game-impacting plays every week this season and showed tremendous development on the field. He presently grades as the top 3-4 linebacker prospect in the nation.
Will Davis, CB, Utah State: Davis, who came to Utah State via De Anza College, watched his game take off in 2012. Opposing quarterbacks rarely challenged him as he shut down opponents all season. He possesses the size and skill to be a starter at the next level, and scouts have stamped Davis as a top-45 pick in the upcoming draft.
Sliders
Matt Barkley, QB, USC: Barkley returned for his senior season with expectations of a national title run and Heisman Trophy candidacy. He moves toward April with a declining draft grade and a shoulder injury. Barkley lost his rhythm at times during the season, made questionable decisions in the pocket and struggled with his once dependable accuracy. Once considered to be in the conversation as the first pick of the 2013 draft, Barkley is likely to fall into the bottom half of round one.
Logan Thomas, QB, Virginia Tech: Thomas entered the year justifiably ranked as one of the top quarterback prospects in the nation, but his play was woeful at times throughout the season. His poor defensive reads resulted in errant passes and a lot of interceptions (14). Considered a possible top-15 pick in August, Thomas now grades as a third-round choice.
Knile Davis, RB, Arkansas*: Davis was highly rated coming into his sophomore season of 2011, but an ankle injury kept him on the sidelines the entire campaign. He returned to the field this year, but his entire game struggled and he looked a fraction of his former self.
Marquess Wilson, WR, Washington State: Wilson ranked as one of the better receivers from the junior class at the beginning of the season but lost his starting job midway through the year. Conflicts with the coaching staff ended with his departure from the Washington State program, and red flags have been raised in the scouting community.
Marcus Davis, WR, Virginia Tech: Scouts considered Davis the top receiver prospect from the senior class when the season began. He possesses mouth watering size (6-foot-3, 225 pounds) and speed (4.45-second 40) for the next level. He flashed skill, but has yet to pull together a complete game and showed a lot inconsistency on the field.
Kawann Short, DT, Purdue: The Purdue senior received first-round grades moving toward the 2012 draft, but decided to return for a final campaign on the college field. His play was inconsistent throughout the 2012 season, and scouts feel Short did not play to his potential or live up to expectations.
William Gholston, DE, Michigan State*: Gholston was graded as a first-round prospect entering the season with good reason. He flashed dominance as a sophomore and the ability to overwhelm opponents. Gholston showed little improvement this year, and his inconsistent motor and pedestrian total of 3.5 sacks has raised red flags.
Doug Rippy, LB, Colorado: When healthy and at the top of his game Rippy is a complete linebacker and three-down defender. His junior season was cut short after seven games due to a knee injury. He was slow to return this year, playing in just nine games and looking a fraction of his former self. He was graded as a third-round choice prior to the season, but Rippy could go unselected due to medical red-flags.
Terry Hawthorne, CB, Illinois: Hawthorne struggled with injury and poor play this season. He was a shutdown cornerback opponents purposely threw away from in 2011, but as a senior Hawthorne looked no better than a late-round cornerback at times.
Robert Lester, S, Alabama: After the 2010 season scouts had a higher opinion of Lester than former teammate Mark Barron, the seventh pick of last April's draft. Lester's play has steadily regressed the past two seasons. He's been slow reacting on the field and has not made many game-impacting plays.
While December might mean holiday cheer to some, for NFL scouts it signifies the end of the first "season" of talent evaluation, and the beginning of another.
With college football's regular season over, scouts have the opportunity to catch up on tape, making the necessary adjustments to reflect the changing landscape that features a bounty of talented linemen on both sides of the ball but a relative lack of top-end talent at the skill positions.
The Big Board isn't a mock draft. There is no attention given to team needs or what order NFL teams might be selecting in April. It is a ranking of the 50 best potentially NFL Draft-eligible prospects in the country. The list includes potentially draft-eligible underclassmen considered likely to consider making the jump to the NFL early.
Underclassmen are denoted with an asterisk (*).
1. *Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M: A three-time all-conference selection, Joeckel cemented his stock as the top offensive tackle in college football in 2012, answering the unique challenges presented by SEC defenders this season. He earned the Outland Trophy as the nation's best lineman and vaulted himself to the top of my draft board. Redshirt freshman quarterback Johnny Manziel may have won the Heisman Trophy but should Joeckel elect to leave the Aggies early for the NFL, he could be the one holding the bigger prize -- the thrill of being the first offensive lineman since Jake Long (2008) selected No. 1 overall.
2. *Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State: Blessed with a quick first step, heavy hands and surprising instincts given the fact that the German-born Werner has played just five years of American football, he established himself as one of the country's elite prospects. An immediate standout in Tallahassee, Werner has improved each of his three seasons at Florida State and he earned ACC Defensive Player of the Year in 2012 with 18 tackles for loss, including 13 sacks.
3. *Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia: A first-team All-SEC honoree in each of his two seasons at Georgia, Jones has proven himself to be a playmaker against the pass and run. The 6-foot-3, 241-pound Jones led the country with 22.5 tackles for loss and forced seven fumbles in just 11 games in 2012. The redshirt junior is dynamic, but it's his medical grade that will ultimately determine his draft status. He was diagnosed with a mild case of spinal stenosis in 2009 and some NFL doctors may be unwilling to clear him.
4. Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah: With the Utes struggling through a disappointing 5-7 campaign, their senior defensive tackle hasn't generated as much national attention as his play has warranted. Despite fighting constant double and triple teams, Lotulelei registered 42 tackles, 11 tackles for loss, five sacks and four recovered fumbles this season, earning first-team All-Pac-12 accolades for the second consecutive season. Remarkably athletic at 6-3, 320 pounds, he's capable of shutting down running lanes and terrorizing quarterbacks.
5. Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama: Offensive linemen rarely get the limelight but it might be even worse for Warmack than most. Not only do the "skill-position" and defensive stars for 'Bama generate virtually all of the attention, Warmack is overshadowed even among the Tide's All-American offensive line -- but not by talent evaluators, who see the 6-3, 320-pound mauler as one of the safest prospects in his class.
6. *Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M: Considering that he is the son of Hall of Famer Bruce Matthews of Houston Oilers and Tennessee Titans fame, greatness has been expected of Jake Matthews. He has lived up to the lofty expectations, starting since his freshman season at right tackle for the Aggies. While not as athletic as his teammate, LT Joeckel, the 6-5, 305-pound Matthews is the better and more physical run blocker of the two and could also warrant top-10 consideration should he elect to leave with a season of eligibility remaining.
7. Manti Te'o, ILB, Notre Dame: More decorated than a wedding cake, Te'o has earned an astounding seven national awards in leading the No. 1 Irish to an undefeated season and a berth in the BCS title game. While the NFL couldn't care less about a collegiate prospect's stocked trophy case, it is tough not to acknowledge the relative safety that the 6-2, 255-pound Te'o provides as an instinctive, physical defender capable of making big plays against the run and pass.
