EBF
Footballguy
I have a lot of free time at work today, so I think I'll crank out some dynasty rankings. Here are the QBs:
GREEN means I think this player is a good value at his ADP.
RED means I think this player is a bad value at his ADP and should be avoided.
1. Tom Brady - You can' take anyone else at QB1, but he's being overdrafted on the basis of a career year. Minimal, if any, difference between him and Manning.
2. Peyton Manning - Money in the bank. Injury doesn't look like a serious concern.
3. Ben Roethlisberger - Third best QB in the NFL. Should be good for a long time.
4. Tony Romo - Good QB. What happens when Owens hits the wall?
5. Drew Brees - As long as he keeps throwing a ton of passes, he'll keep being a top FF QB. The Saints are stacked in the passing game.
6. Carson Palmer - Has regressed since his breakout season, but should still be considered a top dynasty QB.
7. Jay Cutler - Early stats are encouraging. At worst he should hang around the league and give you fringe top 10 numbers for the next few years.
8. Donovan McNabb - Has been one of the better FF QBs of the past decade and still has some gas in the tank.
9. Matt Hasselbeck - Not flashy and getting older, but you can start him and feel okay about it.
10. Marc Bulger - Slipped in 2007 and may never again match his best seasons, but is still a viable option as a cheap QB1.
11. David Garrard - Quietly had a great 2007, but this is a run first team and the WR options are spotty.
12. Aaron Rodgers - The Packers seemed plenty willing to hand the reigns of their offense to this former first round pick. He's smart and accurate. An ideal QB2 because of his upside.
13. Matt Schaub - Has been solid since entering the league and had a good first year as a starter. Could be the next Hasselbeck.
14. Derek Anderson - Showed a lot of promise, but tailed off in the second half. Has always been a poor decision maker with high INT numbers. Accuracy is suspect.
15. Philip Rivers - Borderline starter with limited upside and downside. Best viewed as a backup FF QB.
16. Eli Manning - Super Bowl win has seemingly erased years of mediocrity from the minds of FF owners. Don't buy the hype yet.
17. Trent Edwards - Smart, confident, and accurate. Rookie stats were mediocre, but there's a lot to like despite the system.
18. Brady Quinn - Has a chance to be good and will be starting somewhere within the next 1-3 years.
19. Matt Leinart - Brutal in 2007 before getting hurt. He's still young though and the offense has potential. 2008 will be critical.
20. Vince Young - Young has a lot of potential, but until he shows something as a passer, I would keep him firmly among the dynasty QB2 ranks.
21. Joe Flacco - Rookie QBs are a total crapshoot. I like Flacco's upside more than Ryan's.
22. Matt Ryan - Top pick is worth a gamble as a QB2 or QB3. You could get a star or a total bust.
23. JaMarcus Russell - I have very little faith in his ability and the Raider organization as a whole, but his upside is enormous if he somehow puts it together.
24. Jason Campbell - Not bad, but hasn't provided many reasons for optimism. It doesn't seem like he'll ever be better than mediocre.
25. Tarvaris Jackson - Hasn't been impressive so far, but the staff seems content to give him a chance. Has some upside. Don't get your hopes up though.
26. Jake Delhomme - Has more value in redraft leagues, but is a cheap fringe QB1 option if you don't want to pay a premium for youth.
27. Brett Favre - If all you care about is 2008, he might be able to help you. Only draft him if he might start for you. He's worthless alonside an elite young QB.
28. Kevin Kolb - High pick should get a shot somewhere eventually.
29. Chad Henne - Nudged aside by Pennington, but has a chance to be the QB of the future.
30. Jon Kitna - Like a poor man's Delhomme or Favre. Can start for you in a pinch, but the hook could come at any moment.
Worth a look:
Sage Rosenfels - If Schaub should falter, Rosenfels could step in and produce QB2 numbers. May get a starting shot somewhere eventually.
Drew Stanton - Former 2nd round pick might be the heir to Kitna's INT-encrusted throne.
Matt Moore - Probably won't do anything, but you never know. Delhomme is getting long in the tooth.
Troy Smith - Always looked pretty good in college and may get an opportunity to prove himself.
Kevin O'Connell - Will be groomed for the backup role in New England. For now he's nearly worthless, but he could be something in a couple years.
Brian Brohm - If Rodgers flops, Brohm will get a chance to guide a dangerous offense.
