johnnycakes
Footballguy
I see the lawyers read RS."Our trust was misplaced"
wtf?
I see the lawyers read RS."Our trust was misplaced"
wtf?
Fair points. It is an unknowable number. So let's just say that I based on what I've read I think I had a pretty reasonable basis to say that there are "so few" false rape claims, relative to the number of valid ones.There's also a "consensus" on the statistic that one in five women is sexually assaulted in college, but that number is best understood as an urban legend as well.Probably, but there seems to be an academic consensus on the number, and DOJ agrees, according to the wikipedia entry and its citations.Without digging into any of the articles cited in this piece, I walked away from the first three pages completely convinced that "2%-8%" is junk science. The actual number of false or mistaken (two totally different things BTW) accusations is inherently unknowable.2-8% is usually the reported figure. I have no reason to doubt it and have never really seen anyone challenge it.
Regardless of whether that number is accurate or not, I think my initial statement that there are "so few" false claims was reasonable. I'm pretty confident that the number of false claims is a small fraction of the total number of claims.
I'll go ahead and be blunt on this one. The academics who compile statistics on these sorts of issues tend to come from fields where rigorous quantitative analysis is not in surplus, but ideological agendas are. So when somebody in Criminal Justice (or whatever) says "Well, police say that 41% of complaints are false, but what do the police know?" and proceed to come up with a figure of 1/20 that amount, I am incredibly skeptical. Especially when we're talking about a topic that requires mind-reading to have any level of certainty.
Edit: That's not to say that the 41% number is right either. No matter how you do this, you are going to have massive tradeoffs of Type 1 and Type 2 errors. If you classify every report that simply causes a jaded detective's BS detector to go off, you're going to get a number that's probably unreasonably high. And if your standard is "proven without a doubt to be false," you're going to get what is likely an unreasonably low number.
None? Will that ever happen? of course not. But the media needs to do their due diligence before they publish stories like this. It's not just a harmless mistake if they are wrong. It can literally ruin lives and reputations.two V-Tech fans?They should probably just burn down the entire campus immediately as well.The president of UVA needs to resign immeditely as well.Both the report and "Jackie" need to be prosecuted. This type of thing sets back awareness and perception of these types of issues an damages the reputation of future actual assault victims who bring legitimate claims.![]()
just so we're on the same page; what would be an acceptable number of false claims?I was responding more to your "there are so few false claims of rape". I think there are more than you think. Tawana Braley is another high profile case.Yes, that was awful too.FixedMy thoughts exactly. There are so few false claims of rape, ifUgh... even more horrific than the story as this really sets back so many who have legitimately been assaulted. Just awful.onea second of the most high-profile cases (Duke lacrosse team being the first) turns out to be fictional it would be a tragedy both for the falsely accused frat members and the rape victims who will end up facing a lot of skepticism as a result. What a disaster.
Take it easy on the "fixed" shtick, though. Nothing in my post says that this would be the first ever high profile false rape accusation.
And no, I am not defending rapists. I would love for all rapists to tried and convicted. I would also like for false charges of rape to go away and not ruin lives and reputations.
yeah, we've dealt with that all too often.None? Will that ever happen? of course not. But the media needs to do their due diligence before they publish stories like this. It's not just a harmless mistake if they are wrong. It can literally ruin lives and reputations.
That's fair.So let's just say that I based on what I've read I think I had a pretty reasonable basis to say that there are "so few" false rape claims, relative to the number of valid ones.
Over the past two weeks the Virginia Alpha Chapter of Phi Kappa Psi has been working tirelessly and openly with the Charlottesville Police Department as they investigate the allegations detailed in the November 19, 2014 Rolling Stone article. We continue to be shocked by the allegations and saddened by this story. We have no knowledge of these alleged acts being committed at our house or by our members. Anyone who commits any form of sexual assault, wherever or whenever, should be identified and brought to justice.
In tandem with the Charlottesville Police Department’s investigation, the Chapter’s undergraduate members have made efforts to contribute with internal fact-finding. Our initial doubts as to the accuracy of the article have only been strengthened as alumni and undergraduate members have delved deeper. Given the ongoing nature of the criminal investigation, which we fully support, we do not feel it would be appropriate at this time to provide more than the following:
First, the 2012 roster of employees at the Aquatic and Fitness Center does not list a Phi Kappa Psi as a lifeguard. As far as we have determined, no member of our fraternity worked there in any capacity during this time period.