8. *Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri: Where some of the top defensive tackles in the country lack eye-popping statistics, Richardson enjoyed a breakout campaign for the Tigers, finishing just four tackles behind linebacker Andrew Wilson as Missouri's leading tackler this season with 75 tackles, 10.5 tackles for loss and four sacks. Richardson announced on Nov. 30 his intention to enter the 2013 draft.
9. *Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M: San Francisco 49ers pass rusher Aldon Smith's rapid ascension as an elite defender has forced talent evaluators to acknowledge how much versatile defenders can impact today's game. Moore, like Smith viewed by some as a 'tweener at 6-4, 255 pounds, has starred at defensive end and outside linebacker over the past two seasons for the Aggies. Having registered 20 tackles for loss this season, including 12.5 sacks, Moore certainly has the production to go with his size, burst and motor.
10. *Taylor Lewan, OT, Michigan: Arguably the most physically imposing player in the country, the 6-7, 302-pound Lewan looks like the second coming of Jake Long wearing No. 77 in the Michigan maize and blue. Lewan, who only made the switch to offensive line as a senior in high school, is certainly behind the No. 1 overall pick of the 2008 draft in terms of development but the size, athleticism and mentality are in place to join him as a potential top-10 pick should the junior elect to leave Michigan a year early.
11. *Keenan Allen, WR, California: An exceptionally highly regarded prep prospect who originally was going to sign with Nick Saban and Alabama as a safety before joining his brother (quarterback Zach Maynard) at Cal, Allen has virtually all of the physical characteristics to be a No. 1 receiver in the NFL. To earn a top-10 pick, however, he'll have to prove his health (he suffered a knee injury Oct. 27) and straight-line speed. Allen announced on Dec. 5 his intention to enter the 2013 draft.
12. Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia: While Smith did not play at the level of top-ranked QBs in recent years, the 6-3, 220-pound senior nonetheless remains a legitimate candidate to wind up as the top pick in the 2013 draft. Smith improved his completion percentage and touchdown/interception ratio in each of his three starting seasons, culminating with a sparkling 71.4 percentage and 40 touchdowns against just seven interceptions. More importantly, he has all of the traits scouts are looking for in a franchise quarterback.
13. *Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama: The 6-1, 198-pound Milliner is a perfect example of how Alabama reloads rather than rebuilds. A highly regarded prep prospect who started 11 games as a true freshman, Milliner was pushed a bit to the background in 2011 as 'Dre Kirkpatrick and De'Quan Menzie took over. With each now in the NFL, Milliner re-asserted himself in 2012, finishing second in the country with 20 passes broken up and providing stellar run defense on the boundary. While just a junior, the 2012 Thorpe Award finalist is NFL-ready and would only have to prove his straight-line speed to earn a top-20 pick in April.
14. Matt Barkley, QB, Southern California: There is plenty of evidence that Barkley is going to lose on the significant gamble he took in electing to return to USC for his senior season. After only one multi-interception game during his junior campaign, Barkley has had six in 2012, including what may prove to be the final four games of his career as the quarterback suffered a shoulder injury in USC's loss to cross-town rival UCLA on Nov. 17. Scouts value Barkley's leadership, poise and accuracy on the move but there are plenty who scoff at giving him a first-round grade based on the 6-2, 230-pound quarterback's less than ideal measureables. Nonetheless, Barkley remains squarely in the first-round conversation for me.
15. Jesse Williams, DT, Alabama: Many of the top prospects boast eye-popping stats. Williams is not one of them. The Australia native finished the regular season ninth (and tied, at that) on the Alabama roster with "just" 36 tackles, including 2.5 tackles for loss and one sack. The 6-3, 320 pounder's wide frame and awesome strength (600-pound bench press) make him a potentially elite nose guard. With most NFL teams either using the 3-4 as their base defense or at least incorporating many of its principles, Williams' value may not truly be proven until draft day.
16. *Alexander Ogletree, ILB, Georgia: Jarvis Jones gets much of the hype for the Bulldogs, for good reason, but it was the ultra-athletic Ogletree who led Georgia with 98 tackles despite the fact that he missed the first four games due to a suspension. The junior's lanky frame (6-3, 234) and staggering closing speed make him a potentially more dynamic player at the next level than Notre Dame's Te'o.
17. Johnathan Jenkins, DT, Georgia: Like his fellow SEC run-stuffer, Williams, Jenkins does not have elite stats (50 tackles, two tackles for loss, one sack) normally associated with first-round picks. At 6-3, 358, Jenkins has the beef to clog running lanes and despite having played only two seasons at the FBS level, he has proven himself against top competition.
18. Jonathan Cooper, OG, North Carolina: Teams are generally loathe to spend first-round picks on guards but with the steady Cooper, an exception may have to be made. He has excellent agility, with the ability to quickly get to the second level and block on the move. His terrific blocking has helped Tar Heels running back Giovani Bernard -- a legitimate high-round prospect himself -- rush for an average of nearly 123 yards per game this season.
19. Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU: A native of Ghana who tried out for basketball and lettered in track before giving football a try in 2010, Ansah had 10 total tackles to his credit entering the 2012 season and was barely a blip on most scouts' radar. A few months later, comparisons to Jason Pierre-Paul are almost cliché in the scouting community as the 6-5, 270 pounder has emerged as a consistent big-play threat, recording 57 tackles, 13 tackles for loss and 4.5 sacks. Ansah is raw as sushi right now but the team that gambles on him could be rewarded handsomely if he continues to develop.
20. *Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State: In terms of pure talent, Hankins deserves to be ranked among the top five prospects in the country. With light feet and shocking overall athleticism for a man listed at 6-3 and 320 pounds, Hankins can be a superstar. Unfortunately, his motor too often appears to in neutral rather than overdrive. After registering an impressive 11 tackles for loss in a breakout sophomore campaign, the Buckeye defender had just five this season, and just one sack. Despite his drop in production, Hankins announced on Dec. 10 his intention to enter the 2013 draft. Hankins clearly has talent, but so too did other notable Ohio State busts like Vernon Gholston and Dan Wilkinson.
21. Dion Jordan, DE/OLB, Oregon: At a rangy 6-6, 243 pounds, Jordan's length and explosiveness off the edge make him a matchup nightmare for opponents. The senior led the Ducks a year ago with 13 tackles for loss and 7.5 sacks but wasn't as productive as a senior (10.5 tackles for loss, five sacks). He is earning high marks from scouts who believe he could be one of this year's most exciting "hybrid" prospects as he's so athletic Oregon has asked him to line up as a quasi-cornerback at times.
22. Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan: While he lacks the name recognition of some of his peers, the 6-8, 305-pound Fisher ranks among the top senior offensive tackles in the country, performing well in showdowns against Iowa, Michigan State and against a surprisingly dangerous pass-rushing Toledo defense. Physical and athletic, Fisher will compete to be the first senior offensive tackle drafted come April.
23. Alex Okafor, DE, Texas: In today's NFL, defensive ends are largely graded on their ability to get after the quarterback. Okafor does not have the elite explosiveness off the snap that generally warrants top-20 consideration but his physicality and hand usage are top notch. Despite being the obvious focus of every opponent's blocking scheme since talented teammate Jackson Jeffcoat was lost for the season with a torn pectoral muscle, Okafor earned first-team All-Big 12 accolades for the second consecutive season with 60 tackles, including 11.5 tackles for loss and eight sacks.
24. *Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee: A junior-college transfer who has only played 12 games at the FBS level, it would be easy to simply look past the stellar play Patterson has put forth as a receiver, runner and kick returner for the Vols -- especially given that defenses have often focused on stopping teammate Justin Hunter first. While Patterson is a bit rough around the edges, the 6-3, 205 pounder is undeniably a playmaker. He averaged 154.83 all-purpose yards per game, easily the most of any player in the SEC.
25. *Sam Montgomery, DE, LSU: With an ideal combination of size (6-5, 260) and athleticism it should come as no surprise that Montgomery earned first-team All-SEC honors in 2012 with 32 tackles, 12 tackles for loss and seven sacks despite only starting nine games for the Tigers. Only a junior, Montgomery may elect to return for his senior year, as he did not enjoy the monster season many expected.
26. Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame: While perhaps lacking the breakaway speed that has helped Jimmy Graham and Rob Gronkowski emerge as instant NFL stars, Eifert's 6-5, 252-pound frame and excellent ball skills make him a legitimate mismatch. In today's pass-happy NFL, that could be enough to earn a late first-round selection.
27. Barrett Jones, OL, Alabama: Whether at tackle, guard or center, Jones has demonstrated he's dependable against elite competition. Saban has said on many occasions that Jones is one of the top players he has ever been around and has compared the 2011 Outland Trophy (nation's top interior lineman) winner to Bruce Matthews. Considering his versatility and dependability (not to mention his coach's impressive recommendation), Jones quietly ranks among the safest prospects in the draft.
28. *Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida: With so many talented defensive linemen in the SEC, Floyd hasn't generated the buzz that his talents warrant. Used predominately at defensive end a season ago, the 6-3, 303-pound junior was moved back inside to his more natural defensive tackle position this year and stepped up his play, earning first-team all-SEC honors with 41 tackles, including a team-high 11 tackles for loss.
29. Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia: Used in much the same fashion as a receiver, runner and returner as the Minnesota Vikings feature Percy Harvin, Austin has emerged as the top senior playmaker in the country. At just 5-9, 172 pounds, Austin may not have been viewed as worthy of first-round consideration a few years ago but in today's wide-open NFL that rewards mismatches, Austin could prove among the more valued commodities on draft day.
30. *Anthony Barr, OLB, UCLA: Other than BYU's Ansah, there may not be a player in the country whose NFL Draft stock has ascended as sharply this season as Barr's, a former running back who exploded this season in his first year at outside linebacker. Demonstrating his unique combination of size (6-4, 238) and explosiveness against Stanford in the Pac-12 Championship Game, Barr recorded 1.5 sacks, giving him the nation's lead with 13.5 quarterback takedowns to end the regular season.
31. *C.J. Mosley, OLB, Alabama: The knock on many of the Alabama linebackers under Saban in past years has been that while strong and tough, they've lacked agility and instincts in coverage. These, however, are precisely the traits that make Mosley unique. He may prove a better fit, in fact, outside in a predominately 4-3 alignment in the NFL rather than the 3-4 scheme in which he has played for the Tide. It was Mosley's quick hands, in fact, that led to the deflected pass and catch short of the end zone that ended Georgia's chance at beating Alabama in the SEC Championship Game.
32. *Barkevious Mingo, DE/OLB, LSU: Mingo has the frame (6-5, 240 pounds) and athleticism to warrant top-10 consideration but at this point he remains a largely unpolished product who relies on his natural tools rather than technique to make plays. Given Mingo's upside, it is easy to imagine him terrorizing NFL quarterbacks off the edge as a multidimensional defender. Considering Mingo's relatively pedestrian numbers (33 tackles, 5.5 tackles for loss, four sacks) this season, however, the junior might be better served returning to Baton Rouge for his senior season.
Just missed the cut
33. Oday Aboushi, OT, Virginia: Physical, aggressive blocker best suited to the right side in NFL.
34. *Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State: Lanky, physical cornerback best suited to a press scheme.
35. *Eric Reid, FS, LSU: Terrific in run support but questionable instincts, fluidity could make him a liability in coverage in the NFL.
36. Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma: Possessing the athleticism that once saw him line up at QB, TE and DE, Johnson has emerged as arguably the fastest-rising left tackle prospect in the country for the Sooners.
37. Kawann Short, DT, Purdue: Penetrating defensive tackle with a knack for making the big play.
38. *Kyle Van Noy, OLB, BYU: Athletic, explosive and natural playmaker (18.5 tackles for loss, 11.5 sacks), Van Noy is quite possibly the nation's most underrated prospect... until now.
39. Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State: Lanky ball-hawk who must prove his speed to warrant first round consideration.
40. *D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama: Road-grader who could remain at RT or be moved inside in NFL.
41. Montee Ball, RB, Wisconsin: Reminds me of Hall of Famer Curtis Martin for his balance, burst and reliability.
42. *Zach Ertz, TE, Stanford: More athletic than Notre Dame's Eifert but isn't as reliable a blocker.
43. Tyler Wilson, QB, Arkansas: Tough, strong-armed passer but history of head injuries could scare off teams.
44. Phillip Thomas, FS, Fresno State: A Thorpe Award candidate with an FBS-leading leading eight interceptions (including three he's returned for touchdowns), Thomas is the best safety most haven't heard of.
45. *DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson: Athletic and possessing excellent ball skills, Hopkins ranks as one of the better all-around wideouts in the country.
46. *Giovani Bernard, RB, North Carolina: Dazzling runner but size (5-10, 205) and durability are legitimate concerns.
47. Ryan Nassib, QB, Syracuse: True field general who could prove to be this year's Andy Dalton.
48. Terrance Williams, WR, Baylor: Ultra-productive but route-running needs polishing.
49. *Da'Rick Rodgers, WR, Tennessee Tech: Character red-flags galore but undeniably an elite talent.
