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FanDuel 2015 - Week 4 (1 Viewer)

Just going to post my GPP FanDuel thoughts here guys. Hope you don't mind.

Fading all Chargers, including the low-priced kicker Lambo. Wasn’t going to use Rivers or Keenan Allen anyways, but a lot of people are jumping on Melvin Gordon or Danny Woodhead as GPP plays. They could still put up respectable numbers, but they have a lot of injuries on the O-line, and I think this could be an ugly, close game. Dunlap (T) is out, Franklin (OG) is out, Watt © is doubtful, Fluker (OG) is questionable on a gimpy ankle. Hell, I could even see the Browns winning this one, because that is how football works sometimes. Duke Johnson could be a good play here.

Fading Buffalo Bills except Karlos Williams for cash games. While Harvin and Clay are certainly putting up decent numbers and Taylor has been playing great, Watkins is out and Antonio Rodgers-Cromartie is back. I just get a weird gut feeling about this game, I feel like the Giants can win this one, even if it is an away game. I mean, the Vegas Odds can’t be ALL correct every week, right? There are always a few upsets.

QB/Stacks I like:

If Luck plays, I’ll throw him into a GPP. Just not sure who to stack with him. Not really feeling Moncrief or Hilton this week. #### it, I’ll go with Fleener, oh lawd.

Eli Manning/ODB. While it is a tough match-up, ODB should still be peppered with targets and it is a high over/under. Eli will have to keep throwing and his completion percentage has actually been pretty good, would be even better without all the drops by his teammates.

Russell Wilson/Doug Baldwin. I like this stack if this game can be relatively close, which it may not be because Stafford/the Lions have been awful. Baldwin

I can't get behind Kaepernick. His play was just too awful last week. Maybe the return of Reggie Bush can help him out.

RBs I like:

Matt Forte. Even though the Bears are huge under-dogs, Forte is a beast and the Raiders still stink against the run (besides Mack). He should catch a ton of passes. The Bears fan in me think this is a game we could steal at home.

Eddie Lacy. Rodgers/other receivers will likely have high ownership, but Lacy could be in for a multi-TD game. While the Packers will win, the 49ers always play them tough and they are at home. Could be a game where Lacy keeps getting the ball. Always the possibility that he catches a pass out of the backfield and takes it to the end zone like last year.

Jonathan Stewart. While his YPC has been average, the past 3 teams have stacked 8 in the box knowing the sub-par WRs that the Panthers have, and Newton has made them pay. The Bucs may be hesitant to do this now, and they are legitimately bad against the run. If Tolbert (he is banged up a bit too) doesn’t vulture, I could see 130 yds and 2 TDs.

Other WRs I like:

Demaryius Thomas. Always a good bet for 11+ targets and a touchdown. Match-up is about average against the Vikings, but his upside at the price of $8500 is appealing.

Deandre Hopkins. I like this play regardless if Foster goes or not. Houston runs a TON of plays per game, Hopkins is the #1 and Mallett throws a ton. While Mallett is bad, he has a good O-line and the ATL pass rush is sub-par. While CB Trufant is awesome at his job, Hopkins lines up everywhere.

Allen Robinson. He will likely be paired up against Vontae Davis, I know. But Davis has been beat recently, and maybe he doesn't shadow Robinson all game? Regardless, they’ll need to keep throwing. If Bortles has time to throw (they have been giving up less sacks this year), I feel like Robinson’s talent can win out against Davis. Price is good, $6500.

Michael Crabtree. Pretty simple. Carr has been playing good, Crabtree is getting targets (in the redzone too), and CB Kyle Fuller has been not good. TDs could go to Latavius Murray and Amari Cooper, though.

Going with Nelson Agholor instead of Jordan Matthews. Huge punt play because of his lack of production, but if Agholor has any talent, this is the week to show it because of the injuries to the Redskins secondary. He is priced at $4900 and still playing on nearly 90% of snaps! Something's gotta give.

Robert Woods. I know I said above I was fading all Bills players except Karlos Williams, but this kind of makes sense. Watkins is out, and I don't think Clay and Harvin will get all the targets. Woods is still a talented slot receiver and besides the CB Rodgers-Cromartie, the Giants secondary isn't scary.

TEs I like:

Travis Kelce. 1/4th of the ownership of Olsen, still gets ton of targets, should be a close game.

Coby Fleener. Only if Luck plays. Don't care if Dwayne Allen plays or not. Hilton and Moncrief are popular plays but the Jaguars CBs are actually OK, but I can see Fleener finding some room, especially in the endzone.

 
I am not playing Hasselback in cash, but I am going to throw him in a tournament lineup because it opens up a lot at other positions.

 
I am liking Foster in GPPs that I entered earlier this week. I am guessing his ownership % would be low given his questionable status all week.

 
Its calmed down at the moment, and its still hours away, but it was pouring (even by non southern California standards) in parts of San Diego this morning. Personally I pulled Rivers from my cash games as a result, but something for everyone to be aware of. San Diego may have the worst weather of the weekend.

 
NixonMask said:
The Bovada prop bets have Melvin Gordon favored to rush for atleast 75 today. They LOVE Matt Forte today too.
I must be way off, because I am just not seeing it for Gordon today. Yes Cleveland's D has been giving, but the Chargers O-line looks like a MASH unit right now.

 
I dont have him in my cash lineups, but put him in a few GPPs. And as I writing this the sky is starting to go from dark grey to patches of blue

 
Took it easy this week on FD and only entered two contests. My 50/50 and 6k runner teams are identical besides the K:

QB - Carr

RB - Charles

RB - Karlos

WR - A Rob

WR - Cooper

WR - Cobb

TE - Eifert

K - McManus/Catanzaro

DEF - Seattle

Not a very original team really. I'm sure a lot of people are using Karlos, but anyway I guess I'm just hoping to fade James Jones and get a big week from Charles/Cooper. Still feel that Eifert is basically a must-play at his price, especially after the dud last week.