Second, the Chapter did not have a date function or a social event during the weekend of September 28th, 2012.
Third, our Chapter's pledging and initiation periods, as required by the University and Inter-Fraternity Council, take place solely in the spring semester and not in the fall semester. We document the initiation of new members at the end of each spring. Moreover, no ritualized sexual assault is part of our pledging or initiation process. This notion is vile, and we vehemently refute this claim.
It is our hope that this information will encourage people who may know anything relevant to this case to contact the Charlottesville Police Department as soon as possible. In the meantime, we will continue to assist investigators in whatever way we can.
A buddy of mine in college sat in jail for over three months due to a consensual experience. The girl decided two days later, after he did not want anything long term, that she was raped (his first time by the way). When it was time to actually go to court she could not remember what happened. He never fully rebounded, dropping out of school and being forced to move back home. This story pisses me off.I have the feeling that false rape claims are pretty common.
When I was in the Army my roommate was accused of rape by a girl he was seeing but had stopped seeing. She accused him of raping her at X time in our room, not realizing that I had stayed in town over that weekend (it was a long weekend) and I was in the room when she claimed it occurred. My roommate was already in the base jail having been arrested by CID. My testimony freed him the though. Nothing happened to his accuser... and this was apparently the 3rd dude she has accused of rape during her brief time in the military thus far.
Not contacting the accused is the focus of the RS apology, but it appears the main "facts" in the story that are now refuted is the date of the party, floorplan at the frat as described in the story, and the status of one of the main culprits, now said to not be a member of the frat. The difficulty with fact-checking a story like this is that you need to confirm the big things but also the seemingly small details like like where a staircase runs in a building. If your story mentions that a kid's hair is brown, but it turns out to be black, that discrepancy will often call the entire underlying story into question. People overreact to these things. In this case, many had the frat boys drawn and quartered based on the initial article. Now, everyone is assuming the story is a complete fabrication, nothing happened and want to hang the accuser, all because the date was wrong and a few other factual assertions have been disputed. But of course its still possible that a crime was committed.McGarnicle said:RS didn't even contact the accused before running the story??? Pretty fundamental error in "journalism" there...though really they are less a news source and more left-wing activist anyway.
Yup. Penalty should be double if you work in the criminal justice system.Walking Boot said:I've always felt the penalty for perjury should be the maximum sentence of the crime falsely alleged.
Of course, but for a crime to have been committed it sounds like it would have had to have been at a different frat entirely. And in a different semester. And a different weekend. And, and, and.Not contacting the accused is the focus of the RS apology, but it appears the main "facts" in the story that are now refuted is the date of the party, floorplan at the frat as described in the story, and the status of one of the main culprits, now said to not be a member of the frat. The difficulty with fact-checking a story like this is that you need to confirm the big things but also the seemingly small details like like where a staircase runs in a building. If your story mentions that a kid's hair is brown, but it turns out to be black, that discrepancy will often call the entire underlying story into question. People overreact to these things. In this case, many had the frat boys drawn and quartered based on the initial article. Now, everyone is assuming the story is a complete fabrication, nothing happened and want to hang the accuser, all because the date was wrong and a few other factual assertions have been disputed. But of course its still possible that a crime was committed.McGarnicle said:RS didn't even contact the accused before running the story??? Pretty fundamental error in "journalism" there...though really they are less a news source and more left-wing activist anyway.
No SJW can afford to let a crisis (even if false) go to waste.What ticks me off about this story - is even when the allegations are proven to be patently false - the common refrain is that even though THIS story might be false, it cannot be dismissed that xyz does happen and is a big problem. Lies are applauded as shining light on social injustices.