50. Kenny Vaccaro, SS, Texas: Perhaps not the ball-hawk of former Texas DBs but is a steady, physical defender.
The beginning of the college bowl season represents a fascinating time for NFL scouts. Evaluators finally get the chance to see the top prospects match up against other elite players in highly competitive games on a big stage. Although these matchups certainly are kept in perspective due to the extended layoff following the end of the regular season, that won't stop scouts from assessing the play of these guys over the next few weeks.
With a full slate of games scheduled over the next seven days, here is a list of prospects I will be watching closely over the holiday break:
* Denotes underclassmen
Poinsettia Bowl: BYU vs. San Diego State
Thursday, Dec. 20, 8:00 p.m. ET, ESPN
Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU: Ansah has been one of the most talked about prospects in the NFL scouting community after a surprisingly impressive senior campaign. In less than three years, the native of Ghana has gone from a track athlete to a standout pass rusher with outstanding skills. Ansah finished the regular season with 13 tackles for loss, 4.5 sacks, eight pass breakups and six quarterback hurries. Most impressively, he has displayed remarkable hand skills and rush moves for a player with limited football experience. With another shot to showcase his talent and potential on a big stage, Ansah could continue to boost his status as one of the top prospects in the 2013 draft class.
Gavin Escobar*, TE, San Diego State: Escobar definitely is on scouts' radar after tallying 41 receptions for 519 yards and six scores. Those numbers are not only indicative of his impact as a playmaker in the Aztecs' passing game, but they speak to the outstanding pro potential that he has showcased over the course of his brief career. While he still possesses another year of eligibility, Escobar's tantalizing size, speed and athleticism have NFL evaluators closely monitoring his progress as a future pro.
Leon McFadden, CB, San Diego State: McFadden has dominated the competition in the Mountain West Conference for the past three years as one of the premier cornerbacks in the country. As an instinctive ball hawk with superb technique, McFadden excels at blanketing receivers in loose man-to-man coverage, but also displays the awareness to shine in zone. With few corners matching his overall skills, McFadden has a chance to climb up the charts with a good performance against the Cougars.
MAACO Bowl Las Vegas: Washington vs. Boise State
Saturday, Dec. 22, 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
D.J. Harper, RB, Boise State: Harper has a chance to build upon the momentum created by a solid senior campaign that resulted in the first 1,000-yard season of his career. He finished with six 100-yard games and 15 touchdowns in 2012, but scouts would like to see Harper display more explosiveness with the ball in his hands. Facing an aggressive Washington defense with a rugged front seven, Harper could boost his stock with a strong performance in Las Vegas.
Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington: Trufant has developed into one of the top cover corners in college football over his four-year career. He displays outstanding footwork and instincts, and plays with a swagger of a shutdown corner. Although scouts certainly laud his ability to stay close in coverage, Trufant needs to show more physicality on the edge by making solid tackles on ball carriers and receivers in space. Given Boise State's prolific offense, he should have plenty of chances to show evaluators he can develop into a physical corner as a pro.
Sheraton Hawaii Bowl: Fresno State vs. SMU
Monday, Dec. 24, 8:00 p.m. ET, ESPN
Phillip Thomas, S, Fresno State: Thomas has quietly enjoyed one of the best seasons of any prospect at the safety position. He led the nation with eight interceptions, including three pick-sixes, while displaying extraordinary ball skills as a deep middle player. Facing an SMU squad that loves to throw the ball all over the field, Thomas will get another opportunity to showcase his instincts, awareness and range on a big stage.
Little Caesars Bowl: Western Kentucky vs. Central Michigan
Wednesday, Dec. 26, 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan: Fisher has flown under the radar on the national scope, but the scouting community has been buzzing about his immense talent and potential. He finished the regular season regarded as the top senior offensive tackle prospect on several draft boards across the league. With a strong performance against the Hilltoppers to cap off a stellar senior season, Fisher can cement his status as a potential Day 1 prospect heading into the college all-star game circuit.
Military Bowl: San Jose State vs. Bowling Green
Thursday, Dec. 27, 3:00 p.m. ET, ESPN
Ryan Otten, TE, San Jose State: The recent trend of athletic tight ends dominating the pro game has NFL scouts scrambling for the next great playmaker at the position. Otten could fill the bill as a 6-foot-5, 245-pound pass catcher with outstanding hands and playmaking ability. He led all tight ends with an average of 16.0 yards per catch in 2012, and displayed the natural receiving skills that routinely lead to success at the next level.
Travis Johnson, DE, San Jose State: The WAC Defensive Player of the Year has been one of the most disruptive defenders in college football, posting 12 sacks and 19 tackles for loss during the regular season. Most impressively, he finished as the WAC's all-time sack leader (31) and sparked a unit that led the league in scoring defense and total defense. While Johnson's spectacular résumé would suggest that he has the goods to be a top pick, scouts still harbor questions about his strength and ability to win against NFL-caliber talent.
Chris Jones, DT, Bowling Green: Jones was named the MAC Defensive Player of the Year after recording 19 tackles for loss and 12.5 sacks, which ranked third in the nation. The 6-1, 292-pound defensive tackle lacks ideal size, but his disruptive skills have piqued the interest of scouts looking for interior pass rushers. With another opportunity to showcase his talents in front of evaluators, Jones could make a strong statement to be included in the conversation as a possible mid-to-late-round prospect.
Belk Bowl: Cincinnati vs. Duke
Thursday, Dec. 27, 6:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
Sean Renfree, QB, Duke: Renfree has generated quite the buzz in NFL scouting circles following a strong senior campaign that saw him lead the Blue Devils to their first bowl game since 1994. Renfree has not only displayed the leadership qualities that scouts covet, but he has shown a polished game that is ideally suited for the next level. Factoring in his impressive physical dimensions (6-4, 225 pounds) and above-average arm talent, Renfree could climb up the charts with another solid performance in the bowl game.
Conner Vernon and Jamison Crowder*, WR, Duke: The Blue Devils' explosive pass-catching tandem torched the ACC, combining for 145 receptions, 1,980 yards and 15 touchdowns. Vernon, who will finish his career as the ACC's all-time leader in receptions, is the crafty possession receiver that NFL offensive coordinators covet as a No. 3 wideout. Crowder, on the other hand, is a big-play specialist capable of impacting the game as a receiver/returner. With the Blue Devils poised to put the ball up 30-plus times against the Bearcats, Vernon and Crowder will get a chance to show off their polished games to scouts in attendance.
Holiday Bowl: Baylor vs. UCLA
Thursday, Dec. 27, 9:45 p.m. ET, ESPN
Terrance Williams, WR, Baylor: Williams has blossomed into one of the top receivers in the country, despite playing with a new quarterback (Nick Florence) following Robert Griffin III's departure to the NFL after last season. Williams has refined his route running, while displaying better consistency as a pass catcher and playmaker. NFL scouts view him as an early-round prospect, but the jury is still out on whether or not he could function as a No. 1 receiver on Sundays. However, a standout performance against a rugged Bruins defense could alter perceptions and solidify his status as a top-40 prospect.