Kellen Clemens - Early results were bad. Could resurface post-Favre.
GREEN means I think this player is a good value at his ADP.
RED means I think this player is a bad value at his ADP and should be avoided.
1. Tom Brady - You can' take anyone else at QB1, but he's being overdrafted on the basis of a career year. Minimal, if any, difference between him and Manning.
2. Peyton Manning - Money in the bank. Injury doesn't look like a serious concern.
3. Ben Roethlisberger - Third best QB in the NFL. Should be good for a long time.
4. Tony Romo - Good QB. What happens when Owens hits the wall?
5. Drew Brees - As long as he keeps throwing a ton of passes, he'll keep being a top FF QB. The Saints are stacked in the passing game.
6. Carson Palmer - Has regressed since his breakout season, but should still be considered a top dynasty QB.
7. Jay Cutler - Early stats are encouraging. At worst he should hang around the league and give you fringe top 10 numbers for the next few years.
8. Donovan McNabb - Has been one of the better FF QBs of the past decade and still has some gas in the tank.
9. Matt Hasselbeck - Not flashy and getting older, but you can start him and feel okay about it.
10. Marc Bulger - Slipped in 2007 and may never again match his best seasons, but is still a viable option as a cheap QB1.
11. David Garrard - Quietly had a great 2007, but this is a run first team and the WR options are spotty.
12. Aaron Rodgers - The Packers seemed plenty willing to hand the reigns of their offense to this former first round pick. He's smart and accurate. An ideal QB2 because of his upside.
13. Matt Schaub - Has been solid since entering the league and had a good first year as a starter. Could be the next Hasselbeck.
14. Derek Anderson - Showed a lot of promise, but tailed off in the second half. Has always been a poor decision maker with high INT numbers. Accuracy is suspect.
15. Philip Rivers - Borderline starter with limited upside and downside. Best viewed as a backup FF QB.
16. Eli Manning - Super Bowl win has seemingly erased years of mediocrity from the minds of FF owners. Don't buy the hype yet.
17. Trent Edwards - Smart, confident, and accurate. Rookie stats were mediocre, but there's a lot to like despite the system.
18. Brady Quinn - Has a chance to be good and will be starting somewhere within the next 1-3 years.
19. Matt Leinart - Brutal in 2007 before getting hurt. He's still young though and the offense has potential. 2008 will be critical.
20. Vince Young - Young has a lot of potential, but until he shows something as a passer, I would keep him firmly among the dynasty QB2 ranks.
21. Joe Flacco - Rookie QBs are a total crapshoot. I like Flacco's upside more than Ryan's.
22. Matt Ryan - Top pick is worth a gamble as a QB2 or QB3. You could get a star or a total bust.
23. JaMarcus Russell - I have very little faith in his ability and the Raider organization as a whole, but his upside is enormous if he somehow puts it together.
24. Jason Campbell - Not bad, but hasn't provided many reasons for optimism. It doesn't seem like he'll ever be better than mediocre.
25. Tarvaris Jackson - Hasn't been impressive so far, but the staff seems content to give him a chance. Has some upside. Don't get your hopes up though.
26. Jake Delhomme - Has more value in redraft leagues, but is a cheap fringe QB1 option if you don't want to pay a premium for youth.
27. Brett Favre - If all you care about is 2008, he might be able to help you. Only draft him if he might start for you. He's worthless alonside an elite young QB.
28. Kevin Kolb - High pick should get a shot somewhere eventually.
29. Chad Henne - Nudged aside by Pennington, but has a chance to be the QB of the future.
30. Jon Kitna - Like a poor man's Delhomme or Favre. Can start for you in a pinch, but the hook could come at any moment.
Worth a look:
Sage Rosenfels - If Schaub should falter, Rosenfels could step in and produce QB2 numbers. May get a starting shot somewhere eventually.
Drew Stanton - Former 2nd round pick might be the heir to Kitna's INT-encrusted throne.
Matt Moore - Probably won't do anything, but you never know. Delhomme is getting long in the tooth.
Troy Smith - Always looked pretty good in college and may get an opportunity to prove himself.
Kevin O'Connell - Will be groomed for the backup role in New England. For now he's nearly worthless, but he could be something in a couple years.
Brian Brohm - If Rodgers flops, Brohm will get a chance to guide a dangerous offense.
Kellen Clemens - Early results were bad. Could resurface post-Favre.
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