Yeah, it looks to be completely fabricated which RS could have learned if they did their job. Absolutely unforgivable IMO. Glad I already canceled my subscription years ago.Of course, but for a crime to have been committed it sounds like it would have had to have been at a different frat entirely. And in a different semester. And a different weekend. And, and, and.Not contacting the accused is the focus of the RS apology, but it appears the main "facts" in the story that are now refuted is the date of the party, floorplan at the frat as described in the story, and the status of one of the main culprits, now said to not be a member of the frat. The difficulty with fact-checking a story like this is that you need to confirm the big things but also the seemingly small details like like where a staircase runs in a building. If your story mentions that a kid's hair is brown, but it turns out to be black, that discrepancy will often call the entire underlying story into question. People overreact to these things. In this case, many had the frat boys drawn and quartered based on the initial article. Now, everyone is assuming the story is a complete fabrication, nothing happened and want to hang the accuser, all because the date was wrong and a few other factual assertions have been disputed. But of course its still possible that a crime was committed.McGarnicle said:RS didn't even contact the accused before running the story??? Pretty fundamental error in "journalism" there...though really they are less a news source and more left-wing activist anyway.
Was it really completely fabricated or RS just screwed up a lot of important facts?Yeah, it looks to be completely fabricated which RS could have learned if they did their job. Absolutely unforgivable IMO. Glad I already canceled my subscription years ago.
Completely fabricated? Who knows. But enough of this is clear bs that none of it can be believed and that is no ones fault other than the accuser. Whatever of her story is legit she has given up any right to in regard to us not believing her and not expecting anyone following up.Was it really completely fabricated or RS just screwed up a lot of important facts?Yeah, it looks to be completely fabricated which RS could have learned if they did their job. Absolutely unforgivable IMO. Glad I already canceled my subscription years ago.
(I've only had a chance to read some of the most recent news)
does that really matter?Was it really completely fabricated or RS just screwed up a lot of important facts?Yeah, it looks to be completely fabricated which RS could have learned if they did their job. Absolutely unforgivable IMO. Glad I already canceled my subscription years ago.
(I've only had a chance to read some of the most recent news)
Understand your point but rape is a big problem. A huge problem here is people may be less likely to believe the next person.What ticks me off about this story - is even when the allegations are proven to be patently false - the common refrain is that even though THIS story might be false, it cannot be dismissed that xyz does happen and is a big problem. Lies are applauded as shining light on social injustices.
R Lena Dunham accuses a college republican of rape in her books and looks to be complete bunkWho the #### would rape that hosebeast?Don't know if you guys have followed but this is another story that is being DRAMATICALLY underplayed right now, along the same lines:
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Hollywood/2014/12/03/investigation-lena-dunhams-republican-rapist-story-falls-apart-under-scrutiny
TLR Lena Dunham accuses a college republican of rape in her books and looks to be complete bunk
Rape is a vile disguting thing and deserves harsh justice, but likewise, false accusations deserve the same punishment. Once you get the stench of that accusation attached to you, its very hard to remove, even when exonerated
Rape, by its nature IS a big problem, but I'm guessing you mean by the numbers. And what we think of as "rape", forcible sexual assault, is actually pretty low on college campuses. Surveys show an actual drop in women who are forcible sexually assaulted before college as compared to during college.Understand your point but rape is a big problem. A huge problem here is people may be less likely to believe the next person.What ticks me off about this story - is even when the allegations are proven to be patently false - the common refrain is that even though THIS story might be false, it cannot be dismissed that xyz does happen and is a big problem. Lies are applauded as shining light on social injustices.
Not that you'd know this, but the rapes my colleagues and I deal with are mostly alcohol related. Which is not "low" on campuses.Rape, by its nature IS a big problem, but I'm guessing you mean by the numbers. And what we think of as "rape", forcible sexual assault, is actually pretty low on college campuses. Surveys show an actual drop in women who are forcible sexually assaulted before college as compared to during college.Understand your point but rape is a big problem. A huge problem here is people may be less likely to believe the next person.What ticks me off about this story - is even when the allegations are proven to be patently false - the common refrain is that even though THIS story might be false, it cannot be dismissed that xyz does happen and is a big problem. Lies are applauded as shining light on social injustices.
I've seen estimates that it's around 1 in 10.IvanKaramazov said:That's fair.TobiasFunke said:So let's just say that I based on what I've read I think I had a pretty reasonable basis to say that there are "so few" false rape claims, relative to the number of valid ones.