Johnathan Franklin, RB, UCLA: Franklin was unquestionably one of the most productive runners in college football after gaining exactly 1,700 rushing yards in 2012. In addition, Franklin has shown impressive skills as a receiver out of the backfield, which makes him a hot commodity in the minds of NFL offensive coordinators. Given another opportunity to showcase a game that appears ready-made for the pros, Franklin can show evaluators that he is capable of functioning as a three-down back, despite his diminutive stature.
Anthony Barr*, OLB, UCLA: It has been quite a year for Barr. The former running back has become one of the most feared defenders in college football after only one season on the defensive side of the ball. Scouts are fascinated with his speed, athleticism and natural rush skills, and view him as a potential difference maker at the next level. Although he retains a year of eligibility, Barr already has the attention of NFL evaluators and could boost his stock with a spectacular showing against Baylor's high-octane offense.
Bucky Brooks will provide a list of players to watch in post-Dec. 27 bowl games in a future column.
Those guys aren't eligible for the 2013 draft.How would people tier the various likely players (skill players) coming out for the 2013 draft?I hear a lot of people here mention Lee and Watkins but don't hear them being talked about too often in national publications.
Remember guys, you have to be 3 years removed from high school graduation to be draft-eligible. That means either a player is a junior or redshirt sophomore. Lee and Watkins are "true" sophomores.How would people tier the various likely players (skill players) coming out for the 2013 draft?I hear a lot of people here mention Lee and Watkins but don't hear them being talked about too often in national publications.
O BOY O BOY O BOY... lets just Skip this year, 2014 is gonna be a bonanza ...It doesn't sound like Lache Seastrunk will be going pro this year. I currently have him as one of the top two draft-eligible RBs, but he's already calling his shot for the 2013 Heisman:http://espn.go.com/college-football/story/_/id/8771013/lache-seastrunk-baylor-bears-says-going-win-heisman-2013Next year's class could be pretty dirty with Seastrunk and Dyer added to Lee, Watkins, and whoever else emerges between now and April 2014.
Any news on Jawan Jamison?It doesn't sound like Lache Seastrunk will be going pro this year. I currently have him as one of the top two draft-eligible RBs, but he's already calling his shot for the 2013 Heisman:http://espn.go.com/college-football/story/_/id/8771013/lache-seastrunk-baylor-bears-says-going-win-heisman-2013Next year's class could be pretty dirty with Seastrunk and Dyer added to Lee, Watkins, and whoever else emerges between now and April 2014.
I'm well aware, hence me not even quoting those numbers and more focusing on the "play", which is not similar at all.'Xue said:Tate IS smaller than Patterson. Tate is only 6' 183, Patterson is 6'2" 205. But I think people were comparing they're roles/abilities/'JPeso said:I never thought Tate to be a "big guy". Tate plays much smaller than Patterson.He reminds me a little bit of Brandon Tate coming out of UNC. Big guys with good speed and great run after the catch and return abilities. I do think Patterson has a little bit more explosiveness though. If he runs well, I could see him going in the late 2nd round of the draft. And if it happens to be a good fantasy situation, I could see him as a late 1st round fantasy guy with legit upside. I'd also note that in addition to the 800 receiving yards, he also had over 300 rushing yards. That is a pretty legit statistical season for a first year guy. Though I agree not enough to put him on the Lee/Watkins level.Both of those guys dropped about a million yards in their true freshman seasons though.Patterson only had 778 yards this year as a JC transfer. And that's with a (somewhat) viable pro prospect slinging him the ball.I think he looks dynamic close to the Watkins/Lee level. Depending on where he goes (or maybe not) I could def see myself using the 1.1 on him. People smarter than me say he's too raw, I think he's the best in a class of weak skill position players.from the wonderful world of Twitter:
After conversation, Butch Jones says he thinks Cordarrelle Patterson 'definitely going to the NFL'
He is one of the more interesting prospects... pretty versatile, but not much D1 experience. Combine will be huge for him, but can't see him as a first day selection.
He only had one 100+ yard game all season. A 200+ yard effort against the mighty Troy.
I'm not going to say that he's a certain bust, but there's definitely a disconnect between what I see on the field and how high some people rate him. He's just a middle round NFL draft pick to me. That opinion is subject to change, but as of right now he's not someone that I plan on targeting.
A lot of people have thought I was crazy for predicting this about 4 months ago. Seems like a no brainier though. He's got fantastic physical tools and this is a fantastically poor QB class. Probably goes in the 1st round, despite maturity issues.'gump said:Tyler Bray declared.
Patterson is the most intriguing player in the entire draft from a skill position stand point, to me anyways. It's not often I want to see a player at the combine in a big way but I do with Patterson. I'm really curious as to what his raw athletic skills truly are. He looks the part of a starting WR in the NFL to me but he struggled to produce in an offense that I thought should have been conducive to good numbers for him. I agree he could be the best WR in this years group. Then again he could be one of the worst. I just don't have a strong view on him right now.I think he looks dynamic close to the Watkins/Lee level. Depending on where he goes (or maybe not) I could def see myself using the 1.1 on him. People smarter than me say he's too raw, I think he's the best in a class of weak skill position players.from the wonderful world of Twitter:After conversation, Butch Jones says he thinks Cordarrelle Patterson 'definitely going to the NFL'He is one of the more interesting prospects... pretty versatile, but not much D1 experience. Combine will be huge for him, but can't see him as a first day selection.
I'm not sure how fair this is. His statistics are way up from his previous seasons. 47 catches for 891 yards. Really not a bad tally for a 12 game season. I think he's an interesting prospect because, purely from a physical ability standpoint, he's the best WR in the draft. Resembles a Pro Bowl NFL WR with his combination of strength, height, and speed. He is a more impressive specimen than Hunter, Patterson, Woods, Allen, or anyone else in this draft.However, he is not a very instinctive player. Guys like Keenan Allen and Marquess Wilson have a lot more innate receiving ability. Davis appears to be more like a Quincy Morgan or Stephen Hill kind of guy. Basically a project. I think he has the potential to be a Vincent Jackson type of player if he can polish the edges. If not, he will probably end up more like Josh Morgan. A great athlete who isn't really a great football player.Sliders
Marcus Davis, WR, Virginia Tech: Scouts considered Davis the top receiver prospect from the senior class when the season began. He possesses mouth watering size (6-foot-3, 225 pounds) and speed (4.45-second 40) for the next level. He flashed skill, but has yet to pull together a complete game and showed a lot inconsistency on the field.
Breaking down the players to watch in the season's first batch of bowl games, as well as a projection as to where they'll be drafted.