 
I've just been running around crazy the past few days. Easily the least analysis I've ever had for FD. This is not going to end well. I should have pulled most everything out but didn't. The most undisciplined wagering I've ever done while sober.

 
I'm swearing off Allen Robinson for the rest of this season... Hurns is the guy to own if you use a jag receiver

 
So I entered in some 4pm games late. 2 dollar entry 50/50. I guess they didnt fill. I am in the green at the moment and winning 1.26....what gives? So I can win, yet lose money?

 
I've just been running around crazy the past few days. Easily the least analysis I've ever had for FD. This is not going to end well. I should have pulled most everything out but didn't. The most undisciplined wagering I've ever done while sober.
Lots of things caught up to me this week as well. I didn't end up playing as much as normal, but I still put in more than I should have. Some dumb stuff too like not hooking up leagues to the right lineups. Looks like a beat down right now. If I can stay in 1st against my idiot friends I can possibly scratch out a small loss or break even.
 
I've just been running around crazy the past few days. Easily the least analysis I've ever had for FD. This is not going to end well. I should have pulled most everything out but didn't. The most undisciplined wagering I've ever done while sober.
Lots of things caught up to me this week as well. I didn't end up playing as much as normal, but I still put in more than I should have. Some dumb stuff too like not hooking up leagues to the right lineups. Looks like a beat down right now. If I can stay in 1st against my idiot friends I can possibly scratch out a small loss or break even.
This is shaping up to be a dumpster fire. My Thursday lineups will be fine. My Sunday action is brutal. Stupid on my part. No one to blame but myself. I should have pulled way back but didn't.

 
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I've just been running around crazy the past few days. Easily the least analysis I've ever had for FD. This is not going to end well. I should have pulled most everything out but didn't. The most undisciplined wagering I've ever done while sober.
Lots of things caught up to me this week as well. I didn't end up playing as much as normal, but I still put in more than I should have. Some dumb stuff too like not hooking up leagues to the right lineups. Looks like a beat down right now. If I can stay in 1st against my idiot friends I can possibly scratch out a small loss or break even.
This is shaping up to be a dumpster fire. My Thursday lineups will be fine. My Sunday action is brutal. Stupid on my part. No one to blame but myself. I should have pulled way back but didn't.
Not looking very promising on my part either. Very few of my higher priced guys came through. I just hope to salvage a minimal loss.

 
I've just been running around crazy the past few days. Easily the least analysis I've ever had for FD. This is not going to end well. I should have pulled most everything out but didn't. The most undisciplined wagering I've ever done while sober.
Lots of things caught up to me this week as well. I didn't end up playing as much as normal, but I still put in more than I should have. Some dumb stuff too like not hooking up leagues to the right lineups. Looks like a beat down right now. If I can stay in 1st against my idiot friends I can possibly scratch out a small loss or break even.
This is shaping up to be a dumpster fire. My Thursday lineups will be fine. My Sunday action is brutal. Stupid on my part. No one to blame but myself. I should have pulled way back but didn't.
In one of my full season leagues I acquired Daniels on WW to plug in for Gronk. And then didn't insert him into my lineup. And that was a 4:00 game that I could have corrected if I'd had any time.

Just now getting to a computer/phone to survey the carnage. This is beyond bad. Dummy lineups in my Yahoo and Starsdraft contests, guys sitting on my bench in full season leagues, flawed FD lineups. Wreckage everywhere.

 
Yea, a big change from last week. Lots of dud games out there. I faded Julio/ODB this week and they will kill a lot of teams. Cobb didn't live up to my hopes, but Cooper/Charles look like they're going to carry me to 50/50 wins here and on DK.

 
I will cash on the football guys exclusive contest, thats a plus. Gonna break even on that. On a side note I was very undisciplined with my meager bankroll.

 
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pbandy1 said:
absolutely brutal for me. lot of bad calls, and paying for top receivers like D Thomas and ODB
also went all in on Kelce and that didn't work out for a lot of line-ups. I actually thought Clausen was playing so stayed away from Bennett.

 
Still have people in play but it's not looking great. I think I'm good for my two entries in the Survivor tournament though.

Honestly, after seeing the screenshots of the multiple entries in the single entry GPP on FD, I'm starting to reconsider doing any of this. Maybe I'll just stick to H2H's so I know no shady #### is going down.

 
TropicalStorm no doubt killed it this week based on so many loser posts in here. He simply zigged where you zagged. Easy money.

 
Dunbar's injury was the whip cream on top of my s&@t sundae this week. Ingram getting screwed out of that TD was the cherry on top. Seattle getting shredded tomorrow will be the chocolate syrup.

 
This weekend can't end fast enough. Daily is a disaster. My full season leagues saw me leave multiple 20+ scorers on the bench in 3/3 leagues. Dallas choked again. The Vols got gut-stomped. I finished 2nd in my fantasy baseball league. My Angels blew a chance for a play-in game.

 
Tough week, a lot of good plays did not do well. Getting the right defense was important as Arizona did not do well.
I cant figure Nick Foles out and its costing me. I thought he'd rip apart Pitt last week and struggle against Arizona this week. I guess that's why they play the games.

 
I got so focused on needing to have K . Williams in ar a RB spot. That always left enough cash that I felt compelled to spend it. 9 times out of ten those fnds went to Olsen over Bennett. The games I went stud heavy at RB and the cheaper Bennet were my better scoring teams. Downside is those were greatly outnumbered by my Williams LU.

 

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