Oh, I agree. Alcohol related incidents are definitely the major problem. And they absolutely ARE a problem in every sense of the word. They're a problem because scummy guys take advantage of drunk or passed out women. And they're a problem because both parties are often drunk and the issue of consent is really fuzzy. And they're a problem because sometimes women get drunk, consent to sex and then simply regret having sex with that guy.Not that you'd know this, but the rapes my colleagues and I deal with are mostly alcohol related. Which is not "low" on campuses.Rape, by its nature IS a big problem, but I'm guessing you mean by the numbers. And what we think of as "rape", forcible sexual assault, is actually pretty low on college campuses. Surveys show an actual drop in women who are forcible sexually assaulted before college as compared to during college.Understand your point but rape is a big problem. A huge problem here is people may be less likely to believe the next person.What ticks me off about this story - is even when the allegations are proven to be patently false - the common refrain is that even though THIS story might be false, it cannot be dismissed that xyz does happen and is a big problem. Lies are applauded as shining light on social injustices.
based on what, girls like this totally embellishing stories?Understand your point but rape is a big problem. A huge problem here is people may be less likely to believe the next person.What ticks me off about this story - is even when the allegations are proven to be patently false - the common refrain is that even though THIS story might be false, it cannot be dismissed that xyz does happen and is a big problem. Lies are applauded as shining light on social injustices.
This guy called it a couple of weeks ago. Gotta take my hat off to this fellow. When I read this story originally, I thought it was incredibly brazen for seven guys to gang-rape an acquaintance, but I assumed the story was true nonetheless. It took somebody who was trained in journalism to tell that this was a hoax. When I read Bradley's piece for the first time earlier this week, all of the sudden it seemed so obvious, but I'll be honest and say that I was completely duped at first.How did the OP sniff this out as a possible snopes entry but an entire magazine staff didn't?
This is actually a huge point. The author of this story went from campus to campus, looking for something that would fit her "rape culture" narrative. She struck out a bunch of times before stumbling upon "Jackie" at UVA and running with her story without bothering to follow up. This was an agenda-driven piece that ended up ending the author's career, most likely.I've seen estimates that it's around 1 in 10.IvanKaramazov said:That's fair.TobiasFunke said:So let's just say that I based on what I've read I think I had a pretty reasonable basis to say that there are "so few" false rape claims, relative to the number of valid ones.
By all accounts something happened to that girl, and it's not like she went looking for this story either. RS found her. But something's definitely not adding up
Sorry to hipple this thread, but I've been following this story pretty closely since the original RS article, because it hits on a hugely hot topic in academia. Apparently Jackie was going around to various support groups and advocacy groups on campus with this story. Lots of people had heard her tell this story before. It didn't have to be drug out of her -- she put it out there herself. And it does actually appear to be a complete fabrication. This is like Jack attending his bi-monthly sickle cell circle.I've seen estimates that it's around 1 in 10.IvanKaramazov said:That's fair.TobiasFunke said:So let's just say that I based on what I've read I think I had a pretty reasonable basis to say that there are "so few" false rape claims, relative to the number of valid ones.
By all accounts something happened to that girl, and it's not like she went looking for this story either. RS found her. But something's definitely not adding up
Posted it on at least one forum as well.Sorry to hipple this thread, but I've been following this story pretty closely since the original RS article, because it hits on a hugely hot topic in academia. Apparently Jackie was going around to various support groups and advocacy groups on campus with this story. Lots of people had heard her tell this story before. It didn't have to be drug out of her -- she put it out there herself. And it does actually appear to be a complete fabrication. This is like Jack attending his bi-monthly sickle cell circle.I've seen estimates that it's around 1 in 10.IvanKaramazov said:That's fair.TobiasFunke said:So let's just say that I based on what I've read I think I had a pretty reasonable basis to say that there are "so few" false rape claims, relative to the number of valid ones.
By all accounts something happened to that girl, and it's not like she went looking for this story either. RS found her. But something's definitely not adding up
Remember that article by George Will that everybody got all pissed about when he said that some people on college campuses actively seek out "victim" status? I expect to see an "I told you so" column any day now.