Sheraton Hawaii Bowl: Fresno State vs SMU
Phillip Thomas, S, Fresno State: Thomas missed the entire 2011 campaign with a severe leg injury but returned with a vengeance this season. He proved himself to be the total package at safety, displaying top ball skills in coverage (8 interceptions) and toughness defending the run (82 tackles). Thomas elevated his draft stock at least two rounds with his play in 2012. 3rd Round
Zach Line, FB, SMU: The Mustangs' hard-charging ball carrier posted 1,207 rushing yards and was named Conference USA Offensive Player of the Year. He stood out in all areas of the game and proved a willingness to do the little things. Line projects to fullback for a West Coast offense. 4th/5th Round
Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State: David Carr's little brother is also displaying he has the skills to play in the NFL. The Fresno State junior possesses the arm strength to make all the passes and has shown consistent improvement the past two seasons. He rates as one of the better signal callers from the junior class. 3rd Round
Margus Hunt, DE, SMU: Hunt came to SMU from Estonia as a champion in the shot put and discus throw and also tried his hand at football. He blocked seven kicks as a freshman, and showed consistent improvement in his game the following three seasons. Hunt is a freak athlete still developing on the football field, and his best football is still ahead. 3rd/4th Round
Little Caesars: Central Michigan vs Western Kentucky
Eric Fisher, T, Central Michigan: The Chippewas' left tackle has made a big jump up draft boards the past four months. He's an athletic pass protector with the ability to be used in a zone blocking system that puts him in motion. Fisher does a solid job run blocking and will only improve as he physically matures and gets stronger. 2nd Round
Jahleel Addae, S, Central Michigan: Addae lacks the measurables NFL teams want in a starting safety, but he plays productive, smart football. The senior does not make mental mistakes and shows himself to be a tough run defender who can play over the slot receiver. Addae will also add value on special teams at the next level. 6th/7th Round
Quanterus Smith, DE-OLB, Western Kentucky: Smith was moving up draft boards before being sidelined with a knee injury late in November. He's an athletic pass rusher with the ability to make plays in backside pursuit. Smith consistently disrupts the action behind the line of scrimmage, a skill which has NFL scouts intrigued. 6th/7th Round
Military Bowl: Bowling Green vs San Jose State
Ryan Otten, TE, San Jose State: Otten comes off a slightly disappointing senior campaign, but is still the type of tight end NFL teams desire. He's a natural pass catcher with excellent size (6-foot-5 and 245 pounds) and the ability to create mismatches in the secondary. Otten needs to improve his overall game, but comes with a good amount of upside potential. 4th/5th Round
David Quessenberry, T, San Jose State: The Spartans' starting left tackle since his sophomore season, Quessenberry is a quick-footed lineman who blocks with sound fundamentals. He consistently shuts down quick, speedy pass rushers, but must improve his run blocking and complete his game. 6th Round
Chris Jones, DT, Bowling Green: Jones' statistics are tough to beat, as the all-Conference defender has a combined 21 sacks and 33 tackles for loss the past two seasons. He's an explosive but slightly undersized interior lineman who projects as a three-technique tackle for the next level. 6th Round
Belk Bowl: Cincinnati vs Duke
Conner Vernon, WR, Duke: Vernon is neither big or fast, but he is incredibly productive and reliable. He plays smart, tough football and always finds a way to make the reception. Vernon has the skills and substance to be a third receiver at the next level and should lend a hand on special teams. 4th Round
Greg Blair, LB, Cincinnati: Blair did not register on the scouting radar at the start of the season but has turned heads after a dominant senior campaign. He ended the year topping the Cincinnati defense in tackles, tackles for loss and was among the leaders in pass defenses. He's a complete linebacker who plays with infectious intensity and will be a steal on the draft's final day. 5th Round
Deven Drane, S, Cincinnati: Drane has been a consistent player in the Bearcats secondary the past two seasons. The junior is well-versed in all areas of the game, displaying ball skills in coverage as well as toughness defending the run. 6th Round
Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl: Baylor vs UCLA
Terrance Williams, WR, Baylor: Williams was the player on the Baylor offense opponents unsuccessfully tried to stop. He displayed better-than-advertised playing speed which complimented his dependable hands. Williams now ranks him as one of the better receivers available in April's draft. 2nd Round
Anthony Barr, LB, UCLA: The former fullback made a quick transition to linebacker during his first year at the position and impacted the Bruins defense all season long. Barr showed himself to be a relentless pass rusher (13.5 sacks) and a constant nuisance behind the line of scrimmage (20.5 tackles for loss). He still needs work to complete his game, but the junior offers outstanding potential for the future. 2nd Round
Johnathan Franklin, RB, UCLA: Franklin is another UCLA prospect coming off a career campaign. He displays versatility in his ball carrying beside the ability to produce as a pass catcher. Franklin lacks the measurables scouts want in a feature ball carrier but has the tools to produce as a situational running back. 3rd Round
AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl: Ohio vs La-Monroe
No draftable prospects
Russell Athletic Bowl: Rutgers vs Virginia Tech
Logan Ryan, CB, Rutgers: The junior cornerback was dominant in all areas this season and looked NFL-ready. Quarterbacks who challenged Ryan came out on the short end, as he possesses top ball skills and the football instincts to match. Ryan has a polished game and should compete for a starting job in the NFL next season if he enters the draft. 1st/2nd Round
Jawan Jamison, RB, Rutgers: Jamison is another Rutgers underclassman with top tools for the next level. His game is justifiably compared to former Scarlet Knight star Ray Rice, as Jamison is slightly undersized but quick, tough and instinctive. He performs well in all areas of the position and would inject much-needed talent into a sparse running back class if he enters the 2013 draft. 2nd Round
Logan Thomas, QB, Virginia Tech: Thomas entered the season with high expectations but struggled for most of the year. He misread defenses, forced passes and made a lot of errant throws. The consensus is Thomas would be best served returning to the Hokies for his senior season rather than entering the draft. 3rd Round
Meineke Car Care: Minnesota vs Texas Tech
Ra'Shede Hageman, DT, Minnesota: Hageman is a former tight end who's coming off a career campaign in which he started 12 games. He's a large, athletic specimen who makes plays in the backfield or in pursuit. The junior is expected to enter the draft and is a terrific developmental prospect with the ability to start at several spots on the defensive line. 3rd/4th Round
Mike Rallis, LB, Minnesota: Rallis has been a consistent defender the past three seasons and a linebacker who plays with a non-stop motor. He's a smart prospect who rarely makes mental errors and plays within himself. Rallis is most likely a backup at the next level and someone who should stand out on special teams. 7th Round
LaAdrian Waddle, T, Texas Tech: Starting the past three seasons, Waddle has been a consistent blocker on the Red Raiders offensive line. He's a massive lineman who has been durable and versatile. Waddle has an NFL body and the ability to successfully fill a roster spot as a utility lineman. 7th Round
Bell Helicopter Armed Forces: Air Force vs Rice
Vance McDonald, TE, Rice: Despite missing three games due to injury this season, McDonald remained one of the top pass catching threats for Rice. He measures 6-5 and 260 pounds and has been compared to former Owls star James Casey, now catching passes for the Houston Texans. McDonald displayed improvement in all areas of his game this season, and scouts feel he offers starting potential at the next level. 5th Round