True, but again, I completely believed this the first time I read it. Looking back on it now, I can't figure out why. In hindsight this is like something straight out of Homer X: Portrait of an ###-Grabber ("This is sexual harassment, and if you don't stop I'll scream so loud the whole country will hear!" "What, with a MAN in the White House?"). But I believed it at the time.Should have been huge red flags when she refused to not only name the attackers she knew, but also refused to give the names of her 3 friends that saw her right after and told her not to tell anyone because they wouldn't be invited to other frat parties.
EXACTLY. That is what sickens me about false accusations of this nature. Then the person that really is raped is put through hell when no one believes her.Understand your point but rape is a big problem. A huge problem here is people may be less likely to believe the next person.What ticks me off about this story - is even when the allegations are proven to be patently false - the common refrain is that even though THIS story might be false, it cannot be dismissed that xyz does happen and is a big problem. Lies are applauded as shining light on social injustices.
That's gonna sting.Someone tweeted yesterday: "So as I understand it, Atticus Finch is now the bad guy in "To Kill A Mockingbird," because he doubted a story about rape."
You have stinky bait.based on what, girls like this totally embellishing stories?Understand your point but rape is a big problem. A huge problem here is people may be less likely to believe the next person.What ticks me off about this story - is even when the allegations are proven to be patently false - the common refrain is that even though THIS story might be false, it cannot be dismissed that xyz does happen and is a big problem. Lies are applauded as shining light on social injustices.
I could only tolerate a few episodes of her show and didn't even know she had a book out. If this is true (she fabricated a rape story) then I would hope there is some backlash. It is such a disservice to actual victims for this kind of attention whoring to occur.Don't know if you guys have followed but this is another story that is being DRAMATICALLY underplayed right now, along the same lines:
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Hollywood/2014/12/03/investigation-lena-dunhams-republican-rapist-story-falls-apart-under-scrutiny
TLR Lena Dunham accuses a college republican of rape in her books and looks to be complete bunk
Rape is a vile disguting thing and deserves harsh justice, but likewise, false accusations deserve the same punishment. Once you get the stench of that accusation attached to you, its very hard to remove, even when exonerated
I could only tolerate a few episodes of her show and didn't even know she had a book out. If this is true (she fabricated a rape story) then I would hope there is some backlash. It is such a disservice to actual victims for this kind of attention whoring to occur.Don't know if you guys have followed but this is another story that is being DRAMATICALLY underplayed right now, along the same lines:
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Hollywood/2014/12/03/investigation-lena-dunhams-republican-rapist-story-falls-apart-under-scrutiny
TLR Lena Dunham accuses a college republican of rape in her books and looks to be complete bunk
Rape is a vile disguting thing and deserves harsh justice, but likewise, false accusations deserve the same punishment. Once you get the stench of that accusation attached to you, its very hard to remove, even when exonerated
That story is absolutely disgusting. She's vague about identifying the guy, but there is a real dude who people assume is the rapist and she's leaving him twisting in the wind. Either confirm it's him and stand by your story or let this guy go back to living his life. ####### ugly pig.Maybe so. People in that thread wouldn't address the due process claims, so you certainly won't see any mea culpas. You just got a whole lot of of lockstep, "That's stupid." (Say it with a Hampshire college voice and you've got the general thought process of anyone who read the article.) Ironically, according to Dan Riehl (linked through Instapundit), one of the main sources for the RS article actively served on Obama's WH task force regarding outreach for the new Title IX regs.Sorry to hipple this thread, but I've been following this story pretty closely since the original RS article, because it hits on a hugely hot topic in academia. Apparently Jackie was going around to various support groups and advocacy groups on campus with this story. Lots of people had heard her tell this story before. It didn't have to be drug out of her -- she put it out there herself. And it does actually appear to be a complete fabrication. This is like Jack attending his bi-monthly sickle cell circle.I've seen estimates that it's around 1 in 10.IvanKaramazov said:That's fair.TobiasFunke said:So let's just say that I based on what I've read I think I had a pretty reasonable basis to say that there are "so few" false rape claims, relative to the number of valid ones.
By all accounts something happened to that girl, and it's not like she went looking for this story either. RS found her. But something's definitely not adding up
Remember that article by George Will that everybody got all pissed about when he said that some people on college campuses actively seek out "victim" status? I expect to see an "I told you so" column any day now.