New Era Pinstripe: Syracuse vs West Virginia
Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia: Smith comes off a sensational campaign in which he showed improvement in every area of his game. The big-armed signal caller matured as a leader, threw with better accuracy and made good decisions throughout the season. Smith now stands as the top quarterback available in the 2013 NFL Draft and positioned himself as a top-12 selection. 1st Round
Tavon Austin, WR-RS, West Virginia: Few prospects in April's draft offer the dynamic, game-breaking ability Austin brings to the field. He's a home-run-hitting receiver with reliable hands, as well as a nose for the end zone (12 receiving touchdowns last season). Austin also alters the momentum of games returning punts or running an occasional reverse. His lack of height (5-8 1/2) limits Austin, but his speed and versatility are enticing. 2nd Round
Ryan Nassib, QB, Syracuse: Nassib is ascending draft boards and quickly becoming one of the hot names in the scouting community. He's a terrific leader on the field with the arm strength necessary to make all the throws. Nassib makes good decisions in the pocket, squeezes the most from the talent surrounding him and has most believing he'll have a productive NFL career. 2nd Round
Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl: Arizona State vs Navy
Will Sutton, DT, Arizona State: Despite struggling with a knee injury during the second half of the season, Sutton totaled an eye-popping 10.5 sacks and 20 tackles for loss besides breaking up 5 passes. The junior is undersized, but uses his natural leverage and quick first step to blow by opponents. Sutton projects as a three-technique tackle at the next level. 3rd Round
Brandon MaGee, LB, Arizona State: MaGee rebounded from the Achilles injury that kept him on the sidelines in 2011 to have a successful senior campaign. He showed a well-rounded game this year, leading the Sun Devils with 104 tackles. MaGee plays with terrific instinct and awareness and will do well in a backup role at the next level. 7th Round
Rashad Ross, WR-RS, Arizona State: Ross comes off a disappointing season, but his versatility and big-play ability are enticing. He averaged over 14 yards on 33 receptions and 25.6 yards on 15 kick returns. Ross offers potential as a fifth receiver/return specialist for the next level. 7th Round
Valero Alamo Bowl: Oregon State vs Texas
Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas: Vaccaro has been a steady player on the Texas defense since his sophomore season. He offers a complete game and the ability to cover receivers across the middle of the field or defend the run. Vaccaro could be selected much earlier than many expect with a good performance in the Alamo Bowl then solid workouts before the draft. 2nd Round
Markus Wheaton, WR, Oregon State: Wheaton comes off a career season which has steadily pushed him up draft boards. He's a reliable wideout with big-play ability and a nose for the end zone. Wheaton averaged just under 14 yards on 88 receptions, 11 of which resulted in touchdowns. He has potential as a slot receiver and could eventually develop into a No. 2 wideout in the NFL. 3rd Round
Alex Okafor, DL, Texas: Okafor does not grade out well in the areas of size, speed and athleticism, but is a prospect who dominates once the ball is snapped. He's relentless in pursuit of the action and was a disruptive force throughout his college career. Creative defensive coaches willing to overlook Okafor's poor measurables could end up getting a very good ball player next April. 3rd/4th Round
Jordan Poyer, CB, Oregon State: Poyer is another whose outstanding football skills trump his very average athleticism. Showing terrific instincts and ball skills on the field, Poyer rarely makes mental mistakes or gets beat. He lacks the speed teams want in a starting cornerback, but will make a fine addition in nickel packages. 3rd/4th Round
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl: Michigan State vs TCU
Dion Sims, TE, Michigan State: Sims is a complete tight end and a junior prospect who excites scouts. He has the size of an offensive lineman and the strength to annihilate opponents at the point of attack. Sims is not a true downfield threat as a pass catcher, but reliable and athletic when the ball is thrown his way. 2nd Round
Le'Veon Bell, RB, Michigan State: Bell is a large ball carrier with surprising short-area quickness and the ability to make defenders miss. He grinds opponents down on the inside, running through tackles or around piles. Bell also holds his own as a pass catcher out of the backfield and offers starting potential for a power running offense. 3rd Round
Jason Verrett, CB, TCU: The All-American cornerback made opposing quarterbacks think twice of throwing in his direction. The junior finished the year with 6 interceptions and another 14 pass break-ups. Verrett does not possess starters size for an NFL corner, but will be a very solid nickel back. 4th Round
I'm surprised that Fresno State RB Robbie Rouse didn't even get a mention. He's rushed for over 3000 yards in the past two seasons combined after topping 1100 yards as a sophomore. He also caught 63 passes this year. I don't think he's an elite prospect, but I'll be surprised if he goes undrafted.NFL Draft prospects to watch in bowl games: Part 2
Tony Pauline
Breaking down the players to watch in the season's first batch of bowl games, as well as a projection as to where they'll be drafted.
Sheraton Hawaii Bowl: Fresno State vs SMU
Phillip Thomas, S, Fresno State: Thomas missed the entire 2011 campaign with a severe leg injury but returned with a vengeance this season. He proved himself to be the total package at safety, displaying top ball skills in coverage (8 interceptions) and toughness defending the run (82 tackles). Thomas elevated his draft stock at least two rounds with his play in 2012. 3rd Round
Zach Line, FB, SMU: The Mustangs' hard-charging ball carrier posted 1,207 rushing yards and was named Conference USA Offensive Player of the Year. He stood out in all areas of the game and proved a willingness to do the little things. Line projects to fullback for a West Coast offense. 4th/5th Round
Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State: David Carr's little brother is also displaying he has the skills to play in the NFL. The Fresno State junior possesses the arm strength to make all the passes and has shown consistent improvement the past two seasons. He rates as one of the better signal callers from the junior class. 3rd Round
Margus Hunt, DE, SMU: Hunt came to SMU from Estonia as a champion in the shot put and discus throw and also tried his hand at football. He blocked seven kicks as a freshman, and showed consistent improvement in his game the following three seasons. Hunt is a freak athlete still developing on the football field, and his best football is still ahead. 3rd/4th Round
These two posts really make me wonder about this guy's views and where he gets his info. Hageman has said he is no longer entering the draft. It was a very definitive statement. He said after hearing where he was likely to go, he is not going into the draft and returning for senior year to try to improve his position. That happened weeks ago. Yet this guy is still regurgitating info even older than that which is no longer true.As for Rallis, I would say he was the worst starter on what was one of the worst defenses in the nation. He is a terrible, terrible player. He was a senior captain and a "good guy," so he would always receive some lip service from the coaching staff. Is that what Pauline is basing his info on? I mean, if Rallis is drafted, everyone associated with that NFL team's front-office staff should be fired.NFL Draft prospects to watch in bowl games: Part 2
Tony Pauline
Breaking down the players to watch in the season's first batch of bowl games, as well as a projection as to where they'll be drafted.
Meineke Car Care: Minnesota vs Texas Tech
Ra'Shede Hageman, DT, Minnesota: Hageman is a former tight end who's coming off a career campaign in which he started 12 games. He's a large, athletic specimen who makes plays in the backfield or in pursuit. The junior is expected to enter the draft and is a terrific developmental prospect with the ability to start at several spots on the defensive line. 3rd/4th Round
Mike Rallis, LB, Minnesota: Rallis has been a consistent defender the past three seasons and a linebacker who plays with a non-stop motor. He's a smart prospect who rarely makes mental errors and plays within himself. Rallis is most likely a backup at the next level and someone who should stand out on special teams. 7th Round
I love Rouse as much as anyone and I've watched a lot of him, but I think ultimately he may not have the enough athleticism or the next level. I see his draft stock similar to Bobby Rainey, who was undrafted.I'm surprised that Fresno State RB Robbie Rouse didn't even get a mention. He's rushed for over 3000 yards in the past two seasons combined after topping 1100 yards as a sophomore. He also caught 63 passes this year. I don't think he's an elite prospect, but I'll be surprised if he goes undrafted.NFL Draft prospects to watch in bowl games: Part 2
Tony Pauline
Breaking down the players to watch in the season's first batch of bowl games, as well as a projection as to where they'll be drafted.
Sheraton Hawaii Bowl: Fresno State vs SMU
Phillip Thomas, S, Fresno State: Thomas missed the entire 2011 campaign with a severe leg injury but returned with a vengeance this season. He proved himself to be the total package at safety, displaying top ball skills in coverage (8 interceptions) and toughness defending the run (82 tackles). Thomas elevated his draft stock at least two rounds with his play in 2012. 3rd Round
Zach Line, FB, SMU: The Mustangs' hard-charging ball carrier posted 1,207 rushing yards and was named Conference USA Offensive Player of the Year. He stood out in all areas of the game and proved a willingness to do the little things. Line projects to fullback for a West Coast offense. 4th/5th Round
Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State: David Carr's little brother is also displaying he has the skills to play in the NFL. The Fresno State junior possesses the arm strength to make all the passes and has shown consistent improvement the past two seasons. He rates as one of the better signal callers from the junior class. 3rd Round
Margus Hunt, DE, SMU: Hunt came to SMU from Estonia as a champion in the shot put and discus throw and also tried his hand at football. He blocked seven kicks as a freshman, and showed consistent improvement in his game the following three seasons. Hunt is a freak athlete still developing on the football field, and his best football is still ahead. 3rd/4th Round
Yea, you might be right. Rainey is not a bad comp for him. But Rouse has been doing it at a higher level of competition and really gets no love in the media.I love Rouse as much as anyone and I've watched a lot of him, but I think ultimately he may not have the enough athleticism or the next level. I see his draft stock similar to Bobby Rainey, who was undrafted.I'm surprised that Fresno State RB Robbie Rouse didn't even get a mention. He's rushed for over 3000 yards in the past two seasons combined after topping 1100 yards as a sophomore. He also caught 63 passes this year. I don't think he's an elite prospect, but I'll be surprised if he goes undrafted.NFL Draft prospects to watch in bowl games: Part 2
Tony Pauline
Breaking down the players to watch in the season's first batch of bowl games, as well as a projection as to where they'll be drafted.
Sheraton Hawaii Bowl: Fresno State vs SMU
Phillip Thomas, S, Fresno State: Thomas missed the entire 2011 campaign with a severe leg injury but returned with a vengeance this season. He proved himself to be the total package at safety, displaying top ball skills in coverage (8 interceptions) and toughness defending the run (82 tackles). Thomas elevated his draft stock at least two rounds with his play in 2012. 3rd Round
Zach Line, FB, SMU: The Mustangs' hard-charging ball carrier posted 1,207 rushing yards and was named Conference USA Offensive Player of the Year. He stood out in all areas of the game and proved a willingness to do the little things. Line projects to fullback for a West Coast offense. 4th/5th Round
Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State: David Carr's little brother is also displaying he has the skills to play in the NFL. The Fresno State junior possesses the arm strength to make all the passes and has shown consistent improvement the past two seasons. He rates as one of the better signal callers from the junior class. 3rd Round
Margus Hunt, DE, SMU: Hunt came to SMU from Estonia as a champion in the shot put and discus throw and also tried his hand at football. He blocked seven kicks as a freshman, and showed consistent improvement in his game the following three seasons. Hunt is a freak athlete still developing on the football field, and his best football is still ahead. 3rd/4th Round
He has a decent chance to be the #1 back on my board when all is said and done. I think he's more of a 2nd round talent than an obvious 1st rounder, but this is not a great RB crop. Lacy, Bernard, and Taylor are my current top 3 among the guys who are likely to declare. Lacy probably has the best size/speed ratio of the top backs in the draft and might be the safest projection for a decent NFL career. Bernard is the best pass catcher in the group. I could see him sneaking into the late 1st with good workouts if a team in that range has the need. He would add a lot of value to a team like the Packers or Colts. He reminds me a bit of DeAngelo Williams. Maybe not quite as strong and explosive, but a similar type of back. Very versatile. His receiving skills should give him a nice boost in PPR. Question marks for me would be size and durability. He's not the biggest guy and he's had some knocks already. I'm really curious to see his weight/40/jumps at the combine in a couple months.
If Kendall Wright can go 1st round, Bailey should as well.
Fair comparison, but this year's WR class is deeper. A lot deeper. Wright got inflated last year because of positional premium, Bailey won't benefit this year. Both are going to be starters in the league though.If Kendall Wright can go 1st round, Bailey should as well.
Sounds like Wright's profile to me.Bailey is no Wright. Solid player, but in NFL terms he has no special qualities. He doesn't project as anything more than a #2 WR in the NFL and is not likely to go much higher than the late 2nd-early 3rd round, IMO. He could have some value as a Decker type opposite an elite #1, but he has no star qualities of his own.
Nah. Wright is a lot more explosive. Very athletic base. That's why he went where he did. Bailey won't sniff the first round.Sounds like Wright's profile to me.Bailey is no Wright. Solid player, but in NFL terms he has no special qualities. He doesn't project as anything more than a #2 WR in the NFL and is not likely to go much higher than the late 2nd-early 3rd round, IMO. He could have some value as a Decker type opposite an elite #1, but he has no star qualities of his own.