And she apparently wanted to back out of the story once Rolling Stone started poking around, but Rolling Stone said they were running with it anyway, so she eventually agreed to participate on the condition that she could review and make corrections to the story before it went to press. Megan McArdle gives a pretty good summary of the ordeal.This is actually a huge point. The author of this story went from campus to campus, looking for something that would fit her "rape culture" narrative. She struck out a bunch of times before stumbling upon "Jackie" at UVA and running with her story without bothering to follow up. This was an agenda-driven piece that ended up ending the author's career, most likely.By all accounts something happened to that girl, and it's not like she went looking for this story either. RS found her. But something's definitely not adding up
That guy is spot on.This guy called it a couple of weeks ago. Gotta take my hat off to this fellow. When I read this story originally, I thought it was incredibly brazen for seven guys to gang-rape an acquaintance, but I assumed the story was true nonetheless. It took somebody who was trained in journalism to tell that this was a hoax. When I read Bradley's piece for the first time earlier this week, all of the sudden it seemed so obvious, but I'll be honest and say that I was completely duped at first.How did the OP sniff this out as a possible snopes entry but an entire magazine staff didn't?
great articleThat guy is spot on.This guy called it a couple of weeks ago. Gotta take my hat off to this fellow. When I read this story originally, I thought it was incredibly brazen for seven guys to gang-rape an acquaintance, but I assumed the story was true nonetheless. It took somebody who was trained in journalism to tell that this was a hoax. When I read Bradley's piece for the first time earlier this week, all of the sudden it seemed so obvious, but I'll be honest and say that I was completely duped at first.How did the OP sniff this out as a possible snopes entry but an entire magazine staff didn't?
Atticus Finch was a sexist, a racist, and above all a coward. One of the most overrated fictional characters of all time, IMO.Someone tweeted yesterday: "So as I understand it, Atticus Finch is now the bad guy in "To Kill A Mockingbird," because he doubted a story about rape."
He was a man of his time and no worse than Thomas Jefferson.Atticus Finch was a sexist, a racist, and above all a coward. One of the most overrated fictional characters of all time, IMO.Someone tweeted yesterday: "So as I understand it, Atticus Finch is now the bad guy in "To Kill A Mockingbird," because he doubted a story about rape."
She also writes about fingerblasting her infant sister. She's a sick piece of work.I could only tolerate a few episodes of her show and didn't even know she had a book out. If this is true (she fabricated a rape story) then I would hope there is some backlash. It is such a disservice to actual victims for this kind of attention whoring to occur.Don't know if you guys have followed but this is another story that is being DRAMATICALLY underplayed right now, along the same lines:
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Hollywood/2014/12/03/investigation-lena-dunhams-republican-rapist-story-falls-apart-under-scrutiny
TLR Lena Dunham accuses a college republican of rape in her books and looks to be complete bunk
Rape is a vile disguting thing and deserves harsh justice, but likewise, false accusations deserve the same punishment. Once you get the stench of that accusation attached to you, its very hard to remove, even when exoneratedThat story is absolutely disgusting. She's vague about identifying the guy, but there is a real dude who people assume is the rapist and she's leaving him twisting in the wind. Either confirm it's him and stand by your story or let this guy go back to living his life. ####### ugly pig.
Wait, wait, wait..... when I see "fingerblasting", I expect to see Evilgrin.She also writes about fingerblasting her infant sister. She's a sick piece of work.I could only tolerate a few episodes of her show and didn't even know she had a book out. If this is true (she fabricated a rape story) then I would hope there is some backlash. It is such a disservice to actual victims for this kind of attention whoring to occur.Don't know if you guys have followed but this is another story that is being DRAMATICALLY underplayed right now, along the same lines:
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Hollywood/2014/12/03/investigation-lena-dunhams-republican-rapist-story-falls-apart-under-scrutiny
TLR Lena Dunham accuses a college republican of rape in her books and looks to be complete bunk
Rape is a vile disguting thing and deserves harsh justice, but likewise, false accusations deserve the same punishment. Once you get the stench of that accusation attached to you, its very hard to remove, even when exoneratedThat story is absolutely disgusting. She's vague about identifying the guy, but there is a real dude who people assume is the rapist and she's leaving him twisting in the wind. Either confirm it's him and stand by your story or let this guy go back to living his life. ####### ugly pig.